Risk of unintended consequences from lower antibiotic prescribing for respiratory tract infections in primary care.

OBJECTIVES: About 60% of antibiotic prescribing in primary care is for respiratory tract infections (RTIs), some of which is likely unnecessary. There is limited evidence on the association between reduced antibiotic prescribing and adverse events. We aimed to identify associations between practice-level prescribing rates for RTIs in general practice, and patient-level adverse outcomes. METHODS: We included 1471 English General Practitioner (GP) practices, linked to hospital admissions in England, from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink for 2005 to 2019. Outcomes were hospitalisations, RTI-related re-consultations and additional antibiotic prescriptions, adjusted for practice level case-mix prescribing. RESULTS: Prescribing rates for practices falling within the lowest and highest prescribing quintiles were 52 and 139 prescriptions per 1000 RTI-related consultations. Patients from practices in the lowest prescribing quintile did not have significantly higher risk of hospitalisation, adjusted odds ratio 0·99 (95% CI 0·96 to 1·02). Re-consultations within 30 days were significantly higher for the lowest prescribing practices, adjusted odds ratio 1·209 (1·206 to 1·212). Additional antibiotic prescriptions and subsequent prescriptions upon re-consultation were significantly lower for the lowest prescribing practices, adjusted odds ratio 0·317 (0·314 to 0·321) and 0·706 (0·699 to 0·712), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our results contribute to evidence on the safety of reduced antibiotic prescribing for RTIs in primary care. Results suggest that for the majority of practices, further reductions in RTI-related antibiotic prescribing should be possible without an increase in hospitalisation for pneumonia.

Cost Analysis of Short Messaging Service and Peer Navigator Interventions for Linking and Retaining Adults Recently Diagnosed With HIV in Care in South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: Large proportions of people living with HIV (PLHIV) in sub-Saharan Africa are not linked to or retained in HIV care. There is a critical need for cost-effective interventions to improve engagement and retention in care and inform optimal allocation of resources. METHODS: We estimated costs associated with a short message service (SMS) plus peer navigation (SMS+PN) intervention; an SMS-only intervention; and standard of care (SOC), within the I-Care cluster-randomized trial to improve HIV care engagement for recently diagnosed PLHIV. We employed a uniform cost data-collection protocol to quantify resources used and associated costs for each intervention. RESULTS: Compared with SOC, the SMS+PN intervention cost $1284 ($828-$2859) more per additional patient linked to care within 30 days and $1904 ($1158-$5343) more per additional patient retained in care at 12 months, while improving linkage by 24% (95% CI: 11 to 36) and retention by 16% (95% CI: 6 to 26). By contrast, the SMS-only intervention cost $198 ($93-dominated) more per additional patient linked to care and $697 ($171-dominated) more per additional patient retained in care but was not significantly associated with improvements in linkage (12%; 95% CI: -1 to 25) or retention (3%; 95% CI: -7 to 14) compared with SOC. The efficiency of the SMS+PN intervention could be improved by 46%, to $690 more per additional patient linked and $1023 more per additional patient retained in care, if implemented within the Department of Health using more efficient distribution of staff resources. DISCUSSION: Findings suggest that scale-up of the SMS+PN intervention could benefit patients, improving care and health outcomes while being cost-effective.

Impact of testing on Clostridioides difficile infection in hospitals across Europe: a mathematical model.

OBJECTIVES: The prevalence of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) has been shown to vary markedly between European countries, both in hospitals and in the community. Determining the true prevalence has proven challenging. Without systematic testing in hospitals, the unchecked transmission of CDI can lead to large outbreaks in more susceptible cohorts. We investigate the success of CDI surveillance and control measures across Europe, by examining the dynamics of disease spread from the community into a hospital setting. We focus on national differences, such as variability in testing and sampling, disease prevalence in communities and hospitals, and antimicrobial usage. METHODS: We developed a stochastic, compartmental, dynamic mathematical model parameterized using sampling and testing rate data from COMBACTE-CDI, a multicountry study in which all diarrhoeal stool samples (N = 3163) from European laboratories were tested for CDI, and data for antimicrobial usage and incidence of hospital cases sourced from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. RESULTS: The framework estimates the prevalence of CDI among hospital patients across European countries and explores how national differences impact the dynamics, transmission, and relative incidence of CDI within the hospital setting. The model illustrates the mechanisms influencing these national differences, namely, antimicrobial usage rates, national sampling and testing rates, and community prevalence of CDI. DISCUSSION: Differential costs for testing and practicalities of scaling up testing mean every country needs to consider balancing CDI testing costs against the costs of treatment and care of patients with CDI.

Impact of short message service and peer navigation on linkage to care and antiretroviral therapy initiation in South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: We examine the efficacy of short message service (SMS) and SMS with peer navigation (SMS + PN) in improving linkage to HIV care and initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART). DESIGN: I-Care was a cluster randomized trial conducted in primary care facilities in North West Province, South Africa. The primary study outcome was retention in HIV care; this analysis includes secondary outcomes: linkage to care and ART initiation. METHODS: Eighteen primary care clinics were randomized to automated SMS ( n  = 7), automated and tailored SMS + PN ( n  = 7), or standard of care (SOC; n  = 4). Recently HIV diagnosed adults ( n  = 752) were recruited from October 2014 to April 2015. Those not previously linked to care ( n  = 352) contributed data to this analysis. Data extracted from clinical records were used to assess the days that elapsed between diagnosis and linkage to care and ART initiation. Cox proportional hazards models and generalized estimating equations were employed to compare outcomes between trial arms, overall and stratified by sex and pregnancy status. RESULTS: Overall, SMS ( n  = 132) and SMS + PN ( n  = 133) participants linked at 1.28 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.61] and 1.60 (95% CI: 1.29-1.99) times the rate of SOC participants ( n  = 87), respectively. SMS + PN significantly improved time to ART initiation among non-pregnant women (hazards ratio: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.25-2.25) and men (hazards ratio: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.03-3.26) as compared with SOC. CONCLUSION: Results suggest SMS and peer navigation services significantly reduce time to linkage to HIV care in sub-Saharan Africa and that SMS + PN reduced time to ART initiation among men and non-pregnant women. Both should be considered candidates for integration into national programs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02417233, registered 12 December 2014; closed to accrual 17 April 2015.

Prevalence, motivation, and outcomes of clinic transfer in a clinical cohort of people living with HIV in North West Province, South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: Continuity of care is an attribute of high-quality health systems and a necessary component of chronic disease management. Assessment of health information systems for HIV care in South Africa has identified substantial rates of clinic transfer, much of it undocumented. Understanding the reasons for changing sources of care and the implications for patient outcomes is important in informing policy responses. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of the 2014 - 2016 I-Care trial, we examined self-reported changes in source of HIV care among a cohort of individuals living with HIV and in care in North West Province, South Africa. Individuals were enrolled in the study within 1 year of diagnosis; participants completed surveys at 6 and 12 months including items on sources of care. Clinical data were extracted from records at participants' original clinic for 12 months following enrollment. We assessed frequency and reason for changing clinics and compared the demographics and care outcomes of those changing and not changing source of care. RESULTS: Six hundred seventy-five (89.8%) of 752 study participants completed follow-up surveys with information on sources of HIV care; 101 (15%) reported receiving care at a different facility by month 12 of follow-up. The primary reason for changing was mobility (N=78, 77%). Those who changed clinics were more likely to be young adults, non-citizens, and pregnant at time of diagnosis. Self-reported clinic attendance and ART adherence did not differ based on changing clinics. Those on ART not changing clinics reported 0.66 visits more on average than were documented in clinic records. CONCLUSION: At least 1 in 6 participants in HIV care changed clinics within 2 years of diagnosis, mainly driven by mobility; while most appeared lost to follow-up based on records from the original clinic, self-reported visits and adherence were equivalent to those not changing clinics. Routine clinic visits could incorporate questions about care at other locations as well as potential relocation, particularly for younger, pregnant, and non-citizen patients, to support existing efforts to make HIV care records portable and facilitate continuity of care across clinics. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The original trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT02417233, on 12 December 2014.

Impact of SMS and peer navigation on retention in HIV care among adults in South Africa: results of a three-arm cluster randomized controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Few interventions have demonstrated improved retention in care for people living with HIV (PLHIV) in sub-Saharan Africa. We tested the efficacy of two personal support interventions - one using text messaging (SMS-only) and the second pairing SMS with peer navigation (SMS+PN) - to improve HIV care retention over one year. METHODS: In a cluster randomized control trial (NCT# 02417233) in North West Province, South Africa, we randomized 17 government clinics to three conditions: SMS-only (6), SMS+PN (7) or standard of care (SOC; 4). Participants at SMS-only clinics received appointment reminders, biweekly healthy living messages and twice monthly SMS check-ins. Participants at SMS+PN clinics received SMS appointment reminders and healthy living messages and spoke at least twice monthly with peer navigators (PLHIV receiving care) to address barriers to care. Outcomes were collected through biweekly clinical record extraction and surveys at baseline, six and 12 months. Retention in HIV care over one year was defined as clinic visits every three months for participants on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and CD4 screening every six months for pre-ART participants. We used generalized estimating equations, adjusting for clustering by clinic, to test for differences across conditions. RESULTS: Between October 2014 and April 2015, we enrolled 752 adult clients recently diagnosed with HIV (SOC: 167; SMS-only: 289; SMS+PN: 296). Individuals in the SMS+PN arm had approximately two more clinic visits over a year than those in other arms (p < 0.01) and were more likely to be retained in care over one year than those in SOC clinics (54% vs. 38%; OR: 1.77, CI: 1.02, 3.10). Differences between SMS+PN and SOC conditions remained significant when restricting analyses to the 628 participants on ART (61% vs. 45% retained; OR: 1.78, CI: 1.08, 2.93). The SMS-only intervention did not improve retention relative to SOC (40% vs. 38%, OR: 1.12, CI: 0.63, 1.98). CONCLUSIONS: A combination of SMS appointment reminders with personalized, peer-delivered support proved effective at enhancing retention in HIV care over one year. While some clients may only require appointment reminders, the SMS+PN approach offers increased flexibility and tailored, one-on-one support for patients struggling with more substantive challenges.

The impact of testing and infection prevention and control strategies on within-hospital transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in English hospitals.

Nosocomial transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is a key concern, and evaluating the effect of testing and infection prevention and control strategies is essential for guiding policy in this area. Using a within-hospital SEIR transition model of SARS-CoV-2 in a typical English hospital, we estimate that between 9 March 2020 and 17 July 2020 approximately 20% of infections in inpatients, and 73% of infections in healthcare workers (HCWs) were due to nosocomial transmission. Model results suggest that placing suspected COVID-19 patients in single rooms or bays has the potential to reduce hospital-acquired infections in patients by up to 35%. Periodic testing of HCWs has a smaller effect on the number of hospital-acquired COVID-19 cases in patients, but reduces infection in HCWs by as much as 37% and results in only a small proportion of staff absences (approx. 0.3% per day). This is considerably less than the 20-25% of staff that have been reported to be absent from work owing to suspected COVID-19 and self-isolation. Model-based evaluations of interventions, informed by data collected so far, can help to inform policy as the pandemic progresses and help prevent transmission in the vulnerable hospital population. This article is part of the theme issue 'Modelling that shaped the early COVID-19 pandemic response in the UK'.

Video-Counseling Intervention to Address HIV Care Engagement, Mental Health, and Substance Use Challenges: A Pilot Randomized Clinical Trial for Youth and Young Adults Living with HIV.

Background: Substance use and mental health are two barriers to engagement in care and antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence among youth and young adults living with HIV (YLWH). The consequences of suboptimal adherence in YLWH are increased risk of HIV transmission and a future generation of immunodeficient adults with drug-resistant virus. Methods: The Youth to Telehealth and Texting for Engagement in Care (Y2TEC) study was a pilot randomized crossover trial that examined the feasibility and acceptability of a novel video-counseling series and accompanying text messages aimed at mental health, substance use, and HIV care engagement for YLWH. The intervention consisted of twelve 20-30-min weekly video-counseling sessions focused on identifying and addressing barriers to HIV care, mental health, and substance use challenges. Participants completed quantitative surveys at baseline, 4 months, and 8 months. Feasibility and acceptability were evaluated using prespecified benchmarks. Results: Fifty YLWH aged 18-29 years living in the San Francisco Bay Area were enrolled. Eighty-six percent and 75% of participants were retained at 4 and 8 months, respectively. A total of 455 (76%) video-counseling sessions were completed. In 82% of sessions, participants responded that they strongly agreed/agreed with this statement: "I felt heard, understood, and respected by the counselor." In 81% of sessions, participants responded that they strongly agreed/agreed with this statement: "Overall, today's session was right for me." At baseline, among participants reporting mental health challenges, only 10% noted having ever received mental health services, and among those who reported substance use challenges, ∼19% reported ever receiving substance use services. After 4 months of the Y2TEC intervention, participants reported slightly higher ART adherence and HIV knowledge, decreased depression and anxiety, and reduced stigma related to mental health and substance use. Conclusions: The Y2TEC intervention using video-counseling and text messaging was feasible and acceptable for YLWH. ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT03681145.

Improvements in the South African HIV care cascade: findings on 90-90-90 targets from successive population-representative surveys in North West Province.

INTRODUCTION: To achieve epidemic control of HIV by 2030, countries aim to meet 90-90-90 targets to increase knowledge of HIV-positive status, initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and viral suppression by 2020. We assessed the progress towards these targets from 2014 to 2016 in South Africa as expanded treatment policies were introduced using population-representative surveys. METHODS: Data were collected in January to March 2014 and August to November 2016 in Dr. Ruth Segomotsi Mompati District, North West Province. Each multi-stage cluster sample included 46 enumeration areas (EA), a target of 36 dwelling units (DU) per EA, and a single resident aged 18 to 49 per DU. Data collection included behavioural surveys, rapid HIV antibody testing and dried blood spot collection. We used weighted general linear regression to evaluate differences in the HIV care continuum over time. RESULTS: Overall, 1044 and 971 participants enrolled in 2014 and 2016 respectively with approximately 77% undergoing HIV testing. Despite increases in reported testing, known status among people living with HIV (PLHIV) remained similar at 68.7% (95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 60.9-75.6) in 2014 and 72.8% (95% CI = 63.6-80.4) in 2016. Men were consistently less likely than women to know their status. Among those with known status, PLHIV on ART increased significantly from 80.9% (95% CI = 71.9-87.4) to 91.5% (95% CI = 84.4-95.5). Viral suppression (<5000 copies/mL using DBS) among those on ART increased significantly from 55.0% (95% CI = 39.6-70.4) in 2014 to 81.4% (95% CI = 72.0-90.8) in 2016. Among all PLHIV an estimated 72.0% (95% CI = 63.8-80.1) of women and 45.8% (95% CI = 27.0-64.7) of men achieved viral suppression by 2016. CONCLUSIONS: Over a period during which fixed-dose combination was introduced, ART eligibility expanded, and efforts to streamline treatment were implemented, major improvements in the second and third 90-90-90 targets were achieved. Achieving the first 90 target will require targeted and improved testing models for men.

Beyond Social Desirability Bias: Investigating Inconsistencies in Self-Reported HIV Testing and Treatment Behaviors Among HIV-Positive Adults in North West Province, South Africa.

This mixed-methods study used qualitative interviews to explore discrepancies between self-reported HIV care and treatment-related behaviors and the presence of antiretroviral medications (ARVs) in a population-based survey in South Africa. ARV analytes were identified among 18% of those reporting HIV-negative status and 18% of those reporting not being on ART. Among participants reporting diagnosis over a year prior, 19% reported multiple HIV tests in the past year. Qualitative results indicated that participant misunderstandings about their care and treatment played a substantial role in reporting inaccuracies. Participants conflated the term HIV test with CD4 and viral load testing, and confusion with terminology was compounded by recall difficulties. Data entry errors likely also played a role. Frequent discrepancies between biomarkers and self-reported data were more likely due to poor understanding of care and treatment and biomedical terminology than intentional misreporting. Results indicate a need for improving patient-provider communication, in addition to incorporating objective measures of treatment and care behaviors such as ARV analytes, to reduce inaccuracies.

Using a Social Network Strategy to Distribute HIV Self-Test Kits to African American and Latino MSM.

BACKGROUND: Men who have sex with men (MSM) continue to be disproportionately impacted globally by the HIV epidemic. Studies suggest that HIV self-testing (HIVST) is highly acceptable among MSM. Social network strategies to increase testing are effective in reaching MSM, particularly MSM of color, who may not otherwise test. We tested a social network-based strategy to distribute HIVST kits to African American MSM (AAMSM) and Latino MSM (LMSM). SETTING: This study was conducted in Alameda County, California, a large, urban/suburban county with an HIV epidemic mirroring the national HIV epidemic. METHODS: From January 2016 to March 2017, 30 AAMSM, LMSM, and transgender women were trained as peer recruiters and asked to distribute 5 self-test kits to MSM social network members and support those who test positive in linking to care. Testers completed an online survey after their test. We compared peer-distributed HIVST testing outcomes to outcomes from Alameda County's targeted, community-based HIV testing programs using χ tests. RESULTS: Peer-distributed HIVST to 143 social and sexual network members, of whom 110 completed the online survey. Compared with MSM who used the County's sponsored testing programs, individuals reached through the peer-based self-testing strategy were significantly more likely to have never tested for HIV (3.51% vs. 0.41%, P < 0.01) and to report a positive test result (6.14% vs. 1.49%, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that a network-based strategy for self-test distribution is a promising intervention to increase testing uptake and reduce undiagnosed infections among AAMSM and LMSM.

Bathhouse distribution of HIV self-testing kits reaches diverse, high-risk population.

We distributed free OraQuick In-home HIV Test® kits to men at a gay bathhouse. Men were systematically selected to receive a coupon, which could be redeemed that night for an HIV self-testing kit. Those offered the coupon were asked to take an 11-item survey. About 181 men received coupons, of whom 92 (51%) accepted the coupon, and 61 (66%) men redeemed the coupon. Those who redeemed test kits and completed a survey (n = 53) were more ethnically diverse (χ(2) = 100.69, p < .01) than those receiving the coupon. More than half had not tested in the past 6 months (50%) or never tested (7%). Importantly, men who had never tested or who last tested more than 6 months ago were among those most likely to take the free test kit. We found bathhouse distribution could reach a population of men who have sex with men most in need of improved access to HIV testing. Future studies should consider means of improved follow-up and linkage to care for those who test positive.

Evaluation of short message service and peer navigation to improve engagement in HIV care in South Africa: study protocol for a three-arm cluster randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: In countries with a high burden of HIV, such as South Africa, where the epidemic remains the world's largest, improving early uptake of and consistent adherence to antiretroviral therapy could bring substantial HIV prevention gains. However, patients are not linked to or retained in care at rates needed to curtail the epidemic. Two strategies that have demonstrated a potential to stem losses along the HIV care cascade in the sub-Saharan African context are use of text messaging or short message service (SMS) and peer-navigation services. METHODS/DESIGN: We designed a cluster randomized trial to assess the efficacy of an SMS intervention and a peer-navigation intervention to improve retention in care and treatment, timely linkage to care and treatment, medication adherence, and prevention behaviors in South Africa. Eighteen primary and community healthcare clinics in Rustenburg and Moses Kotane Sub-districts in the North West Province were randomized to one of three conditions: SMS intervention (n = 7), peer navigation intervention (n = 7), or standard of care (n = 4). Approximately 42 participants are being recruited at each clinic, which will result in a target of 750 participants. Eligible participants include patients accessing HIV testing or care in a study clinic, recently diagnosed with HIV, aged 18 years or older, and with access to a cellular telephone where they are willing to receive automated SMS with HIV-related messaging. Data collection includes extraction of visit information from clinical files and participant surveys at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. Intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis will explore differences between randomization arms and the primary outcome of patient retention in care at 12 months following enrollment. We will also explore secondary outcomes including participants' a) timely linkage to care (within 3 months of HIV diagnosis), b) adherence to treatment based on self-report and clinic's medication dispensation dates, and c) condom-use behaviors. DISCUSSION: The findings will allow us to compare the efficacy of two complementary interventions, one that requires fewer resources to implement (SMS) and one (peer navigation) that offers more flexibility in terms of the patient barriers to care that it can address. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02417233, registered 12 December 2014.