The role of substance use disorders in experiencing a repeat opioid overdose, and substance use treatment patterns among patients with a non-fatal opioid overdose.

BACKGROUND: A non-fatal opioid overdose (NFOO) increases the risk of another overdose and identifies high-risk patients. We estimated the risk of repeat opioid overdose for patients with and without substance use disorder (SUD) diagnoses and the change in substance use treatment utilization rates associated with the first NFOO. METHODS: We selected patients (>18 years of age) from Kaiser Permanente Northern California with a NFOO between 2009-2016 (n = 3,992). Cox proportional hazards models estimated the 1-year risk of opioid overdose associated with SUD diagnoses (opioid, alcohol, cannabis, amphetamine, sedative, and cocaine), controlling for patient characteristics. Among patients with an index NFOO, we calculated monthly utilization rates for outpatient substance use services and buprenorphine before and after the index overdose. Interrupted time series models estimated the change in level and trend in utilization rates associated with the index overdose. RESULTS: Approximately 7.2 % of patients had a repeat opioid overdose during the year after the index NFOO. The only SUD diagnosis significantly associated with greater risk of repeat overdose was opioid use disorder (OUD) (aHR: 1.51; 95 % CI: 1.13-2.01). Before the index overdose, 4.16 % of patients received outpatient substance use services and 1.32 % received buprenorphine. The index overdose was associated with a 5.94 % (standard error: 0.77 %) absolute increase in outpatient substance use services and a 1.29 % (standard error: 0.15 %) increase in buprenorphine. CONCLUSION: Patients with a NFOO and OUD are vulnerable to another overdose. Low initiation rates for substance use treatment after a NFOO indicate a need to address patient, provider, and system barriers.

Pneumococcal susceptibility to antibiotics in carriage: a 17 year time series analysis of the adaptive evolution of non-vaccine emerging serotypes to a new selective pressure environment.

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) implementations led to major changes in serotype distribution and antibiotic resistance in carriage, accompanied by changes in antibiotic consumption. OBJECTIVES: To assess the dynamic patterns of antimicrobial non-susceptibility across non-PCV13 serotypes following PCV implementations. METHODS: We conducted a quasi-experimental interrupted time series analysis based on a 17 year French nationwide prospective cohort. From 2001 to 2018, 121 paediatricians obtained nasopharyngeal swabs from children with acute otitis media who were aged 6 months to 2 years. The main outcome was the rate of penicillin-non-susceptible pneumococci (PNSP), analysed by segmented regression. RESULTS: We enrolled 10 204 children. After PCV13 implementation, the PNSP rate decreased (-0.5% per month; 95% CI -0.9 to -0.1), then, after 2014, the rate slightly increased (+0.7% per month; 95% CI +0.2 to +1.2). Global antibiotic use within the previous 3 months decreased over the study period (-22.2%; 95% CI -33.0 to -11.3), but aminopenicillin use remained high. Among the main non-PCV13 serotypes, four dynamic patterns of penicillin susceptibility evolution were observed, including unexpected patterns of serotypes emerging while remaining or even becoming penicillin susceptible. In contrast to PNSP strains, for these latter patterns, the rate of co-colonization with Haemophilus influenzae increased concomitant with their emergence. CONCLUSIONS: In a context of continuing high antibiotic selective pressure, a progressive increase in PNSP rate was observed after 2014. However, we highlighted an unexpected variability in dynamic patterns of penicillin susceptibility among emerging non-PCV13 serotypes. Antibiotic resistance may not be the only adaptive mechanism to antimicrobial selective pressure, and co-colonization with H. influenzae may be involved.

Prescribing Trends of Codeine-containing Medications and Other Opioids in Primary Care After A Regulatory Decision: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: In 2014, the Italian Medicines Agency (AIFA) amended the summary of product characteristics of codeine-containing medications limiting their use for maximum three days. This study attempted to clarify the impact of AIFA intervention on prescribing trends and appropriateness of use of codeine-containing medications and other opioids. METHODS: Using the Health Search Database, a quasi-experimental interrupted time series analysis was conducted to evaluate changes in prescribing trends and appropriateness of use of codeine-containing medications and opioids between 2013 and 2015. RESULTS: Prescribing trends of codeine-containing medications significantly decreased (on average, - 352 days of treatment per month of observation), while long-acting opioids (LAOs) had an overall increase. Trends of inappropriate prescriptions significantly increased for two LAOs (i.e. tapentadol, naloxone-oxycodone), both before and after AIFA intervention. CONCLUSION: The use of paracetamol-codeine combination was effectively decreased in Italy because of AIFA intervention. Instead, prescriptions of tapentadol and oxycodone-naloxone stably increased over the study period irrespective of regulatory intervention. Given that the choice of the most appropriate opioid therapy is not straightforward, especially in elderly and/or comorbid patients, general practitioners should consider carefully alternative therapies on the bases of regulatory interventions.

Effect of a HEART Care Pathway on Chest Pain Management Within an Integrated Health System.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We describe the association of implementing a History, ECG, Age, Risk Factors, and Troponin (HEART) care pathway on use of hospital care and noninvasive stress testing, as well as 30-day patient outcomes in community emergency departments (EDs). METHODS: We performed a prospective interrupted-time-series study of adult encounters for patients evaluated for suspected acute coronary syndrome. The primary outcome was hospitalization or observation, noninvasive stress testing, or both within 30 days. The secondary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality or acute myocardial infarction. A generalized estimating equation segmented logistic regression model was used to compare the odds of the primary outcome before and after HEART implementation. All models were adjusted for patient and facility characteristics and fit with physicians as a clustering variable. RESULTS: A total of 65,393 ED encounters (before, 30,522; after, 34,871) were included in the study. Overall, 33.5% (before, 35.5%; after, 31.8%) of ED chest pain encounters resulted in hospitalization or observation, noninvasive stress testing, or both. Primary adjusted results found a significant decrease in the primary outcome postimplementation (odds ratio 0.984; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.974 to 0.995). This resulted in an absolute adjusted month-to-month decrease of 4.39% (95% CI 3.72% to 5.07%) after 12 months' follow-up, with a continued trend downward. There was no difference in 30-day mortality or myocardial infarction (0.6% [before] versus 0.6% [after]; odds ratio 1.02; 95% CI 0.97 to 1.08). CONCLUSION: Implementation of a HEART pathway in the ED evaluation of patients with chest pain resulted in less inpatient care and noninvasive cardiac testing and was safe. Using HEART to risk stratify chest pain patients can improve the efficiency and quality of care.

Impact of infection control interventions on rates of Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia in National Health Service acute hospitals, East Midlands, UK, using interrupted time-series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Reducing healthcare-associated infection (HCAI) is a UK national priority. Multiple national and regional interventions aimed at reduction have been implemented in National Health Service acute hospitals, but assessment of their effectiveness is methodologically challenging. AIM: To assess the effectiveness of national and regional interventions undertaken between 2004 and 2008 on rates of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and meticillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) bacteraemia within acute hospitals in the East Midlands, using interrupted time-series analysis. METHODS: We used segmented regression to compare rates of MRSA and MSSA bacteraemia in the pre-intervention, implementation, and post-intervention phases for combined intervention packages in eight acute hospitals. FINDINGS: Most of the change in MSSA and MRSA rates occurred during the implementation phase. During this phase, there were significant downward trends in MRSA rates for seven of eight acute hospital groups; in four, this was a steeper quarter-on-quarter decline compared with the pre-intervention phase, and, in one, an upward trend in the pre-intervention phase was reversed. Regarding MSSA, there was a significant positive effect in four hospital groups: one upward trend during the pre-intervention phase was reversed, two upward trends plateaued, and in one hospital group an indeterminate trend decreased significantly. However, there were significant increasing trends in quarterly MSSA rates in four hospital groups during the implementation or post-intervention periods. CONCLUSION: The impact of interventions varied by hospital group but the overall results suggest that national and regional campaigns had a beneficial impact on MRSA and MSSA bacteraemia within the East Midlands.