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1.
Nature ; 517(7533): 187-90, 2015 Jan 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25567285

RESUMO

Policy makers have generally agreed that the average global temperature rise caused by greenhouse gas emissions should not exceed 2 °C above the average global temperature of pre-industrial times. It has been estimated that to have at least a 50 per cent chance of keeping warming below 2 °C throughout the twenty-first century, the cumulative carbon emissions between 2011 and 2050 need to be limited to around 1,100 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (Gt CO2). However, the greenhouse gas emissions contained in present estimates of global fossil fuel reserves are around three times higher than this, and so the unabated use of all current fossil fuel reserves is incompatible with a warming limit of 2 °C. Here we use a single integrated assessment model that contains estimates of the quantities, locations and nature of the world's oil, gas and coal reserves and resources, and which is shown to be consistent with a wide variety of modelling approaches with different assumptions, to explore the implications of this emissions limit for fossil fuel production in different regions. Our results suggest that, globally, a third of oil reserves, half of gas reserves and over 80 per cent of current coal reserves should remain unused from 2010 to 2050 in order to meet the target of 2 °C. We show that development of resources in the Arctic and any increase in unconventional oil production are incommensurate with efforts to limit average global warming to 2 °C. Our results show that policy makers' instincts to exploit rapidly and completely their territorial fossil fuels are, in aggregate, inconsistent with their commitments to this temperature limit. Implementation of this policy commitment would also render unnecessary continued substantial expenditure on fossil fuel exploration, because any new discoveries could not lead to increased aggregate production.


Assuntos
Combustíveis Fósseis/provisão & distribuição , Combustíveis Fósseis/estatística & dados numéricos , Geografia , Aquecimento Global/prevenção & controle , Aquecimento Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Regiões Árticas , Atmosfera/química , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Carvão Mineral/economia , Carvão Mineral/estatística & dados numéricos , Carvão Mineral/provisão & distribuição , Bases de Dados Factuais , Combustíveis Fósseis/economia , Efeito Estufa/prevenção & controle , Efeito Estufa/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Teóricos , Campos de Petróleo e Gás , Fatores de Tempo
3.
ScientificWorldJournal ; 2012: 625828, 2012.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23365525

RESUMO

Since the relationship between the supply and demand of fossil fuels is on edge in the long run, the contradiction between the economic growth and limited resources will hinder the sustainable development of the Chinese society. This paper aims to analyze the input of fossil fuels in China during 2000-2010 via the material flow analysis (MFA) that takes hidden flows into account. With coal, oil, and natural gas quantified by MFA, three indexes, consumption and supply ratio (C/S ratio), resource consumption intensity (RCI), and fossil fuels productivity (FFP), are proposed to reflect the interactions between population, GDP, and fossil fuels. The results indicated that in the past 11 years, China's requirement for fossil fuels has been increasing continuously because of the growing mine productivity in domestic areas, which also leads to a single energy consumption structure as well as excessive dependence on the domestic exploitation. It is advisable to control the fossil fuels consumption by energy recycling and new energy facilities' popularization in order to lead a sustainable access to nonrenewable resources and decrease the soaring carbon emissions.


Assuntos
Carvão Mineral/análise , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/estatística & dados numéricos , Monitoramento Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Combustíveis Fósseis/estatística & dados numéricos , Carbono/análise , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , China , Carvão Mineral/estatística & dados numéricos , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/tendências , Ecossistema , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Humanos , Gás Natural/estatística & dados numéricos , Petróleo/estatística & dados numéricos , Reciclagem/métodos , Reciclagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Reciclagem/tendências
4.
Indian J Public Health ; 47(2): 75-7, 2003.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15129858

RESUMO

Anthropometry and morbidity profile of fifty randomly selected workers of coal handling plant at a thermal power station of West Bengal having at least five years experience were studied. The mean value of their age, duration of present job and Body Mass Index (BMI) were 34.8 years, 7.86 years and 19.24 respectively. As they were exposed to coal dust (Av. concentration 300-350 mg/M3 of air), warmth (Ambient temperature 40 +/- 5 degrees C), humidity (Relative humidity 80 +/- 5%) and noise [Av. 80 dB(A)], respiratory system was most commonly (72%) effected followed by greying of hair (5.6%), Cloth dusters used by some could not render any discernable protective effect. Addiction was also prevent (62%). Use of proper protective equipments (PPE) supplemented by adequate preplacement and periodic medical examination followed by successful rehabilitation were suggested.


Assuntos
Carvão Mineral/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Profissionais/epidemiologia , Centrais Elétricas/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , Comorbidade , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/epidemiologia
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