Dynamic prediction of transition to psychosis using joint modelling.

Considerable research has been conducted seeking risk factors and constructing prediction models for transition to psychosis in individuals at ultra-high risk (UHR). Nearly all such research has only employed baseline predictors, i.e. data collected at the baseline time point, even though longitudinal data on relevant measures such as psychopathology have often been collected at various time points. Dynamic prediction, which is the updating of prediction at a post-baseline assessment using baseline and longitudinal data accumulated up to that assessment, has not been utilized in the UHR context. This study explored the use of dynamic prediction and determined if it could enhance the prediction of frank psychosis onset in UHR individuals. An emerging statistical methodology called joint modelling was used to implement the dynamic prediction. Data from the NEURAPRO study (n = 304 UHR individuals), an intervention study with transition to psychosis study as the primary outcome, were used to investigate dynamic predictors. Compared with the conventional approach of using only baseline predictors, dynamic prediction using joint modelling showed significantly better sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios. As dynamic prediction can provide an up-to-date prediction for each individual at each new assessment post entry, it can be a useful tool to help clinicians adjust their prognostic judgements based on the unfolding clinical symptomatology of the patients. This study has shown that a dynamic approach to psychosis prediction using joint modelling has the potential to aid clinicians in making decisions about the provision of timely and personalized treatment to patients concerned.

Traditional medicines used by Q'eqchi' Maya to treat diabetic symptoms and their antiglycation potential.

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE: Because of the recent increase in type 2 diabetes and the need for complementary treatments in remote communities in many parts of the world, we undertook a study of treatments for diabetic symptoms used by traditional Q'eqchi' Maya healers of Belize. We used quantitative ethnobotany to rank culturally important taxa and subsequent pharmacological and phytochemical studies to assess bioactivity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Antidiabetic plants identified in field interviews with traditional healers were ranked by syndromic importance value (SIV) based on 15 symptoms of diabetes. Species ranked with high SIV were tested in an assay relevant to many diabetes complications, the advanced glycation endproduct (AGE) inhibition assay. Active principles were identified by phytochemical analysis and bioassay. RESULTS: We collected over 70 plant species having a promising SIV score. The plants represented a broad range of neotropical taxa. Selected Q'eqchi' antidiabetic plants with high SIV were collected in bulk and tested in the advanced glycation endproduct (AGE) inhibition assay. All plant extracts showed AGE inhibition and the half maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) ranged from 40.8 to 733 µg/mL, while the most active species was Tynanthus guatemalensis Donn (Bignoniaceae). A linear regression showed a significant relationship between 1/ IC50 and SIV. Phytochemical analysis revealed the presence of verbascoside, as a major component and active principle of the T guatemalensis which had an IC50 = 5.1 µg/mL, comparable to the positive control quercetin. CONCLUSION: The results reveal a rich botanical tradition of antidiabetic symptom treatments among the Q'eqchi'. Study of highly ranked plants revealed their activity in AGE inhibition correlated with SIV. T. guatemalensis was identified as a promising species for further evaluation and local use.

Cognitive and affective perspectives on formation and maintenance of grandiose delusions of a patient with schizophrenia.

We report on a woman with first-episode schizophrenia with grandiose delusions. She developed a bizarre delusion that she was 'Jesus', who had special powers to talk to animals and predict the future. The grandiose delusions were maintained by her positive emotions, positive imagery of becoming an extraordinary person, and cognitive biases. With the application of cognitive and affective model for formulation of an intervention plan, it was found that the patient had improvement in lowered shamefulness about herself and skills of setting appropriate expectations. The assessment and treatment process of this patient shows the value of applying theory to case formulation and making a care plan for the case management service for patients with first-episode psychosis. This report has clear limitations in that it is a discussion of a single patient, and the case formulation is speculative at this time. The formation and maintenance of grandiose delusions are discussed from the cognitive and affective perspectives.

In vivo RAF signal transduction as a potential biomarker for sorafenib efficacy in patients with neuroendocrine tumours.

BACKGROUND: Targeted therapies elicit anticancer activity by exerting pharmacodynamic effects on specific molecular targets. Currently, there is limited use of pharmacodynamic assessment to guide drug administration in the routine oncology setting. METHODS: We developed a phosphoshift (pShift) flow cytometry-based test that measures RAF signal transduction capacity in peripheral blood cells, and evaluated it in a phase II clinical trial of oral sorafenib plus low-dose cyclophosphamide in patients with advanced neuroendocrine tumours (NETs), in order to predict clinical course and/or guide individual dose-titration. RESULTS: Twenty-two patients were enrolled. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3 months (95% CI 2-10.7), and one patient had a partial response. PFS was longer among five patients who demonstrated an increase in pShift after 7 days of sorafenib compared with those who did not (14.9 months vs 2.8 months; P=0.047). However, pShift did not add value to toxicity-based dose-titration. CONCLUSION: The pharmacodynamic assessment of RAF transduction may identify selected patients with advanced NETs most likely to benefit from the combination of sorafenib plus cyclophosphamide. Further investigation of this test as a potential biomarker is warranted.

Test-retest reliability in fMRI of language: group and task effects.

This paper explores how the test-retest reliability is modulated by different groups of participants and experimental tasks. A group of 12 healthy participants and a group of nine stroke patients performed the same language imaging experiment twice, test and retest, on different days. The experiment consists of four conditions, one audio condition and three audiovisual conditions in which the hands are either resting, gesturing, or performing self-adaptive movements. Imaging data were analyzed using multiple linear regression and the results were further used to generate receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for each condition for each individual subject. By using area under the curve as a comparison index, we found that stroke patients have less reliability across time than healthy participants, and that when the participants gesture during speech, their imaging data are more reliable than when they are performing hand movements that are not speech-associated. Furthermore, inter-subject variability is less in the gesture task than in any of the other three conditions for healthy participants, but not for stroke patients.

Transarterial chemoembolisation for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: results from a North American cancer centre.

AIMS: In Asian countries, transarterial chemoembolisation (TACE) has long been used for palliation of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without strong evidence of improved survival or quality of life. In 2002, a survival benefi of TACE was shown in two randomised controlled trials in Europe and Hong Kong. The effectiveness of interventions fo HCC is influenced by geographical factors related to diverse patient characteristics and protocols. Therefore, the validation of TACE as palliative modality for unresectable HCC requires confirmation in diverse patient populations. The aim of the present study was to assess the effectiveness of TACE for HCC in a North American population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a single centre prospective cohort study. Child-Pugh A cirrhosis or better patients wit unresectable HCC and without radiological evidence of metastatic disease or segmental portal vein thrombosis wer assessed between November 2001 and May 2004. Of 54 patients who satisfied the inclusion criteria, 47 underwent 80 TACE sessions. Chemoembolisation was carried out using selective hepatic artery injection of 75 mg/m(2) doxorubicin and lipiodol followed by an injection of embolic particles when necessary. Repeat treatments were carried out at 2-3 month intervals for recurrent disease. The primary outcome was overall survival; secondary outcomes were morbidity and tumour response. RESULTS: The survival probabilities at 1, 2 and 3 years were 76.6, 55.5 and 50%, respectively. At 6 months after the first intervention, 31% of patients had a partial response and 60% had stable disease by RECIST criteria. Minor adverse events occurred after 39% of TACEs and major adverse events after 20% of sessions, including two treatment-related deaths (4% of patients). One patient had complete cancer remission after undergoing three TACE treatments. Further progression of tumour growth was prevented in 91% of tumours at the 6 month point after the first TACE. At 3 months, serum levels of the tumour marker alpha-feto protein were significantly reduced in patients with elevated levels before TACE. CONCLUSIONS: The survival probabilities at 1 and 2 years after TACE were comparable with results in randomised studies from Europe and Asia. Most patients tolerated TACE well, but clinicians need to be aware that moderately severe sideeffects require close monitoring and prompt intervention.

Fine modulation in network activation during motor execution and motor imagery.

Motor imagery, the 'mental rehearsal of motor acts without overt movements', involves either a visual representation (visual imagery, VI) or mental simulation of movement, associated with a kinesthetic feeling (kinetic imagery, KI). Previous brain imaging work suggests that patterns of brain activation differ when comparing execution (E) with either type of imagery but the functional connectivity of the participating networks has not been studied. Using functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) and structural equation modeling, this study elucidates the inter-relationships among the relevant areas for each of the three motor behaviors. Our results suggest that networks underlying these behaviors are not identical, despite the extensive overlap between E and KI. Inputs to M1, which are facilitatory during E, have the opposite effect during KI, suggesting a physiological mechanism whereby the system prevents overt movements. Finally, this study highlights the role of the connection of superior parietal lobule to the supplementary motor area in both types of motor imagery.

Nutritional status of Korean Americans: implications for cancer risk.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVES: To examine nutrient intake of Korean Americans, especially those foods and supplements implicated in cancer. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey and descriptive analysis. SETTING: Chicago, IL. SAMPLE: 103 Korean Americans who were between 40 and 69 years of age. METHODS: An Instrument, culturally and linguistically adapted from the Health Habits and History Questionnaire, was administered to assess nutrient intake from food and vitamin and mineral supplements. Bilingual interviewers collected data at respondents' homes. FINDINGS: Relative to their diet in Korea, more than one-third of the respondents reported an increase in the consumption of beef, dairy products, coffee, soda, and bread, as well as a decrease in the intake of fish and rice and other grains. Compared to the general U.S. population included in the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), Korean Americans had a greater intake of carbohydrates and vitamins A and C and lower intake of total fat, cholesterol, and saturated fat. Moreover, the percentages of calories were higher from carbohydrates and lower from fat, sweets, and alcohol for Korean Americans than those reported by NHIS respondents. Gender, education, and marital status were significantly associated with nutrient intake. The use of daily vitamin and calcium supplements was similar between respondents and those from NHIS. CONCLUSIONS: At their stage of cultural adaptation, the incorporation of a larger quantity of Western food items did not make for a less healthy dietary pattern among respondents. Data showed that Korean Americans continued to consume diets more consistent with Korean than with American food patterns, in as much as greater than 60% of their calories came from carbohydrates and about 16% of calories from fat. As a group, respondents met the recommended dietary guidelines for most nutrients, except for dietary fiber and calcium. IMPLICATIONS FOR NURSING PRACTICE: Variation in dietary intake by age, culture, gender, and years in the United States is well accepted. Effective cancer prevention and initiatives for dietary reform call for the incorporation of available research findings and considerable attention to data gaps regarding Korean Americans and other Asian Americans and Pacific Islander populations. Culturally competent, community-based programs should include the reinforcement of positive traditional dietary habits, encourage the adaptation of healthy Western food items, as well as assist minority populations in developing strategies that will effectively correct likely deficiencies in diet.

Behavioral and cognitive interventions in the treatment of pain in children.

A wide range of behavioral and cognitive techniques have been found to be efficacious for helping children to cope with acute pain. Research into the clinical applicability of these interventions is at an early stage but increasingly is being recognized as an important future direction. Many existing interventions and assessment tools are reasonably easy to use, allowing practitioners to have the tools to identify children most vulnerable to pain and to significantly reduce pain-related distress in these children. For additional information from the Internet, please visit the UCLA Pediatric Pain Program Web site: http:¿members.xoom.com/UCLAPAIN/.

Alteration of memory in the reduction of children's distress during repeated aversive medical procedures.

The present study sought to reduce children's distress during aversive medical procedures using a brief, cost-effective intervention aimed at reframing memory. Fifty children diagnosed with leukemia (25 treatment, 25 attention control, aged 3-18) were observed as they underwent 3 consecutive lumbar punctures (LPs; baseline, postintervention, and follow-up). Self-report, physiological, and observable distress measures were collected before and after each LP. At posttreatment, children in the intervention group showed reductions in anticipatory physiological and self-report ratings relative to the control group. At follow-up, these effects generalized to reductions in procedural distress. These results suggest that (a) a simple memory-based intervention is efficacious at reducing children's distress and (b) benefits from this intervention are maintained over 1 week even without continued intervention.

Identification of three novel unique proteins in seed oil bodies of sesame.

Plant seeds store triacylglycerols in discrete organelles called oil bodies. An oil body preserves a matrix of triacylglycerols surrounded by a monolayer of phospholipids embedded with abundant structural proteins termed oleosins and probably some uninvestigated minor proteins of higher molecular mass. Three polypeptides of 27, 37, and 39 kDa (temporarily denominated as Sop1, Sop2, and Sop3) were regularly co-purified with seed oil bodies of sesame. Comparison of amino acid composition indicated that they were substantially less hydrophobic than the known oleosins, and thus should not be aggregated multimers of oleosins. The results of immuno-recognition to sesame proteins extracted from subcellular fractions of mature seeds, various tissues, and oil bodies purified from different stages of seed formation revealed that these three polypeptides were unique proteins gathered in oil bodies, accompanying oleosins and triacylglycerols, during the active assembly of the organelles in maturing seeds. Both in vivo and in intro, immunofluorescence labeling using secondary antibodies conjugated with FITC (fluorescein isothiocyanate) confirmed the localization of these three polypeptides in oil bodies.

A Rap guanine nucleotide exchange factor enriched highly in the basal ganglia.

Ras proteins, key regulators of growth, differentiation, and malignant transformation, recently have been implicated in synaptic function and region-specific learning and memory functions in the brain. Rap proteins, members of the Ras small G protein superfamily, can inhibit Ras signaling through the Ras/Raf-1/mitogen-activated protein (MAP) kinase pathway or, through B-Raf, can activate MAP kinase. Rap and Ras proteins both can be activated through guanine nucleotide exchange factors (GEFs). Many Ras GEFs, but to date only one Rap GEF, have been identified. We now report the cloning of a brain-enriched gene, CalDAG-GEFI, which has substrate specificity for Rap1A, dual binding domains for calcium (Ca2+) and diacylglycerol (DAG), and enriched expression in brain basal ganglia pathways and their axon-terminal regions. Expression of CalDAG-GEFI activates Rap1A and inhibits Ras-dependent activation of the Erk/MAP kinase cascade in 293T cells. Ca2+ ionophore and phorbol ester strongly and additively enhance this Rap1A activation. By contrast, CalDAG-GEFII, a second CalDAG-GEF family member that we cloned and found identical to RasGRP [Ebinu, J. O., Bottorff, D. A., Chan, E. Y. W., Stang, S. L., Dunn, R. J. & Stone, J. C. (1998) Science 280, 1082-1088], exhibits a different brain expression pattern and fails to activate Rap1A, but activates H-Ras, R-Ras, and the Erk/MAP kinase cascade under Ca2+ and DAG modulation. We propose that CalDAG-GEF proteins have a critical neuronal function in determining the relative activation of Ras and Rap1 signaling induced by Ca2+ and DAG mobilization. The expression of CalDAG-GEFI and CalDAG-GEFII in hematopoietic organs suggests that such control may have broad significance in Ras/Rap regulation of normal and malignant states.

A new method for seed oil body purification and examination of oil body integrity following germination.

Plant seeds store triacylglycerols as energy sources for germination and postgerminative growth of seedlings. The triacylglycerols are preserved in small, discrete, intracellular organelles called oil bodies. A new method was developed to purify seed oil bodies. The method included extraction, flotation by centrifugation, detergent washing, ionic elution, treatment with a chaotropic agent, and integrity testing by use of hexane. These processes subsequently removed non-specifically associated or trapped proteins within the oil bodies. Oil bodies purified by this method maintained their integrity and displayed electrostatic repulsion and steric hindrance on their surface. Compared with the previous procedure, this method allowed higher purification of oil bodies, as demonstrated by SDS-PAGE using five species of oilseeds. Oil bodies purified from sesame were further analyzed by two-dimensional gel electrophoresis and revealed two potential oleosin isoforms. The integrity of oil bodies in germinating sesame seedlings was examined by hexane extraction. Our results indicated that consumption of triacylglycerols reduced gradually the total amount of oil bodies in seedlings, whereas no alteration was observed in the integrity of remaining oil bodies. This observation implies that oil bodies in germinating seeds are not degraded simultaneously. It is suggested that glyoxisomes, with the assistance of mitochondria, fuse and digest oil bodies one at a time, while the remaining oil bodies are preserved intact during the whole period of germination.

Downstaging of advanced rectal cancer following combined preoperative chemotherapy and high dose radiation.

PURPOSE: To assess the potential downstaging of advanced rectal cancer with combined preoperative chemoradiation. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Thirty-one patients with fixed rectal cancers (stage > or = cT3) were treated with concomitant preoperative chemotherapy and high-dose radiation in an effort to improve resectability. Three (10%) patients had partially fixed low rectal cancers, 24 (77%) patients had fixed tumors, and 4 (13%) had advanced fixation with pelvic sidewall invasion. Radiation was delivered to the whole pelvis using shaped anterior and posterior and lateral fields to 45 Gy followed by a boost to the tumor. Median total radiation dose was 55.8 Gy. Chemotherapy consisted of low dose continuous infusion of 5-FU (200-300 mg/m2/day) for the duration of radiation treatment. All 31 patients underwent surgical resection of tumor 6-8 weeks following treatment. Median follow up is 24 months (range 9-60). RESULTS: Twenty-three (74%) of the tumors were clinically downstaged following preoperative treatment. Of 24 fixed cancers, 11 (46%) became mobile, 6 (25%) became partially fixed, and 7 remained fixed. Of the four tumors with advanced fixation, two (50%) became mobile and two (50%) no longer had tumor extension to the pelvic sidewall. Two of the three initially partially fixed cancers became mobile and one remained partially fixed. Following surgery, the pathologic postradiation T-stages were as follows: T0: 10%, T1: 0%, T2: 32%, T3: 42%, and T4:16%. Seven patients (23%) were also node-positive (T0-2: 2, T3: 4, T4: 1), and two patients (6%) had liver metastases at surgery. Preoperative chemoradiation was well tolerated. There was no significant hematological toxicity. Acute grade 3 gastrointestinal toxicity was seen in six patients requiring a short hospitalization for dehydration and/or abdominal discomfort. No patient developed grade 4 toxicity. Five patients (16%) developed local recurrence of disease (T0-2: 0/13, T3: 1/13, and T4: 4/5). The actuarial 3-year survival is 68%. CONCLUSIONS: Concomitant preoperative chemoradiation using low dose continuous infusional 5-FU for advanced rectal cancer is relatively safe with acceptable morbidity. This approach is associated with considerable clinical and pathologic downstaging of cancer. Tumor resectability is improved with potential for improved local control of disease and survival.

Variation in hospital length of stay for acute myocardial infarction in Ontario, Canada.

Unexplained variation in length of stay (LOS) following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been observed among American hospitals. We explored this phenomenon in the universal hospital care system of Ontario, Canada's largest province, analyzing general hospital discharge abstracts for all patients with a primary diagnosis of AMI. Case homogeneity was increased by excluding inter-hospital transfers, in-hospital deaths, patients with revascularization during the index admission and patients with severe comorbid conditions. This left 11,411 records of patients in 187 hospitals from April 1, 1990 to March 31, 1991. The mean length of stay was 9.9 days with standard deviation of 3.8. Available patient and hospital characteristics explained only 12% of the individual variation in LOS. Interinstitutional variation remained highly significant after controlling for patients' characteristics within the 87 hospitals admitting more than 50 cases per annum; these hospitals accounted for 84% of the eligible provincial admissions. The grand mean length of stay for 87 hospitals was 10 days, ranging from 6.6 to 12.9 days. Stepwise multiple linear regression analyses showed that lower caseload was associated with an increased length of hospitalization. Thus, despite Ontario's uniform system of hospital funding and medical insurance, a large amount of unexplained variation in length of stay exists for patients hospitalized with AMI, affecting thousands of bed-days per annum.

Aromatase gene is amplified in MCF-7 human breast cancer cells.

The levels of the aromatase gene and its expression in MCF-7 human breast cancer cells and seven additional cultured cells were investigated. Using normal human foreskin fibroblasts as the control, the aromatase gene appeared to be amplified in MCF-7 cells as shown by Southern and DNA slot blot analyses utilizing human placental aromatase cDNA as the probe. However, the promoter I.1 and the first exon of the aromatase gene were not amplified in MCF-7 cells based on results obtained from DNA slot blot analysis using oligonucleotide probes having sequences derived from those regions of human aromatase gene. Aromatase was expressed at a very low level in this cell line as indicated by Northern blot analysis to measure the level of aromatase mRNA, immunoprecipitation analysis to measure the level of aromatase protein, and aromatase activity measurement. Furthermore, nucleotide sequence analysis of the aromatase cDNA obtained from MCF-7 cells by PCR techniques, revealed no sequence difference from that of the enzyme expressed in placenta. These results lead us to conclude that the expression of aromatase in MCF-7 cells is under the control of an unusual promoter and aromatase gene expression is repressed at the transcriptional level in these cells.

Optimal antithrombotic therapy following aortocoronary bypass: a meta-analysis.

To evaluate the role of antithrombotic therapy, on preserving graft patency, we performed a meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials involving aspirin (ASA), dipyridamole (D), anticoagulants (AC) and placebo or nontreatment controls (P). Manual literature searches were performed supplemented by computerized MEDLINE listings complete to July 1991. Saphenous vein graft occlusion was determined by angiography (patients with > or = 1 distal anastomotic occlusion). The trial data were aggregated with the methods of Mantel and Haenszel. The results are reported as odds ratios (OR) +/- 95% confidence intervals (CI). Seventeen trials were evaluated. Aspirin strongly influenced graft occlusion [ASA +/- D vs P: OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.51, 0.71, P < 0.0001], but dipyridamole provided no additional benefit [ASA+D vs ASA: OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.72, 1.24, P = 0.71]. Anticoagulants reduced graft occlusion [AC vs P: OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.33, 0.93, P = 0.025] and the results were similar to that achieved with aspirin [ASA vs AC: OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.62, 1.44, P = 0.87]. The combination of aspirin and anticoagulants was superior to anticoagulants alone in two limited trials [ASA+AC vs AC: OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.33, 0.88, P = 0.01]. A low (100 mg) to medium (325 mg) daily aspirin dosage was more effective than a high dose (975 mg). Early postoperative treatment (< or = 6 h) strongly influenced graft occlusion while preoperative administration provided no additional benefit. No mortality advantage was identified for any antithrombotic therapy. Aspirin or anticoagulants enhance saphenous vein graft patency following aortocoronary bypass surgery, and a combination thereof deserves further investigation in a trial large enough to detect the effects of these treatments with respect to clinical events.

Transmitter content and afferent connections of estrogen-sensitive progestin receptor-containing neurons in the primate hypothalamus.

Progestin receptor-containing cells in the hypothalamus of the adult female green monkey (Cercopithecus aethiops) were examined by double-label immunocytochemical methods to determine their anatomical location, neurotransmitter content and afferent connections. Animals were ovariectomized and administered either estradiol valerate or the oil injection vehicle, and were sacrificed after 10 days of treatment. Using a monoclonal antibody raised against rabbit uterine progestin receptor (PR), the distribution of PR-immunoreactive cells in the mediobasal hypothalamus and the effect of estrogen treatment on this distribution was determined. PR-immunoreactive cells were found throughout the ventromedial nucleus (VMN), in the area between the VMN and fornix, and in the medial portion of the infundibular nucleus. Estrogen treatment dramatically increased both the number of labeled cells and the intensity of immunoreaction product in these regions. In double-immunostained sections, boutons immunoreactive for antigens indicative of serotonin, pro-opiomelanocortin derived peptides, GABA, catecholamine, neuropeptide Y, substance P, cholecystokinin, and somatostatin were demonstrated to establish synaptic contact with the soma of PR-immunoreactive hypothalamic neurons. In colchicine-pretreated animals, all PR-containing neurons in the mediobasal hypothalamus were found to contain immunoreactivity for glutamic acid decarboxylase, the enzyme required for synthesis of GABA. No evidence of colocalization with other antigens, including LHRH, was observed. Because LHRH neurons are known to receive a rich GABAergic innervation PR-containing GABAergic cells may represent steroid-sensitive sites of integration for inputs from other neural systems involved in the control of gonadotropin secretion.