Estimating the economic impact of acute coronary syndrome in New Zealand over time (ANZACS-QI 64): a national registry-based cost burden study.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the changes in costs associated with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) admissions in New Zealand (NZ) public hospitals over a 12-year period. DESIGN: A cost-burden study of ACS in NZ was conducted from the NZ healthcare system perspective. SETTING: Hospital admission costs were estimated using relevant diagnosis-related groups and their costs for publicly funded casemix hospitalisations, and applied to 190 364 patients with ACS admitted to NZ public hospitals between 2007 and 2018 identified from routine national hospital datasets. Trends in the costs of index ACS hospitalisation, hospital admissions costs, coronary revascularisation and all-cause mortality up to 1 year were evaluated. All costs were presented as 2019 NZ dollars. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Healthcare costs attributed to ACS admissions in NZ over time. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2018, there was a 42% decrease in costs attributed to ACS (NZ$7.7 million (M) to NZ$4.4 M per 100 000 per year), representing a decrease of NZ$298 827 per 100 000 population per year. Mean admission costs associated with each admission declined from NZ$18 411 in 2007 to NZ$16 898 over this period (p<0.001) after adjustment for key clinical and procedural characteristics. These reductions were against a background of increased use of coronary revascularisation (23.1% (2007) to 38.1% (2018)), declining ACS admissions (366-252 per 100 000 population) and an improvement in 1-year survival post-ACS. Nevertheless, the total ACS cost burden remained considerable at NZ$237 M in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: The economic cost of hospitalisations for ACS in NZ decreased considerably over time. Further studies are warranted to explore the association between reductions in ACS cost burden and changes in the management of ACS.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Supplemental Carnosine in Type 2 Diabetes.

In this paper, we assess the cost-effectiveness of 1 g daily of carnosine (an over the counter supplement) in addition to standard care for the management of type 2 diabetes and compare it to standard care alone. Dynamic multistate life table models were constructed in order to estimate both clinical outcomes and costs of Australians aged 18 years and above with and without type 2 diabetes over a ten-year period, 2020 to 2029. The dynamic nature of the model allowed for population change over time (migration and deaths) and accounted for the development of new cases of diabetes. The three health states were 'Alive without type 2 diabetes', 'Alive with type 2 diabetes' and 'Dead'. Transition probabilities, costs, and utilities were obtained from published sources. The main outcome of interest was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in terms of cost per year of life saved (YoLS) and cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Over the ten-year period, the addition of carnosine to standard care treatment resulted in ICERs (discounted) of AUD 34,836 per YoLS and AUD 43,270 per QALY gained. Assuming the commonly accepted willingness to pay threshold of AUD 50,000 per QALY gained, supplemental dietary carnosine may be a cost-effective treatment option for people with type 2 diabetes in Australia.

An economic evaluation of the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement Registry programme-subanalyses for Maori (ANZACS-QI 42).

AIMS: To evaluate the clinical and cost impacts of the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement programme (ANZACS-QI) specifically for Maori with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: Decision analytic Markov models were used to estimate the effectiveness and costs of the ANZACS-QI programme over four years of full coverage (2013 to 2016), against a hypothetical scenario in which the registry did not exist. The estimated return on investment (ROI) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) are reported. RESULTS: The ROI ratio for the ANZACS-QI programme for Maori over the four-year period of full coverage was 1.51; that is, every dollar spent on the programme resulted in a return of NZD $1.51. The estimated ICER was NZD $114,786 per year of life saved (YoLS) over a one-year time horizon, but extending the benefits accrued to five years reduced the ICER to NZD $20,173 per YoLS. CONCLUSIONS: The ANZACS-QI programme represents a sound investment for improving outcomes in the setting of ACS for Maori in New Zealand. Using highly conservative assumptions, the programme would be cost-saving based on an annual ROI ratio of 1.5.

An Economic Evaluation of the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement Registry Program (ANZACS-QI 28).

BACKGROUND: The All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) program comprises a clinical quality registry of acute coronary syndrome patients admitted to hospitals across New Zealand. Its primary purpose is to improve quality of care by promoting evidence- and guidelines-based practice, and benchmarking against performance targets. Few studies have examined the cost-effectiveness attributed to clinical quality registries. We aimed to evaluate the clinical and cost impacts of the ANZACS-QI program in New Zealand from both a societal and health care system perspective. METHODS: Using decision analytic Markov models, we estimated the effectiveness and costs of the ANZACS-QI program in each year over 4 years (2013-2016), against a hypothetical scenario where the registry did not exist. We assumed that the ANZACS-QI contributed to 15% of the temporal changes to patient mortality and hospital readmissions for myocardial infarction observed in the study period. Marginal costs of the registry and years of life saved were estimated. RESULTS: Over a one-year period, the return on investment (ROI) ratio for the ANZACS-QI program was 1.53; thus, every dollar spent on the program resulted in a return of NZD $1.53. (All dollars are in 2017 New Zealand dollars [NZD] unless otherwise stated). The estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was $113,327 per year of life saved (YoLS). Extending the time horizon to 5 years, reduced the ICER to $19,684 per YoLS. CONCLUSIONS: The ANZACS-QI program represents a sound investment for New Zealand. Even based on highly conservative assumptions, the program is cost saving for society, at a ROI ratio of about 1.5 each year.

Global Incidence of Frailty and Prefrailty Among Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Importance: Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome of significant public health importance, yet there is limited understanding of the risk of frailty development at a population level. Objective: To estimate the global incidence of frailty and prefrailty among community-dwelling adults 60 years or older. Data Sources: MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, Web of Science, CINAHL Plus, and AMED (Allied and Complementary Medicine Database) were searched from inception to January 2019 without language restrictions using combinations of the keywords frailty, older adults, and incidence. The reference lists of eligible studies were hand searched. Study Selection: In the systematic review, 2 authors undertook the search, article screening, and study selection. Cohort studies that reported or had sufficient data to compute incidence of frailty or prefrailty among community-dwelling adults 60 years or older at baseline were eligible. Data Extraction and Synthesis: The methodological quality of included studies was assessed using The Joanna Briggs Institute's Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence and Incidence Studies. Meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects (DerSimonian and Laird) model. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incidence of frailty (defined as new cases of frailty among robust or prefrail individuals) and incidence of prefrailty (defined as new cases of prefrailty among robust individuals), both over a specified duration. Results: Of 15 176 retrieved references, 46 observational studies involving 120 805 nonfrail (robust or prefrail) participants from 28 countries were included in this systematic review. Among the nonfrail individuals who survived a median follow-up of 3.0 (range, 1.0-11.7) years, 13.6% (13 678 of 100 313) became frail, with the pooled incidence rate being 43.4 (95% CI, 37.3-50.4; I2 = 98.5%) cases per 1000 person-years. The incidence of frailty was significantly higher in prefrail individuals than robust individuals (pooled incidence rates, 62.7 [95% CI, 49.2-79.8; I2 = 97.8%] vs 12.0 [95% CI, 8.2-17.5; I2 = 94.9%] cases per 1000 person-years, respectively; P for difference < .001). Among robust individuals in 21 studies who survived a median follow-up of 2.5 (range, 1.0-10.0) years, 30.9% (9974 of 32 268) became prefrail, with the pooled incidence rate being 150.6 (95% CI, 123.3-184.1; I2 = 98.9%) cases per 1000 person-years. The frailty and prefrailty incidence rates were significantly higher in women than men (frailty: 44.8 [95% CI, 36.7-61.3; I2 = 97.9%] vs 24.3 [95% CI, 19.6-30.1; I2 = 8.94%] cases per 1000 person-years; prefrailty: 173.2 [95% CI, 87.9-341.2; I2 = 99.1%] vs 129.0 [95% CI, 73.8-225.0; I2 = 98.5%] cases per 1000 person-years). The incidence rates varied by diagnostic criteria and country income level. The frailty and prefrailty incidence rates were significantly reduced when accounting for the risk of death. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study suggest that community-dwelling older adults are prone to developing frailty. Increased awareness of the factors that confer high risk of frailty in this population subgroup is vital to inform the design of interventions to prevent frailty and to minimize its consequences.

Can oral vitamin D prevent the cardiovascular diseases among migrants in Australia? Provider perspective using Markov modelling.

The study was designed to model the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of oral Vitamin D supplementation as a primary prevention strategy for cardiovascular disease among a migrant population in Australia. It was carried out in the Community Health Service, Kensington, Melbourne. Best-case scenario analysis using a Markov model was employed to look at the health care providers' perspective. Adult migrants who were vitamin D deficient and free from cardiovascular disease visiting the medical centre at least once during the period from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2012 were included in the study. The blood pressure-lowering effect of vitamin D was taken from a published meta-analysis and applied in the Framingham 10 year cardiovascular risk algorithm (with and without oral vitamin D supplements) to generate the probabilities of cardiovascular events. A Markov decision model was used to estimate the provider costs associated with the events and treatments. Uncertainties were derived by Monte Carlo simulation. Vitamin D oral supplementation (1000 IU/day) for 10 years could potentially prevent 31 (interquartile range (IQR) 26 to 37) non-fatal and 11 (IQR 10 to 15) fatal cardiovascular events in a migrant population of 10,000 assuming 100% compliance. The provider perspective incremental cost effectiveness per year of life saved was AU$3,992 (IQR 583 to 8558). This study suggests subsidised supplementation of oral vitamin D may be a cost effective intervention to reduce non-fatal and fatal cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk migrant populations.