Modulation of Metabolomic Profile in Sepsis According to the State of Immune Activation.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the metabolomic profiles associated with different immune activation states in sepsis patients. DESIGN: Subgroup analysis of the PROVIDE (a Personalized Randomized trial of Validation and restoration of Immune Dysfunction in severe infections and Sepsis) prospective clinical study. SETTING: Results of the PROVIDE study showed that patients with sepsis may be classified into three states of immune activation: 1) macrophage-activation-like syndrome (MALS) characterized by hyperinflammation, sepsis-induced immunoparalysis, and 3) unclassified or intermediate patients without severe immune dysregulation. PATIENTS OR SUBJECTS: Two hundred ten patients from 14 clinical sites in Greece meeting the Sepsis-3 definitions with lung infection, acute cholangitis, or primary bacteremia. INTERVENTIONS: During our comparison, we did not perform any intervention. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Untargeted metabolomics analysis was performed on plasma samples from 210 patients (a total of 1394 products). Differential abundance analysis identified 221 significantly different metabolites across the immune states. Metabolites were enriched in pathways related to ubiquinone biosynthesis, tyrosine metabolism, and tryptophan metabolism when comparing MALS to immunoparalysis and unclassified patients. When comparing MALS to unclassified, 312 significantly different metabolites were found, and pathway analysis indicated enrichment in multiple pathways. Comparing immunoparalysis to unclassified patients revealed only two differentially regulated metabolites. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest distinct metabolic dysregulation patterns associated with different immune dysfunctions in sepsis: the strongest metabolic dysregulation is associated with MALS.

Internal medicine in the 21st century: Back to the future.

Healthcare systems face multiple challenges arising from demographic factors (population aging) and epidemiological factors (rise of chronic diseases and patients with multimorbidity) as well as threats to their financial sustainability when maintaining equitable access to medical and technological advances. Current healthcare models, based on specialized medical care, lead to fragmented care that can be harmful to the patient and is inefficient for the system due to the overuse of redundant, low-value medical acts. Internal medicine is the hospital-centered general medical specialty par excellence, providing a comprehensive and holistic vision that is centered on the patient and not on the disease. Internists should be the leading physicians in the hospital setting for complex patients with or those with an uncertain diagnosis. Internists must play a key role, as hospitalists do, in the continued care of acute patients hospitalized for medical or surgical diseases, establishing shared care models in multidisciplinary teams. Likewise, to guarantee continuity of care for chronic patients, internists must establish mechanisms for collaboration with primary care and nursing, participating in the development of new out-of-hospital care models that use the available technological resources. Internal medicine should play a leading role in graduate and postgraduate medical education to promote a holistic vision among medical students and residents in medical subspecialties.

Efficacy and safety of palliative treatment in patients with autoimmune liver disease-associated hepatocellular carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Autoimmune liver diseases (AILD) are rare causes hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). and data on the efficacy and tolerability of anti-tumor therapies are scarce. This pan-European study aimed to assess outcomes in AILD-HCC patients treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) compared with patients with more common HCC etiologies, including viral, alcoholic or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 107 patients with HCC-AILD (AIH:55; PBC:52) treated at 13 European centres between 1996 and 2020 were included. 65 received TACE and 28 received TKI therapy. 43 (66 %) were female (median age 73 years) with HCC tumor stage BCLC A (34 %), B (46 %), C (9 %) or D (11 %). For each treatment type, propensity score matching was used to match AILD to non-AILD-HCC on a 1:1 basis, yielding in a final cohort of 130 TACE and 56 TKI patients for comparative analyses of median overall survival (mOS) and treatment tolerability. RESULTS: HCC-AILD patients showed comparable mOS to controls for both TACE (19.5 vs 22.1 months, p = 0.9) and TKI (15.4 vs 15.1 months, p = 0.5). Adverse events were less frequent in AILD-HCC patients than controls (33 % % vs 62 %, p = 0.003). For TKIs, there were no significant differences in adverse events (73% vs. 86%, p = 0.2) or interruption rates (44% vs. 36 %, p = 0.7). CONCLUSIONS: In summary, this study demonstrates comparable mOS for AILD-HCC patients undergoing local and systemic treatments, with better tolerability than HCC of other causes. TKIs remain important therapeutic options for AILD-HCC patients, particularly given their exclusion from recent immunotherapy trials.

Unmet needs in autoimmune hepatitis: Results of the prospective multicentre European Reference Network Registry (R-LIVER).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The European Reference Network on Hepatological Diseases (ERN RARE-LIVER) launched the prospective, multicentre, quality-controlled R-LIVER registry on rare liver diseases. The aim of this study was to assess the presentation and outcome of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) after 1 year of treatment. METHODS: Data were prospectively collected at the time of diagnosis and after 6 and 12 months follow-up. Complete biochemical response (CBR) was defined as normalization of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and immunoglobulin G (IgG) serum levels. RESULTS: A total of 231 patients from six European centres were included in the analysis. After 6 months of treatment 50% (106/212), and after 12 months 63% (131/210) of patients reached CBR with only 27% (56/211) achieving a steroid-free CBR within the first year. Overall, 16 different treatment regimens were administered. Change of treatment, mostly due to intolerance, occurred in 30.4% within the first 6 months. In multivariate analysis, younger age at diagnosis (odds ratio [OR] = 1.03 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.05]; p = .007), severe fibrosis (OR .38 [95% .16-.89], p = .026) and change of treatment within the first 6 months (OR .40 [95% CI .2-.86]; p = .018) were associated with a lesser chance of ALT normalization at 12 months follow-up. CONCLUSION: The landscape of AIH treatment in Europe is highly heterogeneous, even between expert centres. The results from this first European multicentre prospective registry reveal several unmet needs, highlighted by the overall low rates of CBR and the frequent failure to withdraw corticosteroids.

Detection of polyreactive immunoglobulin G facilitates diagnosis in children with autoimmune hepatitis.

OBJECTIVE: The detection of autoantibodies is essential to diagnose autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Particularly in children, specificity of autoantibodies decreases due to lower titers being diagnostic and being present not only in AIH but also in other liver diseases. Recently, quantification of polyreactive IgG (pIgG) for detection of adult AIH showed the highest overall accuracy compared to antinuclear antibodies (ANA), anti-smooth muscle antibodies (anti-SMA), anti-liver kidney microsomal antibodies (anti-LKM) and anti-soluble liver antigen/liver pancreas antibodies (anti-SLA/LP). We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic value of pIgG for pediatric AIH. DESIGN: pIgG, quantified using HIP1R/BSA coated ELISA, and immunofluorescence on rodent tissue sections were performed centrally. The diagnostic fidelity to diagnose AIH was compared to conventional autoantibodies of AIH in training and validation cohorts from a retrospective, European multi-center cohort from nine centers from eight European countries composed of existing biorepositories from expert centers (n = 285). RESULTS: IgG from pediatric AIH patients exhibited increased polyreactivity to multiple protein and non-protein substrates compared to non-AIH liver diseases and healthy children. pIgG had an AUC of 0.900 to distinguish AIH from non-AIH liver diseases. pIgG had a 31-73% higher specificity than ANA and anti-SMA and comparable sensitivity that was 6-20 times higher than of anti-SLA/LP, anti-LC1 and anti-LKM. pIgG had a 21-34% higher accuracy than conventional autoantibodies, was positive in 43-75% of children with AIH and normal IgG and independent from treatment response. CONCLUSION: Detecting pIgG improves the diagnostic evaluation of pediatric AIH compared to conventional autoantibodies, primarily owing to higher accuracy and specificity.

PNPLA3 I148 M genetic variant in autoimmune hepatitis characterises advanced disease at diagnosis and reduced survival free of cirrhotic events and liver-related mortality.

Background: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a relatively rare autoimmune disease with a strong genetic background. The patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3) I148 M (rs738409 C/G) variant has been associated with hepatic inflammation and fibrosis in chronic hepatic diseases beyond metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Aim: Our aim was to investigate the significance of PNPLA3 I148 M variant in AIH. Method: Two hundred AIH patients, followed in our centre, were evaluated while 100 healthy subjects served as controls. Genotyping was performed with allelic discrimination end-point polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Results: The I148 M variant was present in 95/200 (47.5 %) AIH patients compared to 47/100 (47 %) healthy controls (p = 1.000). Patients with GG/CG genotypes were more likely to present with decompensated cirrhosis at diagnosis (GG/CG 6.3 % vs. CC 1 %, p = 0.039). Comorbidity with cardiometabolic risk factors and concurrence of MASLD was similar across genotypes. Simple steatosis was present in 37/186 (19.9 %) and steatohepatitis in 14/186 (7.5 %) patients with available liver biopsy without correlation with PNPLA3 genotype. Fibrosis stage and grade of inflammation were not correlated with any genotype. Response to treatment was also independent of the presence of the I148 M variant, even though a longer time was needed to achieve complete biochemical response in those carrying the GG/CG genotypes (p = 0.07). On Kaplan Meier analysis homozygosity for the G allele corelated with reduced survival free of decompensation (p = 0.006), cirrhotic events (decompensation, liver transplantation, hepatocellular carcinoma; p = 0.001) and liver-related death or liver transplantation (p = 0.011) in treated patients. Conclusions: The PNPLA3 I148 M variant in AIH patients is associated with increased risk of advanced disease at diagnosis and reduced survival free of cirrhotic events and liver-related death or liver transplantation, regardless of the presence of MASLD. This signifies a potential role for the PNPLA3 I148 M variant as a new AIH biomarker allowing to identify patients at increased risk of disease progression.

Long-term outcome of hepatitis delta in different regions world-wide: Results of the Hepatitis Delta International Network.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis delta represents a major global health burden. Clinical features of hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection vary largely between different regions worldwide. Treatment approaches are dependent on the approval status of distinct drugs and financial resources. METHODS: The Hepatitis Delta International Network (HDIN) registry involves researchers from all continents (Wranke, Liver International 2018). We here report long-term follow-up data of 648 hepatitis D patients recruited by 14 centres in 11 countries. Liver-related clinical endpoints were defined as hepatic decompensation (ascites, encephalopathy and variceal bleeding), liver transplantation, hepatocellular carcinoma or liver-related death. RESULTS: Patient data were available from all continents but Africa: 22% from Eastern Mediterranean, 32% from Eastern Europe and Central Asia, 13% from Central and Southern Europe, 14% from South Asia (mainly Pakistan) and 19% from South America (mainly Brazil). The mean follow-up was 6.4 (.6-28) years. During follow-up, 195 patients (32%) developed a liver-related clinical event after 3.5 (±3.3) years. Liver cirrhosis at baseline and a detectable HDV RNA test during follow-up were associated with a worse clinical outcome in multivariate regression analysis while patients receiving interferon alfa-based therapies developed clinical endpoints less frequently. Patients from South Asia developed endpoints earlier and had the highest mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The HDIN registry confirms the severity of hepatitis D and provides further evidence for HDV viraemia as a main risk factor for disease progression. Hepatitis D seems to take a particularly severe course in patients born in Pakistan. There is an urgent need to extend access to antiviral therapies and to provide appropriate education about HDV infection.

Transitions of blood immune endotypes and improved outcome by anakinra in COVID-19 pneumonia: an analysis of the SAVE-MORE randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Endotype classification may guide immunomodulatory management of patients with bacterial and viral sepsis. We aimed to identify immune endotypes and transitions associated with response to anakinra (human interleukin 1 receptor antagonist) in participants in the SAVE-MORE trial. METHODS: Adult patients hospitalized with radiological findings of PCR-confirmed severe pneumonia caused by SARS-CoV-2 and plasma-soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor levels of ≥ 6 ng/ml in the SAVE-MORE trial (NCT04680949) were characterized at baseline and days 4 and 7 of treatment using a previously defined 33-messenger RNA classifier to assign an immunological endotype in blood. Endpoints were changes in endotypes and progression to severe respiratory failure (SRF) associated with anakinra treatment. RESULTS: At baseline, 23.2% of 393 patients were designated as inflammopathic, 41.1% as adaptive, and 35.7% as coagulopathic. Only 23.9% were designated as the same endotype at days 4 and 7 compared to baseline, while all other patients transitioned between endotypes. Anakinra-treated patients were more likely to remain in the adaptive endotype during 7-day treatment (24.4% vs. 9.9%; p < 0.001). Anakinra also protected patients with coagulopathic endotype at day 7 against SRF compared to placebo (27.8% vs. 55.9%; p = 0.013). CONCLUSION: We identify an association between endotypes defined using blood transcriptome and anakinra therapy for COVID-19 pneumonia, with anakinra-treated patients shifting toward endotypes associated with a better outcome, mainly the adaptive endotype. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04680949, December 23, 2020.

HEPARIN-BINDING PROTEIN LEVELS PREDICT UNFAVORABLE OUTCOME IN COVID-19 PNEUMONIA: A POST HOC ANALYSIS OF THE SAVE TRIAL.

ABSTRACT: We aimed to evaluate heparin-binding protein (HBP) as a marker of prognosis of unfavorable outcome in COVID-19 pneumonia. This was a post hoc analysis of the SAVE clinical trial investigating anakinra treatment, guided by suPAR (soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor) levels ≥6 ng/mL, for the prevention of severe respiratory failure in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Baseline HBP plasma levels were measured in 534 patients by fluorescence dry quantitative immunoassay using the Jet-iStar 800 analyzer. Concentrations higher than 35 ng/mL predicted 30-day mortality with a moderate specificity of 53.3% and negative predictive value 78.1%; sensitivity was low (29.0%). After multivariate Cox analysis, HBP higher than 35 ng/mL was an independent predictor of 30-day unfavorable outcome (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.06-2.94; P = 0.028) and these patients were also at greater risk of death after 90 days (hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.25-2.74; P = 0.002). The cutoff was not predictive of development of severe respiratory failure, septic shock or acute kidney injury. Among patients with baseline HBP levels higher than 35 ng/mL, anakinra treatment was associated with decreased mortality (7.2%) versus comparators (18.1%; P < 0.001). Results confirm that HBP may be an early biomarker of poor outcome among preselected patients at risk from COVID-19 pneumonia.ClinicalTrials.gov registration NCT04357366.

Validation of FIB-6 score in assessment of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: We recently developed a simple novel index called fibrosis 6 (FIB-6) using machine learning data analysis. We aimed to evaluate its performance in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS: A retrospective observational analysis of data was obtained from seven countries (Egypt, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), Turkey, Greece, Oman, Qatar, and Jordan) of CHB patients. The inclusion criteria were receiving an adequate liver biopsy and a complete biochemical and hematological data. The diagnostic performance analysis of the FIB-6 index was conducted and compared with other non-invasive scores. RESULTS: A total of 603 patients were included for the analysis; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of FIB-6 for the discrimination of patients with cirrhosis (F4), compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) (F3 and F4), and significant fibrosis (F2-F4) was 0.854, 0.812, and 0.745, respectively. The analysis using the optimal cut-offs of FIB-6 showed a sensitivity of 70.9%, specificity of 84.1%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 40.3%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 95.0% for the diagnosis of cirrhosis. For the diagnosis of cACLD, the results were 71.5%, 69.3%, 40.8%, and 89.2%, respectively, while for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis, the results were 68.3%, 67.5%, 59.9%, and 75.0%, respectively. When compared to those of fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and AST-to-alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), the AUROC for the performance of FIB-6 was higher than that of FIB-4, APRI, and AAR in all fibrosis stages. FIB-6 gave the highest sensitivity and NPV (89.1% and 92.4%) in ruling out cACLD and cirrhosis, as compared to FIB-4 (63.8% and 83.0%), APRI (53.9% and 86.6%), and AAR (47.5% and 82.3%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The FIB-6 index could be used in ruling out cACLD, fibrosis, and cirrhosis with good reliability.

NMR-based metabolomic signature: An important tool for the diagnosis and study of pathogenesis of autoimmune hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolomics is used to predict, diagnose, and monitor metabolic disorders but altered metabolomic signatures have also been reported in diverse diseases, including autoimmune disorders. However, the metabolomic profile in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) has not been investigated in depth. Therefore, we investigated the metabolomic signature of AIH and its significance as a diagnostic and pathogenetic tool. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Metabolites in plasma samples from 50 patients with AIH at diagnosis, 43 healthy controls, 72 patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), 26 patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease, and 101 patients with chronic viral hepatitis were determined by 1 H NMR (nuclear magnetic resonance) spectroscopy. Fifty-two metabolites were quantified, and metabolic pathway analysis was performed. Multivariate analysis revealed that AIH could be differentiated from healthy controls and each of the disease controls ( p <0.001). Fifteen metabolites differentiated AIH from disease controls (PBC+chronic viral hepatitis+metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease) (95% sensitivity and 92% specificity). Ten distinct metabolic pathways were altered in AIH compared to disease controls. The metabolic pathway of branched-chain amino acids (lower valine, leucine, and isoleucine levels and their catabolic intermediates in PBC), methionine (lower methionine, 2-aminobutyrate, and 2-hydroxybutyrate levels in PBC), alanine-aspartate-glutamate (lower metabolites in PBC), and that of metabolites associated with gut microbiota (lower choline, betaine, and dimethylamine levels in PBC) were significantly different between AIH and PBC ( p <0.01). CONCLUSIONS: 1 H NMR spectroscopy could be a promising novel tool to diagnose and study AIH pathogenesis as there is no need for much sample handling, is highly reproducible with high sensitivity and specificity, and low cost.

Clarithromycin for early anti-inflammatory responses in community-acquired pneumonia in Greece (ACCESS): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Addition of macrolide antibiotics to ß-lactam antibiotics for the treatment of patients in hospital with community-acquired pneumonia is based on results from observational studies and meta-analyses rather than randomised clinical trials. We investigated if addition of the macrolide clarithromycin to treatment with a ß-lactam antibiotic in this population could improve early clinical response-the new regulatory endpoint for community-acquired pneumonia-and explored the possible contribution of modulation of the inflammatory host response to that outcome. METHODS: The ACCESS trial was a phase 3 prospective, double-blind, randomised controlled trial, in which adults in hospital with community-acquired pneumonia who had systemic inflammatory response syndrome, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score of 2 or more, and procalcitonin 0·25 ng/mL or more were enrolled in 18 internal medicine departments of public Greek hospitals. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) by computer-generated block randomisation to standard of care medication (including intravenous administration of a third-generation cephalosporin or intravenous administration of ß-lactam plus ß-lactamase inhibitor combination) plus either oral placebo or oral clarithromycin 500 mg twice daily for 7 days. Investigators, staff, and patients were masked to group allocation. The primary composite endpoint required that patients fulfilled both of the following conditions after 72 hours (ie, day 4 of treatment): (1) decrease in respiratory symptom severity score of 50% or more as an indicator of early clinical response and (2) decrease in SOFA score of at least 30% or favourable procalcitonin kinetics (defined as ≥80% decrease from baseline or procalcitonin <0·25 ng/mL), or both, as an indicator of early inflammatory response. Participants who were randomly assigned and received allocated treatment were included in the primary analysis population. This trial is complete and is registered with the EU Clinical Trials Register (2020-004452-15) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04724044). FINDINGS: Patients were enrolled between Jan 25, 2021, and April 11, 2023, and 278 individuals were randomly allocated to receive standard of care in combination with either clarithromycin (n=139) or placebo (n=139). 134 patients in the clarithromycin group (five withdrew consent) and 133 patients in the placebo group (six withdrew consent) were included in the analysis of the primary endpoint. The primary endpoint was met in 91 (68%) patients in the clarithromycin group and 51 (38%) patients in the placebo group (difference 29·6% [95% CI 17·7-40·3]; odds ratio [OR] 3·40 [95% CI 2·06-5·63]; p<0·0001). Serious treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) occurred in 58 (43%) patients in the clarithromycin group and 70 (53%) patients in the placebo group (difference 9·4% [95% CI -2·6 to 20·9]; OR 0·67 [95% CI 0·42 to 1·11]; p=0·14). None of the serious TEAEs was judged to be related to treatment assignment. INTERPRETATION: Addition of clarithromycin to standard of care enhances early clinical response and attenuates the inflammatory burden of community-acquired pneumonia. The mechanism of benefit is associated with changes in the immune response. These findings suggest the importance of adding clarithromycin to ß-lactams for treatment of patients in hospital with community-acquired pneumonia to achieve early clinical response and early decrease of the inflammatory burden. FUNDING: Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis and Abbott Products Operations.

Osteonecrosis risk after steroids-related treatment of COVID-19 is not negligible: A cross sectional study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: During the pandemic, steroids use at various dosages and durations for the treatment of COVID-19 patients, especially in hospitalized patients, was a common and effective strategy. However, steroid administration is associated with osteonecrosis as an adverse event. The aim of the study was to examine the prevalence of skeleton osteonecrosis in COVID-19 patients treated with or without steroids. METHODS: Eighty randomly selected hospitalized COVID-19 patients were analyzed, of which 40 were managed with a published protocol including steroids and 40 did not receive steroids. Demographics and laboratory measurements including white blood cells count, C-reactive protein and ferritin were retrieved from the medical records. All patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging of the hips, shoulders, and knees. Subsequently, all patients were clinically examined and Oxford hip score (OHS) and EuroQol- 5 Dimension (EQ-5D-5 L) were documented. RESULTS: Three patients (3/40; 7.5 %) treated with steroids were diagnosed with femoral head osteonecrosis. None of the patients in the non-steroid-treated group developed osteonecrosis. There were no differences between the two groups regarding OHS and EQ-5D-5 L. Patients with osteonecrosis had higher ferritin levels, received higher doses of corticosteroids (median dose 2200 mg), and had longer hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19-related therapy with steroids resulted in lower prevalence of osteonecrosis than that previously recorded in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome caused by coronavirus-type-1. However, this risk seems not negligible and therefore, high clinical suspicion for early diagnosis is warranted, given the fact that a great proportion of hospitalized patients received steroids during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Lack of complete biochemical response in autoimmune hepatitis leads to adverse outcome: First report of the IAIHG retrospective registry.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group retrospective registry (IAIHG-RR) is a web-based platform with subjects enrolled with a clinical diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). As prognostic factor studies with enough power are scarce, this study aimed to ascertain data quality and identify prognostic factors in the IAIHG-RR cohort. METHODS: This retrospective, observational, multicenter study included all patients with a clinical diagnosis of AIH from the IAIHG-RR. The quality assessment consisted of external validation of completeness and consistency for 29 predefined variables. Cox regression was used to identify risk factors for liver-related death and liver transplantation (LT). RESULTS: This analysis included 2559 patients across 7 countries. In 1700 patients, follow-up was available, with a completeness of individual data of 90% (range: 30-100). During a median follow-up period of 10 (range: 0-49) years, there were 229 deaths, of which 116 were liver-related, and 143 patients underwent LT. Non-White ethnicity (HR 4.1 95% CI: 2.3-7.1), cirrhosis (HR 3.5 95% CI: 2.3-5.5), variant syndrome with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) (HR 3.1 95% CI: 1.6-6.2), and lack of complete biochemical response within 6 months (HR 5.7 95% CI: 3.4-9.6) were independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: The IAIHG-RR represents the world's largest AIH cohort with moderate-to-good data quality and a relevant number of liver-related events. The registry is a suitable platform for patient selection in future studies. Lack of complete biochemical response to treatment, non-White ethnicity, cirrhosis, and PSC-AIH were associated with liver-related death and LT.

HBV DNA and HBsAg Levels at 24 Weeks Off-Treatment Predict Clinical Relapse and HBsAg Loss in HBeAg-Negative Patients Who Discontinued Antiviral Therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients who discontinue nucleo(s)tide analogue therapy are at risk of viral rebound and severe hepatitis flares, necessitating intensive off-treatment follow-up. METHODS: We studied the association between hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels at off-treatment follow-up week 24 (FU W24), with subsequent clinical relapse, and HBsAg loss in a multicenter cohort of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients with chronic hepatitis B who discontinued nucleo(s)tide analogue therapy. RESULTS: We studied 475 patients, 82% Asian, and 55% treated with entecavir. Patients with higher HBV DNA levels at FU W24 had a higher risk of clinical relapse (hazard ratio [HR], 1.576; P < .001) and a lower chance of HBsAg loss (HR, 0.454; P < .001). Similarly, patients with higher HBsAg levels at FU W24 had a higher risk of clinical relapse (HR, 1.579; P < .001) and a lower chance of HBsAg loss (HR, 0.263; P < .001). A combination of both HBsAg <100 IU/mL and HBV DNA <100 IU/mL at FU W24 identified patients with excellent outcomes (9.9% clinical relapse and 58% HBsAg loss at 216 weeks of follow-up). Conversely, relapse rates were high and HBsAg loss rates negligible among patients with both HBsAg >100 IU/mL and HBV DNA >100 IU/mL (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Among HBeAg-negative patients with chronic hepatitis B who discontinued antiviral therapy and who did not experience clinical relapse before FU W24, serum levels of HBV DNA and HBsAg at FU W24 can be used to predict subsequent clinical relapse and HBsAg clearance. A combination of HBsAg <100 IU/mL with HBV DNA <100 IU/mL identifies patients with a low risk of relapse and excellent chances of HBsAg loss and could potentially be used as an early surrogate end point for studies aiming at finite therapy in HBV.

PAGE-B incorporating moderate HBV DNA levels predicts risk of HCC among patients entering into HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent studies reported that moderate HBV DNA levels are significantly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive, non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to develop and validate a new risk score to predict HCC development using baseline moderate HBV DNA levels in patients entering into HBeAg-positive CHB from chronic infection. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study recruited 3,585 HBeAg-positive, non-cirrhotic patients who started antiviral treatment with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate at phase change into CHB from chronic infection in 23 tertiary university-affiliated hospitals of South Korea (2012-2020). A new HCC risk score (PAGED-B) was developed (training cohort, n = 2,367) based on multivariable Cox models. Internal validation using bootstrap sampling and external validation (validation cohort, n = 1,218) were performed. RESULTS: Sixty (1.7%) patients developed HCC (median follow-up, 5.4 years). In the training cohort, age, gender, platelets, diabetes and moderate HBV DNA levels (5.00-7.99 log10 IU/ml) were independently associated with HCC development; the PAGED-B score (based on these five predictors) showed a time-dependent AUROC of 0.81 for the prediction of HCC development at 5 years. In the validation cohort, the AUROC of PAGED-B was 0.85, significantly higher than for other risk scores (PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, CAMD, and REAL-B). When stratified by the PAGED-B score, the HCC risk was significantly higher in high-risk patients than in low-risk patients (sub-distribution hazard ratio = 8.43 in the training and 11.59 in the validation cohorts, all p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The newly established PAGED-B score may enable risk stratification for HCC at the time of transition into HBeAg-positive CHB. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In this study, we developed and validated a new risk score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients entering into hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) from chronic infection. The newly established PAGED-B score, which included baseline moderate HBV DNA levels (5-8 log10 IU/ml), improved on the predictive performance of prior risk scores. Based on a patient's age, gender, diabetic status, platelet count, and moderate DNA levels (5-8 log10 IU/ml) at the phase change into CHB from chronic infection, the PAGED-B score represents a reliable and easily available risk score to predict HCC development during the first 5 years of antiviral treatment in HBeAg-positive patients entering into CHB. With a scoring range from 0 to 12 points, the PAGED-B score significantly differentiated the 5-year HCC risk: low <7 points and high ≥7 points.

Incidence and predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with autoimmune hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a rare chronic liver disease of unknown aetiology; the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear and risk factors are not well-defined. We aimed to investigate the risk of HCC across a multicentre AIH cohort and to identify predictive factors. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, observational, multicentric study of patients included in the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group Retrospective Registry. The assessed clinical outcomes were HCC development, liver transplantation, and death. Fine and Gray regression analysis stratified by centre was applied to determine the effects of individual covariates; the cumulative incidence of HCC was estimated using the competing risk method with death as a competing risk. RESULTS: A total of 1,428 patients diagnosed with AIH from 1980 to 2020 from 22 eligible centres across Europe and Canada were included, with a median follow-up of 11.1 years (interquartile range 5.2-15.9). Two hundred and ninety-three (20.5%) patients had cirrhosis at diagnosis. During follow-up, 24 patients developed HCC (1.7%), an incidence rate of 1.44 cases/1,000 patient-years; the cumulative incidence of HCC increased over time (0.6% at 5 years, 0.9% at 10 years, 2.7% at 20 years, and 6.6% at 30 years of follow-up). Patients who developed cirrhosis during follow-up had a significantly higher incidence of HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 2.6%, 4.6%, 5.6% and 6.6% at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years after the development of cirrhosis, respectively. Obesity (hazard ratio [HR] 2.94, p = 0.04), cirrhosis (HR 3.17, p = 0.01), and AIH/PSC variant syndrome (HR 5.18, p = 0.007) at baseline were independent risk factors for HCC development. CONCLUSIONS: HCC incidence in AIH is low even after cirrhosis development and is associated with risk factors including obesity, cirrhosis, and AIH/PSC variant syndrome. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in individuals with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) seems to be lower than for other aetiologies of chronic liver disease. Yet, solid data for this specific patient group remain elusive, given that most of the existing evidence comes from small, single-centre studies. In our study, we found that HCC incidence in patients with AIH is low even after the onset of cirrhosis. Additionally, factors such as advanced age, obesity, cirrhosis, alcohol consumption, and the presence of the AIH/PSC variant syndrome at the time of AIH diagnosis are linked to a higher risk of HCC. Based on these findings, there seems to be merit in adopting a specialized HCC monitoring programme for patients with AIH based on their individual risk factors.

Calprotectin serum levels on admission and during follow-up predict severity and outcome of patients with COVID-19: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Calprotectin reflects neutrophil activation and is increased in various inflammatory conditions including severe COVID-19. However, serial serum calprotectin measurements in COVID-19 patients are limited. We assessed prospectively, calprotectin levels as biomarker of severity/outcome of the disease and a COVID-19 monitoring parameter in a large cohort of consecutive COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Calprotectin serum levels were measured in 736 patients (58.2 % males; median age 63-years; moderate disease, n = 292; severe, n = 444, intubated and/or died, n = 50). Patients were treated with combined immunotherapies according to our published local algorithm. The endpoint was the composite event of intubation due to severe respiratory failure (SRF)/COVID-19-related mortality. RESULTS: Median (interquartile range) calprotectin levels were significantly higher in patients with severe disease [7(8.2) vs. 6.1(8.1)µg/mL, p = 0.015]. Calprotectin on admission was the only independent risk factor for intubation/death (HR=1.473, 95 %CI=1.003-2.165, p = 0.048) even after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, comorbidities, neutrophils, lymphocytes, neutrophil to lymphocytes ratio, ferritin, and CRP. The area under the curve (AUC, 95 %CI) of calprotectin for prediction of intubation/death was 0.619 (0.531-0.708), with an optimal cut-off at 13 µg/mL (sensitivity: 44 %, specificity: 79 %, positive and negative predictive values: 13 % and 95 %, respectively). For intubated/died patients, paired comparisons from baseline to middle of hospitalization and subsequently to intubation/death showed significant increase of calprotectin (p = 0.009 and p < 0.001, respectively). Calprotectin alteration had the higher predictive ability for intubation/death [AUC (95 %CI):0.803 (0.664-0.943), p < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Calprotectin levels on admission and their subsequent dynamic alterations could serve as indicator of COVID-19 severity and predict the occurrence of SRF and mortality.