Bias analyses to investigate the impact of differential participation: Application to a birth defects case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Certain associations observed in the National Birth Defects Prevention Study (NBDPS) contrasted with other research or were from areas with mixed findings, including no decrease in odds of spina bifida with periconceptional folic acid supplementation, moderately increased cleft palate odds with ondansetron use and reduced hypospadias odds with maternal smoking. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the plausibility and extent of differential participation to produce effect estimates observed in NBDPS. METHODS: We searched the literature for factors related to these exposures and participation and conducted deterministic quantitative bias analyses. We estimated case-control participation and expected exposure prevalence based on internal and external reports, respectively. For the folic acid-spina bifida and ondansetron-cleft palate analyses, we hypothesized the true odds ratio (OR) based on prior studies and quantified the degree of exposure over- (or under-) representation to produce the crude OR (cOR) in NBDPS. For the smoking-hypospadias analysis, we estimated the extent of selection bias needed to nullify the association as well as the maximum potential harmful OR. RESULTS: Under our assumptions (participation, exposure prevalence, true OR), there was overrepresentation of folic acid use and underrepresentation of ondansetron use and smoking among participants. Folic acid-exposed spina bifida cases would need to have been ≥1.2× more likely to participate than exposed controls to yield the observed null cOR. Ondansetron-exposed cleft palate cases would need to have been 1.6× more likely to participate than exposed controls if the true OR is null. Smoking-exposed hypospadias cases would need to have been ≥1.2 times less likely to participate than exposed controls for the association to falsely appear protective (upper bound of selection bias adjusted smoking-hypospadias OR = 2.02). CONCLUSIONS: Differential participation could partly explain certain associations observed in NBDPS, but questions remain about why. Potential impacts of other systematic errors (e.g. exposure misclassification) could be informed by additional research.

Periconceptional intakes of methyl donors and other micronutrients involved in one-carbon metabolism may further reduce the risk of neural tube defects in offspring: a United States population-based case-control study of women meeting the folic acid recommendations.

BACKGROUND: Neural tube defects (NTDs) still occur among some women who consume 400 µg of folic acid for prevention. It has been hypothesized that intakes of methyl donors and other micronutrients involved in one-carbon metabolism may further protect against NTDs. OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether intakes of vitamin B6, vitamin B12, choline, betaine, methionine, thiamine, riboflavin, and zinc, individually or in combination, were associated with NTD risk reduction in offspring of women meeting the folic acid recommendations. METHODS: Data were from the National Birth Defects Prevention Study (United States population-based, case-control). We restricted deliveries between 1999 and 2011 with daily periconceptional folic acid supplementation or estimated dietary folate equivalents ≥400 µg. NTD cases were live births, stillbirths, or terminations affected by spina bifida, anencephaly, or encephalocele (n = 1227). Controls were live births without a major birth defect (n = 7095). We categorized intake of each micronutrient as higher or lower based on a combination of diet (estimated from a food frequency questionnaire) and periconceptional vitamin supplementation. We estimated NTD associations for higher compared with lower intake of each micronutrient, individually and in combination, expressed as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, education, and study center. RESULTS: NTD associations with each micronutrient were weak to modest. Greater NTD reductions were observed with concurrent higher-amount intakes of multiple micronutrients. For instance, NTD odds were ∼50% lower among participants with ≥4 micronutrients with higher-amount intakes than among participants with ≤1 micronutrient with higher-amount intake (adjusted OR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.33, 0.86). The strongest reduction occurred with concurrent higher-amount intakes of vitamin B6, vitamin B12, choline, betaine, and methionine (adjusted OR: 0.26; 95% CI: 0.09, 0.77) compared with ≤1 micronutrient with higher-amount intake. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support that NTD prevention, in the context of folic acid fortification, could be augmented with intakes of methyl donors and other micronutrients involved in folate metabolism.

Does heterogeneity underlie differences in treatment effects estimated from SuperLearner versus logistic regression? An application in nutritional epidemiology.

PURPOSE: A strength of SuperLearner is that it may accommodate key interactions between model variables without a priori specification. In prior research, protective associations between fruit intake and preeclampsia were stronger when estimated using SuperLearner with targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) compared with multivariable logistic regression without any interaction terms. We explored whether heterogeneity (i.e., differences in the effect estimate due to interactions between fruit intake and covariates) may partly explain differences in estimates from these two models. METHODS: Using a U.S. prospective pregnancy cohort (2010-2013, n = 7781), we estimated preeclampsia risk differences (RDs) for higher versus lower fruit density using multivariable logistic regression and included two-way statistical interactions between fruit density and each of the 25 model covariates. We compared the RDs with those from SuperLearner with TMLE (gold standard) and logistic regression with no interaction. RESULTS: From the logistic regression models with two-way statistical interactions, 48% of the preeclampsia RDs were ≤-0.02 (closer to SuperLearner with TMLE estimate); 40% equaled -0.01 (same as logistic regression with no interaction estimate); the minority of RDs were at or crossed the null. CONCLUSIONS: Our exploratory analysis provided preliminary evidence that heterogeneity may partly explain differences in estimates from logistic regression versus SuperLearner with TMLE.

Short interpregnancy intervals and risks for birth defects: support for the nutritional depletion hypothesis.

BACKGROUND: Research suggests short interpregnancy intervals increase risks for adverse perinatal outcomes, including some birth defects. A hypothesized cause is nutritional depletion, including folic acid (FA). OBJECTIVES: We evaluated associations between short interpregnancy intervals, alone and in combination with FA intake, and the occurrence of select malformations. METHODS: Data were from the National Birth Defects Prevention Study (US case-control, 1997-2011). Participants included multiparous women whose prior pregnancy resulted in live birth. Cases included 8 noncardiac and 6 cardiac defect groups (n = 3219); controls were nonmalformed live-borns (n = 2508). We categorized interpregnancy interval (<6, 6-11, 12-17, and 18-23 mo) and periconceptional FA intake [no FA supplement use and dietary folate equivalents (DFE) <400 µg/d, no FA supplement use and DFE ≥400 µg/d, or any FA supplement use]. We controlled for age, race/ethnicity, income, pregnancy intention, and study center. ORs <0.8 or >1.2 were considered to represent potentially meaningful associations. RESULTS: ORs for <6 compared with 18-23 mo were >1.2 for 4/8 noncardiac and 3/6 cardiac malformations. Among participants with any FA supplement use, ORs comparing <6 with 6-23 mo were <1.2 for most defects. Conversely, most ORs were >1.2 for <6 mo + no FA supplement use and DFE <400 µg/d compared with 6-23 mo + any FA supplement use. Magnitude and precision varied by defect. CONCLUSIONS: Short interpregnancy intervals were associated with a trend of higher risks for several defects, notably in the absence of FA supplement use. To our knowledge, our study is the first to provide preliminary empirical support that these etiologies may be related to shorter interpregnancy intervals and possible nutritional deficiencies. Because FA intake is highly correlated with other nutrients, and because our estimates were generally imprecise, more research with larger sample sizes is needed to better understand the role of FA compared with other nutrients in each defect-specific etiology.

Evaluating the Open and Engaged Components of Acceptance and Commitment Therapy in an Online Self-Guided Website: Results from a Pilot Trial.

Online acceptance and commitment therapy (ACT) is promising for treating a range of psychological problems. Component research can further clarify which components are needed for optimal outcomes in what contexts. Online platforms provide a highly controlled format for such research. In this pilot trial, 55 adults were randomized to: ACT-Open (i.e., acceptance, defusion components), ACT-Engaged (i.e., values, committed action), or ACT-Combined (i.e., acceptance, defusion, values, committed action). Each condition was 12 sessions over 6 weeks, with assessments at baseline, post-treatment, and 4-week follow-up. ACT-Open, ACT-Engaged, and ACT-Combined all significantly improved from pre- to post-treatment on mental health, psychosocial functioning, and components of psychological flexibility. Compared to ACT-Combined, ACT-Open improved less on psychosocial functioning at post-treatment, and ACT-Engaged worsened on functioning at follow-up. The platform was acceptable with high satisfaction ratings. Results support the feasibility of conducting online ACT component research, which will be tested in a fully powered non-inferiority trial.

A randomized controlled trial of online acceptance and commitment therapy to improve diet and physical activity among adults who are overweight/obese.

Acceptance and commitment therapy (ACT) has shown benefit for improving diet, physical activity, and weight among adults who are overweight and obese. However, research to-date in this area has primarily evaluated ACT delivered through in-person interventions, which has more limited access relative to online formats. The present study evaluated an online guided self-help program that integrated ACT with nutrition education to improve healthy eating and physical activity. A sample of 79 adults who were overweight/obese was randomized to receive the 8-week ACT on Health program plus weekly phone coaching or to a waitlist. Participants completed 5.5 ACT sessions on average (out of 8) and reported moderately high program satisfaction. Participants in the ACT condition improved significantly more than the waitlist at posttreatment on the primary outcome of healthy eating index (HEI; based on 24-hr recall assessments) and almost all secondary outcomes assessing self-reported eating behaviors, weight, mental health, weight self-stigma, and psychological inflexibility. However, no intervention effects were found for self-reported physical activity. At 8-week follow-up, improvements were maintained for most outcomes in the ACT condition, but not for the HEI. Improvements in psychological inflexibility mediated treatment effects on some outcomes, but not HEI or weight. Overall, delivering ACT through online guided self-help combined with nutrition education appears promising for improving healthy eating, weight, and self-stigma, but results for physical activity and long-term behavior change are unclear, possibly due to limitations in the ACT on Health program.

Periconceptional folic acid and risk for neural tube defects among higher risk pregnancies.

BACKGROUND: Women with a previous neural tube defect (NTD)-affected pregnancy are recommended to consume 4,000 µg daily folic acid (FA) for prevention (10 times the general-population recommendation). Protection from doses between 400 and 4,000 µg for this and other higher risk groups is unclear. METHODS: In the case-control Slone Birth Defects Study (1988-2015), we examined the associations between periconceptional FA doses and NTDs among four higher risk groups: NTD family history, periconceptional antiepileptic drug exposure (AED), pregestational diabetes, and prepregnancy obesity. Mothers completed standardized interviews about pregnancy events and exposures. FA categorizations were based on (a) supplements only and (b) supplements and diet ("total folate"). We estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) (adjusted for age and study center) using logistic regression. RESULTS: Cases and controls included: 45 and 119 with family history, 25 and 108 with AED exposure, 12 and 63 with pregestational diabetes, 111 and 1,243 with obesity. Daily FA supplementation was associated with lower NTD risk compared to no supplementation (adjusted ORs were 0.33 [95% CI 0.13, 0.76] for family history, 0.31 [0.09, 0.95] for AED exposure, 0.25 [0.04, 1.05] for pregestational diabetes, 0.65 [0.40, 1.04] for obesity). Though estimates were imprecise, as total folate increased stronger point estimates were observed, notably among family history. No mothers with a prior NTD-affected pregnancy supplemented with 4,000 µg. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings reinforce that all women of childbearing potential should consume at least 400 µg FA/day to protect against NTDs. Higher risk groups may benefit from higher doses.

One-Carbon Cofactor Intake and Risk of Neural Tube Defects Among Women Who Meet Folic Acid Recommendations: A Multicenter Case-Control Study.

We aimed to investigate associations between individual and concurrent (≥2) intakes of one-carbon cofactors vitamins B6 and B12, choline, betaine, and methionine and neural tube defect (NTD) outcomes among mothers meeting the folic acid recommendations. In the Slone Birth Defects Study (case-control design; North America, 1998-2015), mothers of 164 NTD cases and 2,831 nonmalformed controls completed food frequency questionnaires and structured interviews. Estimated intakes of one-carbon cofactors were dichotomized (high vs. low) for all except betaine (low or middle vs. high). We used logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals adjusted for center, age, and race. The analysis was restricted to mothers with estimated daily total folate intake of ≥400 µg during periconception. Fewer cases, compared with controls, had high intakes for each one-carbon cofactor except betaine, where the starkest contrast occurred in the middle group. Women with concurrent high intakes of B6, B12, choline, and methionine and moderate intake of betaine had approximately half the risk of an NTD-affected pregnancy (odds ratio = 0.49, 95% confidence interval: 0.23, 1.08). These findings suggest that, in the presence of folic acid, one-carbon cofactors-notably when consumed together-might reduce NTD risk. Additional research should inform any changes to clinical recommendations.