Clinical and Genomic-Based Decision Support System to Define the Optimal Timing of Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem-Cell Transplantation in Patients With Myelodysplastic Syndromes.

PURPOSE: Allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT) is the only potentially curative treatment for patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Several issues must be considered when evaluating the benefits and risks of HSCT for patients with MDS, with the timing of transplantation being a crucial question. Here, we aimed to develop and validate a decision support system to define the optimal timing of HSCT for patients with MDS on the basis of clinical and genomic information as provided by the Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-M). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied a retrospective population of 7,118 patients, stratified into training and validation cohorts. A decision strategy was built to estimate the average survival over an 8-year time horizon (restricted mean survival time [RMST]) for each combination of clinical and genomic covariates and to determine the optimal transplantation policy by comparing different strategies. RESULTS: Under an IPSS-M based policy, patients with either low and moderate-low risk benefited from a delayed transplantation policy, whereas in those belonging to moderately high-, high- and very high-risk categories, immediate transplantation was associated with a prolonged life expectancy (RMST). Modeling decision analysis on IPSS-M versus conventional Revised IPSS (IPSS-R) changed the transplantation policy in a significant proportion of patients (15% of patient candidate to be immediately transplanted under an IPSS-R-based policy would benefit from a delayed strategy by IPSS-M, whereas 19% of candidates to delayed transplantation by IPSS-R would benefit from immediate HSCT by IPSS-M), resulting in a significant gain-in-life expectancy under an IPSS-M-based policy (P = .001). CONCLUSION: These results provide evidence for the clinical relevance of including genomic features into the transplantation decision making process, allowing personalizing the hazards and effectiveness of HSCT in patients with MDS.

Trisomy 8 Defines a Distinct Subtype of Myeloproliferative Neoplasms Driven by the MYC-Alarmin Axis.

Despite advances in understanding the genetic abnormalities in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) and the development of JAK2 inhibitors, there is an urgent need to devise new treatment strategies, particularly for triple negative myelofibrosis (MF) patients who lack mutations in the JAK2 kinase pathway and have very poor clinical outcomes. Here we report that MYC copy number gain and increased MYC expression frequently occur in triple negative MF, and that MYC-directed activation of S100A9, an alarmin protein that plays pivotal roles in inflammation and innate immunity, is necessary and sufficient to drive development and progression of MF. Notably, the MYC-S100A9 circuit provokes a complex network of inflammatory signaling that involves numerous hematopoietic cell types in the bone marrow microenvironment. Accordingly, genetic ablation of S100A9 or treatment with small molecules targeting the MYC-S100A9 pathway effectively ameliorates MF phenotypes, highlighting the MYC-alarmin axis as a novel therapeutic vulnerability for this subgroup of MPNs.

Investigation of Serum Albumin as a Dynamic Treatment-Specific Surrogate for Outcomes in Patients With Myelofibrosis Treated With Ruxolitinib.

PURPOSE: Ruxolitinib improves splenomegaly and disease-related symptoms in most patients with myelofibrosis (MF), and it has been associated with a survival benefit in higher-risk patients with splenomegaly. Spleen volume reduction has been associated with a survival benefit in ruxolitinib-treated patients; however, its use as a surrogate is limited. We hypothesized that an anti-inflammatory response to ruxolitinib would correlate with improved patient outcomes. METHODS: We interrogated serum albumin, an acute phase reactant and marker of nutritional status in 590 patients with MF and analyzed differential trajectories of albumin on the basis of ruxolitinib treatment. Additionally, we assessed the prognostic role of baseline albumin and change in albumin. RESULTS: We found that serum albumin levels tend to decrease in patients with MF; however, this tendency is abrogated by ruxolitinib treatment. To that end, baseline serum albumin level correlates with overall survival (OS) in patients with MF, independent of the variables that comprise the dynamic international prognostic scoring system; however, this correlation is limited to ruxolitinib-naïve patients. In ruxolitinib-treated patients, the change in serum albumin after ruxolitinib treatment, rather than the baseline value, is associated with improved OS, a finding not seen in ruxolitinib-naïve patients. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that serum albumin, a ubiquitously available laboratory value, has specific relevance in patients with MF and reflects therapeutic response to ruxolitinib.

Patterns of lower risk myelodysplastic syndrome progression: factors predicting progression to high-risk myelodysplastic syndrome and acute myeloid leukemia.

The patterns of low risk myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) progression, and the clinical and molecular features of those patterns are not well described. We divided our low risk (LR) MDS patients (n=1914) into 4 cohorts: 1) Patients who remained LR-MDS (LR-LR; n=1300; 68%), 2) Patients who progressed from LR to HR MDS (LR-HR) without AML transformation (n=317; 16.5%), 3) Patients who progressed from LR to HR MDS and then AML (LR-HR-AML; n=124; 6.5%), 4) Patients who progressed from LR MDS to AML directly (LR-AML; n=173; 9%). Risk factors for progression included male gender, low absolute neutrophil count (ANC), low platelet count, high bone marrow (BM) blasts, ferritin >1000 mcg/L, albumin.

Mutations highly specific for secondary AML are associated with poor outcomes in ELN favorable risk NPM1-mutated AML.

ABSTRACT: Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is a heterogeneous malignancy with outcomes largely predicted by genetic abnormalities. Mutations of NPM1 are common in AML, occurring in ∼30% of cases, and generally considered a favorable risk factor. Mutations highly specific for secondary AML (sMut) have been shown to confer poor prognosis, but the overall impact of these mutations in the setting of favorable-risk AML defined by mutant NPM1 remains unclear. In this multicenter study of patients with AML (n = 233) with NPM1 mutation at diagnosis, we observed that patients with sMut had worse overall survival (OS) than those without sMut (15.3 vs 43.7 months; P = .002). Importantly, this finding persisted in the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) 2017-defined favorable risk subset (14.7 months vs not reached; P < .0001). Among patients who achieved NPM1 measurable residual disease (MRD) negativity, longer OS was observed in the entire cohort (P = .015) as well as in both the sMut subset (MRD negative: median OS (mOS) 73.9 months vs MRD positive: 12.3 months; P = .0170) and sMut ELN 2017-favorable subset (MRD negative: mOS 27.3 vs MRD positive: 10.5 months; P = .009). Co-occurrence of sMut and mutant NPM1 confers a poor prognosis in AML.

TP53 variant allele frequency and therapy-related setting independently predict survival in myelodysplastic syndromes with del(5q).

Among 210 patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDSs) with del(5q), molecular information was available at diagnosis or at least 3 months before leukaemic transformation in 146 cases. Multivariate analysis identified therapy-related setting (p = 0.02; HR 2.3) and TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥22% (p < 0.01; HR 2.8), but not SF3B1 mutation (p = 0.65), as independent risk factors for survival. Median survival was 11.7 versus 4 years (5/10-year survival 73%/52% vs. 42%/14%) in the absence (N = 112) versus presence (N = 34) of ≥1 risk factors; leukaemia-free survival was affected by TP53 VAF ≥22% (p < 0.01). Such information might inform treatment decision-making in MDS-del(5q) regarding allogeneic stem cell transplant.

Young patients with myelofibrosis have distinct clinicomolecular features, favorable prognosis, and commonly exhibit inflammatory comorbidities.

Myelofibrosis (MF) is commonly diagnosed in older individuals and has not been extensively studied in young patients. Given the infrequent diagnosis in young patients, analyzing this cohort may identify factors that predict for disease development/progression. We retrospectively analyzed clinical/genomic characteristics, treatments, and outcomes of patients with MF aged 18-50 years (YOUNG) at diagnosis. Sixty-three YOUNG patients were compared to 663 patients diagnosed at 51 or older (OLDER). YOUNG patients were more likely to be female, harbor driving CALR mutations, lack splicing gene mutations, and have low-risk disease by dynamic international prognostic scoring system (DIPSS) at presentation. Thirty-six patients (60%) presented with incidental lab findings and 19 (32%) with symptomatic disease. Median time to first treatment was 9.4 months (mo). Fourteen (22%) YOUNG patients underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (median 57.4 mo post-diagnosis). Five (8%) developed blast-phase disease (median 99 mo post-diagnosis). Median overall survival (OS) for YOUNG patients was not reached compared to 62.8 mo in OLDER cohort (p < 0.001). The survival advantage for YOUNG patients lost significance when compared to OLDER patients lacking splicing mutations (p = 0.11). Thirty-one (49%) had comorbidities predating MF diagnosis. Presence of a comorbidity correlated with increased disease risk as measured by serial DIPSS (p=0.02). Increased disease risk correlated with decreased OS (p = 0.05). MF is rare in young adults, has distinct clinical/molecular correlates, and a favorable prognosis. The high frequency of inflammatory comorbidities and their correlation with progression of disease risk clinically highlights the role of inflammation in MF pathogenesis.

Assessment and validation of the molecular international prognostic scoring system for myelodysplastic syndromes.

The Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-M) is a novel risk stratification model for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) that builds on the IPSS and IPSS-R by incorporating mutational data. The model showed improved prognostic accuracy over the IPSS-R across three endpoints: overall survival (OS), leukemia-free survival (LFS) and leukemic transformation. This study aimed to validate the findings of the original in a large cohort of MDS patients, as well as assess its validity in therapy-related and hypoplastic MDS. We retrospectively reviewed clinical, cytogenetic and molecular data for 2355 MDS patients treated at the Moffitt Cancer Center. Correlative analysis between IPSS-R and mean IPSS-M scores and outcome predictions was performed on LFS, OS and leukemic transformation. Using the IPSS-M, patients were classified as Very Low (4%), Low (24%), Moderate-Low (14%), Moderate-High (11%), High (19%) and Very-High risk (28%). Median OS was 11.7, 7.1, 4.4, 3.1, 2.3, and 1.3 years from VL to VH risk subgroups. Median LFS was 12.3, 6.9, 3.6, 2.2, 1.4, and 0.5 years respectively. For patients with t-MDS and h-MDS the model retained its prognostic accuracy. Generalized use of this tool will likely result in more accurate prognostic assessment and optimize therapeutic decision-making in MDS.

U2AF1 and EZH2 mutations are associated with nonimmune hemolytic anemia in myelodysplastic syndromes.

Hemolysis is a well-recognized but poorly characterized phenomenon in a subset of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Its pathobiological basis seems to underpin a nonimmune etiology whose clinical significance has not been adequately characterized. Hemolysis in MDS is often attributed to either ineffective intramedullary erythropoiesis or acquired hemoglobinopathies and red blood cell (RBC) membrane defects. These heterogeneous processes have not been associated with specific genetic subsets of the disease. We aimed to describe the prevalence of hemolysis among patients with MDS, their baseline characteristics, molecular features, and resulting impact on outcomes. We considered baseline serum haptoglobin <10 mg/dL a surrogate marker for intravascular hemolysis. Among 519 patients, 10% had hemolysis. The baseline characteristics were similar among both groups. Only 13% of patients with hemolysis were Coombs-positive, suggesting that hemolysis in MDS is largely not immune-mediated. Inferior survival trends were observed among lower-risk patients with MDS undergoing hemolysis. Decreased response rates to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESA) and higher responses to hypomethylating agents (HMA) were also observed in the hemolysis group. U2AF1 and EZH2 hotspot mutations were more prevalent among those undergoing hemolysis (P < .05). U2AF1 mutations were observed in 30% of patients with hemolysis and occurred almost exclusively at the S34 hotspot. Somatic mutations encoding splicing factors may affect erythrocyte membrane components, biochemical properties, and RBC metabolic function, which underpin the development of atypical clones from erythroid precursors in MDS presenting with hemolysis. Future studies will explore the contribution of altered splicing to the development of acquired hemoglobinopathies.

A machine learning model of response to hypomethylating agents in myelodysplastic syndromes.

Hypomethylating agents (HMA) prolong survival and improve cytopenias in individuals with higher-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Only 30-40% of patients, however, respond to HMAs, and responses may not occur for more than 6 months after HMA initiation. We developed a model to more rapidly assess HMA response by analyzing early changes in patients' blood counts. Three institutions' data were used to develop a model that assessed patients' response to therapy 90 days after the initiation using serial blood counts. The model was developed with a training cohort of 424 patients from 2 institutions and validated on an independent cohort of 90 patients. The final model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.79 in the train/test group and 0.84 in the validation group. The model provides cohort-wide and individual-level explanations for model predictions, and model certainty can be interrogated to gauge the reliability of a given prediction.

Splicing factor 3B subunit 1 (SF3B1) mutation in the context of therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes.

Splicing factor 3B subunit 1 (SF3B1) somatic mutation in the context of therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes (t-MDS) has not been well defined. In a large cohort of patients with MDS, those with known SF3B1 somatic mutation were compared as de novo MDS (n = 289) and t-MDS with mutant SF3B1 (SF3B1mut ; n = 31). Baseline characteristics, concomitant mutations, and acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) transformation were similar between the two groups. The median overall survival (OS) of de novo MDS SF3B1mut was significantly longer compared to t-MDS SF3B1mut but not significantly different when adjusted for comorbidities. Comparing t-MDS wild-type SF3B1 (SF3B1WT ; n = 241) to t-MDS SF3B1mut (n = 31), complex cytogenetics were seen in 37.4% versus 10.3% (p = 0.009), tumour protein p53 (TP53) mutation was 36.1% versus 10% (p = 0.004), and AML transformation was 34.4% compared to 12.9% (p = 0.016) respectively. OS was significantly shorter in SF3B1WT versus SF3B1mut . When applying the International Working Group for Prognosis of MDS (IWG-PM) proposed SF3B1 criteria, OS was significantly shorter in SF3B1mut t-MDS compared to de novo MDS SF3B1mut with no significance in AML transformation. Survival was compared between t-MDS SF3B1mut who met the new proposed IWG-PM criteria to t-MDS SF3B1mut who did not meet criteria to survival of SF3B1WT t-MDS. OS was 53 versus 22 and 18 months respectively (p = 0.006). AML transformation was 0%, 26.7% and 32.3% (p = 0.021). Leukaemia-free survival was not reached among the three.

Comparison of Different Treatment Strategies for Blast-Phase Myeloproliferative Neoplasms.

INTRODUCTION: Up to 20% of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) will progress to blast phase (MPN-BP). Outcomes are dismal, with intensive chemotherapy providing little benefit. Low-intensity therapy is preferred due to better tolerability, but the prognosis remains poor. Allogeneic stem cell transplant (AHSCT) is still the only potential for long term survival. PATIENTS AND METHODS: To better evaluate the initial treatment approach in MPN-BP, we performed a single-institution retrospective analysis of 75 patients with MPN-BP treated at Moffitt Cancer Center between 2001 and 2021. Patients were stratified by initial treatment: best supportive care (BSC), hypomethylating agent (HMA)-based therapy or intensive chemotherapy (IC). RESULTS: Median overall survival (mOS) for the entire cohort was 4.8 months (BSC 0.8 months, HMA 4.7 months, and IC 11.4 months). Among IC patients, improved survival was evident in those that received AHSCT (mOS 40.8 months vs. 4.9 months, p < .01). Most patients that underwent AHSCT were initially treated with IC (p < .01). All patients that underwent AHSCT had achieved complete response (CR) or CR with incomplete hematological recovery (CRi). On multivariate analysis, factors associated with improved survival were receipt of therapy (HMA or IC) (P = .017), CR/CRi (P = .037) and receipt of AHSCT (p < .001). CONCLUSION: We show that active treatment with IC improves survival, but it is mostly tied to receipt of AHSCT. IC is a reasonable approach in appropriate patients as it can provide an effective bridge to AHSCT. Other treatment strategies such as molecularly targeted therapy and novel agents are desperately needed.

Myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms with ring sideroblasts and thrombocytosis (MDS/MPN-RS-T): Mayo-Moffitt collaborative study of 158 patients.

The current World Health Organization (WHO) classification of myeloid malignancies includes myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms with ring sideroblasts and thrombocytosis (MDS/MPN-RS-T) as a distinct entity. Previous literature on predictors of survival was based on the provisional category of refractory anemia with ring sideroblast and thrombocytosis (RARS-T), which was not subject to MDS/MPN-RS-T exclusionary criteria such as PB blast% ≥1, BM blast% ≥5 or cytogenetic abnormalities such as t(3;3)(q21.2;q26.2), inv(3)(q21.23q26.2) or isolated del(5q). We examined overall (OS) and leukemia-free (LFS) survival and its predictors, among 158 patients with WHO-defined MDS/MPN-RS-T. In univariate analysis, age ≥70 years (P = 0.006), hemoglobin (Hb) ≤10 g/dL (P = 0.03) and abnormal karyotype (excluding -Y, P = 0.008) were associated with shortened OS, which was otherwise not affected by either ASXL1 (P = 0.7), SF3B1 (P = 0.4) or JAK2 V617F (P = 0.7) mutations; in multivariable analysis, Hb ≤ 10 g/dL (P = 0.03) and abnormal karyotype (P = 0.001) remained significant, and thus allowed the development of an operational survival model with low (0 risk factors, median OS 10.5 years), intermediate (1 risk factor, median OS 4.8 years) and high risk (2 risk factors, median OS 1.4 years) categories (P = 0.0009). Comparison of MDS/MPN-RS-T (n = 158) and MDS/MPN-U with BM RS ≥ 15% (MDS/MPN-U-RS; n = 25) did not reveal significant differences in frequency of thrombosis, OS, or LFS, although SF3B1 mutation frequency was higher in the former (93% versus 59%; P = 0.0005). These data suggest limited survival impact for molecular abnormalities and the morphological distinction between MDS/MPN-RS-T and MDS/MPN-U-RS.