RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: According to the hypothesis of Gluckman and Hanson, mismatch between the developmental and postdevelopmental environments may lead to detrimental health impacts such as obesity. While several animal studies support the mismatch theory, there is a scarcity of evidence from human-based studies. OBJECTIVES: Our study aims to examine whether a mismatch between the developmental and young-adult environments affect obesity in young adults of the Jerusalem Perinatal Family Follow-Up Study. METHODS: Data from The Jerusalem Perinatal Family Follow-Up Study birth cohort was used to characterize early and late environments using offspring and parental sociodemographic and lifestyle information at birth, age 32 (n = 1140) and 42 (n = 404). Scores characterizing the early and late environments were constructed using factor analysis. To assess associations of mismatch with obesity, regression models were fitted using the first factor of each environment and adiposity measures at age 32 and 42. RESULTS: Having a stable non-beneficial environment at birth and young-adulthood was most strongly associated with increased adiposity, while a stable beneficial environment was most favorable. The transition from a beneficial environment at birth to a less beneficial environment at young-adulthood was associated with higher obesity measures, including higher BMI (ß = 0.979; 95% CI: 0.029, 1.929), waist circumference (ß = 2.729; 95% CI: 0.317, 5.140) and waist-hip ratio (ß = 0.017; 95% CI: 0.004, 0.029) compared with those experiencing a beneficial environment at both time points. Transition from a less beneficial environment at birth to a beneficial environment at adulthood was also associated with higher obesity measurements (BMI -ß = 1.116; 95% CI: 0.085, 2.148; waist circumference -ß = 2.736; 95% CI: 0.215, 5.256). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides some support for the mismatch hypothesis. While there is indication that an accumulation of the effects of the non-beneficial environment has the strongest detrimental impact on obesity outcomes, our results also indicate that a mismatch between the developmental and later environments may result in maladaptation of the individual leading to obesity.
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Obesidad/epidemiología , Medio Social , Adulto , Evolución Biológica , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Israel , Masculino , PadresRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Several stages in the life course have been identified as important to the development of cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to assess the associations of childhood and adulthood socioeconomic position (SEP) and social mobility with cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRs) later in life. METHODS: We conducted follow-up examinations of 1132 offspring, aged 32, within a population-based cohort of all births in Jerusalem from 1974 to 1976. SEP was indicated by parents' occupation and education, and adulthood SEP was based on offspring's occupation and education recorded at age 32. Linear regression models were used to investigate the associations of SEP and social mobility with CMRs. RESULTS: Childhood-occupational SEP was negatively associated with body mass index (BMI; ß=-0.29, p=0.031), fat percentage (fat%; ß=-0.58, p=0.005), insulin (ß=-0.01, p=0.031), triglycerides (ß=-0.02, p=0.024) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C; ß=-1.91, p=0.015), independent of adulthood SEP. Adulthood-occupational SEP was negatively associated with waist-to-hip ratio (WHR; ß=-0.01, p=0.002), and positively with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C; ß=0.87, p=0.030). Results remained similar after adjustment for smoking and inactivity. Childhood-educational SEP was associated with decreased WHR and LDL-C level (p=0.0002), and adulthood-educational SEP was inversely associated with BMI (p=0.001), waist circumference (p=0.008), WHR (p=0.001) and fat% (p=0.0002) and positively associated with HDL-C (p=0.030). Additionally, social mobility (mainly upward) was shown to have adverse cardiometabolic outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Both childhood and adulthood SEP contribute independently to CMR. The match-mismatch hypothesis may explain the elevated CMRs among participants experiencing social mobility. Identification of life-course SEP-related aspects that translate into social inequality in cardiovascular risk may facilitate efforts for improving health and for reducing disparities in cardiovascular disease.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Clase Social , Movilidad Social , Adolescente , Adulto , Antropometría , Niño , Escolaridad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Israel/epidemiología , Estilo de Vida , Masculino , Ocupaciones , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
AIMS: Over 75% of obese subjects fail to maintain their weight following weight loss interventions. We aimed to identify phenotypic and genetic markers associated with weight maintenance/regain following a dietary intervention. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: In the 2-year Dietary Intervention Randomized Controlled Trial, we assessed potential predictors for weight changes during the 'weight loss phase' (0-6 months) and the 'weight maintenance/regain phase' (7-24 months). Genetic variation between study participants was studied using single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the leptin gene (LEP). RESULTS: Mean weight reduction was -5.5% after 6 months, with a mean weight regain of 1.2% of baseline weight during the subsequent 7-24 months. In a multivariate regression model, higher baseline high-molecular-weight adiponectin was the only biomarker predictor of greater success in 0- to 6-month weight loss (ß = -0.222, P-value = 0.044). In a multivariate regression model adjusted for 6-month changes in weight and various biomarkers, 6-month plasma leptin reduction exhibited the strongest positive association with 6-month weight loss (ß = 0.505, P-value < 0.001). Conversely, 6-month plasma leptin reduction independently predicted weight regain during the following 18 months (ß = -0.131, P-value < 0.013). Weight regain was higher among participants who had a greater (top tertiles) 6-month decrease in both weight and leptin (+3.4% (95% confidence interval 2.1-4.8)) as compared with those in the lowest combined tertiles (+0.2% (95% confidence interval -1.1 to 1.4)); P-value < 0.001. Weight regain was further significantly and independently associated with genetic variations in LEP (P = 0.006 for both rs4731426 and rs2071045). Adding genetic data to the phenotypic multivariate model increased its predictive value for weight regain by 34%. CONCLUSION: Although greater reduction in leptin concentrations during the initial phase of a dietary intervention is associated with greater weight loss in the short term, plasma leptin reduction, combined with the degree of initial weight loss and with genetic variations in the LEP gene, constitutes a significant predictor of subsequent long-term weight regain.
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Leptina/genética , Obesidad/genética , Aumento de Peso/genética , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Índice de Masa Corporal , Dieta Reductora/métodos , Femenino , Variación Genética , Humanos , Leptina/sangre , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Obesidad/metabolismo , Fenotipo , Aumento de Peso/fisiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This study examines the predictors of long-term all-causes mortality (ACM) in Australian senior citizens. METHODS: We have analysed ACM in a cohort of 2805 citizens, 1233 men and 1572 women aged ≥60 years, first examined in 1988 and followed for 20 years. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for ACM were obtained from Cox models employing conventional predictors. RESULTS: Over 20 years 66% of men (815/1233) and 53% of women (833/1572) died. Constant proportional hazard over the 20 years was demonstrated for all predictors, indicating similar relative hazard of ACM during long-term or short-term follow up. There was significant prediction of ACM by current smoking (hazard ratio 1.96, 95% confidence interval 1.57-2.43 in men; 1.67, 1.32-2.10 in women), high blood pressure (1.37, 1.03-1.81; 1.41, 1.07-1.86), diabetes (1.46, 1.17-1.82; 1.83, 1.43-2.34), impaired peak expiratory flow (1.39, 1.15-1.69; 1.80, 1.47-2.21), coronary heart disease at study entry in men (1.33, 1.13-1.57), physical disability (1.38, 1.13-1.68; 1.45, 1.17-1.79) and alcohol intake (0.82, 0.69-0.97; 0.77, 0.66-0.89 respectively). ACM was not significantly predicted by standard lipid parameters. Over the 20-year period smoking was associated with reduced survival of 41 months in men and 25 months in women, hypertension with reduced survival of 20 and 17 months, and diabetes with reduced survival of 24 and 30 months respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The findings confirm the contribution of cigarette smoking, hypertension and diabetes to ACM in senior citizens, conditions that are potentially amenable to intervention.
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Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidad , Hipertensión/mortalidad , Fumar/mortalidad , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nueva Gales del Sur/epidemiología , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
CONTEXT: The role of endogenous androgens and SHBG in the development of cardiovascular disease in young adult women is unclear. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to study the prospective association of serum androgens and SHBG with subclinical coronary and carotid disease among young to middle-aged women. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was an ancillary study to the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, a population-based multicenter cohort study with 20 yr of follow-up. PARTICIPANTS: Participants included 1629 women with measurements of serum testosterone and SHBG from yr 2, 10, or 16 and subclinical disease assessment at yr 20 (ages 37-52 yr). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Coronary artery calcified plaques (CAC) and carotid artery intima-media thickness (IMT) were assessed at yr 20. The IMT measure incorporated the common carotid arteries, bifurcations, and internal carotid arteries. RESULTS: SHBG (mean of yr 2, 10, and 16) was inversely associated with the presence of CAC (multivariable adjusted odds ratio for women with SHBG levels above the median = 0.59; 95% confidence interval = 0.40-0.87; P = 0.008). SHBG was also inversely associated with the highest quartile of carotid-IMT (odds ratio for women with SHBG levels in the highest quartile = 0.56; 95% confidence interval = 0.37-0.84; P for linear trend across quartiles = 0.005). No associations were observed for total or free testosterone with either CAC or IMT. CONCLUSION: SHBG levels were inversely associated with subclinical cardiovascular disease in young to middle-aged women. The extent to which low SHBG is a risk marker or has its own independent effects on atherosclerosis is yet to be determined.
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Andrógenos/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Globulina de Unión a Hormona Sexual/análisis , Adolescente , Adulto , Calcinosis/sangre , Calcinosis/patología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Estudios de Cohortes , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/sangre , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/patología , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Some forms of epigenetic abnormalities transmitted to offspring are manifested in differences in disease incidence that depend on parent-of-origin. To explore whether such phenomena might operate in schizophrenia spectrum disorders, we estimated the relative incidence of these conditions in relation to parent-of-origin by considering the two grandfathers' countries of birth. In a prospective cohort of 88,829 offspring, born in Jerusalem in 1964-76 we identified 637 cases through Israel's psychiatric registry. Relative risks (RR) were estimated for paternal and maternal grandfathers' countries of birth using proportional hazards methods, controlling for parents' ages, low social class and duration of marriage. After adjusting for multiple observations, we found no significant differences between descendants of maternal or paternal grandfathers born in Iraq, Iran, Turkey, Syria, Yemen, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya/Egypt, Poland, USSR, Czechoslovakia, Germany or the USA. Those with paternal grandfathers from Romania (RR=1.9, 95% CI=1.3-2.8) or Hungary (1.6, 1.0-2.6) showed an increased incidence; however, those with maternal grandfathers from these countries experienced reduced incidence (RR=0.5, 0.3-0.8 and 0.4, 0.2-0.8). In post-hoc analyses we found that results were similar whether the comparison groups were restricted to descendants of other Europeans or included those from Western Asia and North Africa; and effects of paternal grandfathers from Romania/Hungary were more pronounced in females, while effects of maternal grandfathers from these countries were similar in males and females. These post-hoc "hypothesis-generating" findings lead one to question whether some families with ancestors in Romania or Hungary might carry a variant or mutation at a parentally imprinted locus that is altering susceptibility to schizophrenia. Such a locus, if it exists, might involve the X chromosome.
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Salud de la Familia , Padres , Dinámica Poblacional , Riesgo , Esquizofrenia/epidemiología , Esquizofrenia/genética , Factores de Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Consanguinidad , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Internacionalidad , Israel/epidemiología , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores SocioeconómicosRESUMEN
Uncertainty continues as to whether treatments for ovulation induction are associated with increased risk of cancer. The authors conducted a long-term population-based historical cohort study of parous women. A total of 15,030 women in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study who gave birth in 1974-1976 participated in a postpartum survey. Cancer incidence through 2004 was analyzed using Cox's proportional hazards models, controlling for age and other covariates. Women who used drugs to induce ovulation (n = 567) had increased risks of cancer at any site (multivariate hazard ratio (HR) = 1.36, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.74). An increased risk of uterine cancer was found among women treated with ovulation-inducing agents (HR = 3.39, 95% CI: 1.28, 8.97), specifically clomiphene (HR = 4.56, 95% CI: 1.56, 13.34). No association was noted between use of ovulation-inducing agents and ovarian cancer (age-adjusted HR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.08, 4.42). Ovulation induction was associated with a borderline-significant increased risk of breast cancer (multivariate HR = 1.42, 95% CI: 0.99, 2.05). Increased risks were also observed for malignant melanoma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. These associations appeared stronger among women who waited more than 1 year to conceive. Additional follow-up studies assessing these associations by drug type, dosage, and duration are needed.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Linfoma no Hodgkin/epidemiología , Melanoma/epidemiología , Neoplasias Ováricas/epidemiología , Inducción de la Ovulación/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias Cutáneas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Uterinas/epidemiología , Adulto , Neoplasias de la Mama/etiología , Causalidad , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Israel/epidemiología , Linfoma no Hodgkin/etiología , Melanoma/etiología , Neoplasias Ováricas/etiología , Inducción de la Ovulación/efectos adversos , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Medición de Riesgo , Neoplasias Cutáneas/etiología , Neoplasias Uterinas/etiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether incidence of twin deliveries is related to father's age, independently of mother's age, and whether it differs for same-sex or opposite-sex twin sets. STUDY DESIGN: In a program of research on effects of paternal age, this study used data from a prospective cohort of 92,408 offspring born in Jerusalem from 1964 to 1976. Of the 91,253 deliveries in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study, 1115 were twin deliveries. The data were analyzed with General Estimate Equations to inform unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS: After controlling for maternal age, odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) associated with father's ages 25-34 and 35+ were 1.3 (1.1, 1.7) and 1.5 (1.2, 2.1) respectively, compared with fathers <25 years old. The effect of maternal age was partly explained by paternal age. The ORs for opposite-sex twin sets and male-male twin sets increased slightly with paternal age, while the OR for same-sex and female-female twin decreased. CONCLUSION: Studies of twins are used to estimate effects of genes and environment in a variety of diseases. Our findings highlight the need to consider paternal as well as maternal age when analyzing data on twins to explore etiology of diseases.
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Edad Paterna , Gemelos , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Israel/epidemiología , Masculino , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos , Gemelos DicigóticosRESUMEN
UNLABELLED: Schizophrenia has been linked with intrauterine exposure to maternal stress due to bereavement, famine and major disasters. Recent evidence suggests that human vulnerability may be greatest in the first trimester of gestation and rodent experiments suggest sex specificity. We aimed to describe the consequence of an acute maternal stress, through a follow-up of offspring whose mothers were pregnant during the Arab-Israeli war of 1967. A priori, we focused on gestational month and offspring's sex. METHOD: In a pilot study linking birth records to Israel's Psychiatric Registry, we analyzed data from a cohort of 88,829 born in Jerusalem in 1964-76. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate the relative risk (RR) of schizophrenia, according to month of birth, gender and other variables, while controlling for father's age and other potential confounders. Other causes of hospitalized psychiatric morbidity (grouped together) were analyzed for comparison. RESULTS: There was a raised incidence of schizophrenia for those who were in the second month of fetal life in June 1967 (RR = 2.3, 1.1-4.7), seen more in females (4.3, 1.7-10.7) than in males (1.2, 0.4-3.8). Results were not explained by secular or seasonal variations, altered birth weight or gestational age. For other conditions, RRs were increased in offspring who had been in the third month of fetal life in June 1967 (2.5, 1.2-5.2), also seen more in females (3.6, 1.3-9.7) than males (1.8, 0.6-5.2). CONCLUSION: These findings add to a growing literature, in experimental animals and humans, attributing long term consequences for offspring of maternal gestational stress. They suggest both a sex-specificity and a relatively short gestational time-window for gestational effects on vulnerability to schizophrenia.
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Madres/psicología , Madres/estadística & datos numéricos , Esquizofrenia/epidemiología , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático/epidemiología , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático/psicología , Enfermedad Aguda , Niño , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Israel/epidemiología , Masculino , Proyectos Piloto , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores SexualesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Twins are exposed to intrauterine environments that differ significantly from those of singletons. These diverse environments might alter the risk for schizophrenia in twins and make it difficult to generalize from findings in twins when studying the risk of schizophrenia in the general population. Previous studies report contradictory findings on the risk for schizophrenia in twins. METHODS: We studied the incidence of schizophrenia spectrum disorders, ascertained from Israel's National Psychiatric Registry, in a cohort of 2124 twins and 87,955 singletons. These offspring were followed from their birth in 1964-76 in the Jerusalem Perinatal study. Cox proportional hazards methods were used to compare outcomes over 28-41 years, adjusting for ages of parents. RESULTS: Twins showed a relative risk [RR] of .84 relative to singletons, with a 95% confidence interval [CI] of (.51-1.4). RRs and CIs for males and females were .68 [.34-1.4] and 1.1 [.55-2.2] respectively. Twins in male-male, female-female or opposite-sex sets showed no significant variation in RRs; furthermore, first- or second-born twins did not differ significantly from each other. Siblings of twins had the same risk of schizophrenia as siblings of singletons. CONCLUSION: Twins have the same risk for schizophrenia as the general population.
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Enfermedades en Gemelos/epidemiología , Esquizofrenia/epidemiología , Adulto , Orden de Nacimiento , Peso al Nacer , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Incidencia , Israel/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Edad Materna , Edad Paterna , Embarazo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Esquizofrenia/genética , Gemelos Dicigóticos , Gemelos MonocigóticosRESUMEN
Although Cholesteryl Ester Transfer Protein (CETP) mediates the transfer of cholesteryl esters and triglycerides between lipoprotein particles and thus plays a crucial role in reverse cholesterol transport, the association of variations in the CETP gene with acute myocardial infarction (MI) remains unclear. In this study we examined whether common genetic variation in the CETP gene is related to early-onset non-fatal MI risk in a population-based case-control study from western Washington State. Genotyping for the CETP -2708 G/A, -971 A/G, -629 A/C, Intron-I TaqI G/A and exon-14 A/G (I405V) SNPs was performed in 578 cases with first acute non-fatal MI and in 666 demographically similar controls, free of clinical cardiovascular disease, identified randomly from the community. In-person interviews and non-fasting blood specimens provided data on coronary heart disease risk factors. In men, there was little evidence for an association between single SNPs and MI risk, but in women the age- and race-adjusted OR was found to be significant in 4 out of the 5 CETP single variants. Haplotype analysis revealed two haplotypes associated with MI risk among men. As compared to men homozygous for the most common haplotype D (-2708 G, -971 G, -629 C, TaqI G and exon-14 A), the fully-adjusted multiplicative model identified haplotype G (-2708 G, -971 A, -629 A, TaqI G and exon-14 G) was associated with a 4.0-6.0-fold increased risk of MI for each additional copy; [95%CI 2.4-14.8] and haplotype B (-2708 G, -971 G, -629 A, TaqI A and exon-14 A) showed a significant decreased risk for early onset MI [OR = 0.18; 95%CI 0.04 - 0.75]. An evolutionary-based haplotype analysis indicated that the two haplotypes associated with the MI risk are most evolutionarily divergent from the other haplotypes. Variation at the CETP gene locus is associated with the risk of early-onset non-fatal MI. This association was found to be independent of HDL-C levels. These data and the sex-specific findings require confirmation in other populations.
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Proteínas de Transferencia de Ésteres de Colesterol/genética , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Infarto del Miocardio/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Femenino , Haplotipos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Washingtón/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: While parental consanguinity is known to increase the risk of birth defects in offspring, it is hard to quantify this risk in populations where consanguinity is prevalent. METHODS: To support ongoing studies of cancer and of psychiatric disease, we studied relationships of consanguinity to 1,053 major birth defects in 29,815 offspring, born in 1964-1976. To adjust for confounding variables (geographic origin, social class and hospital), we constructed logistic regression models, using GEE to take into account correlations between sibs. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence limits were estimated in comparison to a reference group of offspring with grandfathers born in different countries. RESULTS: With 10.1% of offspring having consanguineous parents, the adjusted OR for major birth defect was 1.41 (1.12-1.74). Offspring of marriages between uncles-nieces, first cousins and more distant relatives showed adjusted ORs of 2.36 (0.98-5.68), 1.59 (1.22-2.07) and 1.20 (0.89-1.59) respectively. For descendents of grandfathers born in the same country, but not known to be related, the OR was 1.05 (0.91-1.21); these showed increased risk associated with ancestries in Western Asia (1.27, 1.04-1.55, p < 0.02) or Europe (1.13, 0.79-1.80). CONCLUSIONS: A strong association of consanguinity with poverty and low education points to the need to avoid exposure to environmental hazards in these families.
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Anomalías Congénitas/etiología , Consanguinidad , Estudios de Cohortes , Israel , Oportunidad Relativa , Análisis de RegresiónRESUMEN
Gestational diabetes is becoming increasingly common; it is important to determine how it relates to future risk of disease. We investigated the relation of gestational diabetes to breast cancer in 37,926 women who had one or more live births in 1964-1976 for whom information had been collected on complications of pregnancy. In this cohort there were 1,626 cases of breast cancer reported to the Israel Cancer Registry before January 1, 2005 and 410 cases of gestational diabetes recorded from birth records. There were 29 cases of breast cancer among women diagnosed with gestational diabetes. Using Cox proportional hazards models to control for age and birth order at the first observed birth and other characteristics, we found that the incidence of breast cancer was increased among women diagnosed with gestational diabetes (relative rate = 1.5, 95% confidence interval 1.0-2.1). This effect was seen only among women 50 years and older (relative rate 1.7, 95% confidence interval 1.1-2.5) but not among women <50 (relative rate = 1.0, 95% confidence interval 0.5-2.1). The findings suggest that gestational diabetes may be an important early marker of breast cancer risk among post-menopausal women, but these results need to be confirmed in future studies.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiología , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Israel , Persona de Mediana Edad , Embarazo , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Many long-term prospective studies have reported on associations of cardiovascular diseases with circulating lipid markers and/or inflammatory markers. Studies have not, however, generally been designed to provide reliable estimates under different circumstances and to correct for within-person variability. The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration has established a central database on over 1.1 million participants from 104 prospective population-based studies, in which subsets have information on lipid and inflammatory markers, other characteristics, as well as major cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information on repeat measurements on relevant characteristics has been collected in approximately 340,000 participants to enable estimation of and correction for within-person variability. Re-analysis of individual data will yield up to approximately 69,000 incident fatal or nonfatal first ever major cardiovascular outcomes recorded during about 11.7 million person years at risk. The primary analyses will involve age-specific regression models in people without known baseline cardiovascular disease in relation to fatal or nonfatal first ever coronary heart disease outcomes. This initiative will characterize more precisely and in greater detail than has previously been possible the shape and strength of the age- and sex-specific associations of several lipid and inflammatory markers with incident coronary heart disease outcomes (and, secondarily, with other incident cardiovascular outcomes) under a wide range of circumstances. It will, therefore, help to determine to what extent such associations are independent from possible confounding factors and to what extent such markers (separately and in combination) provide incremental predictive value.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Lípidos/sangre , Albúminas/metabolismo , Biomarcadores/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Bases de Datos Factuales , Asia Oriental/epidemiología , Humanos , Inflamación/sangre , Recuento de Leucocitos , Lipoproteínas HDL/sangre , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Triglicéridos/sangreRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Diabetes is known to be associated with cancer of the pancreas, though there is some debate as to whether it is a cause or a consequence of the disease. We investigated the incidence of pancreatic cancer in a cohort of 37926 Israeli women followed for 28-40 years for whom information on diabetes had been collected at the time they gave birth, in 1964-1976, in Jerusalem. There were 54 cases of pancreatic cancer ascertained from the Israel Cancer Registry during follow-up. METHODS: We used Cox proportional hazards models to adjust for age at baseline and explore effects of other risk factors, including ethnic groups, preeclampsia, birth order and birth weight of offspring. RESULTS: We observed no cases of pancreatic cancer in the women with insulin dependent diabetes; however, there were five cases in the women with gestational diabetes. The interval between the record of diabetes in pregnancy and the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer ranged from 14-35 years. Women with a history of gestational diabetes showed a relative risk of pancreatic cancer of 7.1 (95% confidence interval, 2.8-18.0). CONCLUSION: We conclude that gestational diabetes is strongly related to the risk of cancer of the pancreas in women in this population, and that gestational diabetes can precede cancer diagnosis by many years.
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Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiología , Adulto , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Incidencia , Israel/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/etiología , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Little is known of the causes of prostate cancer and few previous studies have investigated men's reproductive histories in relation to this disease. We sought to determine whether risk of prostate cancer was altered in men who had fathered stillborn offspring. METHODS: We studied the incidence of prostate cancer (N = 252) in a cohort of 15,268 fathers followed for 28-41 years from the birth of a live offspring, whose wives participated in one of two separate surveys of outcomes of previous births. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate relative risks (RR) associated with previous stillbirths, controlling for changes in incidence over time, social and occupational factors. RESULTS: The 543 men with one or more stillborn offspring experienced an increased risk of prostate cancer (adjusted RR = 1.87, 95% confidence interval = 1.17-3.00, P = 0.0095), compared to men without stillbirths. With one reported stillbirth, the RR was 1.68 (0.99-2.84); with two or more, the RR was 3.29 (1.22-8.88). Results were consistent in men whose wives were interviewed in 1965-1968 and 1974-1976. In 100 fathers with no male offspring and at least one stillbirth the RR was 4.04 (1.87-8.71, P = 0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: These findings should be considered hypothesis-generating and require confirmation in other studies. They suggest that stillbirth and prostate cancer may have shared environmental causes; alternatively, genetic susceptibility to prostate cancer might increase the risk of a stillbirth in offspring.
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Muerte Fetal/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Próstata/epidemiología , Adulto , Edad de Inicio , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Israel/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Embarazo , RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influence of paternal age upon spontaneous abortion. METHODS: This case-control study of 13,865 women draws on data from women's antenatal or postpartum interviews in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study, a population-based cohort derived from 92,408 births in 1964-1976. Case women (n=1,506) reported spontaneous abortion in the pregnancy preceding the interview; they were compared with women reporting live births in their previous pregnancy (n=12,359). Logistic regression was used to adjust for maternal age, maternal diabetes, maternal smoking, history of spontaneous abortions before the index pregnancy, parity at interview, and interval between the index pregnancy and the interview. RESULTS: The adjusted odds ratio for spontaneous abortion was 0.59 (95% confidence interval 0.45-0.76, P< .0001) for pregnancies conceived from fathers aged younger than 25 years compared with those from fathers aged 25-29 years. For fathers age 40 years or older the odds ratio for spontaneous abortion was 1.6 (95% confidence interval 1.2-2.0, P=.0003) when compared with the same reference group. CONCLUSION: Increasing paternal age is significantly associated with spontaneous abortion, independent of maternal age and multiple other factors.
Asunto(s)
Aborto Espontáneo/epidemiología , Edad Materna , Edad Paterna , Aborto Espontáneo/etiología , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Factores de Edad , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Israel/epidemiología , Oportunidad Relativa , EmbarazoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hypercholesterolaemia is a major risk factor for atherosclerosis. Cholesterol is modulated by genetic and environmental factors. An important regulatory pathway is controlled by the sterol-regulatory element-binding proteins (SREBPs) and the SREBP cleavage-activating protein (SCAP). Both SREBP-2 and SCAP are candidates to contribute to the development of atherosclerosis. We investigated the possible effects of the variability of proteins involved in this regulatory pathway on plasma lipids among familial hypercholesterolaemia patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the genes encoding SREBP-2 and SCAP causing amino acid changes at positions 595 (595G/A) and 796 (796I/V), respectively, were genotyped in 801 FH individuals originating from Israel, The Netherlands, and Switzerland. A linear regression model to examine the associations between SREBP-2 and SCAP isoforms and lipid and lipoprotein levels was used. In females, homozygosity either for the SREBP-2-595A or for the SCAP-796I isoform was associated with higher LDL-cholesterol plasma concentrations (14.7 mg/dl and 20.3 mg/dl, respectively). Surprisingly, heterozygosity for the combination SREBP-2-595A/SCAP-796I was associated with a decrease of 30.28 mg/dl in LDL-C (p-value for gene-gene interaction=0.09). No such effect was observed among FH males. Subgroup analysis considering the most frequent (N>/=24) LDL receptor mutations (del191-2, ins313+1-2, C660X, E207K, S285L) revealed further gene-dosage- and gender-dependent effects of the SCAP mutations on LDL-cholesterol concentrations (p=0.0345). These effects were, however, not present when less frequent LDL receptor mutations were investigated. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest a possible gene-gene interaction between the genes encoding SREBP-2 and SCAP that modulate plasma lipids in a strictly gender-specific fashion. Further investigation is needed to confirm this effect. A study in a larger FH group or in non-FH hypercholesterolaemic subjects may further define the role of this regulatory mechanism in determining plasma lipid concentration.
Asunto(s)
ADN/genética , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/genética , Péptidos y Proteínas de Señalización Intracelular/genética , Lípidos/sangre , Proteínas de la Membrana/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Proteína 2 de Unión a Elementos Reguladores de Esteroles/genética , Aterosclerosis/sangre , Aterosclerosis/etiología , Aterosclerosis/genética , Femenino , Genotipo , Humanos , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/sangre , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/complicaciones , Israel , Masculino , Mutación , Países Bajos , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Factores Sexuales , SuizaRESUMEN
QT interval prolongation is associated with increased risk of sudden and non-sudden cardiac death. Potassium channel gene variants are associated with inherited long QT syndromes. Using linkage and association analyses, we investigated whether variants in the potassium channel subunit KCNE1 are associated with QTc intervals in an unselected population sample of 80 kindreds living in kibbutz settlements in Israel. Variance-component linkage analysis revealed weak evidence of linkage of KCNE1 polymorphisms with QTc intervals. Family-based association analysis showed a significant association between the G38S polymorphism and QTc interval. Further quantitative trait association analysis demonstrated a significant residual heritability component (h(2)= 0.33), and that the effect of the G38S variant allele is modified by gender. Estimated maximum likelihood parameters from these models indicated that male gender, age, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, fibrinogen and BMI were positively associated with QTc interval; level of education and cigarette smoking showed an inverse association. Both erythrocyte membrane n-6 and n-3 fatty acids showed a significant inverse association with QTc interval. While more than 15.8% of QTc variability was contributed by covariates, another 4.7% was explained by dietary factors, the G38S polymorphism explained 2.2%, and approximately 36% was explained by polygenes. An in silico analysis showed also that the novel V80 SNP, another KCNE1 synonymous variant, abolishes the recognition for a splicing enhancer, which may lead to an increased effect of the G38S mutation. These results demonstrate that, in addition to polygenic background, dietary factors and other covariables, the KCNE1 G38S variant is involved in determining QTc levels in this population-based sample of families.
Asunto(s)
Ligamiento Genético , Variación Genética , Síndrome de QT Prolongado/genética , Canales de Potasio con Entrada de Voltaje/genética , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Muerte Súbita Cardíaca/etiología , Diabetes Mellitus , Familia , Femenino , Humanos , Hipertensión , Israel/epidemiología , Lípidos/sangre , Síndrome de QT Prolongado/epidemiología , Síndrome de QT Prolongado/etnología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana EdadRESUMEN
Pre-eclampsia has been described as a 'disease of first pregnancies' and many believe that its occurrence in a later pregnancy signals a fundamentally different entity. We sought to compare risk factors in first and subsequent pregnancies. We studied 1319 cases of pre-eclampsia recorded in a historical cohort of 82,436 deliveries in Jerusalem in 1964-76. Logistic regression was used to control for covariates. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for pre-eclampsia in first births was 2.58 (95% confidence interval[CI] 2.23, 2.97), compared with all later birth order groups, between which there were no detectable differences in risk. Other risk factors included increasing maternal age, diabetes (OR 5.64, 95% CI 4.33, 7.35), multiple gestations (OR 3.38, 95% CI 2.54, 4.49), fetal haemolytic disease (OR 2.24, 95% CI 1.43, 3.50) and lower maternal education. The risk of pre-eclampsia was not associated with the mother's employment outside the home and did not differ between immigrants vs. Israeli-born mothers or between groups of women whose fathers had been born in Western Asia, North Africa or Europe. Effects of each risk factor were similar within first and subsequent births. These results lend no support to the hypothesis that there is a fundamental difference between pre-eclampsia in a first pregnancy compared with that occurring in a later pregnancy; conclusions may be moderated, however, by the knowledge that the incidence of pre-eclampsia was low in this historical cohort.