RESUMO
Shared decision making (SDM) has been advocated to improve patient care, patient decision acceptance, patient-provider communication, patient motivation, adherence, and patient reported outcomes. Documentation of SDM is endorsed in several society guidelines and is a condition of reimbursement for selected cardiovascular and cardiac arrhythmia procedures. However, many clinicians argue that SDM already occurs with clinical encounter discussions or the process of obtaining informed consent and note the additional imposed workload of using and documenting decision aids without validated tools or evidence that they improve clinical outcomes. In reality, SDM is a process and can be done without decision tools, although the process may be variable. Also, SDM advocates counter that the low-risk process of SDM need not be held to the high bar of demonstrating clinical benefit and that increasing the quality of decision making should be sufficient. Our review leverages a multidisciplinary group of experts in cardiology, cardiac electrophysiology, epidemiology, and SDM, as well as a patient advocate. Our goal is to examine and assess SDM methodology, tools, and available evidence on outcomes in patients with heart rhythm disorders to help determine the value of SDM, assess its possible impact on electrophysiological procedures and cardiac arrhythmia management, better inform regulatory requirements, and identify gaps in knowledge and future needs.
Assuntos
Arritmias Cardíacas/terapia , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Tomada de Decisão Compartilhada , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Técnicas Eletrofisiológicas Cardíacas , Arritmias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Arritmias Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Medicina Baseada em Evidências , Humanos , Participação do Paciente , Segurança do Paciente , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
The field of cardiac electrophysiology has been on the cutting edge of advanced digital technologies for many years. More recently, medical device development through traditional clinical trials has been supplemented by direct to consumer products with advancement of wearables and health care apps. The rapid growth of innovation along with the mega-data generated has created challenges and opportunities. This review summarizes the regulatory landscape, applications to clinical practice, opportunities for virtual clinical trials, the use of artificial intelligence to streamline and interpret data, and integration into the electronic medical records and medical practice. Preparation of the new generation of physicians, guidance and promotion by professional societies, and advancement of research in the interpretation and application of big data and the impact of digital technologies on health outcomes will help to advance the adoption and the future of digital health care.
Assuntos
Arritmias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Técnicas Eletrofisiológicas Cardíacas/instrumentação , Tecnologia de Sensoriamento Remoto , Smartphone , Telemedicina/instrumentação , Dispositivos Eletrônicos Vestíveis , Arritmias Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Arritmias Cardíacas/terapia , Inteligência Artificial , Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Atitude Frente aos Computadores , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Difusão de Inovações , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Humanos , Aplicativos Móveis , Participação do Paciente , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , PrognósticoRESUMO
(1) Background: Magnesium supplementation may be effective for the prevention of cardiometabolic diseases, but the mechanisms are unclear. Proteomic approaches can assist in identifying the underlying mechanisms. (2) Methods: We collected repeated blood samples from 52 individuals enrolled in a double-blind trial which randomized participants 1:1 to oral magnesium supplementation (400 mg magnesium/day in the form of magnesium oxide) or a matching placebo for 10 weeks. Plasma levels of 91 proteins were measured at baseline with follow-up samples using the Olink Cardiovascular Disease III proximity extension assay panel and were modeled as arbitrary units in a log2 scale. We evaluated the effect of oral magnesium supplementation for changes in protein levels and the baseline association between serum magnesium and protein levels. The Holm procedure was used to adjust for multiple comparisons. (3) Results: Participants were 73% women, 94% white, and had a mean age of 62. Changes in proteins did not significantly differ between the two intervention groups after correction for multiple comparisons. The most statistically significant effects were on myoglobin [difference -0.319 log2 units, 95% confidence interval (CI) (-0.550, -0.088), p = 0.008], tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase type 5 (-0.187, (-0.328, -0.045), p = 0.011), tumor necrosis factor ligand superfamily member 13B (-0.181, (-0.332, -0.031), p = 0.019), ST2 protein (-0.198, (-0.363, -0.032), p = 0.020), and interleukin-1 receptor type 1 (-0.144, (-0.273, -0.015), p = 0.029). Similarly, none of the associations of baseline serum magnesium with protein levels were significant after correction for multiple comparisons. (4) Conclusions: Although we did not identify statistically significant effects of oral magnesium supplementation in this relatively small study, this study demonstrates the value of proteomic approaches for the investigation of mechanisms underlying the beneficial effects of magnesium supplementation. Clinical Trials Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02837328.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Suplementos Nutricionais , Óxido de Magnésio/administração & dosagem , Proteômica/métodos , Administração Oral , Biomarcadores/sangue , Proteínas Sanguíneas , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Humanos , Proteína 1 Semelhante a Receptor de Interleucina-1/sangue , Magnésio/sangue , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mioglobina , Fosfatase Ácida Resistente a Tartarato/sangue , Membro 13 da Superfamília de Ligantes de Fatores de Necrose Tumoral/sangueRESUMO
Importance: Warfarin is prescribed to patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) for the prevention of cardioembolic complications. Whether warfarin adversely affects bone health is controversial. The availability of alternate direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) options now make it possible to evaluate the comparative safety of warfarin in association with fracture risk. Objective: To test the hypothesis that, among patients with nonvalvular AF, use of DOACs vs warfarin is associated with lower risk of incident fracture. Design, Setting, and Participants: This comparative effectiveness cohort study used the MarketScan administrative claims databases to identify patients with nonvalvular AF and who were prescribed oral anticoagulants from January 1, 2010, through September 30, 2015. To reduce confounding, patients were matched on age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age [>65 years = 1 point; >75 years = 2 points], diabetes, and previous stroke/transient ischemic attack [2 points], vascular disease) score, and high-dimensional propensity scores. The final analysis included 167â¯275 patients with AF. Data were analyzed from February 27, 2019 to September 18, 2019. Exposures: Warfarin and DOACs (dabigatran etexilate, rivaroxaban, and apixaban). Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident hip fracture, fracture requiring hospitalization, and all clinical fractures (identified using inpatient or outpatient claims) defined by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Results: In the study population of 167â¯275 patients with AF (38.0% women and 62.0% men; mean [SD] age, 68.9 [12.5] years), a total of 817 hip fractures, 2013 hospitalized fractures, and 7294 total fractures occurred during a mean (SD) follow-up of 16.9 (13.7) months. In multivariable-adjusted, propensity score-matched Cox proportional hazards regression models, relative to new users of warfarin, new users of DOACs tended to be at lower risk of fractures requiring hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR], 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79-0.96) and all clinical fractures (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.88-0.98), whereas the association with hip fractures (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.78-1.07) was not statistically significant. When comparing individual DOACs with warfarin, the strongest findings were for apixaban (HR for hip fracture, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.45-0.98]; HR for fractures requiring hospitalization, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.47-0.78]; and HR for all clinical fractures, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.75-0.98]). In subgroup analyses, DOACs appeared more beneficial among patients with AF who also had a diagnosis of osteoporosis than among those without a diagnosis of osteoporosis. Conclusions and Relevance: In this real-world population of 167â¯275 patients with AF, use of DOACs-particularly apixaban-compared with warfarin use was associated with lower fracture risk. These associations were more pronounced among patients with a diagnosis of osteoporosis. Given the potential adverse effects of warfarin on bone health, these findings suggest that caution should be used when prescribing warfarin to patients with AF at high risk of fracture.
Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores do Fator Xa/uso terapêutico , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Varfarina/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Pesquisa Comparativa da Efetividade , Dabigatrana/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Proteção , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Rivaroxabana/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent and strongly associated with higher cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Machine learning is increasingly used to identify novel predictors of CVD risk, but prediction improvements beyond established risk scores are uncertain. We evaluated improvements in predicting 5-year AF risk when adding novel candidate variables identified by machine learning to the CHARGE-AF Enriched score, which includes age, race/ethnicity, height, weight, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, current smoking, use of antihypertensive medication, diabetes, and NT-proBNP. We included 3,534 participants (mean age, 61.3 years; 52.0% female) with complete data from the prospective Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Incident AF was defined based on study electrocardiograms and hospital discharge diagnosis ICD-9 codes, supplemented by Medicare claims. Prediction performance was evaluated using Cox regression and a parsimonious model was selected using LASSO. Within 5 years of baseline, 124 participants had incident AF. Compared with the CHARGE-AF Enriched model (c-statistic, 0.804), variables identified by machine learning, including biomarkers, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging variables, electrocardiogram variables, and subclinical CVD variables, did not significantly improve prediction. A 23-item score derived by machine learning achieved a c-statistic of 0.806, whereas a parsimonious model including the clinical risk factors age, weight, current smoking, NT-proBNP, coronary artery calcium score, and cardiac troponin-T achieved a c-statistic of 0.802. This analysis confirms that the CHARGE-AF Enriched model and a parsimonious 6-item model performed similarly to a more extensive model derived by machine learning. In conclusion, these simple models remain the gold standard for risk prediction of AF, although addition of the coronary artery calcium score should be considered.
Assuntos
Aterosclerose/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/etnologia , Etnicidade , Previsões , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Aterosclerose/diagnóstico , Aterosclerose/etnologia , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/etiologia , Eletrocardiografia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Imagem Cinética por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Oral anticoagulation (OAC) prescribed to AF patients for the prevention of cardioembolic complications likely has the added benefit of preventing venous thromboembolism (VTE). This study evaluated, among AF patients who are anticoagulated, whether type of OAC was associated with subsequent VTE risk. METHODS: Non-valvular AF patients prescribed OACs between 2010 and September 2015 were identified via the MarketScan administrative claims databases. OACs included warfarin and direct OACs (DOACs: dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban). Incident VTE was defined by ICD-9-CM codes. Patients were matched on age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc, and high-dimensional propensity scores. The final analysis included 117,912 AF patients. RESULTS: In total, 1357 VTE events accrued over a mean follow-up of 484 days. In multivariable-adjusted, propensity score-matched Cox models, relative to new users of warfarin, risk of incident VTE was lower among new users of dabigatran [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) = 0.55 (0.47-0.66)] and apixaban [0.51 (0.39-0.68)], but similar among new users of rivaroxaban [1.01 (0.87-1.19)]. In head-to-head DOAC comparisons, VTE risk was lower among users of dabigatran [0.48 (0.36-0.64)] and apixaban [0.61 (0.47-0.78)] vs rivaroxaban. Findings were mostly similar across patient sub-groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this large practice-based population of AF patients prescribed OACs for primary prevention of stroke and systemic embolization, subsequent risk of VTE was lowest among those prescribed apixaban and dabigatran, while risk was similar with prescriptions for warfarin and rivaroxaban. Among AF patients prescribed OACs, lowering the risk of VTE may be an additional benefit of apixaban and dabigatran, beyond the reduced bleeding risk observed in randomized clinical trials.
Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Administração Oral , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dabigatrana/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Rivaroxabana/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
Low magnesium may increase the risk of atrial fibrillation. We conducted a double-blind pilot randomized trial to assess adherence to oral magnesium supplementation (400 mg of magnesium oxide daily) and a matching placebo, estimate the effect on circulating magnesium concentrations, and evaluate the feasibility of using an ambulatory heart rhythm monitoring device (ZioPatch) for assessing premature atrial contractions. A total of 59 participants were randomized; 73% were women, and the mean age was 62 years. A total of 98% of the participants completed the follow-up. In the magnesium supplement group, 75% of pills were taken, and in the placebo group, 83% were taken. The change in magnesium concentrations was significantly greater for those given the magnesium supplements than for those given the placebo (0.07; 95% confidence interval: 0.03, 0.12 mEq/L; p = 0.002). The ZioPatch wear time was approximately 13 of the requested 14 days at baseline and follow-up. There was no difference by intervention assignment in the change in log premature atrial contractions burden, glucose, or blood pressure. Gastrointestinal changes were more common among the participants assigned magnesium (50%) than among those assigned the placebo (7%), but only one person discontinued participation. In sum, compliance with the oral magnesium supplementation was very good, and acceptance of the ZioPatch monitoring was excellent. These findings support the feasibility of a larger trial for atrial fibrillation (AF) prevention with oral magnesium supplementation.
Assuntos
Antiarrítmicos/administração & dosagem , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Complexos Atriais Prematuros/tratamento farmacológico , Suplementos Nutricionais , Frequência Cardíaca/efeitos dos fármacos , Óxido de Magnésio/administração & dosagem , Administração Oral , Idoso , Antiarrítmicos/efeitos adversos , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/fisiopatologia , Complexos Atriais Prematuros/diagnóstico , Complexos Atriais Prematuros/fisiopatologia , Suplementos Nutricionais/efeitos adversos , Método Duplo-Cego , Eletrocardiografia Ambulatorial/instrumentação , Estudos de Viabilidade , Feminino , Humanos , Óxido de Magnésio/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Adesão à Medicação , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Minnesota , Projetos Piloto , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Processamento de Sinais Assistido por Computador , Fatores de Tempo , Transdutores , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Randomized clinical trials comparing direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) to warfarin in cancer patients have not been performed. We evaluated the effectiveness and associated risk of DOACs vs warfarin, as well as comparisons of DOACs, in a large population of cancer patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Using the MarketScan databases, we identified 16 096 AF patients (mean age, 74 years) initiating oral anticoagulant and being actively treated for cancer between 2010 and 2014. Anticoagulant users were matched by age, sex, enrollment date, and drug initiation date. Study end points were identified with diagnostic codes and included ischemic stroke, severe bleeding, other bleeding, and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Cox regression was used to estimate associations of anticoagulants with study end points. Compared with warfarin, rates of bleeding (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]) were similar in rivaroxaban (1.09 [0.79, 1.39]) and dabigatran (0.96 [0.72, 1.27]) users, whereas apixaban users experienced lower rates (0.37 [0.17, 0.79]). Rates of ischemic stroke did not differ among anticoagulant users. Compared with warfarin, rate of VTE (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]) was lower among rivaroxaban (0.51 [0.41, 0.63]), dabigatran (0.28 [0.21, 0.38]), and apixaban (0.14 [0.07, 0.32]) users. In head-to-head comparisons among DOACs, dabigatran users had lower rates of VTE than rivaroxaban users; apixaban users had lower rates of VTE and severe bleeding than rivaroxaban users. In this population of patients with AF and cancer, DOAC users experienced lower or similar rates of bleeding and stroke compared with warfarin users, and a lower rate of incident VTE.
Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Varfarina/uso terapêutico , Administração Oral , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Anticoagulantes/farmacologia , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Dabigatrana/efeitos adversos , Dabigatrana/farmacologia , Dabigatrana/uso terapêutico , Bases de Dados Factuais , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Rivaroxabana/efeitos adversos , Rivaroxabana/farmacologia , Rivaroxabana/uso terapêutico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Resultado do Tratamento , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Varfarina/efeitos adversos , Varfarina/farmacologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Rivaroxaban is an oral anticoagulant approved in the US for prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We determined the effectiveness and associated risks of rivaroxaban versus other oral anticoagulants in a large real-world population. METHODS: We selected NVAF patients initiating oral anticoagulant use in 2010-2014 enrolled in MarketScan databases. Rivaroxaban users were matched with warfarin and dabigatran users by age, sex, enrolment date, anticoagulant initiation date, and high-dimensional propensity score. Study endpoints, including ischemic stroke, intracranial bleeding (ICB), myocardial infarction (MI), and gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding, were identified from inpatient diagnostic codes. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess associations between type of anticoagulant and outcomes. RESULTS: The analysis included 44,340 rivaroxaban users matched to 89,400 warfarin and 16,957 dabigatran users (38% female, mean age 70) with 12 months of mean follow-up. Anticoagulant-naïve rivaroxaban initiators, but not those switching from warfarin, had lower risk of ischemic stroke [hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)): 0.75 (0.62, 0.91)] and ICB [HR (95%CI): 0.55, (0.39, 0.78)] than warfarin users. In contrast, anticoagulant-experienced rivaroxaban initiators had higher risk of GI bleeding than warfarin users [HR (95%CI): 1.55 (1.32, 1.83)]. Endpoint rates were similar when comparing anticoagulant-naïve rivaroxaban and dabigatran initiators, with the exception of higher GI bleeding risk in rivaroxaban users [HR (95%CI) 1.28 (1.06, 1.54)]. There were no significant differences in the risk of MI among the comparison groups. CONCLUSION: In this large real-world sample of NVAF patients, effectiveness and risks of rivaroxaban versus warfarin differed by prior anticoagulant status, while effectiveness of rivaroxaban versus dabigatran differed in GI bleeding risk.
Assuntos
Antitrombinas/administração & dosagem , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Coagulação Sanguínea/efeitos dos fármacos , Dabigatrana/administração & dosagem , Inibidores do Fator Xa/administração & dosagem , Rivaroxabana/administração & dosagem , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Varfarina/administração & dosagem , Administração Oral , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antitrombinas/efeitos adversos , Fibrilação Atrial/sangue , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Pesquisa Comparativa da Efetividade , Dabigatrana/efeitos adversos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Inibidores do Fator Xa/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Razão de Chances , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Rivaroxabana/efeitos adversos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/sangue , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Varfarina/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Effectiveness data on novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) by prior warfarin use are limited. METHODS: We used data from the US MarketScan databases from 2009 to 2012. NVAF patients initiating dabigatran or rivaroxaban were matched with up to 5 warfarin users. Propensity score-adjusted Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for relevant endpoints in NOACs versus warfarin users. Separate analyses were conducted to compare anticoagulant-naïve users of NOACs and those switching from warfarin. RESULTS: Among 32,918 dabigatran, 3301 rivaroxaban, and 109,447 warfarin users with NVAF, 225 intracranial bleeds, 1035 ischemic strokes, 958 myocardial infarctions, and 1842 gastrointestinal bleeds were identified. Compared to warfarin users, patients initiating NOACs had similar ischemic stroke rates and lower intracranial bleeding rates, while the gastrointestinal bleeding rate was higher in dabigatran users than warfarin users. Associations of dabigatran with ischemic stroke risk differed between anticoagulant-naïve initiators and patients switching from warfarin; dabigatran was associated with lower ischemic stroke rates in naïve users (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.52-0.82) but not in switchers (HR 1.20, 95% CI 0.95-1.51), compared to warfarin. Risk of stroke and bleeding was not different between rivaroxaban and warfarin users. CONCLUSIONS: Real-world effectiveness of NOACs (compared to warfarin) for diverse outcomes was comparable to efficacy reported in published clinical trials. However, harms and benefits of switching from warfarin to dabigatran need to be evaluated.
Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Dabigatrana/uso terapêutico , Rivaroxabana/uso terapêutico , Varfarina/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Dabigatrana/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/prevenção & controle , Rivaroxabana/efeitos adversos , Varfarina/efeitos adversosRESUMO
High serum phosphorus levels have been linked with vascular calcification and greater cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We assessed whether serum phosphorus was associated with the atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence in a large community-based cohort in the United States. Our analysis included 14,675 participants (25% black, 45% men) free of AF at baseline (1987 to 1989) and with measurements of fasting serum phosphorus from the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study. The incidence of AF was ascertained through the end of 2008 from study visit electrocardiograms, hospitalizations, and death certificates. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios of AF by the serum phosphorus levels, adjusting for potential confounders. During a median follow-up of 19.7 years, we identified 1,656 incident AF cases. Greater serum phosphorus was associated with a greater AF risk: the hazard ratio of AF with a 1-mg/dl increase in serum phosphorus was 1.13 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.26). No significant interaction was seen by race (p = 0.88) or gender (p = 0.51). The risk of AF was increased in association with greater serum phosphorus in those with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of ≥90 ml/min/1.72 m(2) but not among those with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of <90 ml/min/1.72 m(2). The total corrected calcium levels were not related to AF risk; however, greater levels of the calcium-phosphorus product were associated with greater AF risk. In conclusion, in the present large population-based study, greater levels of serum phosphorus and the related calcium-phosphorus product were associated with a greater incidence of AF.
Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial/sangue , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Fósforo/sangue , Cálcio/sangue , Causas de Morte , Eletrocardiografia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Our ability to predict a positive electrophysiologic (EP) study in the evaluation of unexplained syncope is suboptimal. AIMS: In patients with unexplained syncope, we defined clinical predictors of bradyarrhythmia and ventricular tachycardia (VT) diagnosed during EP study, constructed diagnostic score indices for bradyarrhythmia and VT, and evaluated the predictive power of each score index. METHODS: All patients evaluated in the Arrhythmia Clinic for unexplained syncope from January 1, 1996, through December 31, 1998, were identified and enrolled in the study. Five hundred eight patients (325 [64%] men; mean+/-SD age, 64+/-17 years) underwent EP testing. We analyzed elements from historical data and noninvasive laboratory findings as predictors of bradyarrhythmia and VT diagnosed on EP study. RESULTS: Fifty-eight patients (11%) had sinus node dysfunction, 94 (19%) had atrioventricular (AV) node disease, 92 (18%) had His-Purkinje system disease, and 101 (20%) had VT. Models were fit using logistic regression analysis. Predictors were assigned weighted scores, and a score index was formulated. The area under the curve associated with sinus node dysfunction, AV node disease, His-Purkinje system disease, and VT models was 0.64, 0.60, 0.84, and 0.60, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We have constructed diagnostic score indices for EP outcomes of bradyarrhythmia and VT in syncope. Of all the score indices, the model for His-Purkinje system disease has the highest predictive power.