Association Between Diabetes Severity and Risks of COVID-19 Infection and Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about whether diabetes increases the risk of COVID-19 infection and whether measures of diabetes severity are related to COVID-19 outcomes. OBJECTIVE: Investigate diabetes severity measures as potential risk factors for COVID-19 infection and COVID-19 outcomes. DESIGN, PARTICIPANTS, MEASURES: In integrated healthcare systems in Colorado, Oregon, and Washington, we identified a cohort of adults on February 29, 2020 (n = 1,086,918) and conducted follow-up through February 28, 2021. Electronic health data and death certificates were used to identify markers of diabetes severity, covariates, and outcomes. Outcomes were COVID-19 infection (positive nucleic acid antigen test, COVID-19 hospitalization, or COVID-19 death) and severe COVID-19 (invasive mechanical ventilation or COVID-19 death). Individuals with diabetes (n = 142,340) and categories of diabetes severity measures were compared with a referent group with no diabetes (n = 944,578), adjusting for demographic variables, neighborhood deprivation index, body mass index, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Of 30,935 patients with COVID-19 infection, 996 met the criteria for severe COVID-19. Type 1 (odds ratio [OR] 1.41, 95% CI 1.27-1.57) and type 2 diabetes (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.23-1.31) were associated with increased risk of COVID-19 infection. Insulin treatment was associated with greater COVID-19 infection risk (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.34-1.52) than treatment with non-insulin drugs (OR 1.26, 95% 1.20-1.33) or no treatment (OR 1.24; 1.18-1.29). The relationship between glycemic control and COVID-19 infection risk was dose-dependent: from an OR of 1.21 (95% CI 1.15-1.26) for hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) < 7% to an OR of 1.62 (95% CI 1.51-1.75) for HbA1c ≥ 9%. Risk factors for severe COVID-19 were type 1 diabetes (OR 2.87; 95% CI 1.99-4.15), type 2 diabetes (OR 1.80; 95% CI 1.55-2.09), insulin treatment (OR 2.65; 95% CI 2.13-3.28), and HbA1c ≥ 9% (OR 2.61; 95% CI 1.94-3.52). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes and greater diabetes severity were associated with increased risks of COVID-19 infection and worse COVID-19 outcomes.

Association of Lifetime TBI and Military Employment with Late Life ADL Functioning: A Population-Based Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine associations of traumatic brain injury (TBI) and military employment with activities of daily living (ADL) in late life. DESIGN: Population-based prospective cohort study with biennial follow-up and censoring at the time of dementia diagnosis. SETTING: Community-based integrated health care delivery system. PARTICIPANTS: Participants (N=4953) were men (n=2066) and women (n=2887) aged ≥65 years who were dementia free. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: ADL difficulties at baseline and accumulation during follow-up. RESULTS: TBI with loss of consciousness (LOC) before the age of 40 years was associated with slightly higher ADL difficulty at baseline for women (rate ratio [RR], 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.93; P=.01). For men, TBI with LOC at any age was associated with greater ADL difficulty at baseline (age <40y: RR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.20-2.08; P=.001; age ≥40y: RR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.24-3.68; P=.006). TBI with LOC was not associated with the rate of accumulation of ADL difficulties over time in men or women. There was no evidence of an association between military employment and either outcome, nor of an interaction between military employment and TBI with LOC. Findings were consistent across a variety of sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Further investigation into factors underlying greater late life functional impairment among survivors of TBI is warranted.

Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors and COVID-19 Infection or Hospitalization: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) may increase the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection or affect disease severity. Prior studies have not examined risks by medication dose. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included people aged ≥18 years enrolled in a US integrated healthcare system for at least 4 months as of 2/29/2020. Current ACEI and ARB use was identified from pharmacy data, and the estimated daily dose was calculated and standardized across medications. COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations were identified through 6/14/2020 from laboratory and hospitalization data. We used logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for race/ethnicity, obesity, and other covariates. RESULTS: Among 322,044 individuals, 826 developed COVID-19 infection. Among people using ACEI/ARBs, 204/56,105 developed COVID-19 (3.6 per 1,000 individuals) compared with 622/265,939 without ACEI/ARB use (2.3 per 1,000), yielding an adjusted OR of 0.91 (95% CI 0.74-1.12). For use of <1 defined daily dose (DDD) vs. nonuse, the adjusted OR for infection was 0.92 (95% CI 0.66-1.28); for 1 to <2 DDDs, 0.89 (95% CI 0.66-1.19); and for ≥2 DDDs, 0.92 (95% CI 0.72-1.18). The OR was similar for ACEIs and ARBs and in subgroups by age and sex. 26% of people with COVID-19 infection were hospitalized; the adjusted OR for hospitalization in relation to ACEI/ARB use was 0.98 (95% CI 0.63-1.54), and there was no association with dose. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support current recommendations that individuals on these medications continue their use.

Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors and COVID-19 infection or hospitalization: a cohort study.

There are plausible mechanisms by which angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) may increase the risk of COVID-19 infection or affect disease severity. To examine the association between these medications and COVID-19 infection or hospitalization, we conducted a retrospective cohort study within a US integrated healthcare system. Among people aged ≥18 years enrolled in the health plan for at least 4 months as of 2/29/2020, current ACEI and ARB use was identified from pharmacy data, and the estimated daily dose was calculated and standardized across medications. COVID-19 infections were identified through 6/14/2020 from laboratory and hospitalization data. We used logistic regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals. Among 322,044 individuals, 720 developed COVID-19 infection. Among people using ACEI/ARBs, 183/56,105 developed COVID-19 (3.3 per 1000 individuals) compared with 537/265,939 without ACEI/ARB use (2.0 per 1000), yielding an adjusted OR of 0.94 (95% CI 0.75-1.16). For use of < 1 defined daily dose vs. nonuse, the adjusted OR for infection was 0.89 (95% CI 0.62-1.26); for 1 to < 2 defined daily doses, 0.97 (95% CI 0.71-1.31); and for ≥2 defined daily doses, 0.94 (95% CI 0.72-1.23). The OR was similar for ACEIs and ARBs and in subgroups by age and sex. 29% of people with COVID-19 infection were hospitalized; the adjusted OR for hospitalization in relation to ACEI/ARB use was 0.92 (95% CI 0.54-1.57), and there was no association with dose. These findings support current recommendations that individuals on these medications continue their use.

Identifying hypertension in pregnancy using electronic medical records: The importance of blood pressure values.

OBJECTIVE: To incorporate blood pressure (BP), diagnoses codes, and medication fills from electronic medical records (EMR) to identify pregnant women with hypertension. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study of singleton pregnancies at three US integrated health delivery systems during 2005-2014. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Women were considered hypertensive if they had any of the following: (1) ≥2 high BPs (≥140/90 mmHg) within 30 days during pregnancy (High BP); (2) an antihypertensive medication fill in the 120 days before pregnancy and a hypertension diagnosis from 1 year prior to pregnancy through 20 weeks gestation (Treated Chronic Hypertension); or (3) a high BP, a hypertension diagnosis, and a prescription fill within 7 days during pregnancy (Rapid Treatment). We described characteristics of these pregnancies and conducted medical record review to understand hypertension presence and severity. RESULTS: Of 566,624 pregnancies, 27,049 (4.8%) met our hypertension case definition: 24,140 (89.2%) with High BP, 5,409 (20.0%) with Treated Chronic Hypertension, and 5,363 (19.8%) with Rapid Treatment (not mutually exclusive). Of hypertensive pregnancies, 19,298 (71.3%) received a diagnosis, 9,762 (36.1%) received treatment and 11,226 (41.5%) had a BP ≥ 160/110. In a random sample (n = 55) of the 7,559 pregnancies meeting the High BP criterion with no hypertension diagnosis, clinical statements about hypertension were found in medical records for 58% of them. CONCLUSION: Incorporating EMR BP identified many pregnant women with hypertension who would have been missed by using diagnosis codes alone. Future studies should seek to incorporate BP to study treatment and outcomes of hypertension in pregnancy.

Development and Validation of eRADAR: A Tool Using EHR Data to Detect Unrecognized Dementia.

OBJECTIVES: Early recognition of dementia would allow patients and their families to receive care earlier in the disease process, potentially improving care management and patient outcomes, yet nearly half of patients with dementia are undiagnosed. Our aim was to develop and validate an electronic health record (EHR)-based tool to help detect patients with unrecognized dementia (EHR Risk of Alzheimer's and Dementia Assessment Rule [eRADAR]). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Kaiser Permanente Washington (KPWA), an integrated healthcare delivery system. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 16 665 visits among 4330 participants in the Adult Changes in Thought (ACT) study, who undergo a comprehensive process to detect and diagnose dementia every 2 years and have linked KPWA EHR data, divided into development (70%) and validation (30%) samples. MEASUREMENTS: EHR predictors included demographics, medical diagnoses, vital signs, healthcare utilization, and medications within the previous 2 years. Unrecognized dementia was defined as detection in ACT before documentation in the KPWA EHR (ie, lack of dementia or memory loss diagnosis codes or dementia medication fills). RESULTS: Overall, 1015 ACT visits resulted in a diagnosis of incident dementia, of which 498 (49%) were unrecognized in the KPWA EHR. The final 31-predictor model included markers of dementia-related symptoms (eg, psychosis diagnoses, antidepressant fills), healthcare utilization pattern (eg, emergency department visits), and dementia risk factors (eg, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes). Discrimination was good in the development (C statistic = .78; 95% confidence interval [CI] = .76-.81) and validation (C statistic = .81; 95% CI = .78-.84) samples, and calibration was good based on plots of predicted vs observed risk. If patients with scores in the top 5% were flagged for additional evaluation, we estimate that 1 in 6 would have dementia. CONCLUSION: The eRADAR tool uses existing EHR data to detect patients with good accuracy who may have unrecognized dementia. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:103-111, 2019.

Patterns of antihypertensive and statin adherence prior to dementia: findings from the adult changes in thought study.

BACKGROUND: Detecting patients with undiagnosed dementia is an important clinical challenge. Changes in medication adherence might represent an early sign of cognitive impairment. We sought to examine antihypertensive and statin adherence trajectories in community-dwelling older adults, comparing people who went on to develop dementia to those who did not. METHODS: We analyzed data from Adult Changes in Thought (ACT), a population-based cohort study embedded within an integrated healthcare delivery system. Analyses included 4368 participants aged ≥65 years who had at least one follow-up visit. Research-quality dementia diagnoses were used to identify cases. We selected non-dementia control visits matched on age, sex, and study cohort that occurred at similar ACT follow-up time as the case's dementia onset; we treated this as the index date. Participants were included if they were prevalent users of either a statin or antihypertensive medication on the first day of follow up - 3 years prior to the index date. Using prescription fill dates and days supply, we calculated daily binary medication availability measures for each participant ('days covered') over 3 years leading up to the index date. We used group-based trajectory models to identify patterns of antihypertensive and statin adherence, and used conditional logistic regression to examine associations between adherence trajectories and dementia. RESULTS: Four trajectories were identified for antihypertensive users (292 cases, 3890 control visits), including near perfect (n = 1877, 36.6% cases, 45.5% controls), high (n = 1840, 43.2% cases, 44.1% controls), moderate (n = 365, 18.5% cases, 8.0% controls) and early poor adherence (n = 100, 1.7% cases, 2.4% controls). Odds of dementia was 3 times greater for those with moderate antihypertensive adherence compared to those with near perfect adherence (adjusted OR 3.0, 95% CI 2.0, 4.3). Four trajectories were identified for statin users (148 cases, 1131 control visits), including high (n = 1004, 75.0% cases, 79.0% controls), moderate (n = 192, 19.6% cases, 14.4% controls), early poor (n = 43, 2.0% cases, 3.5% controls), and delayed poor adherence (n = 40, 3.4% cases, 3.1% controls). No association was detected between statin adherence trajectories and dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Patterns of medication adherence may be useful to identify a subset of people at higher likelihood of developing dementia.

Impact of initiatives to reduce prescription opioid risks on medically attended injuries in people using chronic opioid therapy.

PURPOSE: The purpose of the study is to determine whether initiatives to improve the safety of opioid prescribing decreased injuries in people using chronic opioid therapy (COT). METHODS: We conducted an interrupted time series analysis using data from Group Health (GH), an integrated health care delivery system in the United States. In 2007, GH implemented initiatives which substantially reduced daily opioid dose and increased patient monitoring. Among GH members age 18 or older receiving COT between 2006 and 2014, we compared injury rates for patients in GH's integrated group practice (IGP; exposed to the initiatives) vs patients cared for by contracted providers (not exposed). Injuries were identified using a validated algorithm. We calculated injury incidence during the baseline (preintervention) period from 2006 to 2007; the dose reduction period, 2008 to 2010; and the risk stratification and monitoring period, 2010 to 2014. Using modified Poisson regression, we estimated adjusted relative risks (RRs) representing the relative change per year in injury rates. RESULTS: Among 21 853 people receiving COT in the IGP and 8260 in contracted care, there were 2679 injuries during follow-up. The baseline injury rate was 1.0% per calendar quarter in the IGP and 0.9% in contracted care. Risk reduction initiatives did not decrease injury rates: Within the IGP, the RR in the dose reduction period was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.95-1.07) and in the risk stratification and monitoring period, 0.99 (95% CI, 0.95-1.04). Injury trends did not differ between the two care settings. CONCLUSIONS: Risk reduction initiatives did not decrease injuries in people using COT.

Proton pump inhibitor use and the risk of fractures among an older adult cohort.

PURPOSE: The purpose of the study is to determine if the use of a proton pump inhibitor (PPI) is associated with an increased fracture risk, as some prior studies have suggested. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included data on 4438 participants aged 65 and older who had no fracture in the year prior to baseline and had ≥5 years of enrollment history in Kaiser Permanente Washington, an integrated healthcare delivery system in Seattle, WA, during 1994 to 2014. Time-varying cumulative exposure to PPIs was determined from automated pharmacy data by summing standard daily doses (SDDs) across fills, and patients were categorized as no use (reference group, ≤30 SDD), light use (31-540 SDD), moderate use (541-1080 SDD), and heavy use (≥1081 SDD). Incident fractures were assessed using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes from electronic medical records. Potential confounders, chosen a priori, were assessed at baseline and at each 2-year follow-up visit. Fracture risk was analyzed using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 6.1 years, 802 (18.1%) participants experienced a fracture. No overall association was found between PPI use and fracture risk. Adjusted hazard ratios comparing users to the referent category were 1.08 (95% CI 0.83-1.40) for light users, 1.31 (95% CI 0.86-1.95) for moderate users, and 0.95 (95% CI 0.68-1.34) for heavy users. Among patients with SSD > 30, no appreciable increase in fracture risk was present in persons with recent versus distant use (adjusted hazard ratio of 1.14 [95% CI 0.91-1.42]). CONCLUSIONS: No association was observed between PPI use and fracture risk among older adults.

Financial difficulty, worry about affording care, and benefit finding in long-term survivors of cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the associations of worry about affording care and reporting financial difficulties with benefit finding in long-term cancer survivors. METHODS: Long-term survivors of cancer (n = 547) in 3 integrated health care delivery systems completed the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Cancer Survivorship Supplement. The relationship between benefit finding (becoming a stronger person, coping better, and making positive changes) and the potentially interacting factors of worry about affording care and financial difficulties was examined using multivariate logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the total sample, 20% reported worry and 15% reported financial difficulty. Among those who reported no worry, financial difficulty was positively associated with becoming a stronger person (odds ratio [OR] = 2.89, 95% CI: 1.07, 7.80). Coping better was not associated with worry, financial difficulties, or the interaction of the two. Among those with no financial difficulty, worry was positively associated with making positive changes (OR = 2.64, 95% CI: 1.41, 4.96), and among those reporting no worry, financial difficulty had a non-significant positive association with making positive changes (OR = 1.98, 95% CI: 0.91, 4.31). Among those reporting worry, having financial difficulties was associated with lower odds of making positive changes (OR = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.13, 0.78). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest a complex relationship between financial difficulty, worry, and benefit finding. The combination of worry about affording care and financial difficulty needs to be addressed and further studied among cancer survivors, as the presence of both, but not alone, was negatively associated with making positive changes, an aspect of benefit finding.

Proton Pump Inhibitor Use and Dementia Risk: Prospective Population-Based Study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether higher cumulative proton pump inhibitor (PPI) exposure is associated with greater dementia risk. DESIGN: Prospective population-based cohort study. SETTING: Kaiser Permanente Washington, an integrated healthcare delivery system in Seattle, Washington. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 65 and older without dementia at study entry (N = 3,484). MEASUREMENTS: Participants were screened for dementia every 2 years, and those who screened positive underwent extensive evaluation. Dementia outcomes were determined using standard diagnostic criteria. Time-varying PPI exposure was determined from computerized pharmacy data and consisted of total standardized daily doses (TSDDs) dispensed to an individual in the prior 10 years. We also assessed duration of use. Multivariable Cox regression was used to estimate the association between PPI exposure and time to dementia or Alzheimer's disease (AD). RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 7.5 years, 827 participants (23.7%) developed dementia (670 with possible or probable AD). PPI exposure was not associated with risk of dementia (P = .66) or AD (P = .77). For dementia, the risk for specific levels of cumulative exposure compared to no use was: 365 TSDDs (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.65-1.18), 1,095 TSDDs (HR 0.99, CI 0.75-1.30) and 1,825 TSDDs (HR 1.13, CI 0.82-1.56). These TSDD levels represent approximately 1, 3 and 5 years of daily use respectively. Duration of PPI use was not associated with dementia outcomes either. CONCLUSION: Proton pump inhibitor use was not associated with dementia risk, even for people with high cumulative exposure. Although there are other safety concerns with long-term PPI use, results from our study do not support that these medications should be avoided out of concern about dementia risk.

Predicting 2-Year Risk of Developing Pneumonia in Older Adults without Dementia.

OBJECTIVES: To develop three prognostic indices of varying degree of required detail for 2-year pneumonia risk in older adults. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Group Health (GH), an integrated healthcare delivery system. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling dementia-free individuals aged 65 and older who had been GH members for at least 2 years before start of follow-up and were enrolled in the Adult Changes in Thought study (N = 3,375; development cohort, n = 2,250; validation cohort, n = 1,125. MEASUREMENTS: Potential pneumonia risk factors were identified from questionnaire data and interviewer assessments of functional status, medical history, smoking and alcohol use, cognitive function, personal care, and problem solving. Risk factors were also identified based on physical measures such as grip strength and gait speed and administrative database information on comorbid illnesses, laboratory tests, and prescriptions dispensed. Incident community-acquired pneumonia was defined presumptively from administrative data and validated using medical record review. RESULTS: Participants (59% female) contributed 12,998 visits at which risk factors were assessed; 642 pneumonia events were observed during follow-up. Age, sex, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, body mass index, and use of inhaled or oral corticosteroids were critical predictors in all prognostic indices. A risk score based on these seven variables, information on which is commonly available in electronic medical records (EMRs), had equal or better performance (c-index = 0.69 in the validation cohort) than scores including more-detailed data such as functional status. CONCLUSION: Data commonly available in EMRs can stratify older adults into groups with varying subsequent 2-year pneumonia risk.

Anesthesia Exposure and Risk of Dementia and Alzheimer's Disease: A Prospective Study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the associations between anesthesia and dementia or Alzheimer's disease (AD) risk using prospectively collected data. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling members of the Adult Changes in Thought cohort aged 65 and older and free of dementia at baseline (N = 3,988). MEASUREMENTS: Participants self-reported all prior surgical procedures with general or neuraxial (spinal or epidural) anesthesia at baseline and reported new procedures every 2 years. People undergoing high-risk surgery with general anesthesia, other surgery with general anesthesia, and other surgery with neuraxial anesthesia exposures were compared with those with no surgery and no anesthesia. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dementia and AD associated with time-varying lifetime and recent (past 5 years) anesthesia exposures. RESULTS: At baseline, 254 (6%) people reported never having anesthesia; 248 (6%) had had one or more high-risk surgeries with general anesthesia, 3,363 (84%) had had one or more other surgeries with general anesthesia, and 123 (3%) had had one or more surgeries with neuraxial anesthesia. High-risk surgery with general anesthesia was not associated with greater risk of dementia (HR = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.58-1.28) or AD (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.61-1.49) than no history of anesthesia. People with any history of other surgery with general anesthesia had a lower risk of dementia (HR = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.46-0.85) and AD (HR = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.46-0.93) than people with no history of anesthesia. There was no association between recent anesthesia exposure and dementia or AD. CONCLUSION: Anesthesia exposure was not associated with of dementia or AD in older adults.

Benzodiazepine use and risk of incident dementia or cognitive decline: prospective population based study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether higher cumulative use of benzodiazepines is associated with a higher risk of dementia or more rapid cognitive decline. DESIGN: Prospective population based cohort. SETTING: Integrated healthcare delivery system, Seattle, Washington. PARTICIPANTS: 3434 participants aged ≥ 65 without dementia at study entry. There were two rounds of recruitment (1994-96 and 2000-03) followed by continuous enrollment beginning in 2004. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: The cognitive abilities screening instrument (CASI) was administered every two years to screen for dementia and was used to examine cognitive trajectory. Incident dementia and Alzheimer's disease were determined with standard diagnostic criteria. Benzodiazepine exposure was defined from computerized pharmacy data and consisted of the total standardized daily doses (TSDDs) dispensed over a 10 year period (a rolling window that moved forward in time during follow-up). The most recent year was excluded because of possible use for prodromal symptoms. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine time varying use of benzodiazepine and dementia risk. Analyses of cognitive trajectory used linear regression models with generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 7.3 years, 797 participants (23.2%) developed dementia, of whom 637 developed Alzheimer's disease. For dementia, the adjusted hazard ratios associated with cumulative benzodiazepine use compared with non-use were 1.25 (95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.51) for 1-30 TSDDs; 1.31 (1.00 to 1.71) for 31-120 TSDDs; and 1.07 (0.82 to 1.39) for ≥ 121 TSDDs. Results were similar for Alzheimer's disease. Higher benzodiazepine use was not associated with more rapid cognitive decline. CONCLUSION: The risk of dementia is slightly higher in people with minimal exposure to benzodiazepines but not with the highest level of exposure. These results do not support a causal association between benzodiazepine use and dementia.

Prescription Opioids and Risk of Dementia or Cognitive Decline: A Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether prescription opioid use is associated with higher dementia risk or greater cognitive decline. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Group Health, an integrated healthcare delivery system. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling individuals aged 65 and older without dementia with at least 10 years of Group Health enrollment at baseline (N = 3,434; median age 74). MEASUREMENTS: The Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument (CASI) was administered every 2 years. Low scores triggered detailed evaluation, and a multidisciplinary committee assigned dementia diagnoses. From computerized pharmacy data, cumulative opioid exposure was defined as total standardized doses (TSDs) dispensed over 10 years (excluding the most recent year because of possible prodromal symptoms). For comparison, use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), characterized similarly, was examined. Dementia risk was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models and CASI trajectory using linear regression models and generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: Seven hundred ninety-seven participants (23%) developed dementia over a mean follow-up of 7.3 years; 637 (19%) had possible or probable Alzheimer's disease. For cumulative opioid use, the hazard ratios (HRs) for dementia were 1.06 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.88-1.26) for 11 to 30 TSDs, 0.88 (95% CI = 0.70-1.09) for 31 to 90 TSDs, and 1.29 (95% CI = 1.02-1.62) for 91 or more TSDs, versus 0 to 10 TSDs. A similar pattern was seen for NSAID use. Heavier opioid use was not associated with more-rapid cognitive decline. CONCLUSION: People with the heaviest opioid or NSAID use had slightly higher dementia risk than people with little or no use. These results may reflect an effect of chronic pain on cognition or residual confounding. Although opioids have other risks, little evidence of long-term cognitive harm specific to opioids was found.

Anticholinergic medications and risk of community-acquired pneumonia in elderly adults: a population-based case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether use of anticholinergics is associated with risk of community-acquired pneumonia in older adults. DESIGN: Population-based case-control study. SETTING: An integrated healthcare delivery system in Washington State. PARTICIPANTS: Data from a nested case-control study of community-dwelling immunocompetent adults aged 65 to 94 were analyzed. Pneumonia cases (n=1,039) were ascertained according to International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, codes from 2000 to 2003 and validated using chart review. Controls (n=2,022) were matched 2:1 to cases according to age, sex, and year. MEASUREMENTS: Anticholinergic medication exposure was ascertained using prescription data; acute use was defined as one or more prescription fills 90 days or less before the index date (date of pneumonia diagnosis), past use was defined as one or more prescription fills within the prior year but none within 90 days, and chronic use was defined as three or more prescription fills within the prior year. The reference group was those with no fills in the prior year. Conditional logistic regression was used to analyze the association between anticholinergic use and pneumonia, adjusted for comorbidities. RESULTS: Acute use of anticholinergics was observed in 59% of cases and 35% of controls (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=2.55, 95% confidence interval (CI)=2.08-3.13) and past use in 17% of cases and 23% of controls (aOR=1.19, 95% CI=0.92-1.53). Chronic use of anticholinergics was observed in 53% of cases and 36% of controls (aOR 2.07, 95% CI=1.68-2.54). Results were not different for high- and low-potency anticholinergic medications. CONCLUSION: In older adults, anticholinergic medication use is associated with pneumonia risk, adding to substantial evidence suggesting that these medications are high risk.

Cumulative use of strong anticholinergics and incident dementia: a prospective cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: Many medications have anticholinergic effects. In general, anticholinergic-induced cognitive impairment is considered reversible on discontinuation of anticholinergic therapy. However, a few studies suggest that anticholinergics may be associated with an increased risk for dementia. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether cumulative anticholinergic use is associated with a higher risk for incident dementia. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective population-based cohort study using data from the Adult Changes in Thought study in Group Health, an integrated health care delivery system in Seattle, Washington. We included 3434 participants 65 years or older with no dementia at study entry. Initial recruitment occurred from 1994 through 1996 and from 2000 through 2003. Beginning in 2004, continuous replacement for deaths occurred. All participants were followed up every 2 years. Data through September 30, 2012, were included in these analyses. EXPOSURES: Computerized pharmacy dispensing data were used to ascertain cumulative anticholinergic exposure, which was defined as the total standardized daily doses (TSDDs) dispensed in the past 10 years. The most recent 12 months of use was excluded to avoid use related to prodromal symptoms. Cumulative exposure was updated as participants were followed up over time. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident dementia and Alzheimer disease using standard diagnostic criteria. Statistical analysis used Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for demographic characteristics, health behaviors, and health status, including comorbidities. RESULTS: The most common anticholinergic classes used were tricyclic antidepressants, first-generation antihistamines, and bladder antimuscarinics. During a mean follow-up of 7.3 years, 797 participants (23.2%) developed dementia (637 of these [79.9%] developed Alzheimer disease). A 10-year cumulative dose-response relationship was observed for dementia and Alzheimer disease (test for trend, P < .001). For dementia, adjusted hazard ratios for cumulative anticholinergic use compared with nonuse were 0.92 (95% CI, 0.74-1.16) for TSDDs of 1 to 90; 1.19 (95% CI, 0.94-1.51) for TSDDs of 91 to 365; 1.23 (95% CI, 0.94-1.62) for TSDDs of 366 to 1095; and 1.54 (95% CI, 1.21-1.96) for TSDDs greater than 1095. A similar pattern of results was noted for Alzheimer disease. Results were robust in secondary, sensitivity, and post hoc analyses. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Higher cumulative anticholinergic use is associated with an increased risk for dementia. Efforts to increase awareness among health care professionals and older adults about this potential medication-related risk are important to minimize anticholinergic use over time.

Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor use and pneumonia risk in community-dwelling older adults: results from a population-based case-control study.

PURPOSE: To test whether angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor use is associated with decreased risk of community-acquired pneumonia in older adults. METHODS: We analyzed data from a nested case-control study of community-dwelling, immunocompetent adults aged 65-94 within an integrated healthcare delivery system. Cases of ambulatory and hospitalized pneumonia from 2000 to 2003 were identified from International Classification of Disease, version 9, codes and validated using medical record review. Controls were matched to cases by age, sex, and calendar year. Using health plan pharmacy data, we defined current use as filling ≥2 prescriptions during the 180 days prior to the case's diagnosis date. We calculated standardized doses per day using World Health Organization defined daily doses. Multivariable conditional logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for pneumonia in relation to ACE inhibitor use, adjusting for comorbidity, functional and cognitive status, and other covariates from medical record review and pharmacy data. RESULTS: Current use of ACE inhibitors was seen in 23% (242/1039) of cases and 21% (433/2022) of controls. Lisinopril accounted for 95% of prescriptions. The OR for pneumonia comparing current use to no current use was 0.99 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-1.19). The OR for use of more than two standardized daily doses per day was 1.39 (95% CI 0.93-2.06) compared to no current use. CONCLUSIONS: ACE inhibitor use is not associated with reduced pneumonia risk in community-dwelling older adults.

Use of opioids or benzodiazepines and risk of pneumonia in older adults: a population-based case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine whether use of opioids or benzodiazepines is associated with risk of community-acquired pneumonia in older adults. DESIGN: Population-based case-control study. SETTING: An integrated healthcare delivery system. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling, immunocompetent adults aged 65 to 94 from 2000 to 2003. Presumptive pneumonia cases were identified from health plan automated data and validated through medical record review. Two controls were selected for each case with pneumonia, matched on age, sex, and calendar year. MEASUREMENTS: Information about opioid and benzodiazepine use came from computerized pharmacy data. Information on covariates including comorbid illnesses and functional and cognitive status came from medical record review and electronic health data. RESULTS: One thousand thirty-nine validated cases of pneumonia and 2,022 matched controls were identified. One hundred forty-four (13.9%) cases and 161 (8.0%) controls used prescription opioids (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 1.38, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.08-1.76 vs nonuse). Risk was highest for opioids categorized as immunosuppressive based on immunological studies (OR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.26-1.79 vs nonuse), whereas for nonimmunosuppressive opioids the OR was 1.23 (95% CI = 0.89-1.69). Risk was highest in the first 14 days of use (OR = 3.24, 95% CI = 1.64-6.39 vs nonuse). For long-acting opioids, the OR was 3.43 (95% CI = 1.44-8.21) versus nonuse, whereas for short-acting opioids, it was 1.27 (95% CI = 0.98-1.64). No greater risk was seen for current benzodiazepine use compared to nonuse (OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.80-1.47). CONCLUSION: Use of opioids but not benzodiazepines was associated with pneumonia risk. The differences in risk seen for different opioid regimens warrant further study.

Histamine-2 receptor antagonist use and incident dementia in an older cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To examine whether histamine-2 receptor antagonist medications (H2RAs) are associated with a lower incidence of all-cause dementia or Alzheimer's disease (AD), as some studies have suggested. DESIGN: Prospective population-based cohort SETTING: Group Health, an integrated health maintenance organization, Seattle, Washington. PARTICIPANTS: Two thousand nine hundred twenty-three participants aged 65 and older without dementia at baseline, with initial recruitment between 1994 and 1996. MEASUREMENTS: Follow-up occurred every 2 years to identify incident dementia and AD using standard criteria. Exposure to H2RAs was determined based on automated pharmacy data. Three aspects of exposure (time-varying) were examined based on standard daily dose (SDD): cumulative use, intensity of use (highest SDD in any prior 2-year window), and cumulative use stratified according to recency (1-3 years vs >3 years before). RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 6.7 years, 585 subjects developed dementia (453 developed AD). Total cumulative exposure was not associated with dementia (P=.35; omnibus test) or AD (P=.23). The adjusted hazard ratios for the highest exposure category (>1,080 SDDs) compared with light or no use were 1.28 (95% confidence interval (CI)=0.95-1.72) for dementia and 1.41 (95% CI=1.00-1.97) for AD. Intensity of use was not associated with dementia (P=.39) or AD (P=.63). Examining exposure according to recent and distant cumulative use also showed no association with dementia (P=.11) or AD (P=.30). CONCLUSION: No association was found between H2RA use and risk of all-cause dementia or AD using more-detailed and -extensive information about past H2RA use than any prior study.