Influence of data display formats on physician investigators' decisions to stop clinical trials: prospective trial with repeated measures.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of the method of data display on physician investigators' decisions to stop hypothetical clinical trials for an unplanned statistical analysis. DESIGN: Prospective, mixed model design with variables between subjects and within subjects (repeated measures). SETTING: Comprehensive cancer centre. PARTICIPANTS: 34 physicians, stratified by academic rank, who were conducting clinical trials. INTERVENTIONS: PARTICIPANTS were shown tables, pie charts, bar graphs, and icon displays containing hypothetical data from a clinical trial and were asked to decide whether to continue the trial or stop for an unplanned statistical analysis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Percentage of accurate decisions with each type of display. RESULTS: Accuracy of decisions was affected by the type of data display and positive or negative framing of the data. More correct decisions were made with icon displays than with tables, pie charts, and bar graphs (82% v 68%, 56%, and 43%, respectively; P=0.03) and when data were negatively framed rather than positively framed in tables (93% v 47%; P=0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical investigators' decisions can be affected by factors unrelated to the actual data. In the design of clinical trials information systems, careful consideration should be given to the method by which data are framed and displayed in order to reduce the impact of these extraneous factors.

Costs of blood transfusion: a process-flow analysis.

PURPOSE: To determine the cost of transfusing 2 units (U) of packed RBCs at a comprehensive cancer center. METHODS: We performed a process-flow analysis to identify all costs of transfusing 2 U of allogeneic packed RBCs on an outpatient basis to patients with either (1) solid tumor who did not undergo bone marrow transplantation (BMT), (2) solid tumor who underwent BMT, (3) hematologic malignancy who did not undergo BMT, (4) hematologic malignancy who underwent allogeneic BMT, or (5) hematologic malignancy who underwent autologous BMT. We conducted structured interviews to determine the personnel time used and physical resources necessary at all steps of the transfusion process. RESULTS: The mean cost of a 2-U transfusion of allogeneic packed RBCs was $548, $565, $569, $569, and $566 for patients with non-BMT solid tumor, BMT solid tumor, non-BMT hematologic malignancy, allogeneic BMT hematologic malignancy, and autologous BMT hematologic malignancy, respectively. Sensitivity analysis showed that total transfusion costs were sensitive to variations in the amount of clinician compensation and overhead costs, but were relatively insensitive to reasonable variations in the direct costs of blood tests and the blood itself, or the probability or extent of transfusion reaction. CONCLUSION: The costs of the transfusion of packed RBCs are greater than previously analyzed, particularly in the cancer care setting.

Mississippi mud in the 1990s: risks and outcomes of vancomycin-associated toxicity in general oncology practice.

BACKGROUND: Discrepancies between the severity of toxicities reported in early clinical trials and recent clinical experience with vancomycin have led to confusion regarding the need for routine serum vancomycin level monitoring and discontinuation of vancomycin when toxicities occur. Therefore, the authors examined the incidence, outcomes, and predictive factors of vancomycin-associated toxicities in general oncology practice with the goal of developing clinically relevant prediction rules and guidelines. METHODS: All 742 consecutive cancer patients who received vancomycin at a comprehensive cancer center during a 3-month period were followed prospectively for the development and outcome of phlebitis, rash, ototoxicity, and nephrotoxicity. Logistic regression was used to derive a multiple variable model of the risk of nephrotoxicity. A clinical prediction rule, the Nephrotoxicity Risk Score, was developed from the risk model and validated prospectively. RESULTS: Phlebitis occurred in 3% of patients (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2-4%), predominantly those with recently inserted central venous catheters. Rashes occurred in 11% of patients (95% CI, 9-13%); however, all but 4 patients also were receiving beta-lactam antibiotics. Clinical evidence of ototoxicity developed in 6% of patients (95% CI, 4-9%) who were receiving vancomycin plus other ototoxic agents and only 3% of patients (95% CI, 2-5%) not receiving other ototoxic agents (P = 0.08). Nephrotoxicity occurred in 17% of patients (95% CI, 15-20%). Logistic regression revealed that factors associated with an increased risk of nephrotoxicity included administration of other mild to moderate (P = 0.01) or severely nephrotoxic agents (P < 0.001) or an acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) score > 40 (P = 0.002). Elevated serum vancomycin peak levels did not reliably predict subsequent nephrotoxicity. CONCLUSIONS: Vancomycin-associated toxicities usually are mild and self-limiting. Some patients are at a significantly higher risk of nephrotoxicity but the authors believe these individuals can be identified reliably with the Nephrotoxicity Risk Index using information available at vancomycin initiation. Further testing of the Nephrotoxicity Risk Index is ongoing.

Outpatient treatment of febrile episodes in low-risk neutropenic patients with cancer.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalization and intravenous (IV) broad-spectrum antibiotics are the standard of care for all febrile neutropenic patients with cancer. Recent work suggests that a low-risk population exists who might benefit from an alternate approach. METHODS: A prospective randomized clinical trial was performed comparing oral ciprofloxacin 750 mg plus clindamycin 600 mg every 8 hours with IV aztreonam 2 g plus clindamycin 600 mg every 8 hours for the empiric outpatient treatment of febrile episodes in low-risk neutropenic patients with cancer. RESULTS: The oral regimen cured 35 of 40 episodes (88% response rate), whereas the IV regimen cured 41 of 43 episodes (95% response rate, P = 0.19). Although the cost of the oral regimen was significantly less than that of the IV regimen (P < 0.0001), it was associated with significant renal toxicity (P < 0.05), which led to early termination of the study. Overall, combining its safety and efficacy, the IV regimen was superior (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: This prospective study suggested that outpatient antibiotic therapy for febrile episodes in low-risk neutropenic patients with cancer is safe and effective. Better oral regimens are needed.