A data-based mathematical modelling study to quantify the effects of ciprofloxacin and ampicillin on the within-host dynamics of Salmonella enterica during treatment and relapse.

Antibiotic therapy has drastically reduced the mortality and sequelae of bacterial infections. From naturally occurring to chemically synthesized, different classes of antibiotics have been successfully used without detailed knowledge of how they affect bacterial dynamics in vivo. However, a proportion of patients receiving antimicrobial therapy develop recrudescent infections post-treatment. Relapsing infections are attributable to incomplete clearance of bacterial populations following antibiotic administration; the metabolic profile of this antibiotic-recalcitrant bacterial subpopulation, the spatio-temporal context of its emergence and the variance of antibiotic-bacterial interactions in vivo remain unclear. Here, we develop and apply a mechanistic mathematical model to data from a study comparing the effects of ciprofloxacin and ampicillin on the within-host dynamics of Salmonella enterica serovar Typhimurium in murine infections. Using the inferential capacity of our model, we show that the antibiotic-recalcitrant bacteria following ampicillin, but not ciprofloxacin, treatment belong to a non-replicating phenotype. Aligning with previous studies, we independently estimate that the lymphoid tissues and spleen are important reservoirs of non-replicating bacteria. Finally, we predict that post-treatment, the progenitors of the non-growing and growing bacterial populations replicate and die at different rates. Ultimately, the liver, spleen and mesenteric lymph nodes are all repopulated by progenitors of the previously non-growing phenotype in ampicillin-treated mice.

Life in cells, hosts, and vectors: parasite evolution across scales.

Parasite evolution is increasingly being recognized as one of the most important issues in applied evolutionary biology. Understanding how parasites maximize fitness whilst facing the diverse challenges of living in cells, hosts, and vectors, is central to disease control and offers a novel testing ground for evolutionary theory. The Centre for Immunity, Infection, and Evolution at the University of Edinburgh recently held a symposium to address the question "How do parasites maximise fitness across a range of biological scales?" The symposium brought together researchers whose work looks across scales and environments to understand why and how parasites 'do what they do', tying together mechanism, evolutionary explanations, and public health implications. With a broad range of speakers, our aim was to define and encourage more holistic approaches to studying parasite evolution. Here, we present a synthesis of the current state of affairs in parasite evolution, the research presented at the symposium, and insights gained through our discussions. We demonstrate that such interdisciplinary approaches are possible and identify key areas for future progress.

A framework for the study of zoonotic disease emergence and its drivers: spillover of bat pathogens as a case study.

Many serious emerging zoonotic infections have recently arisen from bats, including Ebola, Marburg, SARS-coronavirus, Hendra, Nipah, and a number of rabies and rabies-related viruses, consistent with the overall observation that wildlife are an important source of emerging zoonoses for the human population. Mechanisms underlying the recognized association between ecosystem health and human health remain poorly understood and responding appropriately to the ecological, social and economic conditions that facilitate disease emergence and transmission represents a substantial societal challenge. In the context of disease emergence from wildlife, wildlife and habitat should be conserved, which in turn will preserve vital ecosystem structure and function, which has broader implications for human wellbeing and environmental sustainability, while simultaneously minimizing the spillover of pathogens from wild animals into human beings. In this review, we propose a novel framework for the holistic and interdisciplinary investigation of zoonotic disease emergence and its drivers, using the spillover of bat pathogens as a case study. This study has been developed to gain a detailed interdisciplinary understanding, and it combines cutting-edge perspectives from both natural and social sciences, linked to policy impacts on public health, land use and conservation.

Model-guided fieldwork: practical guidelines for multidisciplinary research on wildlife ecological and epidemiological dynamics.

Infectious disease ecology has recently raised its public profile beyond the scientific community due to the major threats that wildlife infections pose to biological conservation, animal welfare, human health and food security. As we start unravelling the full extent of emerging infectious diseases, there is an urgent need to facilitate multidisciplinary research in this area. Even though research in ecology has always had a strong theoretical component, cultural and technical hurdles often hamper direct collaboration between theoreticians and empiricists. Building upon our collective experience of multidisciplinary research and teaching in this area, we propose practical guidelines to help with effective integration among mathematical modelling, fieldwork and laboratory work. Modelling tools can be used at all steps of a field-based research programme, from the formulation of working hypotheses to field study design and data analysis. We illustrate our model-guided fieldwork framework with two case studies we have been conducting on wildlife infectious diseases: plague transmission in prairie dogs and lyssavirus dynamics in American and African bats. These demonstrate that mechanistic models, if properly integrated in research programmes, can provide a framework for holistic approaches to complex biological systems.