Development and validation of a multifactorial nomogram to predict 48 month mortality in decompensated heart failure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: As the incidence of heart failure (HF) increases, the need for practical tools to evaluate the long-term prognosis in these patients remains critical. Our study aimed to develop a 48 month prediction model for all-cause mortality in decompensated HF patients using available clinical indicators. METHODS: HF patients (n = 503), 60 years or older, were divided into a training cohort (n = 402) and a validation cohort (n = 101). Data on demographics, comorbidities, laboratory results and medications were gathered. Prediction models were developed using the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), cholinesterase (ChE) and a multifactorial nomogram incorporating clinical variables. These models were constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The performance of the model was assessed in terms of calibration, discrimination and clinical utility. RESULTS: The mean age was 77.11 ± 8.85 years, and 216 (42.9%) were female. The multifactorial nomogram included variables of ChE, lymphocyte count, albumin, serum creatinine and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (all P < 0.05). In the training cohort, the nomogram's C-index was 0.926 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.896-0.950], outperforming the PNI indices at 0.883 and ChE at 0.804 (Z-tests, P < 0.05). The C-index in the validation cohort was 0.913 (Z-tests, P < 0.05). Calibration and decision curve analysis confirmed model reliability, indicating a more significant net benefit than PNI and ChE alone. CONCLUSIONS: Both the ChE- and PNI-based prediction models effectively predict the long-term prognosis in patients over 60 years of age with decompensated HF. The multifactorial nomogram model shows superior performance, improving clinical decision-making and patient outcomes.

Retrospective cohort study investigating association between precancerous gastric lesions and colorectal neoplasm risk.

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is considered the most prevalent synchronous malignancy in patients with gastric cancer. This large retrospective study aims to clarify correlations between gastric histopathology stages and risks of specific colorectal neoplasms, to optimize screening and reduce preventable CRC. Methods: Clinical data of 36,708 patients undergoing gastroscopy and colonoscopy from 2005-2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Correlations between gastric and colorectal histopathology were assessed by multivariate analysis. Outcomes of interest included non-adenomatous polyps (NAP), conventional adenomas (CAs), serrated polyps (SPs), and CRC. Statistical analysis used R version 4.0.4. Results: Older age (≥50 years) and Helicobacter pylori infection (HPI) were associated with increased risks of conventional adenomas (CAs), serrated polyps (SPs), non-adenomatous polyps (NAP), and colorectal cancer (CRC). Moderate to severe intestinal metaplasia specifically increased risks of NAP and CAs by 1.17-fold (95% CI 1.05-1.3) and 1.19-fold (95% CI 1.09-1.31), respectively. For CRC risk, low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia increased risk by 1.41-fold (95% CI 1.08-1.84), while high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (OR 3.76, 95% CI 2.25-6.29) and gastric cancer (OR 4.81, 95% CI 3.25-7.09) showed strong associations. More advanced gastric pathology was correlated with progressively higher risks of CRC. Conclusion: Precancerous gastric conditions are associated with increased colorectal neoplasm risk. Our findings can inform screening guidelines to target high-risk subgroups, advancing colorectal cancer prevention and reducing disease burden.

The correlation between the main and minor lesions of synchronous multiple gastric neoplasms assessed gastroscopically and microscopically.

BACKGROUND: Patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) are at high risk of developing synchronous multiple gastric neoplasms (SMGNs) after undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). However, most previous studies have had small sample sizes, and few have focused on association studies. AIMS: This study aimed to analyze the associations between SMGN lesion data from patients with EGC treated with ESD and their correlation coefficients. METHODS: The clinical ESD data from two hospitals from January 2008 to January 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The main lesions were defined as those with a significant depth of infiltration. The larger tumor diameter was considered the main lesion if the lesions had the same infiltration depth. RESULTS: Of the 1013 post-ESD cases examined, 95 cases (223 lesions) had SMGN, and 25 patients had more than three lesions. For the correlation analysis, 190 lesions were included. The study revealed a similarity in pathological type between main and minor lesions (rs = 0.37) and a positive correlation in infiltration depth (rs = 0.58). The mean diameter sizes of the main and minor lesions were 20.7 ± 8.3 mm and 13.1 ± 6.4 mm, respectively, with statistically significant differences (P < 0.001). A linear correlation was observed between the diameter size and a linear regression model was constructed, producing r = 0.38 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.19-0.54], b = 0.29 (95% CI 0.14-0.44), t = 3.94, P < 0.001]. A correlation was identified between the vertical distribution of the main and minor lesions, the horizontal distribution, and the gross endoscopic morphology (ϕc = 0.25, P = 0.02; ϕc = 0.32, P < 0.001; ϕc = 0.60, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The correlation coefficients for microscopic characteristics were higher than those for gastroscopy. There is a significant positive correlation between the main and minor lesions regarding pathological stage and depth of infiltration, respectively. The spatial distribution of the lesions and the gastroscopic morphology were similar.

Characteristics of multiple early gastric cancer and gastric high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia.

This study evaluated the clinical characteristics of multiple early gastric cancer (MEGC) and high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (HGIN) treated by endoscopic submucosal dissection. The clinical profiles of 23 patients with MEGC treated by endoscopic submucosal dissection from January 2008 to June 2019 at the Fujian Provincial Hospital or Fujian Provincial Hospital South Branch were analyzed. The following information was extracted from clinical records: general data, preoperative conditions, and pathological data of each lesion after surgery. In total, 23 patients with MEGC or HGIN were evaluated (average age 64 ±â€…6 years, 17 (73.9%) males). MEGC and HGIN accounted for 4.9 percent of all cases, in which 19 (4.1%) were synchronous multiple cancers and 4 (0.8%) cases were metachronous multiple cancers. Lesions of synchronous and metachronous MEGC groups did not differ in age, sex, smoking history, alcohol consumption, family history of tumors, Helicobacter pylori infection, mucosal background atrophy, or intestinal metaplasia (P > .05). The vertical locations of primary and secondary lesions of MEGC were correlated (R = 0.395, P = .034). The primary and secondary lesions of MEGC shared the same macroscopic subtype (R = 0.590, P = .015), infiltration depth (R = 0.455, P = .014), and pathological subtype (R = 0.736, P < .001). MEGC and HGIN were located in close proximity. Pathologic types tended to be low-grade malignancies. The macroscopic type, histology type, and infiltration depth of the 2 lesions were significantly correlated. When detecting early gastric cancer, we should inspect the stomach and carefully consider the pathological characteristics, to improve the diagnosis of MEGC.

Correlation between the prognostic nutritional index and outcomes in older patients aged ≥ 60 years with chronic heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Nutritional status is related to clinical outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is a simple tool to assess nutrition. AIM: To evaluate the association between the PNI score and clinical outcomes in patients (60 years and older) hospitalized due to an acute exacerbation of CHF. METHOD: This was a retrospective observational study. Patients hospitalized for acute CHF exacerbation between July 2015 and May 2020 were analyzed. Patients were followed until January 31, 2021. The primary end point was cardiovascular-related readmissions and all-cause mortality after hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes were factors associated with all-cause mortality. Patients were divided into normal nutrition (PNI > 38), moderate malnutrition (PNI = 35-38), and severe malnutrition (PNI < 35) groups. RESULTS: The study included 355 patients (mean age 78 ± 9 years). The median follow-up was 769 days. Compared to survivors (n = 214), patients who expired (n = 133) were (1) older; (2) had lower PNI scores, lymphocyte counts, hemoglobin, albumin, total cholesterol, and serum sodium level; but (3) had higher serum creatinine levels, log(N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), and cardiac troponin I (P < 0.05). Multivariate analyses revealed that PNI was independently associated with all-cause mortality. The hazard ratio (HR) for moderate malnutrition versus normal nutrition was 1.624 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.011-2.609, P = 0.045), while HR for severe malnutrition versus normal nutrition was 1.892 (95%CI 1.119-3.198, P = 0.017). Malnourished patients had significantly higher rates of cardiovascular readmissions and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: Lower PNI (malnutrition) was associated with worse clinical outcomes and was independently associated with all-cause mortality in patients with CHF.

Same-day single-dose vs large-volume split-dose regimens of polyethylene glycol for bowel preparation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Split-dose regimens (SpDs) of 4 L of polyethylene glycol (PEG) have been established as the "gold standard" for bowel preparation; however, its use is limited by the large volumes of fluids required and sleep disturbance associated with night doses. Meanwhile, the same-day single-dose regimens (SSDs) of PEG has been recommended as an alternative; however, its superiority compared to other regimens is a matter of debate. AIM: To compare the efficacy and tolerability between SSDs and large-volume SpDs PEG for bowel preparation. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE/PubMed, the Cochrane Library, RCA, EMBASE and Science Citation Index Expanded for randomized trials comparing (2 L/4 L) SSDs to large-volume (4 L/3 L) SpDs PEG-based regimens, regardless of adjuvant laxative use. The pooled analysis of relative risk ratio and mean difference was calculated for bowel cleanliness, sleep disturbance, willingness to repeat the procedure using the same preparation and adverse effects. A random effects model or fixed-effects model was chosen based on heterogeneity analysis among studies. RESULTS: A total of 18 studies were included. There was no statistically significant difference of adequate bowel preparation (relative risk = 0.97; 95%CI: 0.92-1.02) (14 trials), right colon Boston Bowel Preparation Scale (mean difference = 0.00; 95%CI: -0.04, 0.03) (9 trials) and right colon Ottawa Bowel Preparation Scale (mean difference = 0.04; 95%CI: -0.27, 0.34) (5 trials) between (2 L/4 L) SSDs and large-volume (4 L/3 L) SpDs, regardless of adjuvant laxative use. The pooled analysis favored the use of SSDs with less sleep disturbance (relative risk = 0.52; 95%CI: 0.40, 0.68) and lower incidence of abdominal pain (relative risk = 0.75; 95%CI: 0.62, 0.90). During subgroup analysis, patients that received low-volume (2 L) SSDs showed more willingness to repeat the procedure using the same preparation than SpDs (P < 0.05). No significant difference in adverse effects, including nausea, vomiting and bloating, was found between the two arms (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Regardless of adjuvant laxative use, the (2 L/4 L) SSD PEG-based arm was considered equal or better than the large-volume (≥ 3 L) SpDs PEG regimen in terms of bowel cleanliness and tolerability. Patients that received low-volume (2 L) SSDs showed more willingness to repeat the procedure using the same preparation due to the low-volume fluid requirement and less sleep disturbance.