Initial antiretroviral therapy regimen and risk of heart failure.

OBJECTIVES: Heart failure risk is elevated in people with HIV (PWH). We investigated whether initial antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens influenced heart failure risk. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: PWH who initiated an ART regimen between 2000 and 2016 were identified from three integrated healthcare systems. We evaluated heart failure risk by protease inhibitor, nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI), and integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-based ART, and comparing two common nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitors: tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (tenofovir) and abacavir. Follow-up for each pairwise comparison varied (i.e. 7 years for protease inhibitor vs. NNRTI; 5 years for tenofovir vs. abacavir; 2 years for INSTIs vs. PIs or NNRTIs). Hazard ratios were from working logistic marginal structural models, fitted with inverse probability weighting to adjust for demographics, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: Thirteen thousand six hundred and thirty-four PWH were included (88% men, median 40 years of age; 34% non-Hispanic white, 24% non-Hispanic black, and 24% Hispanic). The hazard ratio (95% CI) were: 2.5 (1.5-4.3) for protease inhibitor vs. NNRTI-based ART (reference); 0.5 (0.2-1.8) for protease inhibitor vs. INSTI-based ART (reference); 0.1 (0.1-0.8) for NNRTI vs. INSTI-based ART (reference); and 1.7 (0.5-5.7) for tenofovir vs. abacavir (reference). In more complex models of cumulative incidence that accounted for possible nonproportional hazards over time, the only remaining finding was evidence of a higher risk of heart failure for protease inhibitor compared with NNRTI-based regimens (1.8 vs. 0.8%; P  = 0.002). CONCLUSION: PWH initiating protease inhibitors may be at higher risk of heart failure compared with those initiating NNRTIs. Future studies with longer follow-up with INSTI-based and other specific ART are warranted.

Fracture Risk and Association With TDF Use Among People With HIV in Large Integrated Health Systems.

BACKGROUND: Greater decline in bone health among people with HIV (PWH) has been documented but fracture risk and the impact of specific antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens remain unclear. SETTING: Retrospective analyses of electronic health record data from 3 US integrated health care systems. METHODS: Fracture incidence was compared between PWH aged 40 years or older without prior fracture and demographically matched people without HIV (PWoH), stratified by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate fracture risk associated with HIV infection. The association of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) use and fracture risk was evaluated in a subset of PWH initiating ART. RESULTS: Incidence of fracture was higher in PWH [13.6/1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval (CI): 13.0 to 14.3, n = 24,308] compared with PWoH (9.5, 95% CI: 9.4 to 9.7, n = 247,313). Compared with PWoH, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for fracture among PWH was 1.24 (95% CI: 1.18 to 1.31). The association between HIV infection and fracture risk increased with age, with the lowest aHR (1.17, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.25) among those aged 40-49 years and the highest aHR (1.89, 95% CI: 1.30 to 2.76) among those aged 70 years or older. Among PWH initiating ART (n = 6504), TDF was not associated with significant increase in fracture risk compared with non-TDF regimens (aHR: 1.18, 95% CI: 0.89 to 1.58). CONCLUSIONS: Among people aged 40 years or older, HIV infection is associated with increased risk of fractures. Bone health screening from the age of 40 years may be beneficial for PWH. Large cohort studies with longer follow-up are needed to evaluate TDF effect and the potential benefit of early screening.

Rivaroxaban for Prevention of Thrombotic Events, Hospitalization, and Death in Outpatients With COVID-19: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) is associated with heightened risks of venous and arterial thrombosis and hospitalization due to respiratory failure. To assess whether prophylactic anticoagulation can safely reduce the frequency of venous and arterial thrombosis, hospitalization, and death in nonhospitalized patients with symptomatic COVID-19 and at least one thrombosis risk factor, we conducted the PREVENT-HD double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized trial (A Study of Rivaroxaban to Reduce the Risk of Major Venous and Arterial Thrombotic Events, Hospitalization and Death in Medically Ill Outpatients With Acute, Symptomatic COVID-19] Infection). METHODS: PREVENT-HD was conducted between August 2020 and April 2022 at 14 US integrated health care delivery networks. A virtual trial design used remote informed consent and clinical monitoring and facilitated data collection through electronic health record integration with a cloud-based research platform. Nonhospitalized patients with symptomatic COVID-19 and at least one thrombosis risk factor were enrolled and randomly assigned to either 10 mg of oral rivaroxaban or placebo daily for 35 days. The primary efficacy outcome was time to first occurrence of a composite of symptomatic venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, acute limb ischemia, non-central nervous system systemic arterial embolism, hospitalization, or death through day 35. The principal safety end point was International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis critical-site or fatal bleeding. The last study visit was on day 49. RESULTS: The study was terminated prematurely because of enrollment challenges and a lower-than-expected blinded pooled event rate. A total of 1284 patients underwent randomization with complete accrual of primary events through May 2022. No patients were lost to follow-up. The primary efficacy outcome occurred in 22 of 641 in the rivaroxaban group and 19 of 643 in the placebo group (3.4% versus 3.0%; hazard ratio, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.63-2.15]; P=0.63). No patient in either group experienced critical-site or fatal bleeding. One patient receiving rivaroxaban had a major bleed. CONCLUSIONS: The study was terminated prematurely after enrollment of 32% of planned accrual because of recruitment challenges and lower-than-expected event rate. Rivaroxaban prescribed for 35 days in nonhospitalized patients with symptomatic COVID-19 at risk for thrombosis did not appear to reduce a composite end point of venous and arterial thrombotic events, hospitalization, and death. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT04508023.

Variation in Heart Failure Risk by HIV Severity and Sex in People With HIV Infection.

BACKGROUND: HIV is an independent risk factor for heart failure (HF). However, the association of HIV severity with incident HF and the potential interaction with sex are incompletely understood. SETTING: Integrated health care system. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of people with HIV (PWH) and matched people without HIV (PWoH), all aged ≥ 21 years and with no previous HF. Poisson regression was used to compare incident HF by HIV status, with PWH stratified by severity of HIV infection [defined by recent (<6 months) CD4 count, nadir CD4 count, or recent HIV RNA level]. Models were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, substance use, and HF risk factors. Analyses were conducted for men and women combined, then by sex. RESULTS: The study included 38,868 PWH and 386,569 PWoH (mean baseline age = 41.0 ± 10.8 years; 88% men). Compared with PWoH, incident HF risk was higher among PWH with lower recent CD4 [200-499 cells/µL, adjusted rate ratio (aRR) = 1.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.50 to 2.21 and <200 cells/µL, aRR = 3.26 (2.47 to 4.30)] and a low nadir CD4 [<200 cells/µL, aRR = 1.56 (1.37 to 1.79)] but not among PWH with normal CD4 [≥500 cells/µL, aRR = 1.14 (0.90 to 1.44)]. Higher incident HF risk was observed among PWH at all HIV RNA levels, with greater HF risk at higher HIV RNA levels. The excess HF risk associated with low CD4 (recent or nadir) and high HIV RNA was stronger among women than men (P interactions=0.05, 0.08, and 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Given the association of HIV severity with HF, optimizing HIV treatment and management may be important for HF prevention among PWH.

Sexually Transmitted Infections Among Men and Transgender Women Using HIV Pre-exposure Prophylaxis in a Large Integrated Health System-A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are common in people using pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). We examined risk and factors associated with STIs in a cohort of PrEP users in an integrated health system in the United States. SETTING: The Kaiser Permanente Southern California is a large integrated health system that provides comprehensive medical services to approximately 4.7 million demographically diverse members. METHODS: We identified men and transgender women initiating PrEP between January 1, 2014, and June 1, 2018, and followed through December 31, 2018. Demographic and clinical factors potentially associated with the risk of bacterial STIs during PrEP use were evaluated using Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Among 5042 individuals tested for STIs with 7198 person-years of follow-up, 1709 (33.9%) had at least one new STI. The estimated incidence of STIs was 48.3 per 100 person-years, and the most common STI was rectal chlamydia. Most repeat STIs (61.4%) occurred <180 days apart. In a multivariable analysis, an history of STIs in the prior 6 months through 7 days after the PrEP initiation was the most prominent risk factor of STIs during PrEP use (adjusted risk ratio: 1.78, 95% confidence intervals: 1.65 to 1.93). Other risk factors included younger age (<35 years), being Hispanic, and having a history of alcohol use disorder or drug use disorder. CONCLUSIONS: Quarterly STI testing and targeted intervention to mitigate STI risk are warranted for young and racial minority PrEP users, particularly for those with prior history of STIs and substance use disorders.

Human immunodeficiency virus infection and risks of morbidity and death in adults with incident heart failure.

Aims: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) increases the risk of heart failure (HF), but whether it influences subsequent morbidity and mortality remains unclear. Methods and results: We investigated the risks of hospitalization for HF, HF-related emergency department (ED) visits, and all-cause death in an observational cohort of incident HF patients with and without HIV using data from three large US integrated healthcare delivery systems. We estimated incidence rates and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) by HIV status at the time of HF diagnosis for subsequent outcomes. We identified 448 persons living with HIV (PLWH) and 3429 without HIV who developed HF from a frequency-matched source cohort of 38 868 PLWH and 386 586 without HIV. Mean age was 59.5 ± 11.3 years with 9.8% women and 31.8% Black, 13.1% Hispanic, and 2.2% Asian/Pacific Islander. Compared with persons without HIV, PLWH had similar adjusted rates of HF hospitalization [aHR 1.01, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.81-1.26] and of HF-related ED visits [aHR 1.22 (95% CI: 0.99-1.50)], but higher adjusted rates of all-cause death [aHR 1.31 (95% CI: 1.08-1.58)]. Adjusted rates of HF-related morbidity and all-cause death were directionally consistent across a wide range of CD4 counts but most pronounced in the subset with a baseline CD4 count <200 or 200-499 cells/µL. Conclusion: In a large, diverse cohort of adults with incident HF receiving care within integrated healthcare delivery systems, PLWH were at an independently higher risk of all-cause death but not HF hospitalizations or HF-related ED visits. Future studies investigating modifiable HIV-specific risk factors may facilitate more personalized care to optimize outcomes for PLWH and HF.

Association of raltegravir use with long-term health outcomes in HIV-infected patients: an observational post-licensure safety study in a large integrated healthcare system.

BACKGROUND: Raltegravir became the first integrase inhibitor to gain FDA approval; but with limited evidence documenting long-term risks in real world care, especially for major health outcomes of interest. OBJECTIVE: Assess raltegravir safety in clinical practice within an integrated health system. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of HIV-infected adults within Kaiser Permanente California from 2005 to 2013. We compared patients initiating raltegravir during the study period with two groups; a historical cohort (started new antiretroviral regimen [ART] 2005-2007) and a concurrent cohort that did not initiate raltegravir (2007-2013). We used multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression to obtain hazard ratios (HR) for pre-specified incident health outcomes, employing propensity scores to adjust for potential confounding. RESULTS: The population included 8,219 HIV-infected adults (raltegravir cohort N = 1,757; 4,798 patient-years), with greater years known HIV-infected among raltegravir patients. The raltegravir cohort had increased HR for AIDS-defining (HR 2.69 [1.53-4.71]; HR 1.85 [1.21-2.82]) and non-AIDS-defining malignancies (HR 2.26 [1.29-3.94]; HR 1.88 [1.26-2.78]) relative to both comparison cohorts. Compared to the historical cohort we found no significant difference in all-cause mortality; the raltegravir cohort experienced increased HR for all-cause mortality compared to concurrent (HR 1.53 [1.02-2.31]). Raltegravir appeared protective of lipodystrophy when compared to the historical cohort but associated with increased incidence compared to concurrent. There were no significant differences in the incidence of hepatic, skin, or cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: The potentially elevated risk for malignancy and mortality with raltegravir and residual confounding merits further investigation. We demonstrate the value of observational cohorts for monitoring post-licensure medication safety.

Immunodeficiency, AIDS-related pneumonia, and risk of lung cancer among HIV-infected individuals.

OBJECTIVE: The objective is to clarify the role of immunodeficiency and pneumonia in elevated lung cancer risk among HIV-infected individuals. DESIGN: Cohort study of HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected adults in a large integrated healthcare system in California during 1996-2011. METHODS: We used Poisson models to obtain rate ratios for lung cancer associated with HIV infection, overall and stratified by recent CD4 cells/µl (HIV-uninfected as reference group), with χ tests for trends across CD4 strata. Fully adjusted models included demographics, cancer risk factors (smoking, drug/alcohol abuse, overweight/obesity), and prior pneumonia. RESULTS: Among 24 768 HIV-infected and 257 600 HIV-uninfected individuals, the lung cancer rate per 100 000 person-years was 66 (n = 80 events) for HIV-infected and 33 (n = 506 events) for HIV-uninfected individuals [rate ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.7-2.2]. Overall, HIV-infected individuals were at increased risk of lung cancer after adjustment for demographics and cancer risk factors (rate ratio 1.4, 95% CI: 1.1-1.7), but not after additional adjustment for pneumonia (rate ratio 1.2, 95% CI: 0.9-1.6). Lower CD4 cell counts were associated with higher risk of lung cancer in unadjusted and demographics-adjusted models (P < 0.001 for all), but this trend did not remain after adjustment for cancer risk factors and pneumonia. Compared with HIV-uninfected individuals, HIV-infected individuals with CD4 less than 200 cells/µl were not at increased risk of lung cancer in fully adjusted models. CONCLUSION: The increased lung cancer risk among HIV patients is attributable to differences in demographics, risk factors such as smoking, and history of pneumonia. Immunodeficiency does not appear to have an independent effect on lung cancer risk.

Invasive Pneumococcal Disease Among HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected Adults in a Large Integrated Healthcare System.

It is unclear whether HIV-infected individuals remain at higher risk of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) compared with HIV-uninfected individuals. We conducted a cohort study of HIV-infected and demographically matched HIV-uninfected adults within Kaiser Permanente Northern California during the period 1996-2011. We used Poisson models to obtain rate ratios (RRs) for incident IPD associated with HIV infection and other risk factors. Among 13,079 HIV-infected and 137,643 HIV-uninfected adults, the IPD rate per 100,000 person-years was 160 (n = 109 events) for HIV-infected and 8 (n = 75 events) for HIV-uninfected subjects, with an adjusted RR of 13.0 [95% confidence interval (CI): 9.1-18.7]. For HIV-infected individuals, IPD incidence per 100,000 person-years decreased by 71% during study follow-up, from 305 in 1996-1999 to 88 in 2010-2011 (p < 0.001), with an adjusted RR of 6.6 (95% CI: 2.7-16.1) compared with HIV-uninfected subjects in 2010-2011. Risk factors for IPD among HIV-infected individuals included black compared with white race/ethnicity, smoking, cancer, and higher HIV RNA levels. The 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccination was not associated with a reduced risk of IPD in HIV-infected or HIV-uninfected individuals. Among HIV-infected IPD cases, the most common serotype was 19A (33%), and 59% of serotypes were covered by the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13). Despite a dramatic decline in IPD incidence for HIV-infected adults since 1996, IPD rates were nearly sevenfold higher compared with HIV-uninfected adults in recent years, even after adjustment for risk factors. Timely antiretroviral therapy initiation, risk reduction strategies, and recent guidelines recommending PCV13 use may further reduce IPD incidence among HIV patients.

Influence of provider experience on antiretroviral adherence and viral suppression.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Early in the combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) era, provider experience (as measured by panel size) was associated with improved outcomes. We explored that association and other characteristics of provider experience. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis in Kaiser Permanente California (an integrated health care system in the United States), examining all human immunodeficiency virus seropositive (HIV+) patients initiating a first cART regimen (antiretroviral therapy [ART]-naïve, N = 7071) or initiating a second or later cART regimen (ART-experienced, N = 3730) from 1996-2006. We measured ART adherence through 12 months (pharmacy fill and refill records) and determined HIV viral load levels below limits of quantification at 12 months. Provider experience, updated annually, was measured as (1) HIV panel size (0-10 patients as reference strata), (2) years treating HIV (less than 1 year as reference), and (3) specialty ( noninfectious disease specialty, non-HIV expert as reference). We assessed associations by utilizing mixed modeling analyses (clustered by provider and medical center), controlling for patient age, sex, race/ethnicity, HIV risk behavior, hepatitis C coinfection, ART regimen class, and calendar year. RESULTS: Among the ART-experienced, improved adherence was associated with greater years experience (mean increase 3.1% 2-5 years experience; 3.7% 5-10 years; 2.7% 11-20 years; P = 0.07, categorical). In adjusted analyses, viral suppression among ART-naïve was positively associated with panel size (odds ratio 26-50 patients: 1.31, P = 0.03, categorical), but negatively associated with years experience (18% less for greater than 100 patients; P = 0.003). No provider characteristic was significantly associated with improved adherence among ART-naïve or odds of maximal viral suppression among ART-experienced in adjusted analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Except for panel size and years experience among ART-naïve, provider characteristics did not significantly influence ART adherence or likelihood of viral suppression.