RESUMO
The variation trend and growth rate of P were analyzed by the concentration of the phosphorus fraction on surface sediment of Dongting Lake from 2012 to 2016, to reveal the cumulative effect of P in the actual environment. Meanwhile, the adsorption kinetics and adsorption isotherm were employed to examine the P-release possibility of sediment, which predicts the yearly released sediment phosphorus in Dongting Lake. The actual growth rate of TP (Total Phosphorus) is 53 mg·(kg·year)-1 in East Dongting Lake, 39 mg·(kg·year)-1 in South Dongting Lake, and 29 mg·(kg·year)-1 in West Dongting Lake, while the sum of the phosphorus fraction growth rates has little difference from the rate of TP in sediments of the three areas of Dongting Lake. Furthermore, the Elovich model and the Langmuir crossover-type equations are established to present the adsorption characteristic of sediment in Dongting Lake; the result shows that the sediments play a source role for phosphorus in East and South Dongting Lake from zero equilibrium phosphorus concentration (EPC0) in the present situation, but an adsorption effect on TP is shown in West Dongting Lake. When the conditions of environment change are ignored, the maximum P-sorption level in sediments of East Dongting Lake will reach in 2040 according to the actual growth rate of sediments, while that in West Dongting Lake and South Dongting Lake will be in 2046 and 2061, respectively.