External Validation of Deep Learning-Based Cardiac Arrest Risk Management System for Predicting In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Patients Admitted to General Wards Based on Rapid Response System Operating and Nonoperating Periods: A Single-Center Study.

OBJECTIVES: The limitations of current early warning scores have prompted the development of deep learning-based systems, such as deep learning-based cardiac arrest risk management systems (DeepCARS). Unfortunately, in South Korea, only two institutions operate 24-hour Rapid Response System (RRS), whereas most hospitals have part-time or no RRS coverage at all. This study validated the predictive performance of DeepCARS during RRS operation and nonoperation periods and explored its potential beyond RRS operating hours. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: In this 1-year retrospective study conducted at Yonsei University Health System Severance Hospital in South Korea, DeepCARS was compared with conventional early warning systems for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). The study focused on adult patients admitted to the general ward, with the primary outcome being IHCA-prediction performance within 24 hours of the alarm. PATIENTS: We analyzed the data records of adult patients admitted to a general ward from September 1, 2019, to August 31, 2020. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Performance evaluation was conducted separately for the operational and nonoperational periods of the RRS, using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) as the metric. DeepCARS demonstrated a superior AUROC as compared with the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and the National Early Warning Score (NEWS), both during RRS operating and nonoperating hours. Although the MEWS and NEWS exhibited varying performance across the two periods, DeepCARS showed consistent performance. CONCLUSIONS: The accuracy and efficiency for predicting IHCA of DeepCARS were superior to that of conventional methods, regardless of whether the RRS was in operation. These findings emphasize that DeepCARS is an effective screening tool suitable for hospitals with full-time RRS, part-time RRS, and even those without any RRS.

Prospective, multicenter validation of the deep learning-based cardiac arrest risk management system for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest or unplanned intensive care unit transfer in patients admitted to general wards.

BACKGROUND: Retrospective studies have demonstrated that the deep learning-based cardiac arrest risk management system (DeepCARS™) is superior to the conventional methods in predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). This prospective study aimed to investigate the predictive accuracy of the DeepCARS™ for IHCA or unplanned intensive care unit transfer (UIT) among general ward patients, compared with that of conventional methods in real-world practice. METHODS: This prospective, multicenter cohort study was conducted at four teaching hospitals in South Korea. All adult patients admitted to general wards during the 3-month study period were included. The primary outcome was predictive accuracy for the occurrence of IHCA or UIT within 24 h of the alarm being triggered. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values were used to compare the DeepCARS™ with the modified early warning score (MEWS), national early warning Score (NEWS), and single-parameter track-and-trigger systems. RESULTS: Among 55,083 patients, the incidence rates of IHCA and UIT were 0.90 and 6.44 per 1,000 admissions, respectively. In terms of the composite outcome, the AUROC for the DeepCARS™ was superior to those for the MEWS and NEWS (0.869 vs. 0.756/0.767). At the same sensitivity level of the cutoff values, the mean alarm counts per day per 1,000 beds were significantly reduced for the DeepCARS™, and the rate of appropriate alarms was higher when using the DeepCARS™ than when using conventional systems. CONCLUSION: The DeepCARS™ predicts IHCA and UIT more accurately and efficiently than conventional methods. Thus, the DeepCARS™ may be an effective screening tool for detecting clinical deterioration in real-world clinical practice. Trial registration This study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT04951973 ) on June 30, 2021.

Multicenter validation of a deep-learning-based pediatric early-warning system for prediction of deterioration events.

BACKGROUND: Early recognition of deterioration events is crucial to improve clinical outcomes. For this purpose, we developed a deep-learning-based pediatric early-warning system (pDEWS) and aimed to validate its clinical performance. METHODS: This is a retrospective multicenter cohort study including five tertiary-care academic children's hospitals. All pediatric patients younger than 19 years admitted to the general ward from January 2019 to December 2019 were included. Using patient electronic medical records, we evaluated the clinical performance of the pDEWS for identifying deterioration events defined as in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) and unexpected general ward-to-pediatric intensive care unit transfer (UIT) within 24 hours before event occurrence. We also compared pDEWS performance to those of the modified pediatric early-warning score (PEWS) and prediction models using logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF). RESULTS: The study population consisted of 28,758 patients with 34 cases of IHCA and 291 cases of UIT. pDEWS showed better performance for predicting deterioration events with a larger area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, fewer false alarms, a lower mean alarm count per day, and a smaller number of cases needed to examine than the modified PEWS, LR, or RF models regardless of site, event occurrence time, age group, or sex. CONCLUSIONS: The pDEWS outperformed modified PEWS, LR, and RF models for early and accurate prediction of deterioration events regardless of clinical situation. This study demonstrated the potential of pDEWS as an efficient screening tool for efferent operation of rapid response teams.

Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score and the Modified Early Warning Score for Predicting Clinical Deterioration in General Ward Patients Regardless of Suspected Infection.

BACKGROUND: The quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score is suggested to use for screening patients with a high risk of clinical deterioration in the general wards, which could simply be regarded as a general early warning score. However, comparison of unselected admissions to highlight the benefits of introducing qSOFA in hospitals already using Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) remains unclear. We sought to compare qSOFA with MEWS for predicting clinical deterioration in general ward patients regardless of suspected infection. METHODS: The predictive performance of qSOFA and MEWS for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) or unexpected intensive care unit (ICU) transfer was compared with the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis using the databases of vital signs collected from consecutive hospitalized adult patients over 12 months in five participating hospitals in Korea. RESULTS: Of 173,057 hospitalized patients included for analysis, 668 (0.39%) experienced the composite outcome. The discrimination for the composite outcome for MEWS (AUC, 0.777; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.770-0.781) was higher than that for qSOFA (AUC, 0.684; 95% CI, 0.676-0.686; P < 0.001). In addition, MEWS was better for prediction of IHCA (AUC, 0.792; 95% CI, 0.781-0.795 vs. AUC, 0.640; 95% CI, 0.625-0.645; P < 0.001) and unexpected ICU transfer (AUC, 0.767; 95% CI, 0.760-0.773 vs. AUC, 0.716; 95% CI, 0.707-0.718; P < 0.001) than qSOFA. Using the MEWS at a cutoff of ≥ 5 would correctly reclassify 3.7% of patients from qSOFA score ≥ 2. Most patients met MEWS ≥ 5 criteria 13 hours before the composite outcome compared with 11 hours for qSOFA score ≥ 2. CONCLUSION: MEWS is more accurate that qSOFA score for predicting IHCA or unexpected ICU transfer in patients outside the ICU. Our study suggests that qSOFA should not replace MEWS for identifying patients in the general wards at risk of poor outcome.

Development and validation of a deep-learning-based pediatric early warning system: A single-center study.

BACKGROUND: Early detection and prompt intervention for clinically deteriorating events are needed to improve clinical outcomes. There have been several attempts at this, including the introduction of rapid response teams (RRTs) with early warning scores. We developed a deep-learning-based pediatric early warning system (pDEWS) and validated its performance. METHODS: This single-center retrospective observational cohort study reviewed, 50,019 pediatric patients admitted to the general ward in a tertiary-care academic children's hospital from January 2012 to December 2018. They were split by admission date into a derivation and a validation cohort. We developed a pDEWS for the early prediction of cardiopulmonary arrest and unexpected ward-to-pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) transfer. Then, we validated this system by comparing modified pediatric early warning score (PEWS), random forest (RF); an ensemble model of multiple decision trees and logistic regression (LR); a statistical model that uses a logistic function. RESULTS: For predicting cardiopulmonary arrest, the pDEWS (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), 0.923) outperformed modified PEWS (AUROC, 0.769) and reduced the mean alarm count per day (MACPD) and number needed to examine (NNE) by 82.0% (from 46.7 to 8.4 MACPD) and 89.5% (from 0.303 to 0.807), respectively. Furthermore, for predicting unexpected ward-to-PICU transfer pDEWS also showed superior performance compared to existing methods. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that pDEWS was superior to the modified PEWS and prediction models using RF and LR. This study demonstrates that the integration of the pDEWS into RRTs could increase operational efficiency and improve clinical outcomes.

A multicentre validation study of the deep learning-based early warning score for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest in patients admitted to general wards.

BACKGROUND: The recently developed deep learning (DL)-based early warning score (DEWS) has shown potential in predicting deteriorating patients. We aimed to validate DEWS in multiple centres and compare the prediction, alarming and timeliness performance with the modified early warning score (MEWS) to identify patients at risk for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). METHOD/RESEARCH DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients admitted to the general wards of five hospitals during a 12-month period. The occurrence of IHCA within 24 h of vital sign observation was the outcome of interest. We assessed the discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: The study population consists of 173,368 patients (224 IHCAs). The predictive performance of DEWS was superior to that of MEWS in both the internal (AUROC: 0.860 vs. 0.754, respectively) and external (AUROC: 0.905 vs. 0.785, respectively) validation cohorts. At the same specificity, DEWS had a higher sensitivity than MEWS, and at the same sensitivity, DEWS reduced the mean alarm count by nearly half of MEWS. Additionally, DEWS was able to predict more IHCA patients in the 24-0.5 h before the outcome, and DEWS was reasonably calibrated. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that DEWS was superior to MEWS in three key aspects (IHCA predictive, alarming, and timeliness performance). This study demonstrates the potential of DEWS as an effective, efficient screening tool in rapid response systems (RRSs) to identify high-risk patients.

Graph Convolutional Networks-Based Noisy Data Imputation in Electronic Health Record.

OBJECTIVES: A deep learning-based early warning system is proposed to predict sepsis prior to its onset. DESIGN: A novel algorithm was devised to detect sepsis 6 hours prior to its onset based on electronic medical records. SETTING: Retrospective cohorts from three separate hospitals are used in this study. Sepsis onset was defined based on Sepsis-3. Algorithms are evaluated based on the score function used in the Physionet Challenge 2019. PATIENTS: Over 60,000 ICU patients with 40 clinical variables (vital signs, laboratory results) for each hour of a patient's ICU stay were used. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The proposed algorithm predicted the onset of sepsis in the preceding n hours (where n = 4, 6, 8, or 12). Furthermore, the proposed method compared how many sepsis patients can be predicted in a short time with other methods. To interpret a given result in a clinical perspective, the relationship between input variables and the probability of the proposed method were presented. The proposed method achieved superior results (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the precision-recall curve, and score) and predicted more sepsis patients in advance. In official phase, the proposed method showed the utility score of -0.101, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.782, area under the precision-recall curve 0.041, accuracy 0.786, and F-measure 0.046. CONCLUSIONS: Using Physionet Challenge 2019, the proposed method can accurately and early predict the onset of sepsis. The proposed method can be a practical early warning system in the environment of real hospitals.

Detecting Patient Deterioration Using Artificial Intelligence in a Rapid Response System.

OBJECTIVES: As the performance of a conventional track and trigger system in a rapid response system has been unsatisfactory, we developed and implemented an artificial intelligence for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest, denoted the deep learning-based early warning system. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of an artificial intelligence-based early warning system with that of conventional methods in a real hospital situation. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: This study was conducted at a hospital in which deep learning-based early warning system was implemented. PATIENTS: We reviewed the records of adult patients who were admitted to the general ward of our hospital from April 2018 to March 2019. INTERVENTIONS: The study population included 8,039 adult patients. A total 83 events of deterioration occurred during the study period. The outcome was events of deterioration, defined as cardiac arrest and unexpected ICU admission. We defined a true alarm as an alarm occurring within 0.5-24 hours before a deteriorating event. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the precision-recall curve, number needed to examine, and mean alarm count per day as comparative measures. The deep learning-based early warning system (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.865; area under the precision-recall curve, 0.066) outperformed the modified early warning score (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.682; area under the precision-recall curve, 0.010) and reduced the number needed to examine and mean alarm count per day by 69.2% and 59.6%, respectively. At the same specificity, deep learning-based early warning system had up to 257% higher sensitivity than conventional methods. CONCLUSIONS: The developed artificial intelligence based on deep-learning, deep learning-based early warning system, accurately predicted deterioration of patients in a general ward and outperformed conventional methods. This study showed the potential and effectiveness of artificial intelligence in an rapid response system, which can be applied together with electronic health records. This will be a useful method to identify patients with deterioration and help with precise decision-making in daily practice.

Artificial intelligence algorithm to predict the need for critical care in prehospital emergency medical services.

BACKGROUND: In emergency medical services (EMSs), accurately predicting the severity of a patient's medical condition is important for the early identification of those who are vulnerable and at high-risk. In this study, we developed and validated an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm based on deep learning to predict the need for critical care during EMS. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observation cohort study. The algorithm was established using development data from the Korean national emergency department information system, which were collected during visits in real time from 151 emergency departments (EDs). We validated the algorithm using EMS run sheets from two EDs. The study subjects comprised adult patients who visited EDs. The endpoint was critical care, and we used age, sex, chief complaint, symptom onset to arrival time, trauma, and initial vital signs as the predicted variables. RESULTS: The number of patients in the development data was 8,981,181, and the validation data comprised 2604 EMS run sheets from two hospitals. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the algorithm to predict the critical care was 0.867 (95% confidence interval, [0.864-0.871]). This result outperformed the Emergency Severity Index (0.839 [0.831-0.846]), Korean Triage and Acuity System (0.824 [0.815-0.832]), National Early Warning Score (0.741 [0.734-0.748]), and Modified Early Warning Score (0.696 [0.691-0.699]). CONCLUSIONS: The AI algorithm accurately predicted the need for the critical care of patients using information during EMS and outperformed the conventional triage tools and early warning scores.

Carbon Dioxide Angiography: Scientific Principles and Practice.

Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a colorless, odorless gas which occurs naturally in the atmosphere and human body. With the advent of digital subtraction angiography, the gas has been used as a safe and useful alternative contrast agent in both arteriography and venography. Because of its lack of renal toxicity and allergic potential, CO2 is a preferred contrast agent in patients with renal failure or contrast allergy, and particularly in patients who require large volumes of contrast medium for complex endovascular procedures. Understanding of the unique physical properties of CO2 (high solubility, low viscosity, buoyancy, and compressibility) is essential in obtaining a successful CO2 angiogram and in guiding endovascular intervention. Unlike iodinated contrast material, CO2 displaces the blood and produces a negative contrast for digital subtraction imaging. Indications for use of CO2 as a contrast agent include: aortography and runoff, detection of bleeding, renal transplant arteriography, portal vein visualization with wedged hepatic venous injection, venography, arterial and venous interventions, and endovascular aneurysm repair. CO2 should not be used in the thoracic aorta, the coronary artery, and cerebral circulation. Exploitation of CO2 properties, avoidance of air contamination and facile catheterization technique are important to the safe and effective performance of CO2 angiography and CO2-guided endovascular intervention.