Estimated Substitution of Tea or Coffee for Sugar-Sweetened Beverages Was Associated with Lower Type 2 Diabetes Incidence in Case-Cohort Analysis across 8 European Countries in the EPIC-InterAct Study.

INTRODUCTION: Beverage consumption is a modifiable risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2D), but there is insufficient evidence to inform the suitability of substituting 1 type of beverage for another. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to estimate the risk of T2D when consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) was replaced with consumption of fruit juice, milk, coffee, or tea. METHODS: In the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study of 8 European countries (n = 27,662, with 12,333 cases of incident T2D, 1992-2007), beverage consumption was estimated at baseline by dietary questionnaires. Using Prentice-weighted Cox regression adjusting for other beverages and potential confounders, we estimated associations of substituting 1 type of beverage for another on incident T2D. RESULTS: Mean ± SD of estimated consumption of SSB was 55 ± 105 g/d. Means ± SDs for the other beverages were as follows: fruit juice, 59 ± 101 g/d; milk, 209 ± 203 g/d; coffee, 381 ± 372 g/d; and tea, 152 ± 282 g/d. Substituting coffee for SSBs by 250 g/d was associated with a 21% lower incidence of T2D (95% CI: 12%, 29%). The rate difference was -12.0 (95% CI: -20.0, -5.0) per 10,000 person-years among adults consuming SSBs ≥250 g/d (absolute rate = 48.3/10,000). Substituting tea for SSBs was estimated to lower T2D incidence by 22% (95% CI: 15%, 28%) or -11.0 (95% CI: -20.0, -2.6) per 10,000 person-years, whereas substituting fruit juice or milk was estimated not to alter T2D risk significantly. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate a potential benefit of substituting coffee or tea for SSBs for the primary prevention of T2D and may help formulate public health recommendations on beverage consumption in different populations.

Fatty acids from dairy and meat and their association with risk of coronary heart disease.

PURPOSE: The relationship of total, saturated, mono-unsaturated and poly-unsaturated fatty acids (SFA, MUFA, PUFA) with coronary heart disease (CHD) is debated. We hypothesized that the association of dairy-derived FA with CHD may be different than the association of meat-derived FA with CHD. We therefore aimed to directly compare association of FA intakes from dairy and meat with risk of CHD using substitution models. METHODS: Baseline (1993-1997) FA intake was measured using a validated food frequency questionnaire among 35,767 participants from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Netherlands cohort (EPIC-NL). Incident CHD events (n = 2374) were obtained through linkage with national registries during a mean follow-up of 15 years. Association of FA from dairy substituted with FA from meat with CHD risk was estimated through multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Participants consumed 81.9 (SD 28.7) grams of FA per day, of which 17.9 (SD 5.2) was from dairy and 15.3 (SD 9.5) from meat. Substituting 1 en% of dairy-derived SFA with meat-derived SFA was associated with higher CHD risk (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10), but substituting dairy-derived MUFA or PUFA did not (HRMUFA 1.03, 95% CI 0.97-1.09; HRPUFA 1.17, 95% CI 0.90-1.53). CONCLUSIONS: Our modelling suggests that substituting dairy SFA with meat SFA is associated with a higher risk of CHD, but substituting dairy MUFA or PUFA with meat FA is not. These results need to be replicated in other cohorts with different fat intakes, preferably with larger variation in the intake of MUFA and PUFA from dairy and meat.