EXTENSIVE EXPERTISE IN ENDOCRINOLOGY: Osteoporosis management.

Fractures occur in about half of older White women, and almost a third of older White men. However, 80% of the older individuals who have fractures do not meet the bone density definition of osteoporosis, suggesting that this definition is not an appropriate threshold for offering treatment. Fracture risk can be estimated based on clinical risk factors with or without bone density. A combination of calculated risk, fracture history, and bone density is used in treatment decisions. Medications available for reducing fracture risk act either to inhibit bone resorption or to promote bone formation. Romosozumab is unique in that it has both activities. Bisphosphonates are the most widely used interventions because of their efficacy, safety, and low cost. Continuous use of oral bisphosphonates for >5 years increases the risk of atypical femoral fractures, so is usually punctuated with drug holidays of 6-24 months. Denosumab is a further potent anti-resorptive agent given as 6-monthly s.c. injections. It is comparable to the bisphosphonates in efficacy and safety but has a rapid offset of effect after discontinuation so must be followed by an alternative drug, usually a bisphosphonate. Teriparatide stimulates both bone formation and resorption, substantially increases spine density, and reduces vertebral and non-vertebral fracture rates, though data for hip fractures are scant. Treatment is usually limited to 18-24 months, followed by the transition to an anti-resorptive. Romosozumab is given as monthly s.c. injections for 1 year, followed by an anti-resorptive. This sequence prevents more fractures than anti-resorptive therapy alone. Because of cost, anabolic drugs are usually reserved for those at very high fracture risk. 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels should be maintained above 30 nmol/L, using supplements if sunlight exposure is limited. Calcium intake has little effect on bone density and fracture risk but should be maintained above 500 mg/day using dietary sources.

Effects of elevated serum urate on cardiometabolic and kidney function markers in a randomised clinical trial of inosine supplementation.

In observational studies, serum urate positively associates with cardiometabolic and kidney diseases. We analyzed data from a randomised placebo-controlled trial to determine whether moderate hyperuricemia induced by inosine affects cardiometabolic and kidney function markers. One hundred and twenty post-menopausal women were recruited into a 6-month randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of inosine for bone health. Change from baseline in the following pre-specified endpoints was analyzed: body mass index; blood pressure; lipid profile; C-reactive protein; fasting glucose; insulin; HbA1c; serum creatinine; and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Despite increases in serum urate levels (+ 0.17 mmol/L at week 6, P < 0.0001), no significant between-group differences were observed in cardiometabolic markers, with the exception of lower fasting glucose concentrations with inosine at week 19. In the inosine group, change in serum urate correlated with change in serum creatinine (r = 0.41, P = 0.0012). However, there was no between-group difference in serum creatinine values. Over the entire study period, there was no significant difference in eGFR (ANCOVA P = 0.13). Reduction in eGFR was greater in the inosine group at Week 13 (mean difference - 4.6 mL/min/1.73 m2, false detection rate P = 0.025), with no between-group difference in eGFR at other time points. These data indicate that increased serum urate does not negatively influence body mass index, blood pressure, lipid profile, or glycaemic control. Serum urate changes associated with inosine intake correlate with changes in serum creatinine, but this does not lead to clinically important reduction in kidney function over 6 months.Clinical trial registration number: Australia and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12617000940370), registered 30/06/2017.

Prediction of Vitamin D Deficiency in Older Adults: The Role of Machine Learning Models.

CONTEXT: Conventional prediction models for vitamin D deficiency have limited accuracy. BACKGROUND: Using cross-sectional data, we developed models based on machine learning (ML) and compared their performance with those based on a conventional approach. METHODS: Participants were 5106 community-resident adults (50-84 years; 58% male). In the randomly sampled training set (65%), we constructed 5 ML models: lasso regression, elastic net regression, random forest, gradient boosted decision tree, and dense neural network. The reference model was a logistic regression model. Outcomes were deseasonalized serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) <50 nmol/L (yes/no) and <25 nmol/L (yes/no). In the test set (the remaining 35%), we evaluated predictive performance of each model, including area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and net benefit (decision curves). RESULTS: Overall, 1270 (25%) and 91 (2%) had 25(OH)D <50 and <25 nmol/L, respectively. Compared with the reference model, the ML models predicted 25(OH)D <50 nmol/L with similar accuracy. However, for prediction of 25(OH)D <25 nmol/L, all ML models had higher AUC point estimates than the reference model by up to 0.14. AUC was highest for elastic net regression (0.93; 95% CI 0.90-0.96), compared with 0.81 (95% CI 0.71-0.91) for the reference model. In the decision curve analysis, ML models mostly achieved a greater net benefit across a range of thresholds. CONCLUSION: Compared with conventional models, ML models predicted 25(OH)D <50 nmol/L with similar accuracy but they predicted 25(OH)D <25 nmol/L with greater accuracy. The latter finding suggests a role for ML models in participant selection for vitamin D supplement trials.

Dietary calcium intake and change in bone mineral density in older adults: a systematic review of longitudinal cohort studies.

Many older adults do not achieve recommended intakes of calcium and there is some concern over the potential impact of this on bone health. The objective of this review was to examine evidence from cohort studies on the relationship between calcium intake and change in bone mineral density (BMD) in older adults, something not undertaken in the last two decades. Data sources included Ovid Medline, Embase, and PubMed and references from retrieved reviews and articles. The final search was performed in February 2021. We included cohort studies of calcium intake in participants aged >50 years with change in BMD over ≥1 year as an outcome. We identified 23 studies of women and 7 of men. Most studies found no association between calcium intake and change in BMD in women (71%) or men (71%). Among women, five studies reported high rates (>30% of participants) of hormone treatment or osteoporosis therapy (HT/OT) use; 80% of these studies reported a positive association between calcium intake and change in BMD, compared with 10% of studies in which HT/OT use was low. No study in women in which the mean age was >60 years reported a positive association between calcium intake and change in BMD. We conclude that calcium intake across the ranges consumed in these studies (mean intake in all but one study >500 mg/day) is not an important determinant of bone loss, particularly among women >60 years. The positive findings in studies with high rates of HT/OT use are likely to arise from confounding as a result of co-administration of calcium supplements with these medications.

Elevated Urate Levels Do Not Alter Bone Turnover Markers: Randomized Controlled Trial of Inosine Supplementation in Postmenopausal Women.

OBJECTIVE: Observational studies have consistently demonstrated that serum urate level positively correlates with bone mineral density (BMD). We undertook this study to determine whether moderate hyperuricemia induced by inosine supplements influences bone turnover markers in postmenopausal women over a 6-month period. METHODS: One hundred twenty postmenopausal women were recruited for a 6-month randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Key exclusion criteria were osteoporosis, previous fragility fracture, bisphosphonate therapy, gout, kidney stones, and a urine pH level of ≤5.0. Participants were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive placebo or inosine. The coprimary end points were change in levels of N-propeptide of type I procollagen (PINP) and change in levels of ß-C-telopeptide of type I collagen (ß-CTX). Change in BMD, as measured by dual x-ray absorptiometry, was an exploratory end point. RESULTS: Administration of inosine led to a significant increase in serum urate concentration over the study period (P < 0.0001 for all follow-up time points). At week 26, the mean change in serum urate concentration was +0.13 mmoles/liter (+2.2 mg/dl) in the inosine group and 0.00 mmoles/liter (0 mg/dl) in the placebo group. There was no difference in PINP or ß-CTX levels between groups over the 6 months. There were no significant changes in bone density between groups over the 6 months. Adverse events and serious adverse events were similar between the 2 groups. CONCLUSION: This clinical trial shows that although inosine supplementation leads to sustained increases in serum urate levels over a 6-month period, it does not alter markers of bone turnover in postmenopausal women. These findings do not support the concept that urate has direct biologic effects on bone turnover.

A prediction tool for vitamin D deficiency in New Zealand adults.

PURPOSE: This study aims to develop a model for predicting vitamin D deficiency in New Zealand adults using easily accessible clinical characteristics. METHODS: Data were derived from the Vitamin D Assessment (ViDA) study dataset. Included participants in the main analysis were aged 50-84 years and resided in Auckland, New Zealand. The dataset was split into a discovery dataset in which the prediction model was developed (n = 2036) and a validation dataset in which it was tested (n = 2037). The prediction model was developed using clinical characteristics in a logistic regression analysis with deseasonalised serum 25OHD (DS-25OHD) as the dependent variable. RESULTS: DS-25OHD < 40 nmol/L was found in 8.2% of European participants, 18.8% of Maori participants, 23.1% of Pacific participants and 52.2% of South Asian participants. Predictors for DS-25OHD < 40 nmol/L in the European sub-cohort included increasing age, female sex, higher body mass index, current smoking, no alcohol intake, lower self-reported general health status, lower physical activity hours, lower outdoor hours and no use of vitamin D-containing supplementation. The area under the curve in the discovery dataset was 0.73, and in the validation dataset was 0.71. Of those with a prediction score ≥ 10 (total risk score range 0-21.5), the sensitivity and specificity for predicting vitamin D deficiency was 0.90 and 0.41, respectively. CONCLUSION: Non-European ethnicity is an important risk factor for vitamin D deficiency. Our vitamin D deficiency prediction model performed well and demonstrates its potential as a tool that can be integrated into clinical practice for the prediction of vitamin D deficiency.

Osteoporosis: evidence for vitamin D and calcium in older people.

Topics for DTB review articles are selected by DTB's editorial board to provide concise overviews of medicines and other treatments to help patients get the best care. Articles include a summary of key points and a brief overview for patients. Articles may also have a series of multiple choice CME questions.

What factors modify the effect of monthly bolus dose vitamin D supplementation on 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations?

The increasing use of vitamin D supplements has stimulated interest in identifying factors that may modify the effect of supplementation on circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations. Such information is of potential interest to researchers, clinicians and patients when deciding on bolus dose of vitamin D supplementation. We carried out a large randomized controlled trial of 5110 adults aged 50-84 years, of European/Other (84%), Polynesian (11%) and Asian (5%) ethnicity, to whom we gave a standard dose of vitamin D3 supplements (200,000 IU initially, then 100,000 IU monthly) which was taken with high adherence. All participants provided a baseline blood sample, and follow-up blood samples were collected at 6 months and annually for 3 years in a random sample of 441 participants, and also at 2 years in 413 participants enrolled in a bone density sub-study. Serum 25(OH)D was measured by LC/MSMS. Mixed model analyses were carried out on all 854 participants providing follow-up blood samples in multivariable models that included age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index (kg/m2), tobacco smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity, sun exposure, season, medical prescription of high-dose vitamin D3 (Cal.D.Forte tablets), asthma/COPD and the study treatment (vitamin D or placebo). The adjusted mean difference in 25(OH)D in the follow-up points between vitamin D supplementation and placebo groups was inversely related (all p for interaction <0.05) to baseline 25(OH)D, BMI, and hours of sun exposure, and higher in females, elders, and those with high frequency of alcohol, medical prescription of vitamin D, and asthma/COPD. The mean difference was not significantly related to ethnicity (p = 0.12), tobacco (p = 0.34), and vigorous activity (p = 0.33). In summary, these data show that vitamin D status, BMI, sun exposure hours, sex and asthma/COPD modify the 25(OH)D response to vitamin D supplementation. By contrast, ethnicity, tobacco smoking, and vigorous activity do not.

Calcium and/or Vitamin D Supplementation for the Prevention of Fragility Fractures: Who Needs It?

Vitamin D and calcium have different biological functions, so the need for supplementation, and its safety and efficacy, need to be evaluated for each separately. Vitamin D deficiency is usually the result of low sunlight exposure (e.g., in frail older people, those who are veiled, those with dark-skin living at higher latitudes) and is reversible with calciferol 400-800 IU/day. Calcium supplements produce a 1% increase in bone density in the first year of use, without further increases subsequently. Vitamin D supplements do not improve bone density in clinical trials except in analyses of subgroups with baseline levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D <30 nmol/L. Supplementation with calcium, vitamin D, or their combination does not prevent fractures in community-dwelling adults, but a large study in vitamin D-deficient nursing home residents did demonstrate fracture prevention. When treating osteoporosis, co-administration of calcium with anti-resorptive drugs has not been shown to impact on treatment efficacy. Correction of severe vitamin D deficiency (<25 nmol/L) is necessary before use of potent anti-resorptive drugs to avoid hypocalcemia. Calcium supplements cause gastrointestinal side effects, particularly constipation, and increase the risk of kidney stones and, probably, heart attacks by about 20%. Low-dose vitamin D is safe, but doses >4000 IU/day have been associated with more falls and fractures. Current evidence does not support use of either calcium or vitamin D supplements in healthy community-dwelling adults.

Effects of Zoledronate on Cancer, Cardiac Events, and Mortality in Osteopenic Older Women.

We recently showed that zoledronate prevented fractures in older women with osteopenia (hip T-scores between -1.0 and -2.5). In addition to fewer fractures, this study also suggested that women randomized to zoledronate had fewer vascular events, a lower incidence of cancer, and a trend to lower mortality. The present analysis provides a more detailed presentation of the adverse event data from that study, a 6-year, double-blind trial of 2000 women aged >65 years recruited using electoral rolls. They were randomly assigned to receive four infusions of either zoledronate 5 mg or normal saline at 18-month intervals. Supplements of vitamin D, but not calcium, were provided. There were 1017 serious adverse events in 443 participants in the placebo group, and 820 events in 400 participants in those randomized to zoledronate (relative risk = 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.00). These events included fractures resulting in hospital admission. Myocardial infarction occurred in 39 women (43 events) in the placebo group and in 24 women (25 events) in the zoledronate group (hazard ratio 0.60 [95% CI, 0.36 to 1.00]; rate ratio 0.58 [95% CI, 0.35 to 0.94]). For a prespecified composite cardiovascular endpoint (sudden death, myocardial infarction, coronary artery revascularization, or stroke) 69 women had 98 events in the placebo group, and 53 women had 71 events in the zoledronate group (hazard ratio 0.76 [95% CI, 0.53 to 1.08]; rate ratio 0.72 [95% CI, 0.53 to 0.98]). Total cancers were significantly reduced with zoledronate (hazard ratio 0.67 [95% CI, 0.51 to 0.89]; rate ratio 0.68 [95% CI, 0.52 to 0.89]), and this was significant for both breast cancers and for non-breast cancers. Eleven women had recurrent or second breast cancers during the study, all in the placebo group. The hazard ratio for death was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.40 to 1.06; p = 0.08), and 0.51 (95% CI, 0.30 to 0.87) in those without incident fragility fracture. These apparent beneficial effects justify further appropriately powered trials of zoledronate with these nonskeletal conditions as primary endpoints. © 2019 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Calcium and Bone.

The maintenance of extracellular calcium levels within a narrow range is necessary for normal function of the nervous system, muscle, and coagulation, to maintain mineralization of the skeleton but to avoid calcification of soft tissues. Accordingly, absorption and excretion of calcium is closely regulated, and adult humans can adapt to a wide range of calcium intakes from 300 to 2,000 mg/day. The evidence that low calcium intakes contribute to osteoporosis development is weak, as is evidence that increasing these intakes significantly changes fracture risk. Consistent with this view, the United States Preventive Services Task Force does not support the use of calcium supplements in healthy community-dwelling adults. While some groups continue to recommend that supplements of calcium and vitamin D are given with drug treatments for osteoporosis, this view is not supported by clinical trials which demonstrate anti-fracture efficacy of estrogens and bisphosphonates in the absence of such supplementation. Thus, calcium supplements have only a minor place in contemporary medical practice.

Controversies in medicine: the role of calcium and vitamin D supplements in adults.

Vitamin D is made in the skin when exposed to sunlight, so deficiency is usually the result of low sunlight exposure (eg, in frail older people and in individuals who are veiled). Calcium and/or vitamin D supplements have been used for the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis. The major trials in community-dwelling individuals have not demonstrated fracture prevention with either calcium, vitamin D, or their combination, but the results of a large study in vitamin D-deficient nursing home residents indicated a reduced fracture incidence. Trials show that vitamin D increases bone density when winter 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels are below 25-30 nmol/L. However, assay expense and variability suggest that supplements are better targeted based on clinical status to frail older people and possibly to people with dark skin living at higher latitudes. A daily dose of 400-800 units (10-20 µg) is usually adequate. Parenteral antiresorptive drugs can cause hypocalcaemia in severe vitamin D deficiency (< 25 nmol/L), which should therefore be corrected before treatment. Clinical trials have not demonstrated benefits of vitamin D on non-skeletal endpoints. Calcium supplements in healthy individuals are not needed, nor are they required in most people receiving treatment for osteoporosis, where they have not been shown to affect treatment efficacy. Calcium supplements cause constipation, bloating and kidney stones, and some evidence suggests they may cause a small increase in the risk of myocardial infarction. Low dose vitamin D is safe, but high doses result in more falls and fractures. Current evidence does not support the use of these supplements in healthy community-dwelling adults.

Dietary Calcium Intake and Bone Loss Over 6 Years in Osteopenic Postmenopausal Women.

CONTEXT: Calcium intakes are commonly lower than the recommended levels, and increasing calcium intake is often recommended for bone health. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between dietary calcium intake and rate of bone loss in older postmenopausal women. PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of observational data collected from a randomized controlled trial. Participants were osteopenic (hip T-scores between -1.0 and -2.5) women, aged >65 years, not receiving therapy for osteoporosis nor taking calcium supplements. Women from the total cohort (n = 1994) contributed data to the analysis of calcium intake and bone mineral density (BMD) at baseline, and women from the placebo group (n = 698) contributed data to the analysis of calcium intake and change in BMD. BMD and bone mineral content (BMC) of the spine, total hip, femoral neck, and total body were measured three times over 6 years. RESULTS: Mean calcium intake was 886 mg/day. Baseline BMDs were not related to quintile of calcium intake at any site, before or after adjustment for baseline age, height, weight, physical activity, alcohol intake, smoking status, and past hormone replacement use. There was no relationship between bone loss and quintile of calcium intake at any site, with or without adjustment for covariables. Total body bone balance (i.e., change in BMC) was unrelated to an individuals' calcium intake (P = 0.99). CONCLUSIONS: Postmenopausal bone loss is unrelated to dietary calcium intake. This suggests that strategies to increase calcium intake are unlikely to impact the prevalence of and morbidity from postmenopausal osteoporosis.

Fracture Prevention with Zoledronate in Older Women with Osteopenia.

BACKGROUND: Bisphosphonates prevent fractures in patients with osteoporosis, but their efficacy in women with osteopenia is unknown. Most fractures in postmenopausal women occur in those with osteopenia, so therapies that are effective in women with osteopenia are needed. METHODS: We conducted a 6-year, double-blind trial involving 2000 women with osteopenia (defined by a T score of -1.0 to -2.5 at either the total hip or the femoral neck on either side) who were 65 years of age or older. Participants were randomly assigned to receive four infusions of either zoledronate at a dose of 5 mg (zoledronate group) or normal saline (placebo group) at 18-month intervals. A dietary calcium intake of 1 g per day was advised, but calcium supplements were not provided. Participants who were not already taking vitamin D supplements received cholecalciferol before the trial began (a single dose of 2.5 mg) and during the trial (1.25 mg per month). The primary end point was the time to first occurrence of a nonvertebral or vertebral fragility fracture. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean (±SD) age was 71±5 years, the T score at the femoral neck was -1.6±0.5, and the median 10-year risk of hip fracture was 2.3%. A fragility fracture occurred in 190 women in the placebo group and in 122 women in the zoledronate group (hazard ratio with zoledronate, 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.50 to 0.79; P<0.001). The number of women that would need to be treated to prevent the occurrence of a fracture in 1 woman was 15. As compared with the placebo group, women who received zoledronate had a lower risk of nonvertebral fragility fractures (hazard ratio, 0.66; P=0.001), symptomatic fractures (hazard ratio, 0.73; P=0.003), vertebral fractures (odds ratio, 0.45; P=0.002), and height loss (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of nonvertebral or vertebral fragility fractures was significantly lower in women with osteopenia who received zoledronate than in women who received placebo. (Funded by the Health Research Council of New Zealand; Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12609000593235 .).

25-Hydroxyvitamin D Threshold for the Effects of Vitamin D Supplements on Bone Density: Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial.

Most trials of vitamin D supplementation have shown no benefits on bone mineral density (BMD), although severe vitamin D deficiency causes osteomalacia, which is associated with profound BMD deficits. Recently, the ViDA-BMD study from New Zealand demonstrated a threshold of baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD; 30 nmol/L) below which vitamin D supplementation did benefit BMD. We have now reexamined data from a similar trial in Aberdeen to determine whether a baseline 25OHD threshold of 30 nmol/L is also observed in that database. The Aberdeen study recruited 305 postmenopausal women in late winter and randomized them to receive placebo, vitamin D 400 IU/d, or vitamin D 1000 IU/d over 1 year. As previously reported, BMD loss at the hip was reduced by vitamin D 1000 IU/d only, and there was no significant treatment effect of either dose at the lumbar spine. In the present analysis, when the trial participants were grouped according to whether their baseline 25OHD was ≤30 nmol/L or above this threshold, significant treatment effects were apparent at both the spine and hip in those with baseline 25OHD ≤30 nmol/L, but no significant effects were apparent in those with baseline 25OHD above this level. There was evidence of a similar threshold for effects on parathyroid hormone, but no groups showed changes in bone turnover markers during the study. It is concluded that vitamin D supplements only increase bone density in adults with nadir 25OHD ≤30 nmol/L. This moves us further toward a trial-based definition of vitamin D deficiency in adults with adequate calcium intakes and suggests that supplement use should be targeted accordingly. Future trials of vitamin D supplementation should focus on individuals with 25OHD concentrations in this range. © 2018 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Vitamin D Effect on Bone Mineral Density and Fractures.

One hundred years ago, vitamin D was identified as the cause and cure of osteomalacia. This role remains firmly established. Vitamin D influences skeletal mineralization principally through the regulation of intestinal calcium absorption. It has been proposed that vitamin D has direct beneficial effects on bone (besides the prevention of osteomalacia), but these have been difficult to establish in clinical trials. Meta-analyses of vitamin D trials show no effects on bone density or fracture risk when the baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D is >40 nmol/L. A daily dose of 400 to 800 IU vitamin D3 is usually adequate to correct such deficiency.

Calcium and Cardiovascular Disease.

Circulating calcium is a risk factor for vascular disease, a conclusion arising from prospective studies involving hundreds of thousands of participants and extending over periods of up to 30 years. These associations may be partially mediated by other cardiovascular risk factors such as circulating lipid levels, blood pressure, and body mass index, but there appears to be a residual independent effect of serum calcium. Polymorphisms of the calcium-sensing receptor associated with small elevations of serum calcium are also associated with cardiovascular disease, suggesting that calcium plays a causative role. Trials of calcium supplements in patients on dialysis and those with less severe renal failure demonstrate increased mortality and/or acceleration of vascular disease, and meta-analyses of trials in those without overt renal disease suggest a similar adverse effect. Interpretation of the latter trials is complicated by a significant interaction between baseline use of calcium supplements and the effect of randomisation to calcium in the largest trial. Restriction of analysis to those who are calcium-naive demonstrates a consistent adverse effect. Observational studies of dietary calcium do not demonstrate a consistent adverse effect on cardiovascular health, though very high or very low intakes may be deleterious. Thus, obtaining calcium from the diet rather than supplements is to be encouraged.