Biopsy Based Proteomic Assay Predicts Risk of Biochemical Recurrence after Radical Prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: Current clinicopathological parameters are insufficient to predict the likelihood of biochemical recurrence in patients with prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy. Such information may help identify patients who would likely benefit from adjuvant radiotherapy rather than active surveillance. A multiplex proteomic assay, previously tested on biopsies and found to be predictive of favorable or unfavorable pathology at radical prostatectomy, was assessed for its predictive value to identify patients at higher risk for biochemical relapse. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Proteomic assays from core needle biopsies of 288 men who subsequently underwent radical prostatectomy at CHUM (Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal) were evaluated for the prediction of subsequent biochemical recurrence. RESULTS: Of the 288 men, biochemical relapse was observed in 47 (16.3%) and metastases were found in 5 (1.7%). Median followup was 68.5 months. The proteomic assay clearly separated patients into 3 categories, including those at low, intermediate and high risk for biochemical relapse (p = 0.0007). Assay scores predicted biochemical relapse on univariate analysis (HR 1.724, p = 0.0002 per 20% change in score), significantly better than other preoperative prognostic parameters. Additionally, the assay score had a significantly higher p value when combined with clinical National Comprehensive Cancer Network® stage compared to stage alone (HR 1.579, p = 0.0017 per 20% change in score). CONCLUSIONS: A protein based assay score derived from diagnostic needle biopsy has strong predictive ability for biochemical relapse after surgery. These results suggest that this assay score can be used at the diagnostic stage to identify patients in whom prostate cancer is potentially more biologically aggressive and active treatment should be considered.

Development and clinical validation of an in situ biopsy-based multimarker assay for risk stratification in prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: Prostate cancer aggressiveness and appropriate therapy are routinely determined following biopsy sampling. Current clinical and pathologic parameters are insufficient for accurate risk prediction leading primarily to overtreatment and also missed opportunities for curative therapy. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: An 8-biomarker proteomic assay for intact tissue biopsies predictive of prostate pathology was defined in a study of 381 patient biopsies with matched prostatectomy specimens. A second blinded study of 276 cases validated this assay's ability to distinguish "favorable" versus "nonfavorable" pathology independently and relative to current risk classification systems National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN and D'Amico). RESULTS: A favorable biomarker risk score of ≤0.33, and a nonfavorable risk score of >0.80 (possible range between 0 and 1) were defined on "false-negative" and "false-positive" rates of 10% and 5%, respectively. At a risk score ≤0.33, predictive values for favorable pathology in very low-risk and low-risk NCCN and low-risk D'Amico groups were 95%, 81.5%, and 87.2%, respectively, higher than for these current risk classification groups themselves (80.3%, 63.8%, and 70.6%, respectively). The predictive value for nonfavorable pathology was 76.9% at biomarker risk scores >0.8 across all risk groups. Increased biomarker risk scores correlated with decreased frequency of favorable cases across all risk groups. The validation study met its two coprimary endpoints, separating favorable from nonfavorable pathology (AUC, 0.68; P < 0.0001; OR, 20.9) and GS-6 versus non-GS-6 pathology (AUC, 0.65; P < 0.0001; OR, 12.95). CONCLUSIONS: The 8-biomarker assay provided individualized, independent prognostic information relative to current risk stratification systems, and may improve the precision of clinical decision making following prostate biopsy.