Real-world study on microsatellite instability and mismatch repair deficiency testing patterns among patients with metastatic colorectal cancer in Spain / Estudio en el mundo real sobre patrones de prueba de inestabilidad de microsatélites y deficiencia de reparación de desajustes en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal metastásico en España

Purpose: Clinical practice guidelines recommend that all patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) should be tested for mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR) or microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H). We aimed to describe the dMMR/MSI-H testing practice in patients with mCRC in Spanish centers.Methods: Multicenter, observational retrospective study that included patients newly diagnosed with mCRC or who progressed to a metastatic stage from early/localized stages. Results: Three hundred patients were included in the study from May 2020 through May 2021, with a median age of 68 years, and two hundred twenty-five (75%) had stage IV disease at initial diagnosis; two hundred eighty-four patients received first-line treatment, and dMMR/MSI-H testing was performed in two hundred fifty-one (84%) patients. The results of the dMMR/MSI-H tests were available in 61 (24%) of 251 patients before the diagnosis of metastatic disease and in 191 (81%) of 236 evaluable patients for this outcome before the initiation of first-line treatment. Among the 244 patients who were tested for dMMR/MSI-H with IHC or PCR, 14 (6%) were MMR deficient. The most frequent type of first-line treatment was the combination of chemotherapy and biological agent, that was received by 71% and 50% of patients with MMR proficient and deficient tumors, respectively, followed by chemotherapy alone, received in over 20% of patients in each subgroup. Only 29% of dMMR/MSI-H tumors received first-line immunotherapy. Conclusion: Our study suggests that a high proportion of patients with mCRC are currently tested for dMMR/MSI-H in tertiary hospitals across Spain. However, there is still room for improvement until universal testing is achieved.(AU)

Colorectal Cancer Screening After Sequential Outreach Components in a Demographically Diverse Cohort.

Importance: Organized screening outreach can reduce differences in colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality between demographic subgroups. Outcomes associated with additional outreach, beyond universal outreach, are not well known. Objective: To compare CRC screening completion by race and ethnicity, age, and sex after universal automated outreach and additional personalized outreach. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational cohort study included screening-eligible individuals aged 50 to 75 years assessed during 2019 in a community-based organized CRC screening program within the Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) integrated health care delivery setting. For KPNC members who are not up to date with screening by colonoscopy, each year the program first uses automated outreach (mailed prescreening notification postcards and fecal immunochemical test [FIT] kits, automated telephone calls, and postcard reminders), followed by personalized components for nonresponders (telephone calls, electronic messaging, and screening offers during office visits). Data analyses were performed between November 2021 and February 2023 and completed on February 5, 2023. Exposures: Completed CRC screening via colonoscopy, sigmoidoscopy, or FIT. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the proportion of participants completing an FIT or colonoscopy after each component of the screening process. Differences across subgroups were assessed using the χ2 test. Results: This study included 1 046 745 KPNC members. Their mean (SD) age was 61.1 (6.9) years, and more than half (53.2%) were women. A total of 0.4% of members were American Indian or Alaska Native, 18.5% were Asian, 7.2% were Black, 16.2% were Hispanic, 0.8% were Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and 56.5% were White. Automated outreach significantly increased screening participation by 31.1%, 38.1%, 29.5%, 31.9%, 31.8%, and 34.5% among these groups, respectively; follow-up personalized outreach further significantly increased participation by absolute additional increases of 12.5%, 12.4%, 13.3%, 14.4%, 14.7%, and 11.2%, respectively (all differences P < .05 compared with White members). Overall screening coverage at the end of the yearly program differed significantly among members who were American Indian or Alaska Native (74.1%), Asian (83.5%), Black (77.7%), Hispanic (76.4%), or Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander (74.4%) compared with White members (82.2%) (all differences P < .05 compared with White members). Screening completion was similar by sex; older members were substantially more likely to be up to date with CRC screening both before and at the end of the screening process. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of a CRC screening program, sequential automated and personalized strategies each contributed to substantial increases in screening completion in all demographic groups. These findings suggest that such programs may potentially reduce differences in CRC screening completion across demographic groups.

Serum Selenium Concentration as a Potential Diagnostic Marker for Early-Stage Colorectal Cancer: A Comparative Study.

BACKGROUND Selenium deficiency is an established risk factor for colorectal cancer. The aim of the present study was to determine selenium levels in blood samples obtained from colorectal cancer patients compared with the levels of this element in the blood of patients who had undergone hernia repair and cholecystectomy. MATERIAL AND METHODS The study group consisted of 49 patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer at our institution. The comparison group consisted of 29 and 26 patients undergoing hernia repair and cholecystectomy, respectively. The histological staging level was evaluated on a 4-grade scale. Serum selenium concentration was quantified by inductively coupled mass spectrometry using methane to reduce polyatomic interference. RESULTS Colorectal cancer patients had significantly lower serum selenium concentration than the comparison patients (67.24±15.55 µg/L vs 78.81±12.93 µg/L; P<0.001), and selenium concentration was below the reference range in a high percentage of colorectal cancer patients. However, among the colorectal cancer patients, no significant difference in cancer grading was observed according to selenium concentration (P=0.235). Serum selenium concentration in the patients was evaluated on the basis of 5 independent variables (R=0.6250): age (P=0.011), number of leukocytes (P=0.010), family history of cancer (P=0.045), dietary supplements (P=0.023), and exposure to chemical factors (P=0.057). CONCLUSIONS This study supports findings from previous studies that low serum selenium levels are associated with colorectal cancer and that selenium deficiency may be a risk factor for colorectal cancer.

Integrating cfDNA liquid biopsy and organoid-based drug screening reveals PI3K signaling as a promising therapeutic target in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: The current precision medicine relies on biomarkers, which are mainly obtained through next-generation sequencing (NGS). However, this model failed to find effective drugs for most cancer patients. This study tried to combine liquid biopsy with functional drug tests using organoid models to find potential drugs for cancer patients. METHODS: Colorectal cancer (CRC) patients were prospectively enrolled and blood samples were collected from patients before the start of treatment. Targeted deep sequencing of cfDNA samples was performed using a 14-gene panel. Gastrointestinal (GI) cancer organoids were established and PI3K and mTOR inhibitors were evaluated on organoid models. RESULTS: A total of 195 mutations were detected across 58 cfDNA samples. The most frequently mutated genes were KRAS, TP53, PIK3CA, and BRAF, all of which exhibited higher mutation rates than tissue biopsy. Although 81% of variants had an allele frequency of less than 1%, certain mutations in KRAS, TP53, and SMAD4 had high allele frequencies exceeding 10%. Notably, among the seven patients with high allele frequency mutations, six had metastatic tumors, indicating that a high allele frequency of ctDNA could potentially serve as a biomarker of later-stage cancer. A high rate of PIK3CA mutation (31 out of 67, or 46.3%) was discovered in CRC patients, suggesting possible tumor progression mechanisms and targeted therapy opportunities. To evaluate the value of anti PI3K strategy in GI cancer, different lines of GI cancer organoids were established. The organoids recapitulated the morphologies of the original tumors. Organoids were generally insensitive to PI3K inhibitors. However, CRC-3 and GC-4 showed response to mTOR inhibitor Everolimus, and GC-3 was sensitive to PI3Kδ inhibitor Idelalisib. The CRC organoid with a PIK3CA mutation showed greater sensitivity to the PI3K inhibitor Alpelisib than wildtype organoids, suggesting potential treatment options for the corresponding patients. CONCLUSION: Liquid biopsy holds significant promise for improving precision treatment and tumor prognosis in colorectal cancer patients. The combination of biomarker-based drug prediction with organoid-based functional drug sensitivity assay may lead to more effective cancer treatment.

Assessment of water enema PET/CT: an effective imaging technique for the diagnosis of incidental colorectal 18F-FDG uptake.

BACKGROUND: To validate the feasibility of water enema PET/CT (WE-PET/CT) in incidental colorectal 18F-FDG uptake and improve the accuracy of diagnosing colorectal neoplastic lesions. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed the electronic records of 338 patients undergoing common PET/CT and WE-PET/CT at our hospital. PET/CT results were correlated with colonoscopy pathology and follow-up results. The ROC contrast curve was plotted to evaluate the accuracy of SUVmax on common PET/CT and WE-PET/CT for detecting neoplastic lesions. SUVmax and the median retention indexes (RIs) of cancerous, precancerous, and benign lesions and physiologic uptake were compared. RESULTS: The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of diagnosing neoplastic lesions with common PET/CT were 84.0%, 78.3% and 80.2%, respectively. The corresponding results with WE-PET/CT were 95.8%, 96.5% and 96.2%. The AUC of SUVmax on WE-PET/CT was significantly higher than that on common PET/CT (0.935 vs. 0.524, p < 0.001). The median SUVmax on WE-PET/CT was significantly higher than that on common PET/CT in cancerous and precancerous lesions, and significantly decreased in benign lesions and physiologic uptake (p < 0.001). The RI was significantly different between cancerous lesions and physiologic uptake, between precancerous lesions and physiologic uptake, between benign lesions and physiologic uptake, and between cancerous and benign lesions (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: WE-PET/CT is a noninvasive, well-tolerated and effective technique for diagnosing incidental colorectal 18F-FDG uptake. It is helpful for a timely colonoscopy and can effectively avoid an unnecessary colonoscopy for incidental colorectal 18F-FDG uptake.

Blood-based colorectal cancer screening in an integrated health system: a randomised trial of patient adherence.

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated whether people who had not completed a faecal immunochemical test (FIT) for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening would complete a blood-based testing option if offered one during health encounters. Blood-based screening tests for CRC could add to the total number of people screened for CRC by providing another testing alternative. DESIGN: Study participants were patients aged 45-75 years at a large, integrated health system who were offered but did not complete an FIT in the prior 3-9 months and were scheduled for a clinical encounter. Individuals were randomised (1:1) to be offered a commercially available CRC blood test (Shield, Guardant Health) versus usual care. We compared 3-month CRC screening proportions in the two groups. RESULTS: We randomised 2026 patients; 2004 remained eligible following postrandomisation exclusions (1003 to usual care and 1001 to blood draw offer; mean age: 60, 62% female, 80% non-Hispanic white). Of the 1001 allocated to the blood test group, 924 were recruited following chart-review exclusions; 548 (59.3%) were reached via phone, of which 280 (51.1%) scheduled an appointment with the research team. CRC screening proportions were 17.5 percentage points higher in the blood test group versus usual care (30.5% vs 13.0%; OR 2.94, 95% CI 2.34 to 3.70; p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Among adults who had declined prior CRC screening, the offer of a blood-based screening test boosted CRC screening by 17.5 percentage points over usual care. Further research is needed on how to balance the favourable adherence with lower advanced adenoma detection compared with other available tests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05987709.

Randomized Trial of Patient Outreach Approaches to De-implement Outdated Colonoscopy Surveillance Intervals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Guidelines now recommend patients with low-risk adenomas receive colonoscopy surveillance in 7-10 years and those with the previously recommended 5-year interval be re-evaluated. We tested 3 outreach approaches for transitioning patients to the 10-year interval recommendation. METHODS: This was a 3-arm pragmatic randomized trial comparing telephone, secure messaging, and mailed letter outreach. The setting was Kaiser Permanente Northern California, a large integrated healthcare system. Participants were patients 54-70 years of age with 1-2 small (<10 mm) tubular adenomas at baseline colonoscopy, due for 5-year surveillance in 2022, without high-risk conditions, and with access to all 3 outreach modalities. Patients were randomly assigned to the outreach arm (telephone [n = 200], secure message [n = 203], and mailed letter [n = 201]) stratified by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Outreach in each arm was performed by trained medical assistants (unblinded) communicating in English with 1 reminder attempt at 2-4 weeks. Participants could change their assigned interval to 10 years or continue their planned 5-year interval. RESULTS: Sixty-day response rates were higher for telephone (64.5%) and secure messaging outreach (51.7%) vs mailed letter (31.3%). Also, more patients adopted the 10-year surveillance interval in the telephone (37.0%) and secure messaging arms (32.0%) compared with mailed letter (18.9%) and rate differences were significant for telephone (18.1%; 97.5% confidence interval: 8.3%-27.9%) and secure message outreach (13.1%; 97.5% confidence interval: 3.5%-22.7%) vs mailed letter outreach. CONCLUSIONS: Telephone and secure messaging were more effective than mailed letter outreach for de-implementing outdated colonoscopy surveillance recommendations among individuals with a history of low-risk adenomas in an integrated healthcare setting. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT05389397).

Qualitative Interviews to Add Patient Perspectives in Colorectal Cancer Screening: Improvements in a Learning Health System.

Health systems are interested in increasing colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates as CRC is a leading cause of preventable cancer death. Learning health systems are ones that use data to continually improve care. Data can and should include qualitative local perspectives to improve patient and provider education and care. This study sought to understand local perspectives on CRC screening to inform future strategies to increase screening rates across our integrated health system. Health insurance plan members who were eligible for CRC screening were invited to participate in semi-structured phone interviews. Qualitative content analysis was conducted using an inductive approach. Forty member interviews were completed and analyzed. Identified barriers included ambivalence about screening options (e.g., "If it had the same performance, I'd rather do home fecal sample test. But I'm just too skeptical [so I do the colonoscopy]."), negative prior CRC screening experiences, and competing priorities. Identified facilitators included a positive general attitude towards health (e.g., "I'm a rule follower. There are certain things I'll bend rules. But certain medical things, you just got to do."), social support, a perceived risk of developing CRC, and positive prior CRC screening experiences. Study findings were used by the health system leaders to inform the selection of CRC screening outreach and education strategies to be tested in a future simulation model. For example, the identified barrier related to ambivalence about screening options led to a proposed revision of outreach materials that describe screening types more clearly.

Risk factors for colorectal cancer in a fecal immunochemical test-positive group: The National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Colorectal cancer (CRC) was the fourth most common cancer in Republic of Korea in 2019. It has a gradually increasing mortality rate, indicating the importance of screening for CRC. Among the various CRC screening test, fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is a simple yet most commonly used. Neverthelss, there have been only few long-term studies on subjects with FIT-positive. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to investigate the risk factors for CRC in FIT-positive patients using the National Health Insurance Service Bigdata database. METHODS: Among 1 737 633 individuals with a FIT screening result for CRC in 2009, 101 143 (5.82%) were confirmed to be FIT positive. The CRC incidence over 10 years (up to 2018) of these participants was investigated using the National Cancer Registry. RESULTS: Out of the 101 143 FIT-positive participants, 4395 (4.35%) were diagnosed with CRC. The FIT-positive patients who underwent a second round of screening showed a 5-year cumulative CRC incidence of approximately 1.25%, whereas those who did not showed an incidence of approximately 3.75%. Among the FIT-positive patients, the CRC incidence in the non-compliance group for the second round of screening was 2.8 times higher than that in the compliance group. CONCLUSIONS: In FIT-positive participants, non-compliance with the second round of screening was identified as a major risk factor for CRC development. It is necessary to establish appropriate strategies for managing risk factors for CRC in FIT-positive patients to increase the rate of compliance with the second round of CRC screening.

Hereditary Colorectal Cancer Diagnosis by Next-Generation Sequencing.

Pathogenic germline variants causally contribute to the etiology of colorectal cancer (CRC) and polyposis. The era of massively parallel sequencing, also known as next-generation sequencing (NGS), make it highly possible, effective, and efficient to offer rapid and cost-effective diagnosis for CRC. To aid clinical laboratories in testing the most clinically significant genes, along with the published ACMG CRC technical standard guidelines, this protocol aims to provide a step-by-step technical workflow for carrying out the NGS-panel based CRC molecular diagnosis focusing on the wet lab portion of library preparation and massively parallel sequencing. Using the most popular pull-down-based target enrichment, the chapter particularly encompasses genomic DNA (gDNA) fragmentation, adapter ligation, indexing, hybridization, and capture, which is the most variable and technically challenging part of NGS testing involving at least 3 quality control (QC) checkpoints plus the pre- and post-capture PCR. The gDNA extraction and sequencing is less covered because they are relatively standard technologies with little variations and choices. Although this protocol also introduces pertinent testing algorithms and a brief guideline for pre- and post-testing genetic counselling, the audiences are required to refer to National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) clinical practice guidelines to determine the most appropriate testing strategies. Since NGS panel-based testing is a highly complex and dynamic platform with multiple choices from different technology and commercial resources, this technical benchtop-based protocol also aims to cover some of the key ramification points for decision-making by each laboratory at the discretion of the directors. © 2023 Wiley Periodicals LLC. Basic Protocol: Hereditary colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosis by next-generation sequencing.

"I was screaming hallelujah": Patient and provider perceptions of blood-based testing for colorectal cancer screening.

BACKGROUND: Blood-based tests for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening can offer many advantages over stool-based tests such as FIT. Yet, we know little about patients' and providers' perceptions of this type of test. We report findings from a qualitative study comparing patient and provider perceptions of blood-based testing for CRC screening. METHODS: Patient participants were aged 45-75 years and members of a large, integrated health system. Participants were mailed, but did not complete, a FIT through an organized FIT-screening program and were scheduled for a health-care encounter at any of nine clinical sites. Participants were consented to complete a blood draw. We used purposive sampling to select and recruit patients (who did and did not complete the blood test) and providers/specialists who would be involved in offering the blood test to patients or explaining results. We administered telephone interviews using a semi-structured interview guide and recorded and transcribed all interviews, then coded and analyzed content. RESULTS: We interviewed 15 patients (11 completed and 4 did not complete the blood test) and 5 providers (3 primary care providers, one gastroenterologist (GI), and one GI medical assistant). Patients were enthusiastic about completing a blood test, citing the simplicity, ease, convenience, and high perceived accuracy of the test. Providers were also receptive to a blood-based option, if adequate test performance could be achieved and if they have information that informs patients about the pros and cons of blood-based screening versus other screening tests. CONCLUSIONS: Patients and providers were willing and enthusiastic about blood-based CRC screening tests. Future research focusing on performance and communication is needed.

Using Machine Learning to Leverage Biomarker Change and Predict Colorectal Cancer Recurrence.

PURPOSE: The risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence after primary treatment varies across individuals and over time. Using patients' most up-to-date information, including carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) biomarker profiles, to predict risk could improve personalized decision making. METHODS: We used electronic health record data from an integrated health system on a cohort of patients diagnosed with American Joint Committee on Cancer stage I-III CRC between 2008 and 2013 (N = 3,970) and monitored until recurrence or end of follow-up. We addressed missingness in recurrence outcomes and longitudinal CEA measures, and engineered CEA features using current and past biomarker values for inclusion in a risk prediction model. We used a discrete time Superlearner model to evaluate various algorithms for predicting recurrence. We evaluated the time-varying discrimination and calibration of the algorithms and assessed the role of individual predictors. RESULTS: Recurrence was documented in 448 (11.3%) patients. XGBoost with depth = 1 (XGB-D1) predicted recurrence substantially better than all other algorithms at all time points, with AUC ranging from 0.87 (95% CI, 0.86 to 0.88) at 6 months to 0.94 (95% CI, 0.92 to 0.96) at 54 months. The only variable used by XGB-D1 was 6-month change in log CEA. Predicted 1-year risk of recurrence was nearly zero for patients whose log CEA did not increase in the last 6 months, between 12.2% and 34.1% for patients whose log CEA increased between 0.10 and 0.40, and 43.6% for those with a log CEA increase >0.40. Compared with XGB, penalized regression approaches (lasso, ridge, and elastic net) performed poorly, with AUCs ranging from 0.58 to 0.69. CONCLUSION: A flexible, machine learning approach that incorporated longitudinal CEA information yielded a simple and high-performing model for predicting recurrence on the basis of 6-month change in log CEA.

Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Colorectal Cancer Mortality Beginning One Year after a Negative Fecal Occult Blood Test, among Screen-Eligible 76- to 85-Year-Olds.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer screening is universally recommended for adults ages 45 to 75 years. Noninvasive fecal occult blood tests are effective screening tests recommended by guidelines. However, empirical evidence to inform older adults' decisions about whether to continue screening is sparse, especially for individuals with prior screening. METHODS: This study used a retrospective cohort of older adults at three Kaiser Permanente integrated healthcare systems (Northern California, Southern California, Washington) and Parkland Health. Beginning 1 year following a negative stool-based screening test, cumulative risks of colorectal cancer incidence, colorectal cancer mortality (accounting for deaths from other causes), and non-colorectal cancer mortality were estimated. RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of colorectal cancer in screen-eligible adults ages 76 to 85 with a negative fecal occult blood test 1 year ago (N = 118,269) was 0.23% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.20%-0.26%] after 2 years and 1.21% (95% CI, 1.13%-1.30%) after 8 years. Cumulative colorectal cancer mortality was 0.03% (95% CI, 0.02%-0.04%) after 2 years and 0.33% (95% CI, 0.28%-0.39%) after 8 years. Cumulative risk of death from non-colorectal cancer causes was 4.81% (95% CI, 4.68%-4.96%) after 2 years and 28.40% (95% CI, 27.95%-28.85%) after 8 years. CONCLUSIONS: Among 76- to 85-year-olds with a recent negative stool-based test, cumulative colorectal cancer incidence and mortality estimates were low, especially within 2 years; death from other causes was over 100 times more likely than death from colorectal cancer. IMPACT: These findings of low absolute colorectal cancer risk, and comparatively higher risk of death from other causes, can inform decision-making regarding whether and when to continue colorectal cancer screening beyond age 75 among screen-eligible adults.

Evaluation and Comparison of Real-World Databases for Conducting Research in Patients With Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: Evaluating whether patient populations in clinico-genomic oncology databases are comparable with whom in other databases without genomic component is important. METHODS: Four databases were compared for colorectal cancer (CRC) cases and stage IV CRC cases: American Association for Cancer Research Project Genomics Evidence Neoplasia Information Exchange Biopharma Collaborative (GENIE-BPC), The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), SEER-Medicare, and MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental claims databases. These databases were also compared with the SEER registry database which serves as national benchmarks. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and overall survival were compared in patients with newly diagnosed CRC and patients with stage IV CRC across databases. Treatment patterns were further compared in patients with stage IV CRC. RESULTS: A total of 65,976 patients with CRC and 13,985 patients with stage IV CRC were identified. GENIE-BPC had the youngest patient population (mean age [years]: CRC, 54.1; stage IV CRC, 52.7). SEER-Medicare had the oldest patient population (CRC, 77.7; stage IV CRC, 77.3). Most patients were male and of White race across databases. GENIE-BPC had the highest proportion of patients with stage IV CRC (48.4% v other databases 13.8%-25.4%) and patients receiving treatments (95.7% v 37.6%-59.1%). Infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin with or without bevacizumab was the most common regimen across databases accounting for 47.3%-78.5% of patients receiving first line of therapy. The median survival from diagnosis was 36, 94, 44 months (CRC) and 23, 36, 15 months (stage IV CRC) for patients in GENIE-BPC after left truncation, TCGA, and SEER-Medicare databases, respectively. CONCLUSION: Compared with other databases, GENIE-BPC had the youngest patients with CRC with the most advanced disease and the largest proportion of patients receiving treatment. Investigators should consider adjustments when extrapolating results from clinico-genomic databases to the general CRC population.

Colorectal Cancer Screening and Iron Deficiency Anemia.

In the United States, colorectal cancer has the fourth highest amount of annual new cancer cases per year between 2014 and 2018. In this article, the authors review the data and guidelines supporting effective direct visualization and stool-based testing methods of colon cancer screening along with work-up and management of Iron Deficiency Anemia.

Racial and Ethnic Bias in Risk Prediction Models for Colorectal Cancer Recurrence When Race and Ethnicity Are Omitted as Predictors.

Importance: Including race and ethnicity as a predictor in clinical risk prediction algorithms has received increased scrutiny, but there continues to be a lack of empirical studies addressing whether simply omitting race and ethnicity from the algorithms will ultimately affect decision-making for patients of minoritized racial and ethnic groups. Objective: To examine whether including race and ethnicity as a predictor in a colorectal cancer recurrence risk algorithm is associated with racial bias, defined as racial and ethnic differences in model accuracy that could potentially lead to unequal treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective prognostic study was conducted using data from a large integrated health care system in Southern California for patients with colorectal cancer who received primary treatment between 2008 and 2013 and follow-up until December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from January 2021 to June 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: Four Cox proportional hazards regression prediction models were fitted to predict time from surveillance start to cancer recurrence: (1) a race-neutral model that explicitly excluded race and ethnicity as a predictor, (2) a race-sensitive model that included race and ethnicity, (3) a model with 2-way interactions between clinical predictors and race and ethnicity, and (4) separate models by race and ethnicity. Algorithmic fairness was assessed using model calibration, discriminative ability, false-positive and false-negative rates, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Results: The study cohort included 4230 patients (mean [SD] age, 65.3 [12.5] years; 2034 [48.1%] female; 490 [11.6%] Asian, Hawaiian, or Pacific Islander; 554 [13.1%] Black or African American; 937 [22.1%] Hispanic; and 2249 [53.1%] non-Hispanic White). The race-neutral model had worse calibration, NPV, and false-negative rates among racial and ethnic minority subgroups than non-Hispanic White individuals (eg, false-negative rate for Hispanic patients: 12.0% [95% CI, 6.0%-18.6%]; for non-Hispanic White patients: 3.1% [95% CI, 0.8%-6.2%]). Adding race and ethnicity as a predictor improved algorithmic fairness in calibration slope, discriminative ability, PPV, and false-negative rates (eg, false-negative rate for Hispanic patients: 9.2% [95% CI, 3.9%-14.9%]; for non-Hispanic White patients: 7.9% [95% CI, 4.3%-11.9%]). Inclusion of race interaction terms or using race-stratified models did not improve model fairness, likely due to small sample sizes in subgroups. Conclusions and Relevance: In this prognostic study of the racial bias in a cancer recurrence risk algorithm, removing race and ethnicity as a predictor worsened algorithmic fairness in multiple measures, which could lead to inappropriate care recommendations for patients who belong to minoritized racial and ethnic groups. Clinical algorithm development should include evaluation of fairness criteria to understand the potential consequences of removing race and ethnicity for health inequities.

Evaluation of Clinical Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen, CA19-9, and CA24-2 for Colorectal Cancer.

Objective: To investigate the clinical diagnostic and prognostic value of preoperative serum tumor markers in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods: From September 2013 to September 2016, we enrolled 980 patients diagnosed with CRC and 870 healthy subjects from The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Shanxi Medical University. Patients were grouped and compared in accordance with tumor stage, tumor location, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, histological type, depth of invasion, growth type, and other factors. Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), and carbohydrate antigen 24-2 (CA24-2) concentrations in patient peripheral blood were measured, and the diagnostic value of the tumor markers in diagnosing CRC was assessed by receiver operating characteristic analysis. Results: The sensitivity of serum tumor markers in combination was significantly higher than serum tumor markers detected individually. CA19-9 levels were significantly correlated with CA24-2 levels (r = 0.884; P < .001) in patients with CRC. The preoperative CEA, CA19-9, and CA24-2 levels in patients with colon cancer were significantly higher than in patients with rectum cancer (all P < .001). The CA19-9 and CA24-2 levels were significantly higher in patients with lymph node metastasis than without (both P < .001). In addition, the CEA, CA19-9, and CA24-2 levels in patients with distant metastasis were significantly higher than those in patients without metastasis (all P < .001). Stratified analysis showed that CEA, CA19-9, and CA24-2 levels were significantly correlated with TNM staging (P < .05). With regard to the depth of tumor invasion, CEA, CA19-9, and CA24-2 levels in tumors outside the serosa were significantly higher than those in other tumor types (P < .05). In terms of diagnostic performance, CEA had a sensitivity of 0.52 and a specificity of 0.98, CA19-9 had a sensitivity of 0.35 and a specificity of 0.91, and CA24-2 had a sensitivity of 0.46 and a specificity of 0.95. Conclusion: The detection of serum tumor markers CEA, CA19-9, and CA24-2 is a good method for supporting diagnosis, making treatment decisions, judging therapeutic effect, and predicting prognosis when managing patients with CRC.

Impacts of COVID-19 on Appropriate Use of Screening Colonoscopy in a Large Integrated Healthcare Delivery System.

BACKGROUND: Decreasing low-value colonoscopy is critical to optimizing access for high-need patients, particularly in resource-constrained environments such as those created by the COVID-19 pandemic. We hypothesized that rates of screening colonoscopy overuse would decline during COVID compared to pre-COVID due to enhanced procedural scrutiny and prioritization in the setting of constrained access. OBJECTIVE: To characterize impacts of COVID-19 on screening colonoscopy overuse DESIGN: Retrospective national cohort study using Veterans Health Administration administrative data PARTICIPANTS: Veterans undergoing screening colonoscopy in Q4 2019 (pre-COVID) and Q4 2020 (COVID) at 109 endoscopy facilities MAIN MEASURES: Rates of screening colonoscopy overuse KEY RESULTS: 18,376 screening colonoscopies were performed pre-COVID, 19% (3,641) of which met overuse criteria. While only 9,360 screening colonoscopies were performed in Q4 2020, 25% met overuse criteria. Overall change in median facility-level overuse during COVID compared to pre-COVID was 6% (95%CI 5%-7%), with significant variability across facilities (IQR: 2%-11%). Of colonoscopies meeting overuse criteria, the top reason for overuse in both periods was screening colonoscopy performed <9 years after previous screening procedure (55% pre-COVID, 49% during COVID). The largest shifts in overuse category were in screening procedures performed <9 years after prior screening colonoscopy (-6% decline COVID vs. pre-COVID) and screening procedures performed in patients below average-risk screening age (i.e., age <40 (5% increase COVID compared to pre-COVID), age 40-44 (4% increase COVID vs. pre-COVID)). Within facility performance was stable over time; 83/109 facilities changed their performance by <=1 quartile during COVID compared to pre-COVID. CONCLUSIONS: Despite pandemic-related resource constraints and enhanced procedural scrutiny and prioritization in the setting of COVID-related backlogs, screening colonoscopy overuse rates remained roughly stable during COVID compared to pre-COVID, with continued variability across facilities. These data highlight the need for systematic and concerted efforts to address overuse, even in the face of strong external motivating factors.

Associations of the 2018 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) cancer prevention recommendations with stages of colorectal carcinogenesis.

BACKGROUND: While adherence to cancer prevention recommendations is linked to lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), few have studied associations across the entire spectrum of colorectal carcinogenesis. Here, we studied the relationship of the standardized 2018 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) Score for cancer prevention recommendations with detection of colorectal lesions in a screening setting. As a secondary objective, we examined to what extent the recommendations were being followed in an external cohort of CRC patients. METHODS: Adherence to the seven-point 2018 WCRF/AICR Score was measured in screening participants receiving a positive fecal immunochemical test and in CRC patients participating in an intervention study. Dietary intake, body fatness and physical activity were assessed using self-administered questionnaires. Multinomial logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for screen-detected lesions. RESULTS: Of 1486 screening participants, 548 were free from adenomas, 524 had non-advanced adenomas, 349 had advanced lesions and 65 had CRC. Adherence to the 2018 WCRF/AICR Score was inversely associated with advanced lesions; OR 0.82 (95% CI 0.71, 0.94) per score point, but not with CRC. Of the seven individual components included in the score, alcohol, and BMI seemed to be the most influential. Of the 430 CRC patients included in the external cohort, the greatest potential for lifestyle improvement was seen for the recommendations concerning alcohol and red and processed meat, where 10% and 2% fully adhered, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Adherence to the 2018 WCRF/AICR Score was associated with lower probability of screen-detected advanced precancerous lesions, but not CRC. Although some components of the score seemed to be more influential than others (i.e., alcohol and BMI), taking a holistic approach to cancer prevention is likely the best way to prevent the occurrence of precancerous colorectal lesions.