Predicting Osteoporotic Fracture in Patients With Early-Stage Diabetic Kidney Disease Using a Radiomic Model: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: There is an urgent need for effective predictive strategies to accurately evaluate the risk of fragility fractures in elderly patients in the early stages of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study included 715 older patients in the early stages of DKD diagnosed between January 2015 and August 2019. Patients were randomly allocated to a training cohort (n = 499) and a validation cohort (n = 216). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to select key features for dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry-based radiomic analysis. A radiomic model was constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression. The performance of the radiomic model was compared with that of traditional fracture assessment tools through a receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up period of 4.72 ± 1.60 years, 65 participants (9.09%) experienced incident fragility fractures. Seventeen features were ultimately selected to create the radiomic model. The calibration plots of this model demonstrated satisfactory agreement between the observed and predicted outcomes. Moreover, the radiomic model outperformed traditional fracture assessment tools in both the training and validation cohorts according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The novel radiomic model has demonstrated a more effective prediction of fragility fracture in elderly patients in the early stages of DKDcompared to traditional fracture assessment tools.

A simple fragility fracture risk score for type 2 diabetes patients: a derivation, validation, comparison, and risk stratification study.

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to develop and validate 2 simple scores for stratification of the risks of (1) any fragility (AF) and (2) major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients; we also compared the performance of these scores with that of the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) and its adjustments. DESIGN AND METHODS: In this longitudinal cohort study, 1855 patients with T2D were enrolled from January 2015 to August 2019. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to model the 5-year risk of AF and MOF. These scores were internally validated using a bootstrap resampling method of 1000. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5 years, 119 (6.42%) cases of AF and 92 (4.96%) cases of MOFs were identified. Both the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots indicated improved identification performance using the newly established scores. Furthermore, these scores also showed improved outcomes regarding the decision curve analysis (DCA) and area under the curve (AUC) compared to the widely used FRAX and its derivatives. More importantly, these scores successfully separated T2D patients into risk groups according to significant differences in fracture incidence. CONCLUSIONS: These novel scores enable simple and reliable fracture risk stratification in T2D patients. Future work is needed to validate these findings in external cohort(s).

Effect of sodium bicarbonate infusion on hospital mortality in acute kidney injury patients with metabolic acidosis.

Background: Physicians usually consider that sodium bicarbonate (SB) infusion can be used for metabolic acidosis; however, there is little evidence available to assess its effect on hospital mortality in large AKI cohorts. Here, we investigated the effect of SB infusion in patients with AKI complicated by metabolic acidosis. Method: Patients with AKI complicated by metabolic acidosis were screened from the MIMIC-IV database. A propensity score analysis (PSA) was used to decrease baseline differences in the probability of receiving SB. The marginal structural Cox model (MSCM) was employed to adjust for both baseline and time-varying confounding factors. Results: A total of 1853 patients with AKI complicated with metabolic acidosis were included in our study. A total of 390 pairs of patients were divided into an SB infusion group and a non-SB infusion group. The SB infusion group had more serious and worse laboratory indicators, including lower pH [7.19 (0.11) vs. 7.26 (0.07)] and bicarbonate concentration (BC) [12.36 (4.26) vs. 15.96 (3.25) mmol/l]. While there was no significant effect on overall hospital mortality in AKI patients complicated with metabolic acidosis (p = 0.056), SB infusion was observed to have beneficial correlation on hospital mortality in patients with high AG acidosis (AG > 18 mmol/L) (p = 0.012). Similar results were replicated with the MSCM. Conclusion: We found that SB infusion in AKI patients with metabolic acidosis is not beneficial for hospital mortality. However, SB infusion for AKI patients and high AG metabolic acidosis significantly improved hospital mortality. Further larger randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm these results.