Effect of flap design on periodontal healing after impacted third molar extraction: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The extraction of an impacted third molar violates the surrounding soft and bony tissues. The surgeon's access to the tooth, for which there are various surgical approaches, has an important impact on the periodontium of the adjacent second molar. The aim of this review was to analyze the relationships between the different flap techniques and postoperative periodontal outcomes for the mandibular second molars (LM2) adjacent to the impacted mandibular third molars (LM3). An electronic search of MEDLINE and other databases was conducted to identify randomized controlled trials fulfilling the eligibility criteria. To assess the impact of flap design on the periodontal condition, the weighted mean difference of the probing depth reduction (WDPDR) and the weighted mean difference of the clinical attachment level gain (WDCAG) at the distal surface of LM2 were used as the primary outcomes. The results showed that, overall, the different flap techniques had no significant impact on the probing depth reduction (WDPDR -0.14mm, 95% confidence interval -0.44 to 0.17), or on the clinical attachment level gain (WDCAG 0.05mm, 95% confidence interval -0.84 to 0.94). However, a subgroup analysis revealed that the Szmyd and paramarginal flap designs may be the most effective in reducing the probing depth in impacted LM3 extraction, and the envelope flap may be the least effective.

Botulinum toxin therapy for temporomandibular joint disorders: a systematic review of randomized controlled trials.

The objective of this study was to undertake a systematic review to assess the efficacy of botulinum toxin therapy (BTX) for temporomandibular joint disorders (TMDs). A comprehensive search of major databases through PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL was conducted to locate all relevant articles published from inception to October 2014. Eligible studies were selected based on inclusion criteria and included English language, peer-reviewed publications of randomized controlled trials comparing BTX versus any alternative intervention or placebo. Quality assessment and data extraction were done according to the Cochrane risk of bias tool and recommendations. The entire systematic search and selection process was done independently by two reviewers. Five relevant study trials were identified, involving 117 participants. Two trials revealed a significant between-group difference in myofascial pain reduction, another trial that compared BTX with fascial manipulation showed equal efficacy of pain relief on TMDs, while the remaining two trials showed no significant difference between the BTX and placebo groups. Because of considerable variations in study methods and evaluation of results, a meta-analysis could not be performed. Based on this review, no consensus could be reached on the therapeutic benefits of BTX on TMDs. A more rigorous design of trials should be carried out in future studies.

Identifying dental panoramic radiograph features for the screening of low bone mass in postmenopausal women.

A retrospective cohort study was performed to evaluate the use of panoramic radiographs as a screening tool for low bone mass in postmenopausal women. Female subjects aged ≥50 years were included. The predictor variables were gonial angle, antegonial angle, mandibular cortical bone integrity, periodontal disease status, and number of remaining teeth. The primary outcome variable was bone mineral density status. Descriptive and logistic regression statistics were computed; P<0.05 was considered significant. The sample was composed of 273 subjects, aged 50-89 years. Visual assessment of mandibular cortical bone integrity demonstrated a statistically significant correlation with low bone mass diagnosis on univariate logistic regression (P=0.019), but lost significance on multivariate analysis with age, body mass index, and number of remaining teeth (P=0.6). A visual estimation of the mandibular cortical bone integrity from panoramic radiographs may be useful for identifying postmenopausal women at high risk for osteoporosis.

International collaboration to assess the risk of Guillain Barré Syndrome following Influenza A (H1N1) 2009 monovalent vaccines.

BACKGROUND: The global spread of the 2009 novel pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus led to the accelerated production and distribution of monovalent 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) vaccines (pH1N1). This pandemic provided the opportunity to evaluate the risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), which has been an influenza vaccine safety concern since the swine flu pandemic of 1976, using a common protocol among high and middle-income countries. The primary objective of this project was to demonstrate the feasibility and utility of global collaboration in the assessment of vaccine safety, including countries both with and without an established infrastructure for vaccine active safety surveillance. A second objective, included a priori, was to assess the risk of GBS following pH1N1 vaccination. METHODS: The primary analysis used the self-controlled case series (SCCS) design to estimate the relative incidence (RI) of GBS in the 42 days following vaccination with pH1N1 vaccine in a pooled analysis across databases and in analysis using a meta-analytic approach. RESULTS: We found a relative incidence of GBS of 2.42 (95% CI 1.58-3.72) in the 42 days following exposure to pH1N1 vaccine in analysis of pooled data and 2.09 (95% CI 1.28-3.42) using the meta-analytic approach. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that international collaboration to evaluate serious outcomes using a common protocol is feasible. The significance and consistency of our findings support a conclusion of an association between 2009 H1N1 vaccination and GBS. Given the rarity of the event the relative incidence found does not provide evidence in contradiction to international recommendations for the continued use of influenza vaccines.

Infection fatality risk of the pandemic A(H1N1)2009 virus in Hong Kong.

One measure of the severity of a pandemic influenza outbreak at the individual level is the risk of death among people infected by the new virus. However, there are complications in estimating both the numerator and denominator. Regarding the numerator, statistical estimates of the excess deaths associated with influenza virus infections tend to exceed the number of deaths associated with laboratory-confirmed infection. Regarding the denominator, few infections are laboratory confirmed, while differences in case definitions and approaches to case ascertainment can lead to wide variation in case fatality risk estimates. Serological surveillance can be used to estimate the cumulative incidence of infection as a denominator that is more comparable across studies. We estimated that the first wave of the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus in 2009 was associated with approximately 232 (95% confidence interval: 136, 328) excess deaths of all ages in Hong Kong, mainly among the elderly. The point estimates of the risk of death on a per-infection basis increased substantially with age, from below 1 per 100,000 infections in children to 1,099 per 100,000 infections in those 60-69 years of age. Substantial variation in the age-specific infection fatality risk complicates comparison of the severity of different influenza strains.

Delayed oseltamivir treatment is associated with longer viral shedding of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus.

During the early phase of the influenza pandemic in 2009, all cases of laboratory-confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009 (pH1N1) infection required compulsory isolation in hospital. These cases were offered oseltamivir treatment and only allowed to be discharged from the hospital when three consecutive respiratory specimens were negative for the virus by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). We reviewed the case records of these patients to assess the viral shedding kinetics of the pH1N1 virus. We defined viral shedding duration as the interval from illness onset date to the date of collection of the last positive specimen from the patients. Fifty-six patients were included in the study, of whom 96% received oseltamivir. The median viral shedding duration of pH1N1 virus by viral culture and RT-PCR were 3 days and 4 days, respectively. Patients who started oseltamivir treatment >48 h after onset had a significantly longer median viral shedding duration by viral culture than those who started treatment within 48 h of onset (4 days vs. 2 days, P=0·014).

Evaluation of sentinel surveillance system for monitoring hand, foot and mouth disease in Hong Kong.

OBJECTIVES: A sentinel surveillance system (SSS) was set up in Hong Kong to monitor hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) trends. This evaluation assessed the performance of the SSS from 2001 to 2009, and aimed to identify areas for improvement. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective review using structured guidelines for evaluating public health surveillance systems published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. METHODS: The effectiveness of the SSS was evaluated using routine service statistics, laboratory surveillance data, and results of an acceptability survey conducted among the sentinel doctors. This information was used to assess various attributes of the SSS including simplicity, flexibility, data quality, usefulness, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), representativeness, timeliness and acceptability. RESULTS: The SSS was simple and flexible with high-quality data. It correlated well with the laboratory surveillance data (P < 0.001) and facilitated early detection of community epidemics. It helped to identify seasonal trends and high-risk groups. Specificity was high (83.4-88.5%), while sensitivity and PPV were borderline satisfactory (38.4-56.8%). The sentinel clinics were representative of the population distribution. The SSS was acceptable to the sentinel doctors, but 17.9-28.2% of them had delays in reporting. CONCLUSIONS: The SSS is effective for monitoring HFMD trends in Hong Kong, and is useful for initiating preventive measures.

A school outbreak of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 infection: assessment of secondary household transmission and the protective role of oseltamivir.

In mid-June 2009, an outbreak of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 (pH1N1) infection occurred in a secondary school in Hong Kong. We carried out an epidemiological investigation to delineate the characteristics of the outbreak, gauge the extent of secondary household transmission, and assess the protective role of oseltamivir in household contacts. We interviewed pH1N1-confirmed cases using a standardized questionnaire. Sixty-five of 511 students in the school were affected. Of the 205 household contacts identified, 12 were confirmed as cases. All cases recovered. The estimated secondary household attack rate was 5·9% (95% CI 2·7-9·1). Household contacts aged <18 years were about 15 times more likely to be infected than older contacts. Household contacts who had received oseltamivir prophylaxis were less likely to acquire a secondary infection than those who had not (odds ratio=0). The estimated mean household serial interval of pH1N1 virus was 2·8 days (95% CI 2·1-3·4 days).

Changing epidemiology of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Hong Kong, 2001-2009.

We report the surveillance findings of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) collected from a general practitioner-based sentinel surveillance system and outbreaks reported by institutions and a laboratory-based enterovirus surveillance system in Hong Kong from 2001 to 2009. A seasonal peak was detected in the warmer months (May-July), along with a smaller winter peak (October-December) from 2006 onwards. The number of older children (>5 years) infected increased from 25.4% in 2001 to 33.0% in 2009 (P=0.01, Mantel-Haenszel chi-square test). Laboratory surveillance detected a cyclical high enterovirus 71 activity every 3 to 4 years. This activity was associated with a higher average hospitalization rate for HFMD patients in the outbreaks reported in the corresponding year, although the difference was only marginally significant (P=0.09, linear regression test). The changing epidemiology of HFMD warrants continuous surveillance in order to guide preventive public-health actions.

Is hand, foot and mouth disease associated with meteorological parameters?

We examined the relationship between meteorological parameters and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) activity. Meteorological data collected from 2000 to 2004 were tested for correlation with HFMD consultation rates calculated through the sentinel surveillance system in Hong Kong. The regression model constructed was used to predict HFMD consultation rates for 2005-2009. After adjusting for the effect of collinearity, mean temperature, diurnal difference in temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed were positively associated with HFMD consultation rates, and explained HFMD consultation rates well with 2 weeks' lag time (R²=0·119, P=0·010). The predicted HFMD consultation rates were also also well matched with the observed rates (Spearman's correlation coefficient=0·276, P=0·000) in 2005-2009. Sensitivity analysis showed that HFMD consultation rates were mostly affected by relative humidity and least affected by wind speed. Our model demonstrated that climate parameters help in predicting HFMD activity, which could assist in explaining the winter peak detected in recent years and in issuing early warning.

Community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus skin and soft tissue infections in Hong Kong.

Community-associated methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus is an emerging cause of skin and soft tissue infections in Hong Kong, especially among certain ethnic minorities.

Streptococcus suis infection in Hong Kong: an emerging infectious disease?

We conducted a 31-month retrospective review of all laboratory-confirmed Streptococcus suis infections admitted to public hospitals in Hong Kong. Strain identification, serotyping and antibiotic susceptibility tests were conducted on S. suis isolates. Twenty-one sporadic cases were identified, comprising 18 (86%) males and 3 (14%) females. About half were patients aged 65 years. More cases occurred during summer. Occupational exposure was documented in five (24%) cases. The estimated annual incidence was 0.09/100 000 in the general population and 32/100 000 in people with occupational exposure to pigs and raw pork. The primary clinical manifestations were meningitis (48%), septicaemia (38%) and endocarditis (14%). The case-fatality rate was 5%. All available isolates from 15 patients were serotype 2, sensitive to penicillin, ampicillin, ceftriaxone, but resistant to tetracycline. Injury prevention and proper handling of pigs or raw pork should be advocated to both at-risk occupational groups and the general population.

Predicting clustered dental implant survival using frailty methods.

The purpose of this study was to predict future implant survival using information on risk factors and on the survival status of an individual's existing implant(s). We considered a retrospective cohort study with 677 individuals having 2349 implants placed. We proposed to predict the survival probabilities using the Cox proportional hazards frailty model, with three important risk factors: smoking status, timing of placement, and implant staging. For a non-smoking individual with 2 implants placed, an immediate implant and in one stage, the marginal probability that 1 implant would survive 12 months was 85.8% (95%CI: 77%, 91.7%), and the predicted joint probability of surviving for 12 months was 75.1% (95%CI: 62.1%, 84.7%). If 1 implant was placed earlier and had survived for 12 months, then the second implant had an 87.5% (95%CI: 80.3%, 92.4%) chance of surviving 12 months. Such conditional and joint predictions can assist in clinical decision-making for individuals.

Consumption of viscera as the most important risk factor in the largest outbreak of shellfish poisoning in Hong Kong, 2005.

Poisoning from shellfish toxins is associated with significant morbidity worldwide. During 10-15 March 2005, 36 clusters of shellfish poisoning related to consumption of fresh scallops (Atrina vexillum) were reported to the Center for Health Protection, Department of Health Hong Kong. We conducted a case-control study to identify the risk factors associated with shellfish poisoning. Detailed demographic, clinical, shellfish consumption data of these subjects were collected using standardized questionnaires. Fifty-eight cases and 44 controls were identified. The mean age for the cases was 37.5 years (range 10-81 years); 45% (n=26) were male. Ninety-five percent had onset of symptoms within 12 hours of consumption of scallops (range: 10 minutes to 30 hours, median: 45 minutes). Dizziness (87.9%) and blurred vision (53.4%) were the predominant symptoms. The mean number of pieces of scallop meat and viscera taken by the cases were 3.7 and 3.6, respectively, significantly higher than that for the controls, which were 1.6 (p<0.001) and 0.5 (p<0.001), respectively. Forty-two percent (n=22) and 19% (n=7) of cases and controls, respectively, took soup/sauce from the same dish that was cooked with the scallops (p=0.02). Consumption of scallop viscera was identified as the only significant risk factor (Adjusted OR=9.93, p=0.001) after adjusting for other risk factors. The result show that consumption of scallop viscera is an important risk factor for shellfish poisoning. The public should be warned specifically in health education messages to avoid eating viscera of scallops.

Multi-center randomized clinical trials in oral and maxillofacial surgery: modeling of fixed and random effects.

The multi-center randomized clinical trial (MCCT) is an important tool to evaluate treatment of rare diseases. An important and challenging analytic consideration is how to model the variability of the set of clinical centers composing an MCCT. The purpose of this paper was to demonstrate how changing the assumptions regarding the variability (fixed effect versus random effect) of the set of clinical centers may alter the results. The data for this paper were derived from a recently completed MCCT. The MCCT was designed as a prospective, randomized clinical trial comparing the stability of two techniques, i.e., wire versus rigid internal fixation (RIF), for stabilizing the mandible after bilateral sagittal split ramus osteotomy (BSSO) for patients requiring mandibular advancement. Three treatment centers were involved. The key outcome variable was change in mandibular position (B-point) over time. We developed two different analytic models by varying the underlying statistical assumptions regarding the variability of the clinical treatment centers, i.e., random or fixed effects. Analyses based on the random-effects model demonstrated no significant difference between treatment groups in terms of relapse (P=0.13). With the fixed-effects model, however, wire fixation had significantly more relapse at B-point over time than RIF (P=0.02). The results from these two sets of analyses demonstrate how changing assumptions regarding the variability of the set of clinical centers can alter the interpretation of the treatment effect. The choice of statistical modeling of the set of clinical centers is an important consideration when performing analyses of MCCTs and it is a decision that should be made prior to initiating the study.

Frailty approach for the analysis of clustered failure time observations in dental research.

Because dental implant failure patterns tend to cluster within subjects, we hypothesized that the risk of implant failure varies among subjects. To address this hypothesis in the setting of clustered, correlated observations, we considered a retrospective cohort study where we identified a cohort having at least one implant placed. The cohort was composed of 677 patients who had 2349 implants placed. To test the hypothesis, we applied an innovative analytic method, i.e., the Cox proportional hazards model with frailty, to account for correlation within subjects and the heterogeneity of risk, i.e., frailty, among subjects for implant failure. Consistent with our hypothesis, risk for implant failure among subjects varied to a statistically significantly degree (p=0.041). In addition, the risk for implant failure is significantly associated with several factors, including tobacco use, implant length, immediate implant placement, staging, well size, and proximity of adjacent implants or teeth.

Predicting dental implant survival by use of the marginal approach of the semi-parametric survival methods for clustered observations.

The analyses of clustered survival observations within the same subject are challenging. This study's purpose was to compare and contrast predicted dental implant survival estimates assuming the independence or dependence of clustered observations. Using a retrospective cohort composed of 677 patients (2,349 implants), we applied an innovative analytic marginal approach to produce point and variance estimates of survival predictions given the covariates smoking status, implant staging, and timing of placement adjusted for clustered observations (dependence method). We developed a second model assuming independence of the clustered observations (naïve method). The 95% confidence intervals for survival prediction point estimates given the naive method were 5.9% to 14.3% more narrow than the dependence method estimates, resulting in an increased risk for type I error and erroneous rejection of the null hypothesis. To obtain statistically valid confidence intervals for survival prediction of the Aalen-Breslow estimates, we recommend adjusting for dependence among clustered survival observations.

Risk factors for dental implant failure: a strategy for the analysis of clustered failure-time observations.

This study's objective was to identify, in a statistically valid and efficient manner, the risk factors associated with dental implant failure. We hypothesize that factors exist which can be modified by clinicians to enhance outcome. A retrospective cohort study design was used. Cohort members had >or= one implant placed. Risk factors were classified as demographic, health status, implant-, anatomic-, or prosthetic-specific, and reconstructive variables. The outcome variable was implant failure. The cohort was composed of 677 patients who had 2349 implants placed. Based on the adjusted multivariate model, factors associated with implant failure were tobacco use, implant length, staging, well size, and immediate implants (p

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma: clinical assessment and review of 176 cases.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to delineate salient disease characteristics and to determine factors associated with survival in a series of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). STUDY DESIGN: To address our research objective, we used a retrospective cohort study design and a sample of patients who presented for evaluation and management of NPC. Demographic data, medical history, radiographic findings, staging, and histology were recorded. Treatment and follow-up information were ascertained. Survival data and descriptive statistics were calculated. Multivariate analyses identified risk factors associated with survival rates for all World Health Organization (WHO) types. RESULTS: The sample comprised 123 men and 53 women (n = 176) of which 70% were white and 23% were Asian. A neck mass was the initial symptom in 49% of patients. In 99% of cases, radiation therapy was the primary treatment mode. WHO types 1 and 3 were most common. Overall 5-year disease-free survival rate was 45.5%. Age, use of tobacco or ethanol, and number of presenting symptoms were statistically associated with decreased survival rate in WHO 1 (squamous cell) tumors. Male gender and total number of presenting symptoms were associated with decreased survival rate for WHO 2 and 3 (nonkeratinizing or undifferentiated) tumors. CONCLUSIONS: Being attuned to the presenting signs of NPC may lead to a more expedient diagnosis. The differing risk factors associated with WHO 1 tumors become clear in this predominantly white population.