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1.
Infect Dis Model ; 9(3): 805-815, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38736971

RESUMEN

The ongoing transmission of mpox in specific countries and regions necessitates urgent action. It is essential to implement targeted containment strategies that concentrate on high-risk populations and critical locations, such as college campuses, to effectively curb the spread of mpox. This study is dedicated to evaluating the performance of various vaccination and quarantine strategies in curbing the spread of mpox and estimating the outbreak risk. To accomplish this, we constructed a stochastic, agent-based, discrete-time susceptible-latent-infectious-recovered (SLIR) model, to examine mpox transmission on a simulated college campus. Our findings reveal that relying solely on PEP is insufficient in containing mpox effectively. To bolster the population immunity and protect the vulnerable, pre-exposure vaccination among high-risk populations prior to an outbreak is imperative. Our study demonstrates that a pre-exposure vaccination rate of 50% in high-risk populations can led to a remarkable 74.2% reduction of infections. This translated to a mere 1.0% cumulative infection incidence in the overall population. In cases where the desired vaccination coverage is not attainable, enhancing case detection and isolation measures can serve as an effective emergency response to contain mpox outbreaks. For pre-exposure vaccination coverage of 20% or lower, a 40% isolation ratio is necessary to keep the cumulative number of infections in check. However, when the coverage exceeds 30%, a reduced isolation ratio of 20% becomes sufficient to manage the outbreak effectively. These insights underscore the importance of strategic pre-exposure vaccination in conjunction with robust surveillance and isolation protocols to safeguard public health and prevent the escalation of mpox outbreaks.

2.
China CDC Wkly ; 6(15): 305-311, 2024 Apr 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38736994

RESUMEN

What is already known about this topic?: Individuals who initially contract severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lack significant mixed immunity. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor the clinical characteristics and associated factors of these individuals in order to inform policy-making. What is added by this report?: The common symptoms reported were fever, cough, and sore throat. Reinfections and receiving four vaccination doses within a 6-month period were found to be associated with a shorter duration of virus shedding, decreased hospitalization rate, and reduced risk of pneumonia. Individuals aged 60 years and older, as well as those with underlying medical conditions, had a higher risk of developing pneumonia. What are the implication for public health practices?: Online surveys conducted through social media platforms have the potential to complement disease surveillance and data collection efforts. In terms of vaccination prioritization, it is recommended to prioritize older individuals and those with underlying diseases.

3.
Infect Dis Model ; 9(3): 816-827, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38725432

RESUMEN

Background: Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease with a significant global disease burden. Additionally, the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and its related non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have introduced uncertainty to the spread of influenza. However, comparative studies on the performance of innovative models and approaches used for influenza prediction are limited. Therefore, this study aimed to predict the trend of influenza-like illness (ILI) in settings with diverse climate characteristics in China based on sentinel surveillance data using three approaches and evaluate and compare their predictive performance. Methods: The generalized additive model (GAM), deep learning hybrid model based on Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU), and autoregressive moving average-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) model were established to predict the trends of ILI 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-week-ahead in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanxi, Hubei, Chongqing, Guangdong, Hainan, and the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region in China, based on sentinel surveillance data from 2011 to 2019. Three relevant metrics, namely, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and R squared, were calculated to evaluate and compare the goodness of fit and robustness of the three models. Results: Considering the MAPE, RMSE, and R squared values, the ARMA-GARCH model performed best, while the GRU-based deep learning hybrid model exhibited moderate performance and GAM made predictions with the least accuracy in the eight settings in China. Additionally, the models' predictive performance declined as the weeks ahead increased. Furthermore, blocked cross-validation indicated that all models were robust to changes in data and had low risks of overfitting. Conclusions: Our study suggested that the ARMA-GARCH model exhibited the best accuracy in predicting ILI trends in China compared to the GAM and GRU-based deep learning hybrid model. Therefore, in the future, the ARMA-GARCH model may be used to predict ILI trends in public health practice across diverse climatic zones, thereby contributing to influenza control and prevention efforts.

4.
Heliyon ; 10(9): e30432, 2024 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38756589

RESUMEN

To clarify the preferences of employees seeking influenza vaccination, a discrete choice experiment aims to understand the essential factors that close the gap between intention and behavior. A total of 866 employees with vaccination willingness willing to participated in a discrete choice experiment (DCE) between October 31st and December 6th, 2022 in China including the following attributes: price, vaccination setting, appointment mode, and service time. The data was analyzed using mixed logit models. Employees from smaller enterprises were more likely to get vaccinated collectively. For employees willing to get the influenza vaccine, 95.08 % of their choice was dominated by price. Employees' behavior varied according to their socioeconomic characteristics. Only female employees strongly favored work-site-based vaccination. Price was the primary factor considered by employees for getting the influenza vaccine. DCE would help to develop influenza vaccination intervention targeted at different groups in future studies.

6.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(3): e243098, 2024 Mar 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38526493

RESUMEN

Importance: Influenza vaccination rates remain low among primary school students and vary by school in Beijing, China. Theory-informed, multifaceted strategies are needed to improve influenza vaccination uptake. Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of multifaceted strategies in improving influenza vaccination uptake among primary school students. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cluster randomized trial was conducted from September 2022 to May 2023 across primary schools in Beijing, China. Schools were allocated randomly in a 1:1 ratio to multifaceted strategies or usual practice. Schools were deemed eligible if the vaccination rates in the 2019 to 2020 season fell at or below the district-wide average for primary schools. Eligible participants included students in grades 2 and 3 with no medical contraindications for influenza vaccination. Intervention: The multifaceted strategies intervention involved system-level planning and coordination (eg, developing an implementation blueprint, building social norms, and enhancing supervision), school-level training and educating school implementers (eg, conducting a 1-hour training and developing educational materials), and individual-level educating and reminding students and parents (eg, conducting educational activities and sending 4 reminders about vaccination). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were influenza vaccination uptake at school reported by school clinicians as well as overall vaccine uptake either at school or outside of school as reported by parents at 3 months. Generalized linear mixed models were used for analysis. Results: A total of 20 schools were randomized. One intervention school and 2 control schools did not administer vaccination on school grounds due to COVID-19, resulting in a total of 17 schools (9 intervention and 8 control). There was a total of 1691 students aged 7 to 8 years (890 male [52.6%]; 801 female [47.4%]) including 915 in the intervention group and 776 in the control group. Of all participants, 848 (50.1%) were in grade 2, and 1209 (71.5%) were vaccinated in the 2021 to 2022 season. Participants in the intervention and control groups shared similar characteristics. At follow-up, of the 915 students in the intervention group, 679 (74.5%) received a vaccination at school, and of the 776 students in the control group, 556 (71.7%) received a vaccination at school. The overall vaccination rates were 76.0% (695 of 915 students) for the intervention group and 71.3% (553 of 776 students) for the control group. Compared with the control group, there was significant improvement of vaccination uptake at school (odds ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.06-1.85; P = .02) and overall uptake (odds ratio, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.12-1.99; P = .01) for the intervention group. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, multifaceted strategies showed modest effectiveness in improving influenza vaccination uptake among primary school students, which provides a basis for the implementation of school-located vaccination programs of other vaccines in China, and in other countries with comparable programs. Trial registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR2200062449.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Femenino , Masculino , Humanos , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Instituciones Académicas , Vacunación , Estudiantes , Pueblo Asiatico
7.
BMJ Open ; 14(2): e077224, 2024 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38365288

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the healthcare-seeking behaviour and related factors of people with acute respiratory symptoms in the rural areas of central and western China to estimate the disease burden of influenza more accurately. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. SETTINGS: Fifty-two communities/villages in the Wanzhou District, Chongqing, China, a rural area in southwest China, from May 2022 to July 2022. PARTICIPANTS: The participants were those who had been living in Wanzhou District continuously for more than 6 months and consented to participate. OUTCOME MEASURES: A semistructured questionnaire was used to determine the healthcare-seeking behaviour of participants, and the dichotomous response of 'yes' or 'no' was used to assess whether participants had acute respiratory symptoms and their healthcare-seeking behaviour. RESULTS: Only 50.92% (360 of 707) of the patients with acute respiratory infection visited medical and health institutions for treatment, whereas 49.08% (347 of 707) avoided treatment or opted for self-medication. The primary reason for not seeing a doctor was that patients felt their condition was not serious and visiting a medical facility for treatment was unnecessary. Short distance (87.54%) and reasonable charges (49.48%) were ranked as the most important reasons for choosing treatment at primary medical and health facilities (80.27%). The primary reasons for which patients visited secondary and tertiary hospitals (7.78% and 8.61%, respectively) were that doctors in such facilities were better at diagnosis (57.14%) and at treatment (87.10%). CONCLUSION: The findings provided in this study indicated that regular healthcare-seeking behaviour investigations should be conducted. The disease burden of influenza can be calculated more accurately when healthcare-seeking behaviour investigations are combined with surveillance in the hospitals.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/terapia , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/terapia , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/tratamiento farmacológico , Atención a la Salud , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , China/epidemiología , Instituciones de Salud , Centros de Atención Terciaria
8.
Vaccine ; 42(5): 1136-1144, 2024 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38267332

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal Diseases (PDs) remains a serious public health problem around the world and in China. Pneumococcal vaccination is the most cost-effective measure to prevent PDs. In 2021, the government of Weifang City, Shandong Province, China introduced a free dose of domestic 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV 13) to vaccinate registered children aged 6 months-2 years. This study aimed to evaluate the vaccination rate of PCV13 in children aged under 5 years before and after the vaccination program to provide evidences for further improving the prevention and control strategy for PDs. METHODS: We collected data from the children's vaccination information management system in Weifang City and analyzed the PCV13 vaccination coverage and characteristics in all vaccination clinics of Weifang City for children aged under 5 years. We compared the differences in vaccination rates by gender, birth year, manufacturer, and county before and after innovative immunization strategy. RESULTS: Among the included 593,784 children aged under 5 years, the PCV13 vaccination rate in Weifang was generally low before the innovative immunization strategy. Urban children had a higher PCV13 coverage than rural children (P < 0.001), and parents tended to vaccinate their children with imported PCV13.The full vaccination rate for domestic and imported PCV13 was 0.67 % and 1.70 %, respectively. After the vaccination program, the PCV13 coverage of children increased significantly in all counties within Weifang City (P < 0.001), especially for children above 12 months of age. Most parents preferred to vaccinate their children with domestic PCV13, and the full vaccination rate of domestic and imported PCV13 was 6.59 % and 0.16 %, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The vaccination rate of PCV13 in children is still much lower than the global average, posting a severe health challenge that needs to be addressed thoroughly. To improve the prevention and control strategy for PDs, it is recommended to continue to explore other relevant incentives based on the innovative immunization strategy. Furthermore, it is also recommended that China should incorporate PCV13 into the National Immunization Programs (NIP) as soon as possible.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Niño , Humanos , Lactante , Preescolar , Estudios Retrospectivos , Cobertura de Vacunación , Vacunación , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Vacunas Neumococicas , China , Vacunas Conjugadas
10.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 12(1): 110, 2023 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38037092

RESUMEN

The World Health Organization (WHO) prioritizes pneumococcal disease as a vaccine-preventable disease and recommends the inclusion of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) in national immunization programs worldwide. However, PCV is not included in the National Immunization Program in China and has low vaccination coverage due to its high cost. To address this, Weifang City implemented an innovative strategy for a 13-valent PCV (PCV13) on June 1, 2021. This strategy aimed to provide one dose of PCV13 free of charge for children aged 6 months to 2 years in registered households and to adopt a commercial insurance model with one dose of PCV13 free of charge in 2023 for children over 2 years old. The Health Commission of Weifang and other departments conducted a comprehensive investigation and considered various factors, such as vaccine effectiveness, safety, accessibility, vaccine price, and immunization schedules, for eligible children (under 5 years old). Stakeholder opinions were also solicited before implementing the policy. The Commission negotiated with various vaccine manufacturers to maximize its negotiating power and reduce vaccine prices. The implementation plan was introduced under the Healthy Weifang Strategy. Following the implementation of this strategy, the full course of vaccination coverage increased significantly from 0.67 to 6.59%. However, vaccination coverage is still lower than that in developed countries. Weifang's PCV13 vaccination innovative strategy is the first of its kind in Chinese mainland and is an active pilot of non-immunization program vaccination strategies. To further promote PCV13 vaccination, Weifang City should continue to implement this strategy and explore appropriate financing channels. Regions with higher levels of economic development can innovate the implementation of vaccine programs, broaden financing channels, improve accessibility to vaccination services, and advocate for more localities to incorporate PCV13 into locally expanded immunization programs or people-benefiting projects. A monitoring and evaluation system should also be established to evaluate implementation effects.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas , Niño , Humanos , Lactante , Preescolar , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Vacunación , Vacunas Neumococicas , Programas de Inmunización , Vacunas Conjugadas , China
11.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 19(3): 2289250, 2023 Dec 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38111955

RESUMEN

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination service system lacks standardized indicators to assess resource allocation. Moreover, data on specific vaccination-promoting measures is limited. This study aimed to evaluate vaccination accessibility and capacity and investigate convenience-related factors in China during the Omicron variant epidemic. We collected information on SARS-CoV-2 vaccination services among vaccination sites in Beijing. Analysis was performed using nearest neighbor, Ripley's K, hot spot analysis, and generalized estimating equations. Overall, 299 vaccination sites were included. The demand for the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine increased with the increase in daily new cases, and the number of staff administering vaccines should be increased in urban areas at the beginning of the epidemic. Providing vaccination for both children and adults, extending vaccination service hours, and offering a wider range of vaccine categories significantly increased the doses of vaccines administered (all P < .05). The provision of mobile vaccination vehicles effectively increased the doses of vaccines administered to individuals aged ≥ 60 years (P < .05). The allocation of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination services should be adjusted according to geographic location, population size, and vaccination demands. Simultaneous provision of vaccination services for children and their guardians, flexible service hours, prompt innovative vaccine production, and tailored vaccination strategies can foster vaccination uptake.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Adulto , Niño , Humanos , Beijing/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , China/epidemiología , Vacunación
12.
China CDC Wkly ; 5(42): 948-951, 2023 Oct 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38026098

RESUMEN

In recent decades, China has experienced significant alterations in its landscape of infectious diseases, with noteworthy reductions in historically prevalent illnesses such as tuberculosis and viral hepatitis. At the same time, emerging pathogens like severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), Influenza A virus subtype H7N9 (H7N9), and SARS coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pose new challenges. These epidemiological shifts, fueled by fast economic development, urbanization, modifications in the healthcare system, and an aging population, present considerable obstacles to the country's public health infrastructure and policy frameworks. This article provides a comprehensive review of these changes, underscoring the driving forces behind them and the resultant impact on health policy and infrastructure. It stresses the challenges and calls for an intensification of surveillance efforts, the establishment of collaborative partnerships both nationally and internationally, the encouragement of worldwide cooperation, and the reinforcement of public health education as pivotal strategies for managing China's changing spectrum of infectious diseases.

13.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 763, 2023 Nov 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37932657

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Common air pollutants such as ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and particulate matter play significant roles as influential factors in influenza-like illness (ILI). However, evidence regarding the impact of O3 on influenza transmissibility in multi-subtropical regions is limited, and our understanding of the effects of O3 on influenza transmissibility in temperate regions remain unknown. METHODS: We studied the transmissibility of influenza in eight provinces across both temperate and subtropical regions in China based on 2013 to 2018 provincial-level surveillance data on influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence and viral activity. We estimated influenza transmissibility by using the instantaneous reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) and examined the relationships between transmissibility and daily O3 concentrations, air temperature, humidity, and school holidays. We developed a multivariable regression model for [Formula: see text] to quantify the contribution of O3 to variations in transmissibility. RESULTS: Our findings revealed a significant association between O3 and influenza transmissibility. In Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Jiangsu, the association exhibited a U-shaped trend. In Liaoning, Gansu, Hunan, and Guangdong, the association was L-shaped. When aggregating data across all eight provinces, a U-shaped association was emerged. O3 was able to accounted for up to 13% of the variance in [Formula: see text]. O3 plus other environmental drivers including mean daily temperature, relative humidity, absolute humidity, and school holidays explained up to 20% of the variance in [Formula: see text]. CONCLUSIONS: O3 was a significant driver of influenza transmissibility, and the association between O3 and influenza transmissibility tended to display a U-shaped pattern.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Gripe Humana , Ozono , Humanos , Ozono/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , China/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis
14.
J Med Internet Res ; 25: e45085, 2023 10 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37847532

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Influenza outbreaks pose a significant threat to global public health. Traditional surveillance systems and simple algorithms often struggle to predict influenza outbreaks in an accurate and timely manner. Big data and modern technology have offered new modalities for disease surveillance and prediction. Influenza-like illness can serve as a valuable surveillance tool for emerging respiratory infectious diseases like influenza and COVID-19, especially when reported case data may not fully reflect the actual epidemic curve. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop a predictive model for influenza outbreaks by combining Baidu search query data with traditional virological surveillance data. The goal was to improve early detection and preparedness for influenza outbreaks in both northern and southern China, providing evidence for supplementing modern intelligence epidemic surveillance methods. METHODS: We collected virological data from the National Influenza Surveillance Network and Baidu search query data from January 2011 to July 2018, totaling 3,691,865 and 1,563,361 respective samples. Relevant search terms related to influenza were identified and analyzed for their correlation with influenza-positive rates using Pearson correlation analysis. A distributed lag nonlinear model was used to assess the lag correlation of the search terms with influenza activity. Subsequently, a predictive model based on the gated recurrent unit and multiple attention mechanisms was developed to forecast the influenza-positive trend. RESULTS: This study revealed a high correlation between specific Baidu search terms and influenza-positive rates in both northern and southern China, except for 1 term. The search terms were categorized into 4 groups: essential facts on influenza, influenza symptoms, influenza treatment and medicine, and influenza prevention, all of which showed correlation with the influenza-positive rate. The influenza prevention and influenza symptom groups had a lag correlation of 1.4-3.2 and 5.0-8.0 days, respectively. The Baidu search terms could help predict the influenza-positive rate 14-22 days in advance in southern China but interfered with influenza surveillance in northern China. CONCLUSIONS: Complementing traditional disease surveillance systems with information from web-based data sources can aid in detecting warning signs of influenza outbreaks earlier. However, supplementation of modern surveillance with search engine information should be approached cautiously. This approach provides valuable insights for digital epidemiology and has the potential for broader application in respiratory infectious disease surveillance. Further research should explore the optimization and customization of search terms for different regions and languages to improve the accuracy of influenza prediction models.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Aprendizaje Profundo , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Motor de Búsqueda , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , China/epidemiología
15.
J Med Virol ; 95(10): e29186, 2023 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37855656

RESUMEN

To the best of our knowledge, no previous study has quantitatively estimated the dynamics and cumulative susceptibility to influenza infections after the widespread lifting of COVID-19 public health measures. We constructed an imitated stochastic susceptible-infected-removed model using particle-filtered Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling to estimate the time-dependent reproduction number of influenza based on influenza surveillance data in southern China, northern China, and the United States during the 2022-2023 season. We compared these estimates to those from 2011 to 2019 seasons without strong social distancing interventions to determine cumulative susceptibility during COVID-19 restrictions. Compared to the 2011-2019 seasons without a strong intervention with social measures, the 2022-2023 influenza season length was 45.0%, 47.1%, and 57.1% shorter in southern China, northern China, and the United States, respectively, corresponding to an 140.1%, 74.8%, and 50.9% increase in scale of influenza infections, and a 60.3%, 72.9%, and 45.1% increase in population susceptibility to influenza. Large and high-intensity influenza epidemics occurred in China and the United States in 2022-2023. Population susceptibility increased in 2019-2022, especially in China. We recommend promoting influenza vaccination, taking personal prevention actions on at-risk populations, and monitoring changes in the dynamic levels of influenza and other respiratory infections to prevent potential outbreaks in the coming influenza season.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estaciones del Año , Pandemias , China/epidemiología
16.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 19(3): 2272539, 2023 12 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37905961

RESUMEN

Governments must decide which vaccine priority to include in their public health programs. Using the modified Delphi and entropy method, we developed an indicator framework for vaccine inclusion at the national, provincial, municipal, and district/county levels, each containing three dimensions. In total, 4 primary indicators, 17 secondary indicators, and 45 tertiary indicators were selected, covering vaccine-preventable diseases, candidate vaccines, and social drivers of the supply and demand sides. From a subjective perspective, there was no significant weighting difference in the primary and secondary indicators at all administrative levels. "Vaccine-preventable diseases" as a primary indicator had the greatest weight in the peer group, of which "Health burden" had the highest weight among the secondary indicators. From the objective perspective, the social drivers on the supply and demand sides of the primary indicators accounted for 65% and higher. Among the secondary indicators, "the characteristics of the candidate vaccine" and "vaccine-related policies on the supply side" held 8% of weights or more at both national and provincial levels. "Demographic characteristics" held the highest weight at the municipal (13.50) and district/county (15.45) level. This study indicates that China needs different considerations when using WHO-recommended vaccines at the national, provincial, municipal, and district/county levels. In addition, this study highlights that behavioral and social drivers are important indicators that need to be considered for decision-making. This framework provides a tool for policymakers to determine the inclusion priority of candidate vaccines.


Asunto(s)
Salud Pública , Vacunas , Entropía , China , Programas de Inmunización
18.
China CDC Wkly ; 5(34): 745-750, 2023 Aug 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37692759

RESUMEN

What is already known about this topic?: Meningitis, a life-threatening disease, presents a significant public health challenge. Its rate of progress in burden reduction notably lags behind other diseases that can be prevented through vaccination. What is added by this report?: This research explored the changes in the mortality rate of meningitis in China over a span of 35 years. The study further identified the effects of age, period, and cohort on the mortality trends. What are the implications for public health practice?: In the context of minimal disparities between urban and rural settings, it is crucial to focus on and implement targeted prevention programs for meningitis within the infant population.

19.
World J Pediatr ; 19(11): 1030-1040, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37531038

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in infants is a global health priority. We aimed to investigate the common manifestations of RSV infection by age group and human development index (HDI) level and to assess its association with the development of wheezing and recurrent wheezing illness. METHODS: We searched the literature published between January 1, 2010 and June 2, 2022 in seven databases. Outcomes included common manifestations and long-term respiratory outcomes of RSV infection in children. Random- and fixed-effect models were used to estimate the effect size and their 95% confidence intervals. Subgroup analysis was conducted by age and HDI levels. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022379401). RESULTS: The meta-analysis included 47 studies. The top five manifestations were cough (92%), nasal congestion (58%), rhinorrhea (53%), shortness of breath (50%), and dyspnea (47%). The clinical symptoms were most severe in infants. In our analysis, compared to very high and high HDI countries, fewer studies in medium HDI countries reported related manifestations, and no study in low HDI countries reported that. The RSV-infected infants were more likely to develop wheezing than the non-infected infants [odds ratio (OR), 3.12; 95% CI, 2.59-3.76] and had a higher risk of developing wheezing illnesses after recovery (OR, 2.60; 95% CI, 2.51-2.70). CONCLUSIONS: Cough and shortness of breath are common manifestations of RSV infection. More attention should be given to infants and areas with low HDI levels. The current findings confirm an association between RSV infection and wheezing or recurrent wheezing illness.

20.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 17(7): e13177, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37492239

RESUMEN

Background: The impact of exposure to ambient pollutants on influenza transmissibility is poorly understood. We aim to examine the associations of six ambient pollutants with influenza transmissibility in China and assess the effect of the depletion of susceptibles. Methods: Provincial-level surveillance data on weekly influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence and viral activity were utilized to estimate the instantaneous reproduction number (Rt) using spline functions. Log-linear regression and the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) were employed to investigate the effects of ambient pollutants-ozone (O3), particulate matter ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5), particulate matter ≤10 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and carbon monoxide (CO)-on influenza transmissibility across 30 Chinese provinces from 2014 to 2019. Additionally, the potential effects of the depletion of susceptibles and regional characteristics were explored. Results: There is a significantly positive correlation between influenza transmissibility and five distinct ambient pollutants: PM2.5, PM10, SO2, CO, and NO2. On average, these ambient pollutants explained percentages of the variance in Rt: 0.8%, 0.8%, 1.9%, 1.3%, and 1.4%, respectively. Conversely, O3 was found to be negatively associated with Rt, explaining 1.5% of the variance in Rt. When controlling for the effect of susceptibles depletion, the effects of all pollutants were more pronounced. The effects of PM2.5, PM10, CO, and SO2 were higher in the eastern and southern regions. Conclusions: Most ambient pollutants may potentially contribute to the facilitation of human-to-human influenza virus transmission in China. This observed association was maintained even after adjusting for variation in the susceptible population.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Ambientales , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , China/epidemiología , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis
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