RESUMEN
The resurgence of cholera is presenting unusual challenges in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR), where it is considered endemic in nine-member states. The risk of a cholera outbreak spreading to non-endemic countries remains high. We discuss the regional trends of cholera, regional burden, and challenges with a focus on World Health Organization (WHO) initiatives in the region that could be useful in preventing and controlling the disease in similar contexts. Despite significant progress in the control of cholera worldwide, the disease continues to be a major public health problem across the region, where it constitutes both an emerging and re-emerging threat. Recurring cholera outbreaks are an indication of deprived water and sanitation conditions as well as weak health systems, contributing to the transmission and spread of the cholera infection. We note that despite the challenges in eliminating cholera in the region, effective implementation of the proposed WHO EMR Strategic framework, among other measures, could sustain the region's cholera prevention, preparedness, and response needs.
RESUMEN
In humanitarian emergencies, traditional disease surveillance systems either do not exist to begin with or come under stress due to a huge influx of internal or external migrants. However, cramped camps with an unreliable supply of safe water and weak sanitation systems are the ideal setting for major disease outbreaks of all kinds. The Early Warning, Alert and Response Network (EWARN) has been supported by the WHO since the late 1990s to ensure health system capacity to identify and control risks early before they become major epidemics. These systems have been proven to be an excellent asset in reducing morbidity and mortality in humanitarian crises around the world. However, there is also a global challenge of transitioning them back to a regular or national monitoring system in their respective countries. This article is the result of in-country consultations arranged by the Eastern Mediterranean office of the World Health Organization. In these consultations, the unique local conditions and limitations of different countries were discussed to identify a way forward for transitioning these emergency disease surveillance systems into regular systems. After these discussions, different options were presented which could be further modified according to local needs. As there has not been any documented evidence of a successful transition of any emergency surveillance system, it is difficult to discuss or determine the gold standard for transition. As with any public health program being practiced in the field, local decision-making with some broad guidelines will be the best approach available. This article provides these guidelines and practical steps which could be further modified according to country needs.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In 2008, Somalia introduced an electronic based Early Warning Alert and Response Network (EWARN) for real time detection and response to alerts of epidemic prone diseases in a country experiencing a complex humanitarian situation. EWARN was deactivated between 2008 to 2016 due to civil conflict and reactivated in 2017 during severe drought during a cholera outbreak. We present an assessment of the performance of the EWARN in Somalia from January 2017 to December 2020, reflections on the successes and failures, and provide future perspectives for enhancement of the EWARN to effectively support an Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response strategy. METHODS: We described geographical coverage of the EWARN, system attributes, which included; sensitivity, flexibility, timeliness, data quality (measured by completeness), and positive predictive value (PPV). We tested for trends of timeliness of submission of epidemiological reports across the years using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel stratified test of association. RESULTS: By December 2020, all 6 states and the Banadir Administrative Region were implementing EWARN. In 2017, only 24.6% of the records were submitted on time, but by 2020, 96.8% of the reports were timely (p < 0.001). Completeness averaged < 60% in all the 4 years, with the worst-performing year being 2017. Overall, PPV was 14.1%. Over time, PPV improved from 7.1% in 2017 to 15.4% in 2019 but declined to 9.7% in 2020. Alert verification improved from 2.0% in 2017 to 52.6% by 2020, (p < 0.001). In 2020, EWARN was enhanced to facilitate COVID-19 reporting demonstrating its flexibility to accommodate the integration of reportable diseases. CONCLUSIONS: During the past 4 years of implementing EWARN in Somalia, the system has improved significantly in timeliness, disease alerts verification, and flexibility in responding to emerging disease outbreaks, and enhanced coverage. However, the system is not yet optimal due to incompleteness and lack of integration with other systems suggesting the need to build additional capacity for improved disease surveillance coverage, buttressed by system improvements to enhance data quality and integration.