Ranking of transarterial and targeted therapies for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of immuno-oncology: A network meta-analysis of randomized sorafenib-controlled trials.

To date, no studies have compared the new first-line atezolizumab+bevacizumab with transarterial therapies combined with the prior standard-of-care, sorafenib, in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We compared and ranked all relevant transarterial and targeted treatments competing with atezolizumab+bevacizumab for such disease, based on direct and indirect evidence. This network meta-analysis was conducted as a systematic review of phase 2 and 3 randomized sorafenib-controlled trials investigating systemic treatment strategies for HCCs unsuitable for or that progressed after surgery or locoregional treatments as first-line option published between 2008 and 2021. We ranked the treatments based on overall survival (OS) as the primary outcome, together with progression-free survival (PFS) and grade 3-4 adverse events. Subgroup analyses were also implemented to estimate intervention efficacies in particular groups. We identified 3451 publications, 15 trials consisting of 7158 patients, using 14 different therapies including combinations of sorafenib with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), hepatic arterial chemoinfusion, and radioembolization. Regarding OS, atezolizumab+bevacizumab was the only regimen significantly superior to sorafenib (hazard ratio 0.42; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.25-0.70), and it ranked first. This combination was also the best in the PFS analysis (0.59; 0.47-0.74), followed by lenvatinib (0.66; 0.57-0.76) and TACE+sorafenib (0.73; 0.59-0.91); all had significantly better outcomes than sorafenib alone. TACE+sorafenib (0.52; 0.27-1.00) was ranked first based on OS in a subset with portal invasion, but not in the metastatic series, with atezolizumab+bevacizumab second (0.58; 0.38-0.89). Lenvatinib (odds ratio 1.76; 95% CI 1.35-2.30) and TACE+sorafenib (2.02; 1.23-3.32), but not atezolizumab+bevacizumab (1.38; 0.93-2.05), were significantly less safe than sorafenib monotherapy. Conclusion: Our results indicate that atezolizumab+bevacizumab is the best first-line clinically relevant systemic modality in advanced HCC. TACE+sorafenib may also be considered for the disease with portal invasion. (PROSPERO No. CRD42021250701).

Prognostic Scoring Models for Patients Undergoing Sorafenib Treatment for Advanced Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Real-Life Practice.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to build prognostic models capable of estimating the outcomes of individual sorafenib-treated advanced stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients based on specific patient and tumor factors. METHODS: A parametric model for time-to-event data was used to construct scoring systems based on the intent-to-treat data set from 480 sorafenib-treated patients with advanced stage HCC: 356 for derivation and 124 for validation. Clinical parameters included in the models were based on importance variable scores generated by a random forest approach and bootstrap resampling. The model's accuracy was internally and externally assessed using the time-dependent C-index of discrimination and a Hosmer-Lemeshow type test for calibration. RESULTS: The models generated for time-to-progression and overall survival based on Child-Pugh score, serum α-fetoprotein, tumor morphology, and vascular invasion and/or extrahepatic involvement had good calibration and discrimination abilities, with C-indexes of 0.669 (3 mo progression) and 0.809 (6 mo survival), respectively. External validation results also showed that these models performed well in terms of goodness-of-fit and discrimination (C-index: 0.746 for 3 mo progression and 0.875 for 6 mo survival). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in the validation patients indicated that these models have better predictive power than Child-Pugh scores (C-index: 0.686 for 3 mo progression and 0.777 for 6 mo survival). CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic tools developed to quantify the potential outcomes for progression and survival expected from sorafenib treatment can serve as useful clinical aids in personalized decision making regarding treatment in advanced stage HCC patients.

Comparison of chemoembolization with and without radiation therapy and sorafenib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombosis: a propensity score analysis.

PURPOSE: To compare efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization with and without radiation therapy (RT) versus sorafenib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This single-center retrospective study involved 557 patients with HCC with PVTT who initially received chemoembolization (1997-2002; n = 295), chemoembolization and RT (2003-2008; n = 196), or sorafenib (2009-2012; n = 66) according to eligibility criteria among an initial population of 617. The three groups were divided into three pairs (chemoembolization vs chemoembolization/RT, chemoembolization vs sorafenib, and chemoembolization/RT vs sorafenib), and time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) were compared by propensity-score analyses. RESULTS: The chemoembolization/RT group had longer median TTP and OS than the chemoembolization-alone and sorafenib groups (P < .001). Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that chemoembolization/RT treatment was an independent predictor of favorable TTP and OS. In the matched cohort, median TTP and OS were significantly longer in the chemoembolization/RT group than the chemoembolization-alone group (102 pairs; TTP, 8.7 mo vs 3.6 mo [P < .001]; OS, 11.4 mo vs 7.4 mo [P = .023]) or the sorafenib group (30 pairs; TTP, 5.1 mo vs 1.6 mo [P < .001]; OS, 8.2 mo vs 3.2 mo [P < .001]), in agreement with the inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) outcomes. In matching analyses, the chemoembolization-alone group had longer median TTP and OS than the sorafenib group (46 pairs; TTP, 3.4 mo vs 1.8 mo [P < .001]; OS, 5.9 mo vs 4.4 mo [P = .003]). There was no significant difference in terms of OS with the IPTW approach (P = .108), but there was one in terms of TTP (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Within the limitation of a retrospective study, the present data indicate that transarterial chemoembolization combined with RT could be considered as an alternative to the standard sorafenib in the treatment of patients with advanced-stage HCC with PVTT.

Stereotactic body radiation therapy as an alternative treatment for small hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Even with early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), patients are often ineligible for surgical resection, transplantation, or local ablation due to advanced cirrhosis, donor shortage, or difficult location. Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) has been established as a standard treatment option for patients with stage I lung cancer, who are not eligible for surgery, and may be a promising alternative treatment for patients with small HCC who are not eligible for curative treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A registry database of 93 patients who were treated with SBRT for HCC between 2007 and 2009 was analyzed. A dose of 10-20 Gy per fraction was given over 3-4 consecutive days, resulting in a total dose of 30-60 Gy. The tumor response was determined using dynamic computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, which was performed 3 months after completion of SBRT. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 25.6 months. Median size of tumors was 2 cm (range: 1-6 cm). Overall patients' survival rates at 1 and 3 years were 86.0% and 53.8%, respectively. Complete and partial tumor response were achieved in 15.5% and 45.7% of patients, respectively. Local recurrence-free survival rate was 92.1% at 3 years. Most local failures were found in patients with HCCs > 3 cm, and local control rate at 3 years was 76.3% in patients with HCC > 3 cm, 93.3% in patients with tumors between 2.1-3 cm, and 100% in patients with tumors ≤ 2 cm, respectively. Out-of-field intrahepatic recurrence-free survival rates at 1 and 3 years were 51.9% and 32.4%, respectively. Grade ≥ 3 hepatic toxicity was observed in 6 (6.5%). CONCLUSIONS: SBRT was effective in local control of small HCC. SBRT may be a promising alternative treatment for patients with small HCC which is unsuitable for other curative therapy.

Sorafenib alone versus sorafenib combined with transarterial chemoembolization for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: results of propensity score analyses.

PURPOSE: To compare the time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who are undergoing sorafenib treatment combined with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) versus sorafenib monotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The retrospective analysis of the data was approved by the institutional review board, and the requirement to obtain informed consent was waived. Of 355 patients with advanced-stage HCC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C) who were undergoing sorafenib therapy for at least 5 weeks between April 2007 and July 2011, 164 (46.2%) underwent repeat TACE (or chemolipiodolization if indicated) along with sorafenib therapy (combined group); the remaining 191 patients (53.8%) received sorafenib alone (monotherapy group). The median patient age was 53 years (range, 22-84 years). The median age was 53 years (range, 26-84 years) for men and 56 years (range, 22-75 years) for women. Propensity score-based methods were used to minimize bias when evaluating TTP on the basis of modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors and OS. Statistical analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method by using the log-rank test and Cox regression models. RESULTS: In the combined and monotherapy groups, respectively, 64.6% and 49.2% of patients had vascular invasion, 87.8% and 91.1% had extrahepatic metastasis, and 54.3% and 47.1% had both. During follow-up (median duration, 5.5 months), the median TTP and OS in the combined group were longer than those in the monotherapy group (TTP: 2.5 months vs 2.1 months, respectively, P = .008; OS: 8.9 months vs 5.9 months, P = .009). At univariate and subsequent multivariate analyses, additional TACE was an independent predictor of favorable TTP and OS (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.74 and 0.57, respectively; P < .05 for both), consistent with the outcomes of inverse probability of treatment weighting. In the propensity score-matched cohort (96 pairs), the median TTP in the combined group was significantly longer than that in the monotherapy group (2.7 months vs 2.1 months, respectively; P = .011), but median OS was not (9.1 months vs 6.7 months, P = .21). CONCLUSION: In this retrospective study, TACE plus sorafenib was superior to sorafenib alone with respect to TTP in patients with advanced-stage HCC, although it may or may not improve OS. SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL: http://radiology.rsna.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1148/radiol.13130150/-/DC1.

Predisposing factors of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following complete remission in response to transarterial chemoembolization.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The aim of our study was to determine the predictors of recurrences in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who had achieved complete remission (CR) by transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). METHODS: A total of 220 consecutive HCC patients who had achieved CR by TACE were followed for a median 72 months. CR was defined as complete lipiodol uptake based on the results of lipiodol-computed tomography 4 weeks after TACE and no additional tumor staining on the follow-up angiography. Recurrence patterns were classified as local recurrence and secondary tumor, respectively, in relation to the location of recurrence; early and late recurrence were classified in relation to recurrence time. RESULTS: Recurrence of HCC was observed in 169 patients (77 %), of whom 91 (54 %) had local recurrences, 61 (36 %) had secondary tumor, and 17 (10 %) had both. There were 45 (27 %) early and 124 (73 %) late recurrences. Local recurrence developed more frequently in patients with early recurrence than in those with late recurrence (62 vs. 51 %, respectively), while secondary tumor was detected more commonly in patients with late recurrence than in those with early recurrence (39 vs. 29 %, respectively; P < 0.001). In multivariate analyses, multinodularity [hazard ratio (HR) 2.351, P = 0.023] and a persistently high serum alpha-fetoprotein level following CR (HR 3.173, P < 0.001) were significant predictors of early recurrence. Older age (≥ 60 years; HR 1.531, P = 0.043), advanced Child-Pugh class (HR 1.983, P = 0.002), and the association with cirrhosis (HR 1.756, P = 0.028) were predictors of late recurrence following CR. CONCLUSIONS: Early recurrences following CR by TACE may be due mainly to undetectable remaining tumors, whereas late recurrences may be caused by newly appearing tumors in patients with a background of advanced cirrhotic liver.

Optimal measurement modality and method for evaluation of responses to transarterial chemoembolization of hepatocellular carcinoma based on enhancement criteria.

PURPOSE: To determine the usefulness of enhancement by iodized oil deposits on computed tomography (CT) following transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to compare the reliability of such CT imaging with that of magnetic resonance (MR) imaging. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty-one patients for whom resected or explanted livers containing chemoembolized HCC lesions of at least 1 cm were available. Imaging responses were determined based on modified Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (mRECIST) and European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) criteria for 59 target tumors on CT and MR scans before surgery. CT-based evaluation was performed per mRECIST and EASL criteria, considering iodized oil retention as indicating necrosis and, alternatively, as enhancing viable tissue ("mRECIST-Lipiodol" and "EASL-Lipiodol"). Pathologic necrosis was graded as 100%, 50%-99%, or less than 50%. RESULTS: Goodman-Kruskal γ-values for radiologic-pathologic correlation were greater than 0.95 for mRECIST and EASL criteria on CT or MR imaging. However, mRECIST-Lipiodol and EASL-Lipiodol measurements showed weaker correlation with pathologic findings, with γ-values of 0.797 and 0.846, respectively. With respect to intermethod agreement, weighted γ-values for mRECIST by CT and MR, and for EASL criteria by CT and MR, both exceeded 0.80, whereas mRECIST-Lipiodol and EASL-Lipiodol showed only moderate levels of agreement with mRECIST/EASL criteria by CT or MR imaging, with γ-values of 0.522-0.631. CONCLUSIONS: Response estimation based on measurement of iodized oil deposits as necrosis on CT when applying enhancement criteria after chemoembolization for HCC correlated well with actual pathologic class, and agreed with MR-based evaluation.

Genetic predisposition of hand-foot skin reaction after sorafenib therapy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Sorafenib currently sets the new standard for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). It has been suggested that Asian patients with HCC have increased susceptibility to hand-foot skin reaction (HFSR) related to sorafenib therapy. The authors investigated the association between sorafenib-induced HFSR and genetic polymorphisms in Korean patients with HCC. METHODS: For this prospective cohort study, the authors enrolled 59 consecutive patients with intermediate stage HCC from 5 centers in Korea. All patients received sorafenib 400 mg twice daily in combination with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Genotyping was performed on a total of 49 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 8 candidate genes (minor allelic frequency ≥5%). Serum levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays before therapy and 1 month after therapy. RESULTS: During a median treatment period of 18 months, 55 patients (93%) developed sorafenib-induced HFSR, including grade 1 reactions in 15 patients, grade 2 reactions in 27 patients, and grade 3 reaction in 13 patients. The SNPs TNF-α -308GG, VEGF -94GG, VEGF 1991CC, VEGF IVS3-28CC, and uridine diphosphate glucuronosyltransferase 1 family-polypeptide A9 (UGT1A9) IVS1-37431AA were associated significantly with the development of high-grade (grade 2 or 3) HFSR in univariate analysis (P < .05). In multivariate analysis, the SNPs VEGF 1991CC (odds ratio, 45.7), TNF-α -308GG (odds ratio, 44.1), and UGT1A9 IVS1-37431AA (odds ratio, 18.7) were identified as independent risk factors for the development of high-grade HFSR (P = .01, P = .02, and P = .02, respectively). He serum TNF-α level measured 1 month after sorafenib therapy was correlated significantly with the development of high-grade HFSR (odds ratio, 3.56; P = .026). CONCLUSIONS: Differences in the incidence of HFSR may have been caused by ethnic differences in genetic polymorphisms of the TNF-α, VEGF, and UGT1A9 genes, especially in relation to the expression of serum TNF-α after sorafenib therapy.

Clinical outcome of 251 patients with extrahepatic metastasis at initial diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: does transarterial chemoembolization improve survival in these patients?

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The therapeutic efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) has not been evaluated in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with extrahepatic metastasis. We investigated the efficacy of TACE with/without systemic chemotherapy (s-chemo) in these patients. METHODS: We performed a survival analysis of consecutive HCC patients with extrahepatic metastasis, diagnosed at initial presentation according to treatment modality after stratification, using the Child-Pugh classification and intrahepatic HCC T stage, retrospectively. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2007, 251 patients were newly diagnosed with HCC involving extrahepatic metastasis at our institution. Among those, 226 were classified as Child-Pugh A-B and the other 25, Child-Pugh C. Within the Child-Pugh A-B group, repeated TACE or transarterial chemoinfusion (TACI) was performed with/without s-chemo in 171 patients. Eight of 226 received s-chemo alone, and 47, conservative management (CM) alone. The median survival time of patients treated with TACE/TACI with s-chemo, TACE/TACI alone, and CM was 10, 5, and 2.9 months in patients classified as Child-Pugh A and T3-stage HCC (TACE/TACI with s-chemo vs CM, P=0.0354; TACE/TACI alone vs CM, P=0.0553) and 7.1, 2.6, and 1.6 months in Child-Pugh B and T3-stage patients, respectively (TACE/TACI with s-chemo vs CM, P=0.0097; TACE/TACI alone vs CM, P<0.0001). Individual treatment with TACE/TACI or sorafenib showed independent prognostic significance in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Repeated TACE could show significant survival benefits in metastatic HCC patients with conserved liver function and intrahepatic HCC T3 stage. The survival data of our study could be used as a historical control for TACE monotherapy in future clinical trials evaluating combination treatments containing TACE in these patients.

Practical efficacy of sorafenib monotherapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients in a Hepatitis B virus-endemic area.

BACKGROUND: This study was conducted to assess the efficacy and safety of sorafenib monotherapy in clinical practice settings for Korean patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) related primarily to HBV infection. METHODS: Medical records of 57 consecutive patients with unresectable or metastatic HCC treated with 400 mg bid sorafenib at the National Cancer Center, Korea between June 2007 and March 2008, were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: The median patient age was 55 years (range, 28-76 years), and all patients had performance status 0-2 and Child-Pugh class A or B disease. HCC was etiologically related to HBV in 79.0% of patients. Eleven patients (19.3%) had modified UICC stage III tumors, 11 (19.3%) had stage IVa, and 35 (61.4%) had stage IVb. Following sorafenib monotherapy, 3 patients (5.3%) achieved a partial response and 18 (35.1%) achieved stable disease, with a disease control rate of 40.4%. The median times to progression (TTP) was 9.1 weeks (95% CI 3.4-14.8 weeks). Multivariate analyses showed that serum alpha-fetoprotein (alpha-FP) > or =400 ng/mL (HR, 2.810; P = 0.023) and the presence of massive intrahepatic tumors (HR, 7.633; P = 0.033) were independent predictors of shorter TTP. The most common grade 3/4 adverse events were hand-foot syndrome (8.8%), diarrhea (7.0%), and skin rash (7.0%). Exacerbation of underlying chronic hepatitis B was not found. CONCLUSION: Sorafenib monotherapy showed better outcomes with tolerable toxicity in Korean advanced HCC patients, who had intrahepatic nodular tumors and/or metastatic tumors, coupled with low levels of serum alpha-FP.