Simple Scoring System for Predicting TACE Unsuitable among Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients in the Multiple Systemic Treatment Era.

BACKGROUND/AIM: With the development of systemic treatment methods for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC), the concept of unsuitable for transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) has become important. This study aimed to establish a simple predictive scoring system for determining TACE unsuitable status. MATERIALS/METHODS: From 1998 to 2015, 196 patients with intermediate-stage uHCC with Child-Pugh A (score 5:6 = 108:88) and given TACE as the initial treatment were enrolled. At the baseline, tumor burden (Milan criteria-out, up-to-7 in/out, and up-to-11 in/out: 0-2 points) and modified albumin-bilirubin grade 1/2a or 2b (0-1 point) were added to determine the score for TACE unsuitable (CITRUS-MICAN score; low <2 and high ≥2). In addition, a previously reported tumor marker (TM) score, in which alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was ≥100 ng/mL, fucosylated AFP ≥10%, and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin ≥100 mAU/mL (each 1 point) (total 0, 1, or ≥2 points), was used for additionally evaluating tumor malignancy potential. Prognosis was retrospectively evaluated based on those scores. RESULTS: Median survival time (MST) was better for low compared to high CITRUS-MICAN score (42.0 vs. 26.4 months) (p = 0.002). A 2-step evaluation using the combination of CITRUS-MICAN and TM scores showed an MST of 43.2 months for low CITRUS-MICAN/TM score 0/1 (rank-A) and 39.6 months for low CITRUS-MICAN/TM score ≥2 (rank-B2), while it was 46.8 months for high CITRUS-MICAN/TM score 0 (rank-B1), 28.8 months for high CITRUS-MICAN/TM score 1 (rank-B2), and 22.8 months for high CITRUS-MICAN/TM score ≥2 (rank-C). For rank-A cases (n = 51), MST was 43.2 months, while it was 46.8 months for rank-B1 (n = 12), 31.2 months for rank-B2 (n = 82), and 22.8 months for rank-C (n = 51) (p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: The results showed that rank-C indicates absolute TACE unsuitable status. For rank-A patients, good prognosis with TACE can be expected, while TACE refractoriness status during the clinical course should be carefully evaluated so as to anticipate the appropriate timing for switching to systemic treatment in rank-B1 and -B2 patients.

Nutritional Index as Prognostic Indicator in Patients Receiving Lenvatinib Treatment for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Few studies have examined the details of nutritional status in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) undergoing systemic chemotherapy with lenvatinib. We evaluated the prognostic/predictive value of nutritional status using Onodera's prognostic nutritional index (O-PNI) for overall survival among patients with u-HCC treated with lenvatinib. METHODS: Three-hundred and seventy-five u-HCC patients treated with lenvatinib were enrolled (median age 72 years; Child-Pugh class A/B/C: n = 312/60/3; BCLC stage A/B/C/D: n = 2/159/212/2). We examined median survival time (MST) and time to progression (TTP) in all patients (n = 375), prognosis according to the O-PNI (high/low: >40/≤40) in 298 patients with lymphocyte findings, and the prognostic/predictive values of Child-Pugh stage, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI)/modified ALBI (mALBI) grade, and O-PNI for Chemotherapy grade (OPNIC grade 1/2/3: O-PNI >40/≤40 to >36/≤36). RESULTS: The MST and TTP were 16.6 and 8.0 months, respectively. The MST and TTP according to the O-PNI (>40/≤40) were "not reached" (NR)/12.4 months (p < 0.001) and 10.0/6.1 months (p = 0.012), respectively. There was a good correlation noted between ALBI score and O-PNI (r = -0.939, p < 0.001). The predictive value of the O-PNI for mALBI grade 2a was 36.0 (specificity/sensitivity = 0.894/0.942; area under the curve [AUC] = 0.978), while that for mALBI grade 1 was 39 (specificity/sensitivity = 0.920/0.929; AUC = 0.972), which was very similar to a high O-PNI. The MST analyzed with the OPNIC in the 298 patients was NR/16.2/10.4 months for OPNIC grade 1/2/3 (p < 0.001), respectively, and the c-index was 0.632, the same as that for mALBI grade (0.632), while that for Child-Pugh class was 0.571. CONCLUSIONS: OPNIC grading might have a potential for easy substitution of mALBI grading. A good nutritional status (OPNIC grade 1) or mALBI grade 1 is the best indication for lenvatinib use, while with an OPNIC grade 3, lenvatinib might be not suitable.

Impact of albumin-bilirubin grade on survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who received sorafenib: An analysis using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade was developed as a new method to assess hepatic function. Sorafenib has been confirmed to be effective in improving survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, we investigated the impact of ALBI grade versus Child-Pugh classification on survival in HCC patients who received sorafenib. METHODS: A total of 567 patients with advanced HCC who received sorafenib were included. We analyzed survival based on Child-Pugh classification or score and ALBI grade or score. We also compared the ability of ALBI and Child-Pugh scores to predict survival using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis. RESULTS: Cumulative survival rates at 90, 180, 360, and 720 days were 84.1%, 66.6%, 47.0%, and 23.3%, respectively. Median survival was 316 days (95% confidence interval, 279-377). Both Child-Pugh classification and ALBI grade were independently associated with overall survival in multivariate analyses. In addition, overall survival differed significantly between patients with ALBI grades 1 and 2 (hazard ratio, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.92, P = 0.011) among patients with a Child-Pugh score of 5. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that ALBI score predicted overall survival better than Child-Pugh score. CONCLUSIONS: Albumin-bilirubin grade is a better predictor of survival in patients with advanced HCC who received sorafenib therapy than Child-Pugh classification.

Hepatic Function during Repeated TACE Procedures and Prognosis after Introducing Sorafenib in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Multicenter Analysis.

BACKGROUND/AIM: We evaluated the relationship of hepatic function with repeated transarterial catheter chemoembolization (TACE) and prognosis after sorafenib treatment in various patient cohorts. METHODS: Study 1 comprised of 212 Barcelona clinic liver cancer stage-B (BCLC-B) HCC patients classified as Child-Pugh A (CP-A) and who had received repeated TACE treatments (r-TACE) (naïve:recurrence = 66:146). Study 2 comprised of 435 patients with unresectable HCC classified as CP-A in who sorafenib was introduced (naïve:recurrence = 37:398; CP score 5:6 = 282:153; macro-vessel invasion [MVI]+: extrahepatic metastasis [EHM]+ both negative = 124:226:143). Changes in hepatic function along with CP and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score/grade during r-TACE in Study 1, and prognosis after introducing sorafenib in Study 2 were evaluated. RESULTS: Hepatic function worsened to CP-B in 9-14% with each TACE procedure, while 18-21% had a change of classification from ALBI-1 to ALBI-2. When the prognosis of patients with the best CP score of 5 was analyzed, those with ALBI-1 (n = 154) had a better outcome than those with ALBI-2 (n = 128) (MST 17.5 vs. 9.9 months; p = 0.01), while ALBI-1 (n = 43) patients also showed a better outcome than ALBI-2 (n = 34) patients with a CP score of 5 without MVI/EHM (MST: 17.5 vs. 10.0 months; p = 0.029). The Akaike's Information criterion for ALBI-grade (MST: grade 1 vs. 2 = 16.9 vs. 10.4 months; p = 0.001) was also better than that for CP (MST: score 5 vs. 6 = 14.4 vs. 10.5 months; p = 0.003) (3195.6 vs. 3197.5) in all 435 patients. CONCLUSION: The rate of patients with downgraded hepatic function during r-TACE, especially with regard to ALBI-grade, was not low. ALBI-grade was shown to be a better hepatic function assessment tool than CP in patients receiving sorafenib treatment. Strict judgment of TACE-refractory status in patients with unresectable HCC is needed to improve prognosis before downgrading the hepatic function.

Effect of native vitamin D3 supplementation on refractory chronic hepatitis C patients in simeprevir with pegylated interferon/ribavirin.

AIM: Protease inhibitors with pegylated interferon (PEG IFN)/ribavirin improve a sustained virological response (SVR) rate to approximately 90% in chronic hepatitis C genotype 1b patients with IL28B rs8099917 genotype TT, but yield only approximately 50% in those with the unfavorable non-TT. Among such treatment-refractory patients, serum vitamin D levels could influence the SVR rate. This randomized controlled trial was conducted to assess the effect of native vitamin D supplementation in simeprevir with PEG IFN/ribavirin for 1b patients with non-TT. METHODS: Patients were randomly assigned to receive simeprevir (100 mg/day) for 12 weeks plus PEG IFN/ribavirin for 24 weeks (control group, n = 58), or vitamin D (2000 IU/day) for 16 weeks including a lead-in phase plus PEG IFN/ribavirin for 24 weeks (vitamin D group, n = 57). The primary end-point was sustainably undetectable viremia 24 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR). RESULTS: SVR rates were 37.9% in the control group and 70.2% in the vitamin D group. In subgroup analysis, SVR rates of prior null responders were 11.8% and 54.5%, respectively. SVR rates for advanced fibrosis were 28.6% and 65.4%. SVR rates for patients with vitamin D3 deficiency at the baseline were 25.0% in the control group and 66.7% in the vitamin D group. Overall, the SVR rate was significantly higher in patients with high serum 25(OH)D3 levels at the beginning of combination therapy than in those with low serum 25(OH)D3 levels. CONCLUSION: Native vitamin D3 supplementation improved SVR rates in simeprevir with PEG IFN/ribavirin for chronic hepatitis C genotype 1b patients with refractory factors.