The Karakiewicz nomogram is the most useful clinical predictor for survival outcomes in patients with localized renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Outcomes after surgical removal of localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC) are variable. There have been multiple prognostic nomograms and risk groups developed for estimation of survival outcomes, with different models in use for evaluating patient eligibility in ongoing trials of adjuvant therapy. The authors aimed to establish the most useful prognostic model for patients with localized RCC to guide trial design, biomarker research, and clinical counseling. METHODS: A total of 390 consecutive patients who underwent nephrectomy for sporadic localized RCC in a tertiary institution (1990-2006) with 65 months median follow-up were retrospectively evaluated. The Karakiewicz nomogram, the Kattan nomogram, the Sorbellini nomogram, and the Leibovich model were compared in predicting survival outcomes (overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and freedom from recurrence) using likelihood analysis, adequacy indices, decision curve analysis, calibration, and concordance indices. RESULTS: Overall, the Karakiewicz nomogram outperformed the Kattan nomogram, the Sorbellini nomogram, and the Leibovich model. Highly improved accuracy was seen using the Karakiewicz nomogram in survival prediction, using likelihood ratio analysis in bivariate models including the competing prognostic models. The Karakiewicz nomogram showed higher adequacy and concordance indices and improved clinical benefit relative to all other nomograms. All 4 models were reasonably calibrated. Exploratory comparisons of prespecified discretized Karakiewicz nomograms and the SORCE trial recruitment criteria (a discretized Leibovich model) of high-risk patients favored the discretized Karakiewicz nomograms. CONCLUSIONS: The Karakiewicz nomogram was shown to be superior to the other tested nomograms and risk groups in predicting survival outcomes in localized RCC. Routine integration of this model into trial design and biomarker research should be considered.

Nasal metastases from renal cell carcinoma are associated with Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center poor-prognosis classification.

Unusual sites of metastases are recognized in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). However, the prognostic implications of these sites are not well understood. We used the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) risk classification for metastatic RCC to evaluate 912 consecutive patients with RCC managed at the Singapore General Hospital between 1990 and 2009. Among these patients, 301 had metastases either at diagnosis or during the course of illness. Nasal metastases, all arising from clear cell RCC, were identified histologically in 4 patients (1.3% of those with metastasis). All 4 patients were classified as MSKCC poor prognosis by current risk criteria. Nasal metastases were significantly associated with lung and bone metastases. The frequency of nasal metastases in patients with metastatic RCC is about 1%, occurring predominantly in patients with clear cell RCC. Nasal metastases are associated with poor prognosis as estimated by the MSKCC risk classification, with attendant implications for selection of targeted therapy, and are usually associated with multi-organ dissemination, including concurrent lung and bone involvement.