RESUMO
BACKGROUND: An early IgE response to grass or birch pollen can anticipate seasonal allergic rhinitis to pollen later in life or remain clinically silent. OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors early in life that allow discriminating pathogenic from non-pathogenic IgE responses and contribute to the development of seasonal allergic rhinitis to grass pollen. METHODS: The German Multicentre Allergy Study examined a birth cohort born in 1990. A questionnaire was yearly administered and blood samples collected at age 1,2,3,5,6,7,10,13 yr. The definition of the primary outcome grass- and birch-pollen-related seasonal allergic rhinitis (SARg, SARb) was based on nasal symptoms in June/July and April, respectively. Serum IgE antibodies to Phleum pratense and Betula verrucosae extracts were monitored with immune-enzymatic singleplex assays. RESULTS: Of the 820 examined children, 177 and 148 developed SARg and SARb, respectively. Among healthy children aged 3 or more years, IgE to grass pollen was the strongest risk factor of SARg (OR 10.39, 95%CI 6.1-17.6, p < 0.001), while parental hay fever was the only risk factor in early childhood independently associated with future SARg (1 parent: OR 2.56, 95%CI 1.4-4.5, p < 0.001; 2 parents: OR 4.17, 95%CI 1.7-10.1) and SARb (1 parent OR: 5.21, 95%CI 2.20-12.4, p < 0.001; 2 parents: OR 8.02, 95%CI 2.0-32.9, p < 0.001). Parental hay fever was associated with an increase of the concentration of pollen-specific IgE in seropositive subjects, after the age of 6 and was also a hallmark of molecularly more complex specific IgE responses to grass or birch pollen at age 6 or older. CONCLUSIONS: Parental hay fever and specific IgE to grass and/or birch pollen are strong pre-clinical determinants and potentially good predictors of seasonal allergic rhinitis.