Social and Policy Determinants of COVID-19 Infection Across 23 Countries: An Ecological Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to identify the social and policy determinants of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection across 23 countries. METHODS: COVID-19 indicators (incidence, mortality, and fatality) for each country were calculated by direct and indirect standardization. Multivariable regression analyses were used to identify the social and policy determinants of COVID-19 infection. RESULTS: A higher number of doctors per population was related to lower incidence, mortality, and fatality rates of COVID-19 in 23 countries (ß=-0.672, -0.445, and -0.564, respectively). The number of nurses/midwives per population was associated with lower mortality and fatality rates of COVID-19 in 23 countries (ß=-0.215 and -0.372, respectively). Strengthening of policy restriction indicators, such as restrictions of public gatherings, was related to lower COVID-19 incidence (ß=-0.423). A national Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination policy conducted among special groups or in the past was associated with a higher incidence of COVID-19 in 23 countries (ß=0.341). The proportion of the elderly population (aged over 70 years) was related to higher mortality and fatality rates (ß=0.209 and 0.350, respectively), and income support was associated with mortality and fatality rates (ß=-0.362 and -0.449, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: These findings do not imply causality because this was a country-based correlation study. However, COVID-19 transmission can be influenced by social and policy determinants such as integrated health systems and policy responses to COVID-19. Various social and policy determinants should be considered when planning responses to COVID-19.

Coffee and tea consumption and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease and cancer: a pooled analysis of prospective studies from the Asia Cohort Consortium.

BACKGROUND: Accumulating evidence suggests that consuming coffee may lower the risk of death, but evidence regarding tea consumption in Asians is limited. We examined the association between coffee and tea consumption and mortality in Asian populations. METHODS: We used data from 12 prospective cohort studies including 248 050 men and 280 454 women from the Asia Cohort Consortium conducted in China, Japan, Korea and Singapore. We estimated the study-specific association of coffee, green tea and black tea consumption with mortality using Cox proportional-hazards regression models and the pooled study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) using a random-effects model. RESULTS: In total, 94 744 deaths were identified during the follow-up, which ranged from an average of 6.5 to 22.7 years. Compared with coffee non-drinkers, men and women who drank at least five cups of coffee per day had a 24% [95% confidence interval (CI) 17%, 29%] and a 28% (95% CI 19%, 37%) lower risk of all-cause mortality, respectively. Similarly, we found inverse associations for coffee consumption with cardiovascular disease (CVD)-specific and cancer-specific mortality among both men and women. Green tea consumption was associated with lower risk of mortality from all causes, CVD and other causes but not from cancer. The association of drinking green tea with CVD-specific mortality was particularly strong, with HRs (95% CIs) of 0.79 (0.68, 0.91) for men and 0.78 (0.68, 0.90) for women who drank at least five cups per day of green tea compared with non-drinkers. The association between black tea consumption and mortality was weak, with no clear trends noted across the categories of consumption. CONCLUSIONS: In Asian populations, coffee consumption is associated with a lower risk of death overall and with lower risks of death from CVD and cancer. Green tea consumption is associated with lower risks of death from all causes and CVD.

Association of coffee drinking with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in over 190,000 individuals: data from two prospective studies.

We examined the association of coffee drinking with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a pooled analysis of two Korean prospective cohort studies: The Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. We included 192,222 participants, and a total of 6057 deaths were documented. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and the HRs were combined using a random-effects model. Coffee drinking was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality [HR (95% CI) = 0.84 (0.77-0.92), for ≥3 cups/day of coffee drinking versus non-drinkers; p for trend = 0.004]. We observed the potential benefit of coffee drinking for mortality due to cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, and diabetes, but not for cancer mortality. Overall, we found that moderate coffee drinking was associated with a lower risk of death in population-based cohort analysis of Korean adults.

Plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and risk of type 2 diabetes and pre-diabetes: 12-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: It has been reported that higher plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D is associated with lower risk of type 2 diabetes. However the results to date have been mixed and no adequate data based on a cohort are available for the high end of the normal range, above approximately 32 ng/ml or 80 nmol/L. METHODS: We performed a cohort study of 903 adults who were known to be free of diabetes or pre-diabetes during a 1997-1999 visit to a NIH Lipid Research Centers clinic. Plasma 25(OH)D was measured at Visit 8 in 1977-1979. The mean age was 74 years. The visit also included fasting plasma glucose and oral glucose tolerance testing. Follow-up continued through 2009. RESULTS: There were 47 cases of diabetes and 337 cases of pre-diabetes. Higher 25(OH)D concentrations (> 30 ng/ml) were associated with lower hazard ratios (HR) for diabetes: 30-39 ng/ml or 75-98 nmol/L: HR = 0.31, 95% CI = 0.14-0.70; for 40-49 ng/ml or 100-122 nmol/L: HR = 0.29, CI = 0.12-0.68; for > 50 ng/ml or 125 nmol/L: HR = 0.19, CI = 0.06-0.56. All HRs are compared to < 30 ng/ml or 75 nmol/L. There was an inverse dose-response gradient between 25(OH)D concentration and risk of diabetes with a p for trend of 0.005. Each 10 ng/mL or 25 nmol/L higher 25(OH)D concentration was associated with a HR of 0.64, CI = 0.48-0.86. 25(OH)D concentrations were more weakly inversely associated with pre-diabetes risk, and the trend was not significant. CONCLUSION: Further research is needed on whether high 25(OH)D might prevent type 2 diabetes or transition of prediabetes to diabetes.

Plasma phytoestrogens concentration and risk of colorectal cancer in two different Asian populations.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: To evaluate the relationship between phytoestrogen and colon cancer risk, we quantified plasma isoflavones (Genistein and Daidzein) and lignan (enterolactone) in a Korean nested case-control study and conducted replication study in a Vietnamese case-control study. METHODS: Study populations of 101 cases and 391 controls were selected from the Korean Multicenter Cancer Cohort which was constructed from 1993 to 2004. For replication study, Vietnamese hospital-based case-control subjects of 222 cases and 206 controls were selected from 2003 to 2007. The concentrations of plasma genistein, daidzein, and enterolactone were quantified by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Logistic regression models were used to compute odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and meta-analysis was conducted to estimate combined ORs (CORs) and 95% Cis of Korean and Vietnamese population in 2014. RESULTS: Genistein showed a continual decrease in colorectal cancer risk according to level up of the concentration categories in Korean and Vietnamese population (P for trend = 0.032, and 0.001, respectively) and a significantly decreased risk was found at the highest concentration of genistein and daidzein (for the highest category compared to the lowest: COR (95% CI) = 0.46 (0.30-0.69), and COR (95% CI) = 0.54 (0.36-0.82)). When the study population was stratified, the beneficial relationship of genistein with colorectal cancer was observed regardless of sex and anatomical subtype. However, enterolacton level was not associated with colorectal cancer risk. CONCLUSIONS: High plasma levels of isoflavones had relationship with a decreased risk of colorectal cancer, regardless of different ethnic background.

Serum Hepcidin and Iron Indices Affect Anemia Status Differently According to the Kidney Function of Non-Dialysis Chronic Kidney Disease Patients: Korean Cohort Study For Outcome in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD).

BACKGROUND/AIMS: No studies have examined the association among serum hepcidin, iron indices, or anemia status based on the kidney function of non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. METHODS: We reviewed data of 2238 patients from a large-scale multicenter prospective Korean study (2011-2016) and excluded 198 patients with missing data regarding serum hepcidin, hemoglobin, transferrin saturation (TSAT), ferritin, and usage of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESA) or supplemental iron and 363 patients using ESA or supplemental iron. Finally, 1677 patients were included. RESULTS: The mean patient age was 53.5 years, and 65.4% were men. TSAT and serum hepcidin were significantly associated with anemia status, whereas serum ferritin was not, regardless of anemia severity. For patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥45 mL/min/1.73 m2, a 10% increase of TSAT was associated with hemoglobin <13 g/dL (odds ratio [OR], 0.628; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.515-0.765; P<0.001) and hemoglobin <11.5 g/dL (OR, 0.672; 95% CI, 0.476-0.950; P=0.024), whereas a 10-ng/mL increase of serum hepcidin was associated with hemoglobin <11.5 g/dL (OR, 1.379; 95% CI, 1.173-1.620; P<0.001) and hemoglobin <10.0 g/dL (OR, 1.360; 95% CI, 1.115-1.659; P=0.002) for patients with eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 according to multivariate logistic analysis. CONCLUSIONS: TSAT was associated with less severe anemia in early CKD patients. Serum hepcidin was associated with more severe anemia in advanced CKD patients.

Cohort profile: the National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS) in Korea.

PURPOSE: The National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS) is a cohort of participants who participated in health screening programmes provided by the NHIS in the Republic of Korea. The NHIS constructed the NHIS-HEALS cohort database in 2015. The purpose of this cohort is to offer relevant and useful data for health researchers, especially in the field of non-communicable diseases and health risk factors, and policy-maker. PARTICIPANTS: To construct the NHIS-HEALS database, a sample cohort was first selected from the 2002 and 2003 health screening participants, who were aged between 40 and 79 in 2002 and followed up through 2013. This cohort included 514 866 health screening participants who comprised a random selection of 10% of all health screening participants in 2002 and 2003. FINDINGS TO DATE: The age-standardised prevalence of anaemia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obesity, hypercholesterolaemia and abnormal urine protein were 9.8%, 8.2%, 35.6%, 2.7%, 14.2% and 2.0%, respectively. The age-standardised mortality rate for the first 2 years (through 2004) was 442.0 per 100 000 person-years, while the rate for 10 years (through 2012) was 865.9 per 100 000 person-years. The most common cause of death was malignant neoplasm in both sexes (364.1 per 100 000 person-years for men, 128.3 per 100 000 person-years for women). FUTURE PLANS: This database can be used to study the risk factors of non-communicable diseases and dental health problems, which are important health issues that have not yet been fully investigated. The cohort will be maintained and continuously updated by the NHIS.

Radioactive Iodine Therapy Did Not Significantly Increase the Incidence and Recurrence of Subsequent Breast Cancer.

CONTEXT: Previous studies on the extent to which radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy for thyroid cancer increases the risk of subsequently developing breast cancer have given conflicting results. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the effect of RAI treatment on breast cancer development and recurrence among female patients with primary thyroid cancer. DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study. The risk of subsequent breast cancer associated with RAI and its dose in hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidential intervals (CIs) were calculated using time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models. PATIENTS: A total of 6150 patients with thyroid cancer enrolled between 1973 and 2009 were followed until December 2012. Of these, 3631 (59.0%) received RAI therapy. During the follow-up period, 99 primary breast cancers were diagnosed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Risk of breast cancer development according to RAI therapy and RAI dose during treatment for primary thyroid cancer. RESULTS: RAI therapy did not significantly increase the incidence of subsequent breast cancer among female patients (hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.22-1.06) when a 2-year latency period was accounted for. High-dose RAI (≥120 mCi) was associated with a reduced incidence of subsequent breast cancer (HR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.05-0.62) in the cohort with a 2-year latency period. CONCLUSIONS: The long-term follow-up results of this study suggest that RAI treatment for patients with thyroid cancer may not increase the risk or recurrence of breast cancer.

Gene polymorphisms in the ornithine decarboxylase-polyamine pathway modify gastric cancer risk by interaction with isoflavone concentrations.

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to examine the association between genes encoding molecules in the ornithine decarboxylase (ODC)-polyamine pathway (ODC1, AMD1, NQO1, NOS2A, and OAZ2) and gastric cancer risk and whether the gene-phytoestrogen interaction modifies gastric cancer risk. METHODS: Among 76 gastric cancer cases and their 1:4 matched controls within the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort, a total of 30 SNPs in five genes involved in the ODC pathway were primarily analyzed. The second-stage genotyping in 388 matched case-control sets was conducted to reevaluate the significant SNPs interacting with phytoestrogens during the primary analysis. The summary odds ratios (ORs) [95 % confidence intervals (CIs)] for gastric cancer were estimated. Interaction effects between the SNPs and plasma concentrations of phytoestrogens (genistein, daidzein, equol, and enterolactone) were evaluated. RESULTS: In the pooled analysis, NQO1 rs1800566 showed significant genetic effects on gastric cancer without heterogeneity [OR 0.83 (95 % CI 0.70-0.995)] and a greater decreased risk at high genistein/daidzein levels [OR 0.36 (95 % CI 0.15-0.90) and OR 0.26 (95 % CI 0.10-0.64), respectively; p interaction < 0.05]. Risk alleles of AMD1 rs1279599, AMD1 rs7768897, and OAZ2 rs7403751 had a significant gene-phytoestrogen (genistein and daidzein) interaction effect to modify the development of gastric cancer. They had an increased gastric cancer risk at low isoflavone levels, but a decreased risk at high isoflavone levels (p interaction < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that common variants in the genes involved in the ODC pathway may contribute to the risk of gastric cancer possibly by modulating ODC polyamine biosynthesis or by interaction between isoflavones and NQO1, OAZ2, and AMD1.

Interaction effects between genes involved in the AKT signaling pathway and phytoestrogens in gastric carcinogenesis: a nested case-control study from the Korean Multi-Center Cancer Cohort.

SCOPE: To investigate whether genes involved in AKT/nuclear factor kappa B signaling and/or gene-environment interactions between the genes and phytoestrogens may be susceptible factors for gastric cancer. METHODS AND RESULTS: The representative single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) identified during the primary analysis (screening a total of 622 SNPs within ± 5 kbp of the 51 target gene locations) were further investigated in 317 matched case-control sets. The summary odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for gastric cancer were calculated. Interaction effects between the SNPs and phytoestrogen biomarkers (genistein, daidzein, equol, and enterolactone) were computed. CDK1 rs4145643, FAS rs6586161, and FAS rs1468063 in the AKT signaling pathway presented significant genetic effects on gastric cancer (OR = 0.81 (95% CI: 0.66-0.99) for CDK1 rs4145643; OR = 1.27 (95% CI: 1.03-1.58) for FAS rs6586161; OR = 1.29 (95% CI: 1.03-1.56) for FAS rs1468063; Cochran Q statistics > 0.10). Risk alleles of FAS rs6586161, FAS rs1468063, MAP3K1 rs16886448, and MAP3K1 rs252902 showed significant interaction effects with enterolactone (p(interaction) < 0.05). CONCLUSION: CDK1 and FAS genes involved in AKT signaling and influenced by anti-carcinogenic property of phytoestrogens can play a role as susceptible genetic factors in gastric carcinogenesis. FAS and MAP3K1 genes significantly interact with enterolactone, thereby modifying the individual's risk for gastric cancer.

Genetic susceptibility on CagA-interacting molecules and gene-environment interaction with phytoestrogens: a putative risk factor for gastric cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether genes that encode CagA-interacting molecules (SRC, PTPN11, CRK, CRKL, CSK, c-MET and GRB2) are associated with gastric cancer risk and whether an interaction between these genes and phytoestrogens modify gastric cancer risk. METHODS: In the discovery phase, 137 candidate SNPs in seven genes were analyzed in 76 incident gastric cancer cases and 322 matched controls from the Korean Multi-Center Cancer Cohort. Five significant SNPs in three genes (SRC, c-MET and CRK) were re-evaluated in 386 cases and 348 controls in the extension phase. Odds ratios (ORs) for gastric cancer risk were estimated adjusted for age, smoking, H. pylori seropositivity and CagA strain positivity. Summarized ORs in the total study population (462 cases and 670 controls) were presented using pooled- and meta-analysis. Plasma concentrations of phytoestrogens (genistein, daidzein, equol and enterolactone) were measured using the time-resolved fluoroimmunoassay. RESULTS: SRC rs6122566, rs6124914, c-MET rs41739, and CRK rs7208768 showed significant genetic effects for gastric cancer in both the pooled and meta-analysis without heterogeneity (pooled OR = 3.96 [95% CI 2.05-7.65], 1.24 [95% CI = 1.01-1.53], 1.19 [95% CI = 1.01-1.41], and 1.37 [95% CI = 1.15-1.62], respectively; meta OR = 4.59 [95% CI 2.74-7.70], 1.36 [95% CI = 1.09-1.70], 1.20 [95% CI = 1.00-1.44], and 1.32 [95% CI = 1.10-1.57], respectively). Risk allele of CRK rs7208768 had a significantly increased risk for gastric cancer at low phytoestrogen levels (p interaction<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that SRC, c-MET and CRK play a key role in gastric carcinogenesis by modulating CagA signal transductions and interaction between CRK gene and phytoestrogens modify gastric cancer risk.

Surgical completeness of bilateral axillo-breast approach robotic thyroidectomy: comparison with conventional open thyroidectomy after propensity score matching.

BACKGROUND: Bilateral axillo-breast approach (BABA) robotic thyroidectomy (RoT) has good postoperative and excellent cosmetic outcomes. To assess the surgical completeness of BABA RoT, it was compared to open thyroidectomy (OT) after propensity score matching of the cohorts. METHODS: Between 2008 and 2010, 760 patients who underwent total thyroidectomy with central node dissection (CND) caused by papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) in Seoul National University Hospital were enrolled; 327 BABA robotic and 423 open method operations were performed. We selected 174 robotic and 237 open thyroidectomy patients who received radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation. Propensity score matching using 3 demographic and 5 pathologic factors was used to generate 2 matched cohorts, each composed of 108 patients. RESULTS: The matched BABA RoT and OT cohorts were not different with regard to the RAI uptake ratio, stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) levels, or proportion of patients with stimulated Tg levels <1.0 ng/mL on the first ablation. The number of RAI ablation sessions and RAI doses needed to achieve a complete ablation also did not differ significantly. CONCLUSION: The surgical completeness of BABA RoT did not differ from OT. BABA RoT may be suitable for patients with PTC who prefer scarless neck surgery.

Isoflavones from phytoestrogens and gastric cancer risk: a nested case-control study within the Korean Multicenter Cancer Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The role of soybean products in gastric cancer risk is not clear in epidemiologic studies due to measurement error from dietary intake questionnaires and due to different degrees of bias according to study design. To examine the association between soybean products and gastric cancer risk, we measured phytoestrogen biological markers in a nested case-control study. METHODS: The study population was composed of 131 cases and 393 matched controls within the Korean Multicenter Cancer Cohort. The concentrations of the four biomarkers in the plasma samples were measured using time-resolved fluoroimmunoassay. Conditional and unconditional logistic regression models were used to compute the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Median plasma concentrations of genistein (229 nmol/L for controls, 181.8 nmol/L for cases; P=0.07) and daidzein (131.2 nmol/L for controls, 80.5 nmol/L for cases; P=0.04) in cases were lower than in controls, whereas equol concentrations were similar. Compared with the reference group, gastric cancer risk decreased in the highest groups for genistein (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.31-0.93) and daidzein (OR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.08-0.58). Higher equol concentrations were associated with a decreased risk for gastric cancer (OR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.27-0.90). The combination of the highest concentrations for each isoflavone category was associated with a 0.09-fold decreased risk for gastric cancer compared with the combination of the lowest concentrations for each category. There was no association between plasma lignan concentrations and gastric cancer. CONCLUSIONS: High serum concentrations of isoflavones were associated with a decreased risk for gastric cancer. IMPACT: These results suggest a beneficial effect of high soybean product intake for gastric cancer risk.

Soybean product intake modifies the association between interleukin-10 genetic polymorphisms and gastric cancer risk.

In this study, our aim was to investigate the association of inflammation-related genetic polymorphisms and gastric cancer risk and to examine whether the combined effect of soybean product intake modified cancer risk. Eighty-four incident gastric cancer cases and 336 matched controls were selected from the Korean Multi-Center Cancer Cohort. We selected 14 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) from 5 genes [interleukin (IL)-1beta, IL-2, IL-4, IL-8, and IL-10] and used unconditional logistic regression model to calculate the odds ratios (OR) and 95% CI adjusting for H. pylori seropositivity, smoking, age, sex, enrollment year, and residential area. The risk for gastric cancer in relation to genetic polymorphisms and haplotypes were assessed according to soybean product intake levels. Although no single SNP effect was found, the combined effect between IL-10 gene variants of -592 GG/GA, -819 TC/CC, or -1082 AG/GG and low intake of soybean products had an increased risk for gastric cancer compared with the group with no risk gene variants and a high intake of soybean products (OR [95% CI] = 2.82 [1.04-7.62], 2.75 [1.02-7.44], and 4.34 [1.51-12.5], respectively). Among the low-soybean product intake group, IL-10 CCG haplotype had an increased risk of gastric cancer (OR = 3.38 [1.40-8.13]) relative to the ATA haplotype. Our results suggest that the association between IL-10 genetic polymorphisms and gastric cancer risk was modified by soybean product intake.