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1.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 41(3): 307-319, 2023 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36575331

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The National Comprehensive Cancer Network recommends a second-line treatment of pemigatinib for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma with fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) fusions/rearrangements and modified FOLFOX (mFOLFOX) for those without FGFR2 alterations. However, these regimens are not yet covered by Taiwa's National Health Insurance. This cost-effectiveness analysis evaluated the cost-effectiveness of the pemigatinib/mFOLFOX regimen as the second-line treatment for advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma based on FGFR2 status in comparison with the regimen of fluorouracil chemotherapy and provided a cost-effectiveness analysis-based reference price for pemigatinib. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model with a 5-year time horizon was constructed for patients with advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who did not respond to first-line therapy. Overall and progression-free survival functions of pemigatinib, mFOLFOX, and fluorouracil were estimated from the FIGHT-202, ABC-06, and NIFTY trials, respectively. The utility of health states and disutility of adverse events were obtained from the literature. The genetic testing fee and price of pemigatinib were set as the market price. Other costs related to advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma were calculated using National Health Insurance claims data. The willingness-to-pay threshold was three times the gross domestic product per capita in 2021 (NT$2,889,684). A 3% discount rate was applied to quality-adjusted life-years and costs. Scenario analyses included a gradual price reduction of pemigatinib, alternative survival models, application of a National Health Insurance payment conversion factor to non-medication costs, and consideration of life-years as effectiveness. A deterministic sensitivity analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis, and a value of information analysis were performed. RESULTS: The new regimen provided an incremental 0.13 quality-adjusted life-years, with incremental costs of NT$459,697, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of NT$3,411,098 per quality-adjusted life-year and an incremental net monetary benefit of - NT$70,268. The new regimen was found to be 53.2% cost effective in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. The expected value of uncertainty measured by the expected value of perfect information was NT$80,695/person. In scenario analyses, the incremental net monetary benefit was positive when the price of pemigatinib was reduced by 40% or more. When applying a conversion factor to non-medical costs, the probability of the new regimen being cost effective was slightly increased from 53.2 to 56.5% compared with the base-case analysis. The utility and the cost of the new regimen were the main drivers of uncertainty. CONCLUSIONS: Although the new second-line genetic-based and biomarker-driven regimen of pemigatinib/mFOLFOX appears not cost effective for patients with advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in the base-case analysis, our analysis suggests it is highly likely to be cost effective in the case of a 40% price reduction on pemigatinib.


Asunto(s)
Colangiocarcinoma , Análisis de Costo-Efectividad , Humanos , Fluorouracilo/uso terapéutico , Colangiocarcinoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Biomarcadores , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida
2.
Lancet Healthy Longev ; 2(11): e712-e723, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36098028

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Integrating primary prevention into care pathways for older adults is a core strategy of healthy ageing, but evidence remains limited. We aimed to determine whether incorporating a multidomain intervention into primary health care could improve standard value-based health outcomes and quality of life. METHODS: For this Taiwan Integrated Geriatric Care (TIGER) study, a pragmatic randomised controlled trial, we recruited community-dwelling outpatients aged 65 years or older with at least three chronic medical conditions. We excluded people with malignancies undergoing chemotherapy, people with a life expectancy of less than 12 months, or people who were insufficiently able to communicate with study staff. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to usual care or to the integrated multidomain intervention using block randomisation. The integrated multidomain intervention entailed 16 2-h sessions per year, comprising communal physical exercise, cognitive training, nutrition and disease education, plus individualised treatment by specialists in integrated geriatric care. The primary outcome was changes from baseline quality of life, based on 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) scores, at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months. Intervention effects were analysed per protocol using a generalised linear mixed model. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03528005. FINDINGS: Between June 25, 2018, and Feb 15, 2019, 628 participants were screened, of whom 398 were assigned to the integrated multidomain intervention (n=199) or to usual care (n=199). 335 (84%) participants completed the 12-month follow-up. Compared with the usual care group, the integrated multidomain intervention group had significantly higher mean SF-36 physical component scores across all timepoints (overall difference 0·8, 95% CI 0·2-1·5; p=0·010), but differences at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months did not reach statistical significance. The SF-36 mental component scores did not differ significantly overall, but were significantly higher in the integrated multidomain intervention group at the 12-month follow-up (55·3 [SD 7·6] vs 57·2 [7·0]; p=0·019). No serious adverse events occurred. INTERPRETATION: Incorporating multidomain interventions into integrated health care improved quality of life. Our standardised protocol is amenable to inclusion in policies to promote value-based care and healthy ageing. FUNDING: National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan, and Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan.


Asunto(s)
Estilo de Vida , Calidad de Vida , Anciano , Ejercicio Físico , Terapia por Ejercicio/métodos , Humanos , Atención Primaria de Salud
3.
Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys ; 106(5): 916-925, 2020 04 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31499138

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: The evidence for adjuvant therapy of oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC) in National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines is derived from patients with head and neck cancer. Here, we examined whether adjuvant therapy should be guided by a detailed analysis of pathologic risk factors in patients with pure OCSCC. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between 2004 and 2016, we retrospectively reviewed 1200 consecutive patients with OCSCC who underwent radical surgery and neck dissection in the Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital (CGMH). Patients were divided into 3 prognostic groups. High-risk patients were those with extranodal extension (ENE) and/or positive margins (ENE/margins+, n = 267). Intermediate-risk patients were further divided into 3 subgroups: (1) patients in whom adjuvant therapy was indicated according to the CGMH but not the NCCN guidelines (NCCN[-]/CGMH[+], n = 14); (2) patients in whom adjuvant therapy was indicated by the NCCN but not the CGMH guidelines (NCCN[+]/CGMH[-], n = 160); and (3) patients in whom adjuvant therapy was indicated according to both guidelines (NCCN[+]/CGMH[+], n = 411). Low-risk patients were those for whom adjuvant therapy was not suggested in light of either guideline (NCCN[-]/CGMH[-], n = 348). RESULTS: According to NCCN guidelines, postoperative adjuvant therapy was indicated in 69.8% of the participants. However, only 57.7% of patients were in need of adjuvant therapy by CGMH guidelines. The following 5-year outcomes were observed in the NCCN(-)/CGMH(-), NCCN(-)/CGMH(+), NCCN(+)/CGMH(-), NCCN(+)/CGMH(+), and ENE/margins+ subgroups: locoregional control, 88%/70%/83%/79%/68%, P < .001 (NCCN[+]/CGMH[-] vs NCCN[+]/CGMH[+], P = .576); distant metastases, 2%/7%/2%/9%/36%, P < .001 (NCCN[+]/CGMH[-] vs NCCN[+]/CGMH[+], P = .003); disease-specific survival, 97%/86%/94%/84%/56%, P < .001 (NCCN[+]/CGMH[-] vs NCCN[+]/CGMH[+], P < .001); and overall survival, 92%/86%/87%/68%/42%, P < .001 (NCCN[+]/CGMH[-] vs NCCN[+]/CGMH[+], P < .001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients in the NCCN(+)/CGMH(-) subgroup, 28% (160/571[160 + 411]) of NCCN intermediate-risk patients, had more favorable 5-year disease-specific and overall survival (94% and 87%) than the NCCN(+)/CGMH(+) subgroup. The former are unlikely to derive clinical benefits from NCCN guidelines. The 70% adjuvant therapy rate required by NCCN guidelines after radical surgery might be too high, ultimately leaving room for improvement.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Boca/patología , Neoplasias de la Boca/cirugía , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Medicina de Precisión , Sociedades Médicas , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/patología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/cirugía , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias de la Boca/terapia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/terapia , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adulto Joven
4.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 23(2): 288-293, 2017 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27491287

RESUMEN

RATIONALE, AIM AND OBJECTIVE: The beneficial effects of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) prophylaxis on reducing the risk of chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (CIFN) were well documented throughout the literature. However, existing data regarding its cost-effectiveness were conflicting. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of G-CSF prophylaxis in CIFN under Taiwan's National Health Insurance (NHI) system. METHODS: Data on clinical outcomes and direct medical costs were derived for 5179 newly diagnosed breast cancer and 629 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) patients from the NHI claims database. Patients were further categorized into three subgroups as "primary-", "secondary-" and "no -" prophylaxis based on their patterns of G-CSF use. Generalized estimating equations were applied to estimate the impact of G-CSF use on the incidence of CIFN. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of primary and secondary prophylactic G-CSF use were calculated and sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Primary prophylaxis of G-CSF decreased the incidence of CIFN by 27% and 83%, while secondary prophylaxis by 34% and 22% in breast cancer and NHL patients, respectively. Compared with those with no prophylaxis, the incremental cost per CIFN reduced in primary prophylaxis is $931 and $52 among patients with breast cancer and NHL, respectively. In contrast, secondary prophylaxis is dominated by no prophylaxis and primary prophylaxis in both cancer patients. CONCLUSION: Primary but not secondary prophylactic use of G-CSF was cost-effective in CIFN in breast cancer and NHL patients under Taiwan's NHI system.


Asunto(s)
Neutropenia Febril Inducida por Quimioterapia/prevención & control , Factor Estimulante de Colonias de Granulocitos/administración & dosificación , Factor Estimulante de Colonias de Granulocitos/economía , Profilaxis Pre-Exposición/economía , Adulto , Anciano , Antineoplásicos/efectos adversos , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Humanos , Linfoma no Hodgkin/tratamiento farmacológico , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Programas Nacionales de Salud/economía , Prevención Primaria/economía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Prevención Secundaria/economía , Taiwán
5.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 24(3): 785-793, 2017 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27896513

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines recommend that patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) and cT4b disease should be either included in clinical trials or treated with a nonsurgical approach. However, surgery may be feasible in selected patients with adequate safety margins. Using the nationwide Taiwanese Cancer Registry Database, we examined the prognosis of cT4b OSCC patients in relation to their treatment approach. METHODS: Of the 18,910 patients with previously untreated first primary OSCC identified between 2004 and 2010, 492 (2.6 %) had cT4b tumors. Of them, 327 (66 %) received initial treatment with surgery, whereas 165 (34 %) were initially treated with a nonsurgical approach. Of the latter group, 78 patients subsequently underwent surgery. A 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS) ≥45 % was considered as a favorable outcome. RESULTS: Better 5-year DSS and overall survival (OS) rates were observed in cT4b patients initially treated with surgery (vs. nonsurgery; DSS, 51 vs. 38 %; OS, 43 vs. 27 %, respectively, p < 0.001). Of the participants initially treated with surgery, patients with cN0-2 disease had better 5-year survival rates (DSS: cN0, 59 %; cN1, 53 %; cN2, 46 %; OS: cN0, 49 %; cN1, 50 %; cN2, 37 %) than those with cN3 disease (DSS: 0 %; OS: 0 %). Among cT4b patients who initially received a nonsurgical treatment, subjects who subsequently underwent surgery showed better outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Primary surgery is performed in approximately two-thirds of cT4b OSCC patients, with cN0-2 cases showing a good prognosis. Patients who initially received a nonsurgical approach can subsequently be treated with surgery and achieve favorable outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/secundario , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/terapia , Neoplasias de la Boca/patología , Neoplasias de la Boca/terapia , Adulto , Anciano , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/cirugía , Terapia Combinada , Femenino , Humanos , Metástasis Linfática , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias de la Boca/cirugía , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Radioterapia , Tasa de Supervivencia , Taiwán
6.
World J Surg Oncol ; 12: 170, 2014 May 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24885430

RESUMEN

BACKGROUNDS: In this study, we evaluated the factors associated with a pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: Pre-nCRT parameters in ESCC patients treated between 1999 and 2006 were analyzed to identify predictors of pCR. All patients received 5-fluorouracil/cisplatin-based chemotherapy and external beam radiation followed by scheduled esophagectomy. Variables were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses with pCR as the dependent variable. Estimated pCR rate was calculated with a regression model. RESULTS: Fifty-nine (20.9%) of 282 patients achieved pCR. Univariate analysis identified four patient factors (age, smoking status, drinking history and hypertension), one pre-nCRT parameter (tumor length) as significant predictors of pCR (all P <0.05). On multivariate analysis, tumor length ≤3 cm (favorable, odds ratio (OR): 4.85, P = 0.001), patient age >55 years (favorable, OR: 1.95, P = 0.035), and being a non-smoker (favorable, OR: 3.6, P = 0.003) were independent predictors of pCR. The estimated pCR rates based on a logistic regression including those three predictors were 71%, 35 to approximately 58%, 19 to approximately 38%, and 12% for patients with 3, 2, 1 and 0 predictors, respectively. CONCLUSION: Age, smoking habit and tumor length were important pCR predictors. These factors may be used to predict outcomes for ESCC patients receiving nCRT, to develop risk-adapted treatment strategies, and to select patients who could participate in trials on new therapies.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/secundario , Quimioradioterapia Adyuvante , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patología , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Adulto , Anciano , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/mortalidad , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/terapia , Cisplatino/administración & dosificación , Neoplasias Esofágicas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Esofágicas/terapia , Femenino , Fluorouracilo/administración & dosificación , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Metástasis Linfática , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Inducción de Remisión , Factores de Riesgo , Fumar , Tasa de Supervivencia
7.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 20(10): 1043-9, 2011 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21823195

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is conflicting evidence regarding the potential interaction between clopidogrel and proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), with observational studies suggesting an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and clinical trials suggesting there is no such risk. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to assess CV outcomes of 9753 patients taking dual antiplatelet therapy of aspirin plus clopidogrel with or without a PPI after hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess our primary endpoint of re-hospitalization for ACS in overall sample and a propensity score matching subsample. RESULTS: Among patients taking clopidogrel plus aspirin, concomitant use of PPI was not associated with the risk of re-hospitalization for ACS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.12 [95%CI 0.72-1.73]). The findings were consistent in the propensity score matching cohort (adjusted HR 0.82 [95%CI 0.43-1.54]). Compared with PPI nonusers, there is no significant association between each specific PPI users and the risk of re-hospitalization for ACS (adjusted HR; omeprazole 0.96 [95%CI 0.35-2.66], pantoprazole 1.05 [95%CI 0.38-2.92], rabeprazole 0.60 [95%CI 0.17-2.17], esomeprazole 0.31 [95%CI 0.10-0.99], and lansoprazole 0.82 [95%CI 0.32-2.07]). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, this population-based cohort study found that concomitant use of clopidogrel and PPI in patients who received dual antiplatelet therapy after ACS was not associated with risk of ACS re-hospitalization. Together, our study and findings of recently published clinical trials suggest that there was no apparent CV interaction between clopidogrel and PPI in patients who received dual antiplatelet therapy.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo/epidemiología , Inhibidores de Agregación Plaquetaria/efectos adversos , Inhibidores de la Bomba de Protones/efectos adversos , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/complicaciones , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/tratamiento farmacológico , Anciano , Hidrocarburo de Aril Hidroxilasas/antagonistas & inhibidores , Aspirina/uso terapéutico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/complicaciones , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Clopidogrel , Estudios de Cohortes , Citocromo P-450 CYP2C19 , Bases de Datos Factuales , Interacciones Farmacológicas , Esomeprazol , Femenino , Interacciones de Hierba-Droga , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Omeprazol/efectos adversos , Omeprazol/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de Agregación Plaquetaria/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de la Bomba de Protones/uso terapéutico , Recurrencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Ticlopidina/efectos adversos , Ticlopidina/análogos & derivados , Ticlopidina/uso terapéutico , Resultado del Tratamiento
8.
Eur J Health Econ ; 11(3): 279-90, 2010 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19649666

RESUMEN

This study used Taiwan's National Health Insurance claim database (years 2000-2005) to examine how thiazolidinediones (TZD), a new class of drugs for diabetes, penetrated into Taiwan's hospitals, and its association with the concentration of all diabetes drugs at the hospital level. We collected 72 monthly summaries of diabetes prescriptions from all hospitals in Taiwan. Hospital-level pharmaceutical concentration was measured by penetration of TZD, defined as monthly market share of TZD in each hospital. Concentration of diabetes drugs was measured by Herfindahl-Hirschman indices. We found a negative association (coefficient = -0.3610) between TZD penetration and concentration of diabetes drug but a positive association between penetration of TZD and the volume of prescribed diabetes drugs (coefficient = 0.4088). In conclusion, hospital characteristics and volume of services determined the concentration of pharmaceuticals at the institution level, reflecting the heterogeneous competition between pharmaceutical companies within each hospital. Institution-level pharmaceutical concentration influences the adoption and penetration of new drugs.


Asunto(s)
Diabetes Mellitus/tratamiento farmacológico , Hospitales/estadística & datos numéricos , Comercialización de los Servicios de Salud , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/estadística & datos numéricos , Tiazolidinedionas/economía , Bases de Datos Factuales , Industria Farmacéutica , Competencia Económica , Hospitales/clasificación , Humanos , Programas Nacionales de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas/economía , Taiwán , Tiazolidinedionas/uso terapéutico
9.
Drug Saf ; 29(3): 261-72, 2006.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16524325

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Using national data (2001-2003), this study explored the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), angina, stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA) in long-term users of rofecoxib and celecoxib in Taiwan and compared this data with that for those using meloxicam. METHODS: Patients included in the study had used celecoxib, rofecoxib or meloxicam for at least 180 days. Data were taken from National Health Insurance database for the period from 2001 to 2003. Main outcome measurements were the occurrence of AMI, angina, stroke or TIA after the initiation of long-term continuous use of these drugs. Person-time exposures and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated based on data from 9602 eligible patients. RESULTS: In patients without a history of a cardiovascular event within the year before drug treatment began, the overall rates of AMI, angina, stroke and TIA were 1.1%, 0.6%, 2.0% and 0.6%, respectively. In those with cardiovascular events in the year before treatment began, the overall rates of AMI, angina, stroke and TIA were 5.0%, 4.8%, 6.6% and 5.8%, respectively. Compared with meloxicam users, celecoxib users had lower HRs for the development of AMI (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.63, 0.96) and stroke (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70, 0.93). Rofecoxib users were at no higher risk of cardiovascular events than those receiving meloxicam. Regardless of treatment, having had a cardiovascular event in the year before treatment began played a significant role in the development of the same cardiovascular event during the prescription period; the HRs associated with having had the same cardiovascular event in the past year, versus not having had such an event, were 3.02 (95% CI 1.44, 6.32) for AMI, 5.82 (95% CI 3.19, 10.63) for angina, 2.44 (95% CI 1.79, 3.33) for stroke and 7.16 (95% CI 3.70, 13.87) for TIA. CONCLUSIONS: Patients taking celecoxib had a lower risk of cardiovascular events than those taking meloxicam. Patients taking rofecoxib were not found to be at higher cardiovascular risk than those taking meloxicam. The most significant determinant of cardiovascular risk was a history of such cardiovascular disease in the year preceding treatment initiation. Patients with a history of other medical conditions also appeared to be at higher risk of adverse cardiovascular events.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/inducido químicamente , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Inhibidores de la Ciclooxigenasa 2/efectos adversos , Lactonas/efectos adversos , Pirazoles/efectos adversos , Sulfonamidas/efectos adversos , Sulfonas/efectos adversos , Tiazinas/efectos adversos , Tiazoles/efectos adversos , Enfermedad Aguda , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Angina de Pecho/inducido químicamente , Angina de Pecho/epidemiología , Celecoxib , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Humanos , Seguro de Servicios Farmacéuticos , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/inducido químicamente , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/epidemiología , Lactonas/uso terapéutico , Masculino , Meloxicam , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/inducido químicamente , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Programas Nacionales de Salud , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Pirazoles/uso terapéutico , Medición de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/inducido químicamente , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Sulfonamidas/uso terapéutico , Sulfonas/uso terapéutico , Taiwán/epidemiología , Tiazinas/uso terapéutico , Tiazoles/uso terapéutico , Factores de Tiempo
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