Validation and update of the minimal risk tool in patients suspected of chronic coronary syndrome.

Risk stratification in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) is important. Recently, the minimal-risk-tool (MRT) was developed to identify individuals with low CAD risk despite symptoms in order to avoid unnecessary testing. We aimed to validate and update the MRT-model in a contemporary cohort. The Dan-NICAD trial cohort, consisting of 1675 consecutive patients referred for coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA), was used to calculate the MRT-score based on the published fitted variable coefficients from the PROMISE and SCOT-HEART trials. Minimal risk was defined as zero calcium score, no coronary atherosclerosis at coronary CTA, and no cardiovascular events in the follow-up period. We tested an updated MRT-model by pooling the fitted variable coefficients from all three trials. A total of 1544 patients fulfilling the inclusion criteria were followed for 3.1 [2.7-3.4] years. In 710 (46%) patients, the criteria for minimal risk were fulfilled. Despite substantial coefficient variation, the MRTs based on the PROMISE, the SCOT-HEART and the updated MRT variables showed similar moderate to high discriminative performance for minimal risk estimation. Although all three models tended to underestimate minimal risk, the updated MRT had the best performance. Using a 75% minimal risk cut-off, the updated MRT showed a sensitivity of 11.6% (95% CI 9.3-14.2%) and specificity of 99.3% (95% CI 98.6-99.8%). An updated MRT model based on three large studies increased calibration compared to the existing MRT models, whereas discrimination was similar despite substantial coefficient variation. The updated MRT might supplement currently recommended pre-test probability models.

Thoracic Bone Mineral Density Derived from Cardiac CT Is Associated with Greater Fracture Rate.

Background Osteoporosis is a prevalent, under-diagnosed, and treatable disease associated with increased fracture risk. Bone mineral density (BMD) derived from cardiac CT may be used to determine fracture rate. Purpose To assess the association between fracture rate and thoracic BMD derived from cardiac CT. Materials and Methods This prospective cohort study included consecutive participants referred for cardiac CT for evaluation of ischemic heart disease between September 2014 and March 2016. End of follow-up was June 30, 2018. In all participants, volumetric BMD of three thoracic vertebrae was measured by using quantitative CT software. The primary and secondary outcomes were any incident fracture and any incident osteoporosis-related fracture registered in the National Patient Registry, respectively. Hazard ratios were assessed by using BMD categorized as very low (<80 mg/cm3), low (80-120 mg/cm3), or normal (>120 mg/cm3). The study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (identifier: NCT02264717). Results In total, 1487 participants (mean age, 57 years ± 9; age range, 40-80 years; 52.5% women) were included, of whom 179 (12.0%) had very low BMD. During follow-up (median follow-up, 3.1 years; interquartile range, 2.7-3.4 years; range, 0.2-3.8 years), 80 of 1487 (5.3%) participants were diagnosed with an incident fracture and in 31 of 80 participants, the fracture was osteoporosis related. In unadjusted Cox regressions analyses, very low BMD was association with a greater rate of any fracture (hazard ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.4, 4.7; P = .002) and any osteoporosis-related fracture (hazard ratio, 8.1; 95% CI: 2.4, 26.7; P = .001) compared with normal BMD. After adjusting for age and sex, very low BMD remained associated with any fracture (hazard ratio, 2.1; 95% CI: 1.1, 4.2) and any osteoporosis-related fracture (hazard ratio, 4.0; 95% CI: 1.1, 14.6). Conclusion Routine cardiac CT can be used to help measure thoracic bone mineral density (BMD) to identify individuals who have low BMD and a greater fracture rate. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Bredella in this issue.

Diagnosing coronary artery disease by sound analysis from coronary stenosis induced turbulent blood flow: diagnostic performance in patients with stable angina pectoris.

Optimizing risk assessment may reduce use of advanced diagnostic testing in patients with symptoms suggestive of stable coronary artery disease (CAD). Detection of diastolic murmurs from post-stenotic coronary turbulence with an acoustic sensor placed on the chest wall can serve as an easy, safe, and low-cost supplement to assist in the diagnosis of CAD. The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of an acoustic test (CAD-score) to detect CAD and compare it to clinical risk stratification and coronary artery calcium score (CACS). We prospectively enrolled patients with symptoms of CAD referred to either coronary computed tomography or invasive coronary angiography (ICA). All patients were tested with the CAD-score system. Obstructive CAD was defined as more than 50 % diameter stenosis diagnosed by quantitative analysis of the ICA. In total, 255 patients were included and obstructive CAD was diagnosed in 63 patients (28 %). Diagnostic accuracy evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves was 72 % for the CAD-score, which was similar to the Diamond-Forrester clinical risk stratification score, 79 % (p = 0.12), but lower than CACS, 86 % (p < 0.01). Combining the CAD-score and Diamond-Forrester score, AUC increased to 82 %, which was significantly higher than the standalone CAD-score (p < 0.01) and Diamond-Forrester score (p < 0.05). Addition of the CAD-score to the Diamond-Forrester score increased correct reclassification, categorical net-reclassification index = 0.31 (p < 0.01). This study demonstrates the potential use of an acoustic system to identify CAD. The combination of clinical risk scores and an acoustic test seems to optimize patient selection for diagnostic investigation.