P16 expression and recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia after cryotherapy among women living with HIV.

Background: The expression of p16 protein, a surrogate marker for high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV), is associated with cervical dysplasia. We evaluated correlates of p16 expression at treatment for high-grade cervical lesions and its utility in predicting the recurrence of cervical intraepithelial lesions grade 2 or higher (CIN2+) following cryotherapy among women with HIV. Methods: This is a subgroup analysis of women with HIV in Kenya with baseline cervical biopsy-confirmed CIN2+ who were randomized to receive cryotherapy and followed every six-months for two-years for biopsy-confirmed recurrence of CIN2+. P16 immunohistochemistry was performed on the baseline cervical biopsy with a positive result defined as strong abnormal nuclear expression in a continuous block segment of cells (at least 10-20 cells). Results: Among the 200 women with CIN2+ randomized to cryotherapy, 160 (80%) had a baseline cervical biopsy specimen available, of whom 94 (59%) were p16-positive. p16 expression at baseline was associated with presence of any one of 14 hrHPV genotypes [Odds Ratio (OR) = 3.2; 95% Confidence Interval (CI), 1.03-9.78], multiple lifetime sexual partners (OR = 1.6; 95% CI, 1.03-2.54) and detectable plasma HIV viral load (>1,000 copies/mL; OR = 1.43; 95% CI, 1.01-2.03). Longer antiretroviral therapy duration (≥2 years) at baseline had lower odds of p16 expression (OR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.24-0.87) than <2 years of antiretroviral therapy. Fifty-one women had CIN2+ recurrence over 2-years, of whom 33 (65%) were p16-positive at baseline. p16 was not associated with CIN2+ recurrence (Hazard Ratio = 1.35; 95% CI, 0.76-2.40). Conclusion: In this population of women with HIV and CIN2+, 41% of lesions were p16 negative and baseline p16 expression did not predict recurrence of cervical neoplasia during two-year follow up.

Performance of screening tools for cervical neoplasia among women in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) testing, visual inspection with Lugol's iodine (VILI), primary HPV testing, and conventional Pap smear in detecting CIN2+ among non-pregnant women aged 30-65 in LMICs between 1990 and 2020. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Low- and middle-income countries, non-pregnant women aged 30-65. METHODS: CENTRAL (Cochrane Library), CINAHL, Embase, Global Health, PubMed, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched to identify studies evaluating the performance of cervical cancer screening methods in LMICs. A diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the performance of 4 screening methods in detecting CIN2+ relative to biopsy or cytology reference standards. Pooled statistics for sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratios, and summary receiver operating characteristic curves were determined for each method. Subgroup analyses were performed to examine whether there was variation in performance based on different reference standards for defining CIN2+, specifically: colposcopy-directed biopsy, biopsy alone, colposcopy alone, or liquid-based cytology. RESULTS: Eighteen studies were identified through systematic review. Twelve studies were included in meta-analysis; 11 were cross-sectional and 1 was a randomized controlled clinical trial. The remaining six of the eighteen studies were inclided in a narrative syntehsis. Pooled estimates for sensitivity for VIA, VILI, primary HPV testing, and conventional Pap smear were 72.3%, 64.5%, 79.5%, and 60.2%, respectively; pooled estimates for specificity were 74.5%, 68.5%, 72.6%, and 97.4%, respectively; the diagnostic odds ratios were 7.31, 3.73, 10.42, 69.48, respectively; and the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.766, 0.647, 0.959, and 0.818, respectively. Performance of the screening method varied based on the reference standard used; pooled estimates using either colposcopy-directed biopsy or biopsy alone as the reference standard generally reported lower estimates; pooled estimates using either colposcopy alone or liquid-based cytology as references reported higher estimates. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: This meta-analysis found primary HPV testing to be the highest performing cervical cancer screening method in accurately identifying or excluding CIN2+. Further evaluation of performance at different CIN thresholds is warranted.

Endoscope-Assisted Greater Occipital Nerve Decompression for Migraines, Occipital Neuralgia, and New Daily Persistent Headaches.

SUMMARY: In the occipital trigger site for migraine, the greater occipital nerve (GON) is thought to be irritated by surrounding structures, including the semispinalis capitis muscle and occipital artery (OA), producing headaches in the back of the neck. Thus, standard decompression involves removal of surrounding tissue and dissection away from the vessel. The authors noticed a consistent pattern between the GON and OA more distally: the OA approaching laterally and diving under the GON, the OA looping back over the GON and intertwining with the medial branch of the GON, and lastly the OA traveling parallel to the GON. The technique described uses a modified endoscopic approach with a counter incision, endoscopic assistance, and radical artery lysis to address distal sites in addition to the standard release. At the counter incision, distal intertwining between vessel and nerve was released. A high-definition endoscope was used to address dynamic compression points more proximally, including hidden areas where the vessel dives under the GON, as well as to facilitate cautery and removal of the vessel. Without the use of an endoscope and counterincision, it is difficult to achieve complete decompression of the nerve distally without injury to the proximal body of the nerve.

Low-frequency pre-treatment HIV drug resistance: effects on 2-year outcome of first-line efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy.

OBJECTIVES: Assess the impact of pre-treatment high-frequency and low-frequency drug-resistant HIV variants on long-term outcomes of first-line efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy (ART). DESIGN: Prospective observational study. METHODS: Participants' pre-treatment plasma RNA had two sections of HIV pol encoding reverse transcriptase sequenced (Illumina, MiSeq) using unique molecular identifiers to detect wild-type (pre-treatment drug-resistant variants less than 1% of viral quasispecies), low-frequency (1-9%) or high-frequency drug-resistant variants (10-100%). Associations between pre-treatment drug resistance and virologic outcomes over 24 months of efavirenz-based ART were assessed for the number and frequency of mutations by drug class and other resistance parameters. RESULTS: Virologic failure was detected in 30 of 352 (9%) and pre-treatment drug-resistant variants were detected in the viral quasispecies of 31 of 352 (9%) participants prescribed efavirenz-based ART. Survival analyses revealed statistically significant associations between pre-treatment drug resistance at low (P < 0.0001) and high (P < 0.001) frequencies, at oligonucleotide ligation assay (OLA) (P < 0.00001) and non-OLA (P < 0.01) codons, to a single-antiretroviral class (P < 0.00001), and a shorter time to virologic failure of efavirenz-based ART. Regression analyses detected independent effects across resistance categories, including both low-frequency (P < 0.01) and high-frequency (P < 0.001) drug-resistant variants. CONCLUSION: We observed that pre-treatment HIV drug resistance detected at low frequencies increased the risk of virologic failure over 24 months of efavirenz-based ART, but that most failures, regardless of drug-resistant variants' frequencies, were detected within a year of ART initiation. These observations suggest that when efavirenz-based ART is prescribed, screening for pre-treatment drug resistance by an assay capable of detecting low-frequency variants, including OLA, may guide clinicians to prescribe more effective ART.

Assessment of Cardiac, Vascular, and Pulmonary Pathobiology In Vivo During Acute COVID-19.

Background Acute COVID-19-related myocardial, pulmonary, and vascular pathology and how these relate to each other remain unclear. To our knowledge, no studies have used complementary imaging techniques, including molecular imaging, to elucidate this. We used multimodality imaging and biochemical sampling in vivo to identify the pathobiology of acute COVID-19. Specifically, we investigated the presence of myocardial inflammation and its association with coronary artery disease, systemic vasculitis, and pneumonitis. Methods and Results Consecutive patients presenting with acute COVID-19 were prospectively recruited during hospital admission in this cross-sectional study. Imaging involved computed tomography coronary angiography (identified coronary disease), cardiac 2-deoxy-2-[fluorine-18]fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (identified vascular, cardiac, and pulmonary inflammatory cell infiltration), and cardiac magnetic resonance (identified myocardial disease) alongside biomarker sampling. Of 33 patients (median age 51 years, 94% men), 24 (73%) had respiratory symptoms, with the remainder having nonspecific viral symptoms. A total of 9 patients (35%, n=9/25) had cardiac magnetic resonance-defined myocarditis. Of these patients, 53% (n=5/8) had myocardial inflammatory cell infiltration. A total of 2 patients (5%) had elevated troponin levels. Cardiac troponin concentrations were not significantly higher in patients with and without myocarditis (8.4 ng/L [interquartile range, IQR: 4.0-55.3] versus 3.5 ng/L [IQR: 2.5-5.5]; P=0.07) or myocardial cell infiltration (4.4 ng/L [IQR: 3.4-8.3] versus 3.5 ng/L [IQR: 2.8-7.2]; P=0.89). No patients had obstructive coronary artery disease or vasculitis. Pulmonary inflammation and consolidation (percentage of total lung volume) was 17% (IQR: 5%-31%) and 11% (IQR: 7%-18%), respectively. Neither were associated with the presence of myocarditis. Conclusions Myocarditis was present in a third patients with acute COVID-19, and the majority had inflammatory cell infiltration. Pneumonitis was ubiquitous, but this inflammation was not associated with myocarditis. The mechanism of cardiac pathology is nonischemic and not attributable to a vasculitic process. Registration URL: https://www.isrctn.com; Unique identifier: ISRCTN12154994.

Cardiovascular risk factors and markers of myocardial injury and inflammation in people living with HIV in Nairobi, Kenya: a pilot cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and explore associations with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hscTnI) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) in people living with HIV (PLHIV) in Kenya. DESIGN: Pilot cross-sectional study. SETTING: Data were collected from community HIV clinics across two sites in Nairobi, Kenya, from July 2019 to May 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Convenience sample of 200 PLHIV (≥30 years with no prior history of CVD). OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and its association with hsTnI and hsCRP levels. RESULTS: Across 200 PLHIV (median age 46 years, IQR 38-53; 61% women), the prevalence of hypercholesterolaemia (total cholesterol >6.1 mmol/L) and hypertension were 19% (n=30/199) and 30% (n=60/200), respectively. Smoking and diabetes prevalence was 3% (n=5/200) and 4% (n=7/200). HscTnI was below the limit of quantification (<2.5 ng/L) in 65% (n=109/169). High (>3 mg/L), intermediate (1-3 mg/L) and low (<1 mg/L) hsCRP levels were found in 38% (n=75/198), 33% (n=65/198) and 29% (n=58/198), respectively. Framingham laboratory-based risk scores classified 83% of PLHIV at low risk with 12% and 5% at intermediate and high risk, respectively. Older age (adjusted OR (aOR) per year increase 1.05, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.08) and systolic blood pressure (140-159 mm Hg (aOR 2.96; 95% CI 1.09 to 7.90) and >160 mm Hg (aOR 4.68, 95% CI 1.55 to 14) compared with <140 mm Hg) were associated with hscTnI levels. No associations were observed between hsCRP and CVD risk factors. CONCLUSION: The majority of PLHIV-using traditional risk estimation systems-have a low estimated CVD risk likely reflecting a younger aged population predominantly consisting of women. Hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia were common while smoking and diabetes rates remained low. While hscTnI values were associated with increasing age and raised blood pressure, no associations between hsCRP levels and traditional cardiovascular risk factors were observed.

Dynamic Changes in Breast Milk Microbiome in the Early Postpartum Period of Kenyan Women Living with HIV Are Influenced by Antibiotics but Not Antiretrovirals.

Shared bacteria between maternal breast milk and infant stool, infers that transfer of maternal breast milk microbiota through breastfeeding seeds the establishment of the infant gut microbiome. Whether combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) impacts the breast milk microbiota in women living with HIV is unknown. Since current standard of care for people living with HIV includes cART, it has been difficult to evaluate the impact of cART on the microbiome. Here, we performed a next-generation sequencing retrospective study from pre-ART era clinical trials in Nairobi, Kenya (between 2003-2006 before cART was standard of care) that tested the effects of ART regimens to prevent mother-to-child HIV transmission. Kenyan women living with HIV were randomized to receive either no ART during breastfeeding (n = 24) or cART (zidovudine, nevirapine, lamivudine; n = 25) postpartum. Using linear mixed-effects models, we found that alpha diversity and beta diversity of the breast milk bacterial microbiome changed significantly over time during the first 4 weeks postpartum (alpha diversity P < 0.0007; beta diversity P = 0.005). There was no statistically significant difference in diversity, richness, and composition of the bacterial microbiome between cART-exposed and cART-unexposed women. In contrast, antibiotic use influenced the change of beta diversity of the bacterial microbiome over time. Our results indicate that while early postpartum time predicts breast milk microbiome composition, cART does not substantially alter the breast milk microbiota in women living with HIV. Hence, cART has minimal impact on the breast milk microbiome compared to antibiotics use. IMPORTANCE Breastfeeding has important benefits for long-term infant health, particularly in establishing and shaping the infant gut microbiome. However, the impact of combination antiretroviral therapy exposure and antibiotics on the breast milk microbiome in women living with HIV is not known. Here, in a longitudinal retrospective study of Kenyan women living with HIV from the pre-antiretroviral therapy era, we found that antibiotic use significantly influenced breast milk microbiome beta diversity, but antiretrovirals exposure did not substantially alter the microbiome. Given the protective role of breastfeeding in maternal-infant health, these findings fill an important knowledge gap of the impact of combination antiretroviral therapy on the microbiome of women living with HIV.

Implementation of an interactive mobile application to pilot a rapid assay to detect HIV drug resistance mutations in Kenya.

Usability is an overlooked aspect of implementing lab-based assays, particularly novel assays in low-resource-settings. Esoteric instructions can lead to irreproducible test results and patient harm. To address these issues, we developed a software application based on "Aquarium", a laboratory-operating system run on a computer tablet that provides step-by-step digital interactive instructions, protocol management, and sample tracking. Aquarium was paired with a near point-of-care HIV drug resistance test, "OLA-Simple", that detects mutations associated with virologic failure. In this observational study we evaluated the performance of Aquarium in guiding untrained users through the multi-step laboratory protocol with little supervision. To evaluate the training by Aquarium software we conducted a feasibility study in a laboratory at Coptic Hope Center in Nairobi, Kenya. Twelve volunteers who were unfamiliar with the kit performed the test on blinded samples (2 blood specimens; 5 codons/sample). Steps guided by Aquarium included: CD4+ T-Cell separation, PCR, ligation, detection, and interpretation of test results. Participants filled out a short survey regarding their demographics and experience with the software and kit. None of the laboratory technicians had prior experience performing CD4+ separation and 7/12 had no experience performing laboratory-based molecular assays. 12/12 isolated CD4+ T cells from whole blood with yields comparable to isolations performed by trained personnel. The OLA-Simple workflow was completed by all, with genotyping results interpreted correctly by unaided-eye in 108/120 (90%) and by software in 116/120 (97%) of codons analyzed. In the surveys, participants favorably assessed the use of software guidance. The Aquarium digital instructions enabled first-time users in Kenya to complete the OLA-simple kit workflow with minimal training. Aquarium could increase the accessibility of laboratory assays in low-resource-settings and potentially standardize implementation of clinical laboratory tests.

Human Papillomavirus Persistence and Association With Recurrent Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia After Cryotherapy vs Loop Electrosurgical Excision Procedure Among HIV-Positive Women: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

IMPORTANCE: Persistence of cervical high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or higher (CIN2+) has not been compared between cryotherapy and loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP) among HIV-positive women. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether cryotherapy or LEEP is more effective at clearing hrHPV and whether persistent hrHPV is associated with CIN2+ recurrence among HIV-positive women. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial conducted among women with HIV, hrHPV, and CIN2+ in Nairobi, Kenya. From June 2011 to September 2016, 354 HIV-positive women with CIN2+ disease had hrHPV cervical samples collected before and after treatment with cryotherapy or LEEP. Data were analyzed from September 2018 to January 2021. INTERVENTIONS: Women were randomized 1:1 to receive cryotherapy or LEEP and were followed up every 6 months for 24 months with hrHPV cervical swab and Papanicolaou test with confirmatory biopsy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcomes of this analysis were hrHPV positivity defined as having 1 of 12 hrHPV types (16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59) and disease recurrence defined as CIN grade 2 or higher as determined with cervical biopsy. RESULTS: A total of 354 HIV-positive women with CIN2+ were included in the study; mean (SD) age was 37 (8) years in the cryotherapy arm and 38 (9) years in the LEEP arm. Baseline hrHPV prevalence was 90% (160 of 177) in the cryotherapy arm and 94% (166 of 177) in the LEEP arm (P = .24), and the most common hrHPV types detected were 16 (87 of 326 [27%]), 58 (87 of 326 [27%]), 35 (86 of 326 [26%]), 52 (66 of 326 [20%]), and 18 (56 of 325 [17%]). Over 24 months, clearance of hrHPV was significantly higher among those who underwent LEEP compared with cryotherapy (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.03-1.90; P = .03). In multivariable analysis, hrHPV type-specific persistence at 12-month follow-up was significantly associated with CIN2+ recurrence from 12 months to 24 months (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.70; 95% CI, 2.47-8.95; P < .001). Performance of hrHPV testing at 12 months for recurrent CIN2+ was 93% sensitivity, 46% specificity, 38% positive predictive value, and 95% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial, HIV-positive women who received LEEP were more likely to clear hrHPV infection compared with those undergoing cryotherapy, reinforcing the efficacy of LEEP in this population. Persistent hrHPV was significantly associated with recurrent CIN2+, suggesting that LEEP's benefits may be related in part to its ability to clear hrHPV infection. Screening for hrHPV infection after treatment among HIV-positive women may be used to rule out recurrent CIN disease given its high sensitivity and negative predictive value. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01298596.

Effectiveness of booster BCG vaccination in preventing Covid-19 infection.

The evidence that BCG (bacille Calmette-Guerin) vaccine may increase the ability of the immune system to fight off pathogens other than tuberculosis has been studied in the past. This nonspecific immunity gained our interest, especially after initial reports of less cases in countries with universal BCG vaccination. In hopes of possible protective immunity, all staff of the Emirates International Hospital (United Arab Emirates) were offered a booster BCG vaccine in early March 2020. All the hospital staff were then tested for Covid-19 infection by the end of June 2020. We divided the subjects into two groups: booster vaccinated versus unvaccinated. The rate of Covid-19 infection was compared between the groups. Criteria included all staff who were offered the vaccine. Seventy-one subjects received the booster vaccination. This group had zero cases of positive COVID 19 infection. Two hundred nine subjects did not receive the vaccination, with 18 positive PCR confirmed COVID 19 cases. The infection rate in the unvaccinated group was 8.6% versus zero in the booster vaccinated group (Fisher's exact test p-value = .004). Our findings demonstrated the potential effectiveness of the booster BCG vaccine, specifically the booster in preventing Covid-19 infections in an elevated-risk healthcare population.

CardiOvaScular Mechanisms In Covid-19: methodology of a prospective observational multimodality imaging study (COSMIC-19 study).

BACKGROUND: 8-28% of patients infected with COVID-19 have evidence of cardiac injury, and this is associated with an adverse prognosis. The cardiovascular mechanisms of injury are poorly understood and speculative. We aim to use multimodality cardiac imaging including cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging, computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) and positron emission tomography with 2-deoxy-2-[fluorine-18]fluoro-D-glucose integrated with computed tomography (18F-FDG-PET/CT) to identify the cardiac pathophysiological mechanisms related to COVID-19 infections. METHODS: This is a single-centre exploratory observational study aiming to recruit 50 patients with COVID-19 infection who will undergo cardiac biomarker sampling. Of these, 30 patients will undergo combined CTCA and 18F-FDG-PET/CT, followed by CMR. Prevalence of obstructive and non-obstructive atherosclerotic coronary disease will be assessed using CTCA. CMR will be used to identify and characterise myocardial disease including presence of cardiac dysfunction, myocardial fibrosis, myocardial oedema and myocardial infarction. 18F-FDG-PET/CT will identify vascular and cardiac inflammation. Primary endpoint will be the presence of cardiovascular pathology and the association with troponin levels. DISCUSSION: The results of the study will identify the presence and modality of cardiac injury associated COVID-19 infection, and the utility of multi-modality imaging in diagnosing such injury. This will further inform clinical decision making during the pandemic. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study has been retrospectively registered at the ISRCTN registry (ID ISRCTN12154994) on 14th August 2020. Accessible at https://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN12154994.

Loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP) plus top hat for HIV-infected women with endocervical intraepithelial neoplasia in Kenya.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the utility of detecting endocervical cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2+ with endocervical curettage (ECC) and treating with loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP) plus top hat (+TH) among women with HIV. METHODS: Cytology was followed by coloscopy-directed biopsy if participants had HSIL or ASC-H and biopsy plus ECC if there were glandular cells present. CIN2/3 on ECC and/or inadequate colposcopy (ENL) was treated with LEEP+TH, while CIN2/3 on ectocervix (ECL) received LEEP alone. Recurrent CIN2+ were compared over a 2-year follow-up. RESULTS: Of 5330 participants, 160 underwent ECC, 98 were CIN2/3 on ECC, and 77 received LEEP+TH. ECC detected 15 (9%) more women with CIN2/3 than biopsy alone. Women were more likely to have ENL if they were older (≥45 vs <35 years) (adjusted relative risk [aRR] 2.14; P = 0.009) and on antiretroviral treatment longer (≥2 vs <2 years) (aRR 3.97; P < 0.001). Over the 2-year follow-up, 35 (29%) ENL had recurrent CIN2+ after TH compared to 19 (24%) ECL after LEEP (hazard ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval 0.75-2.31; P = 0.338). CONCLUSION: Among HIV-infected women, adding ECC did not increase detection of pre-cancerous disease significantly and treatment with LEEP+TH for ENL was comparable to treatment with LEEP for ECL.

Adverse health effects associated with household air pollution: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and burden estimation study.

BACKGROUND: 3 billion people worldwide rely on polluting fuels and technologies for domestic cooking and heating. We estimate the global, regional, and national health burden associated with exposure to household air pollution. METHODS: For the systematic review and meta-analysis, we systematically searched four databases for studies published from database inception to April 2, 2020, that evaluated the risk of adverse cardiorespiratory, paediatric, and maternal outcomes from exposure to household air pollution, compared with no exposure. We used a random-effects model to calculate disease-specific relative risk (RR) meta-estimates. Household air pollution exposure was defined as use of polluting fuels (coal, wood, charcoal, agricultural wastes, animal dung, or kerosene) for household cooking or heating. Temporal trends in mortality and disease burden associated with household air pollution, as measured by disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), were estimated from 2000 to 2017 using exposure prevalence data from 183 of 193 UN member states. 95% CIs were estimated by propagating uncertainty from the RR meta-estimates, prevalence of household air pollution exposure, and disease-specific mortality and burden estimates using a simulation-based approach. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42019125060. FINDINGS: 476 studies (15·5 million participants) from 123 nations (99 [80%] of which were classified as low-income and middle-income) met the inclusion criteria. Household air pollution was positively associated with asthma (RR 1·23, 95% CI 1·11-1·36), acute respiratory infection in both adults (1·53, 1·22-1·93) and children (1·39, 1·29-1·49), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1·70, 1·47-1·97), lung cancer (1·69, 1·44-1·98), and tuberculosis (1·26, 1·08-1·48); cerebrovascular disease (1·09, 1·04-1·14) and ischaemic heart disease (1·10, 1·09-1·11); and low birthweight (1·36, 1·19-1·55) and stillbirth (1·22, 1·06-1·41); as well as with under-5 (1·25, 1·18-1·33), respiratory (1·19, 1·18-1·20), and cardiovascular (1·07, 1·04-1·11) mortality. Household air pollution was associated with 1·8 million (95% CI 1·1-2·7) deaths and 60·9 million (34·6-93·3) DALYs in 2017, with the burden overwhelmingly experienced in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs; 60·8 million [34·6-92·9] DALYs) compared with high-income countries (0·09 million [0·01-0·40] DALYs). From 2000, mortality associated with household air pollution had reduced by 36% (95% CI 29-43) and disease burden by 30% (25-36), with the greatest reductions observed in higher-income nations. INTERPRETATION: The burden of cardiorespiratory, paediatric, and maternal diseases associated with household air pollution has declined worldwide but remains high in the world's poorest regions. Urgent integrated health and energy strategies are needed to reduce the adverse health impact of household air pollution, especially in LMICs. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, Wellcome Trust.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pre-ART HIV drug resistance testing in Kenyan women.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of pre-treatment drug resistance (PDR) to non-nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) agents is increasing in sub-Saharan Africa, which may decrease the effectiveness of efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) programs. However, due to recent safety concerns, there has been hesitancy to replace efavirenz-based ART with dolutegravir in women of reproductive potential. Our objective was to evaluate whether PDR testing for women not initiating dolutegravir-based ART would be a cost-effective strategy to address the challenges posed by PDR. METHODS: We developed an HIV drug resistance model that simulates the emergence and transmission of resistance mutations, calibrated to the Kenyan epidemic. We modeled three care strategies for PDR testing among women not initiating dolutegravir-based ART: no PDR testing, PDR testing with a low-cost point mutation assay, known as oligonucleotide ligation assay (OLA), and PDR testing with consensus sequencing. Using a health sector perspective, this model was used to evaluate the health outcomes, lifetime costs, and cost-effectiveness under each strategy over a 15-year time horizon starting in 2019. FINDINGS: OLA and CS PDR testing were projected to have incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of $10,741/QALY gained and $134,396/QALY gained, respectively, which are not cost-effective by national income standards. Viral suppression rates among women at 12 months after ART initiation were 87·8%, 89·0%, and 89·3% with no testing, OLA testing, and CS testing, respectively. PDR testing with OLA and CS were associated with a 0.5% and 0.6% reduction in incidence rate compared to no PDR testing. Initial PDR prevalence among women was 13.1% in 2019. By 2034, this prevalence was 17·6%, 17·4%, and 17·3% with no testing, OLA testing, and CS testing, respectively. INTERPRETATION: PDR testing for women is unlikely to be cost-effective in Kenya whether one uses a low-cost assay, such as OLA, or consensus sequencing. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health, Gilead Sciences.

Hospital Burden of Migraine in United States Adults: A 15-year National Inpatient Sample Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Migraine headache is associated with high costs, but changes over time of inpatient burden in the United States are unknown. Understanding longitudinal trends is necessary to determine the costs of evolving inpatient treatments that target biological factors in the generation of pain such as vasodilation and aberrant activity of trigeminal neurotransmitters. We report the migraine hospital burden trend in the United States over 15 years. METHODS: Data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample of the Hospitalization Cost and Utilization Project databases were analyzed from 1997 to 2012. Inpatient costs were reported in dollars for the cost to the institution, whereas charges reflect the amount billed. These parameters were trended and the average annual percent change was calculated to illustrate year-to-year changes. RESULTS: Overall discharges for migraine headache reached a low of 30,761 discharges in 1999, and peaked in 2012 with 54,510 discharges. Average length of stay decreased from 3.5 days in 1997 to 2.8 days in 2012. Total inpatient charges increased from $176 million in 1999 to $1.2 billion in 2012. Inpatient costs totaled $322 million in 2012, with an average daily cost of $2,111. CONCLUSIONS: Inpatient burden rapidly increased over the analyzed period, with hospital charges increasing from $5,939 per admission and $176 million nationwide in 1997, to $21,576 per admission and $1.2 billion nationwide in 2012. This trend provides context for research examining cost-effectiveness and quality of life benefits for current treatments. The study of these parameters together with better prevention and improved outpatient treatment may help alleviate the inpatient burden of migraine.

Endothelial Activation, Innate Immune Activation, and Inflammation Are Associated With Postbronchodilator Airflow Limitation and Obstruction Among Adolescents Living With HIV.

BACKGROUND: Chronic inflammation, innate immune activation, T-cell imbalance and endothelial activation have been linked with lung diseases. We sought to determine whether markers of these pathophysiologic pathways were associated with spirometry and chest computed tomography (CT) abnormalities among adolescents living with HIV (ALWH). SETTING: Coptic Hope Center for Infectious Diseases in Nairobi, Kenya. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study of ALWH (10-19 years old). Participants underwent chest CT, spirometry, and venipuncture for serum biomarkers. We also collected demographic, anthropometric, T-cell subset, antiretroviral therapy, and exposure data. We compared characteristics and biomarkers by airflow obstruction [postbronchodilator FEV1/FVC z-score (zFEV1/FVC) < -1.64]. We used multivariable linear regression to determine associations of log10-transformed biomarkers and chest CT abnormalities with lower postbronchodilator zFEV1/FVC (airflow limitation). We performed exploratory principal components analysis on biomarkers, and determined associations of factors with postbronchodilator zFEV1/FVC and chest CT abnormalities. RESULTS: Of 47 participants with acceptable quality spirometry, 21 (45%) were female, median age was 13 years and 96% had perinatally-acquired HIV. Median CD4 was 672 cells/µL. Overall, 28% had airflow obstruction and 78% had a chest CT abnormality; airflow obstruction was associated with mosaic attenuation (P = 0.001). Higher endothelial activation (sVCAM-1, sICAM-1), inflammation and innate immune activation (serum amyloid-A, sTREM-1, sCD163), and T-cell imbalance (lower CD4/CD8) markers were associated with airflow limitation. Factors comprising endothelial and innate immune activation were associated with airflow limitation. CONCLUSIONS: Endothelial activation, innate immune activation, T-cell imbalance, and chronic inflammation are associated with airflow limitation and obstruction, providing insights into chronic lung disease pathophysiology among ALWH.

Pre-treatment HIV-drug resistance associated with virologic outcome of first-line NNRTI-antiretroviral therapy: A cohort study in Kenya.

BACKGROUND: Pre-treatment HIV-drug-resistance (PDR) to WHO-recommended 1st-line non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI)-based antiretroviral treatment (ART) is increasing in low-resource communities. We evaluated the risk of PDR on treatment failure if detected at single or multiple codons, at minority (2-9%) or higher (≥10%) frequencies during efavirenz- vs. nevirapine-ART. METHODS: We conducted a pooled analysis across three cohorts of Kenyans initiating 1st-line NNRTI-ART between 2006 and 2014. Mutations K103N, Y181C, G190A, M184V and K65R were detected by an oligonucleotide ligation assay (OLA) and confirmed by Sanger and next-generation sequencing (NGS). PDR was defined as detection of any mutation by OLA when confirmed by NGS. Treatment failure, defined as plasma HIV RNA ≥400 copies/mL at month-12 of ART, was compared by PDR genotypes. FINDINGS: PDR was detected in 59/1231 (4·8%) participants. Compared to wild-type genotypes, PDR in participants prescribed nevirapine-ART was associated with increased treatment failure [PDR 69·2% (27/39) vs. wild-type 10·4% (70/674); p = 0·0001], whether detected as minority [66·7% (4/6)] or higher [69·7% (23/33)] frequencies in an individual's HIV quasispecies (p = 0·002 and p < 0·0001, respectively), or mutations at single [50·0% (12/24)] or multiple [100·0% (15/15)] codons (p < 0·0001). During efavirenz-ART, PDR was also associated with increased virologic failure [PDR 25·0% (5/20) vs. wild-type 5·0% (25/498); p = 0·005], but only if detected at multiple drug-resistant codons [50·0% (3/6); p = 0·003] or high frequencies PDR [33·3% (5/15); p = 0·001]. INTERPRETATION: The risk that PDR confers for treatment failure varies by number of mutant codons and their frequency in the quasispecies, with a lower risk for efavirenz- compared to nevirapine-based regimens. PDR detection and management could extend the effective use of efavirenz-ART in low-resource settings. FUNDING: NIH, PEPFAR.