Risk of self-harm in patients with eating disorders: English population-based national record-linkage study, 1999-2021.

OBJECTIVE: Anorexia nervosa (AN) and bulimia nervosa (BN) are eating disorders associated with high rates of self-harm (SH). This is the first national study in England to quantify this association in a hospital population. METHOD: A retrospective cohort study using a linked national dataset of Hospital Episode Statistics for 1999-2021. The exposure cohort included individuals aged <35 years admitted to hospital with a diagnosis of AN or BN. The reference cohort included hospital controls. We calculated the rate ratio (RR) of SH in each cohort. The individuals in the two cohorts were matched on multiple socio-demographic indicators. The main outcome was a subsequent hospitalization or death record with an SH diagnosis. RESULTS: We identified 15,004 females and 1411 males with AN, and 6055 females and 741 males with BN. The RR with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) for a subsequent admission with intentional self-harm after admission with AN was 4.9 (95%CI 4.7-5.1) in females and 4.8 (95%CI 3.9-5.8) in males. For BN it was 9.0 (95%CI 8.4-9.6) in females and 9.8 (95%CI 7.7-12.2) in males. There were strong associations between AN and BN and other SH. DISCUSSION: Women and men admitted to English hospitals with AN or BN have a very high risk of a subsequent admission with SH. For some SH behaviors, such as alcohol intoxication, the RR was >10-fold elevated. The magnitude of risk was higher for BN than for AN. Clinicians should be aware of the scale of risk increase. Providing those at risk with appropriate support is required. PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE: This study is the first national study in an English hospital population that confirms and quantifies the association between eating disorders and self-harm. We have found that both women and men admitted to hospital with anorexia nervosa or bulimia nervosa are at an increased risk of subsequent admission with self-harm. It is important that clinicians are aware of this increased risk to support those at highest risk of self-harm.

Central nervous system abscesses and empyemas in England: epidemiological trends over five decades.

OBJECTIVES: To report on population-based epidemiological trends in central nervous system (CNS) abscesses and empyemas in England over five decades. METHODS: Trend analyses of age-sex-specific hospital admission and death rates using routinely collected English national hospital discharge records, mortality records, and annual population denominators from 1968 to 2019. RESULTS: Hospital admission rates for CNS abscesses and empyemas were stable in England until the late 1980s. In the last two decades of the study period (1999-2019), first-time admissions increased from 1.24 per 100,000 population in 1999 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14-1.35) to 2.86 in 2019 (95% CI 2.72-3.01). Admission rates were highest among infants and older adults, and were higher for males than females. There were small but significant increases in annual mortality rates for CNS abscesses and empyemas over the last two decades of the study period after accounting for population ageing, but mortality remained low at around 0.1-0.2 per 100,000 population. Mortality increased with advancing age; deaths in childhood were extremely rare. Case fatality rates where a relevant diagnosis was recorded as either the underlying or contributing cause were 4.3% and 9.7% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The increase in CNS abscesses and empyemas in England might reflect improved case ascertainment, but the likelihood of a true rise in incidence should be considered.

Diagnostic outcomes following childhood non-specific abdominal pain: a record-linkage study.

AIMS: Non-specific abdominal pain (NSAP) is the most common diagnosis on discharge following admission for abdominal pain in childhood. Our aim was to determine the risk of subsequent hospital diagnosis of organic and functional gastroenterological conditions following a diagnosis of NSAP, and to assess the persistence of this risk. METHODS: An NSAP cohort of 268,623 children aged 0-16 years was constructed from linked English Hospital Episode Statistics from 1999 to 2011. The control cohort (1,684,923 children, 0-16 years old) comprised children hospitalised with unrelated conditions. Clinically relevant outcomes were selected and standardised rate ratios were calculated. RESULTS: From the NSAP cohort, 15,515 (5.8%) were later hospitalised with bowel pathology and 13,301 (5%) with a specific functional disorder. Notably, there was a 4.84 (95% CI 4.45 to 5.27) times greater risk of Crohn's disease following NSAP and a 4.23 (4.13 to 4.33) greater risk of acute appendicitis than in the control cohort. The risk of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) was 7.22 (6.65 to 7.85) times greater following NSAP. The risks of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), IBS and functional disorder (unspecified) were significantly increased in all age groups except <2-year-olds. The risk of underlying bowel pathology remained raised up to 10 years after first diagnosis with NSAP. CONCLUSIONS: Only a small proportion of those with NSAP go on to be hospitalised with underlying bowel pathology. However, their risk is increased even at 10 years after the first hospital admission with NSAP. Diagnostic strategies need to be assessed and refined and active surveillance employed for children with NSAP.

Age-specific risk of breast cancer in women with neurofibromatosis type 1.

BACKGROUND: Young women with neurofibromatosis type 1 (NF1) are reported to have a higher risk of breast cancer than others, and this might have implications for screening programmes. Our aim was to calculate this risk. METHODS: An all-England linked data set of hospital admissions and deaths was analysed to determine age-specific rates of breast cancer in women with NF1 and controls. RESULTS: The age-specific excess risk of breast cancer, comparing the NF1 cohort with the control cohort, was elevated 6.5-fold (95% confidence interval 2.6-13.5) in women aged 30-39 years. There was a 4.4 (2.5-7.0) times higher risk among women aged 40-49. CONCLUSIONS: Women with NF1 develop breast cancer at younger ages than the general population.

Fall in population-based mortality from coronary heart disease negated in people with diabetes mellitus: data from England.

AIMS: Mortality rates for coronary heart disease (CHD) have declined substantially in developed countries. Diabetes mellitus is an important risk factor for CHD; its prevalence is increasing. We aimed to compare trends in population-based mortality for CHD without diabetes on the death certificate with trends for CHD with diabetes on the same certificate. METHODS: Analysis of an all-England dataset with multiple-cause coded mortality records from 1995 to 2010. Analysis of a similar dataset for Oxford, because it has the longest run of multiple-cause coded mortality in England, from 1979. Age-specific and age-standardized mortality rates were calculated. RESULTS: In the all-England dataset, there were 1 772 760 deaths with CHD and no mention of diabetes; and 173 184 deaths with CHD and diabetes on the same death certificate. Of deaths with CHD without a mention of diabetes, rates per million men fell by more than half from 2843 (95% confidence interval: 2822-2862) in 1995 to 1379 (1366-1391) in 2010; and those in women halved from 1324 (1314-1336) to 628 (621-635). Of deaths with CHD and diabetes, rates per million men increased from 194 (188-200) to 215 (210-220); and those for women fell, but only very slightly, from 114 (111-118) to 101 (98-104). The longer run in Oxford, from 1979, showed that rates in men and women without diabetes had fallen by two-thirds; but that rates for CHD with diabetes had not fallen. CONCLUSIONS: The fall in mortality from CHD without diabetes has been spectacular. There has been no comparable fall in mortality from CHD with diabetes.

Trends in operation rates for inguinal hernia over five decades in England: database study.

PURPOSE: We aimed to study trends over time in operation rates for inguinal hernia with and without obstruction over five decades. METHODS: Routine hospital statistics were used to analyse trends in National Health Service hospitals in England (1968-2011). RESULTS: All-England admission rates for elective repair of unobstructed inguinal hernia in males were 240.8 episodes per 100,000 population [95 % confidence interval (CI) 234.5-247.2] in 1968 and were relatively stable until 2003 after which they declined to 217.1 (215.4-218.8) by 2011. However, the stability of the all ages rates masked a large decline in admission rates in the young (e.g. 425 per 100,000 in 1968-1970 in males under 1 year of age, down to 155 per 100,000 in 2007-2011) and a large increase in the elderly (e.g. 247 in 1968-1970 per 100,000 males aged 75-84, up to 799 per 100,000 in 2007-2011). All-England admission rates for obstructed inguinal hernia in males almost halved, from 19.3 episodes (17.4-21.2) in 1968 to 10.7 episodes (10.3-11.0) per 100,000 population in 2011. Admission rates for females gradually declined over time for both unobstructed and obstructed inguinal hernia. CONCLUSION: Hospital admission rates for elective operation on inguinal hernia without obstruction, for all ages combined, have been relatively stable over five decades, but this masked big differences between age groups. Rates of obstructed hernia have declined over time, particularly in the early years covered by the study, and have not shown an increase associated with the recent fall in elective surgery for hernia repair.

Childbirth in women with intellectual disability: characteristics of their pregnancies and outcomes in an archived epidemiological dataset.

BACKGROUND: Historically, many women with intellectual disability (ID) did not have children. However, a few decades ago it became more common for women with ID to give birth. Our aim was to compare the completed pregnancies of mothers with ID with other completed pregnancies in a large, defined population. METHODS: We used the archived dataset of the Oxford record linkage study from 1970 to 1989, which included a specialized dataset of all maternities in a population of 850,000 people. RESULTS: There were 245,007 births, of which 217 were to mothers with a record of ID. Mothers with a record of ID were more likely than others to give birth at a young age, were much more likely to be unmarried (42% compared with 9%) and to have smoked in the pregnancy (54% compared with 23%). Comparing babies born of mothers with ID and others, percentages with very low birth weight (<2000 g) were similar at 1.9 and 1.8%. There was no excess of babies who were low birth weight for gestational age. Babies born of mothers with ID were much less likely than others to be breastfed (respectively, 33 and 70%). There were no significant associations with presentation at delivery, Caesarean section or forceps delivery. The distribution of Apgar scores at 1 min after birth was similar in babies of mothers with ID and other babies. The sex ratio of the babies was normal. Combining stillbirths and infant deaths, rates per 1000 were 27.9 for babies of mothers with ID and 13.4 in other babies (borderline significant at P = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Comparing pregnancies and outcomes of mothers with and without ID, there are some important differences, and some important similarities. It is possible, however, that there may be differences over time and between different places in the care and outcomes of pregnancies in mothers with ID. In the modern era, with electronic health records, it should be possible for maternity services, both locally and on a whole population basis, routinely to monitor the pregnancies, and their outcomes, of mothers with ID.

Maternal and perinatal factors associated with subsequent meningococcal, Haemophilus or enteroviral meningitis in children: database study.

We used a database of 248 659 births, with follow-up to subsequent disease, in the Oxford record linkage archive (1979-1999) to study the influence of family, maternal, and perinatal factors on subsequent hospital admission for meningococcal, Haemophilus, and enteroviral meningitis in the children. In this summary, we report key findings that were significant in multivariate analysis. Meningococcal meningitis was significantly associated with maternal smoking [odds ratio (OR) 2·1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·2-3·7]. Haemophilus meningitis was associated with having older siblings (e.g. second child compared to first-born, OR 3·3, 95% CI 2·0-5·6). Enteroviral meningitis was associated with low birth weight (OR 2·2, 95% CI 1·3-3·6) and male sex (OR 1·7, 95% CI 1·2-2·3). The mothers of six of the 312 children with enteroviral meningitis had previously had enteroviral meningitis themselves. We concluded that several maternal characteristics influence the risk of these types of meningitis.

Risk of pneumonia and pneumococcal disease in people hospitalized with diabetes mellitus: English record-linkage studies.

BACKGROUND: The risk of invasive pneumococcal disease is higher in people with diabetes mellitus than those without. People with diabetes should be considered for routine pneumococcal immunization. This policy has been in place in England for more than a decade. We aimed to estimate, at the population level, the current scale of excess risk of pneumococcal disease in patients with diabetes, and whether the risks have decreased in recent years with the introduction of a pneumococcal vaccine. METHODS: We used two data sets of linked hospital admission and death records-the Oxford Record Linkage Study (1963-1998) and all-England linked hospital episode statistics (1999-2011). As a measure of relative risk, we calculated the rate ratio of pneumococcal disease in cohorts of people hospitalized with diabetes compared with cohorts without a record of diabetes. RESULTS: The risk of pneumococcal disease in patients hospitalized with diabetes mellitus has declined a little, but it is still high. The all-ages rate ratio in England declined from 1.92 (95% CI 1.89-1.94) in 1999-2002 to 1.68 (95% CI 1.65-1.71) in 2007-2011. In people aged under 60 years, rate ratios were higher and their decline was more substantial: rate ratios declined from 3.37 (95% CI 3.28-3.46) in 1999-2002 to 2.33 (95% CI 2.21-2.45) in 2007-2011. CONCLUSIONS: Patients admitted to hospital with diabetes mellitus remain at increased risk of pneumococcal infection despite a national immunization policy. Possible explanations for the elevated risk include low vaccine uptake or low effectiveness of available vaccine. Clinicians should be aware of the risk of pneumococcal infection in people with diabetes.

Death rates for acquired hypothyroidism and thyrotoxicosis in English populations (1979-2010): comparison of underlying cause and all certified causes.

BACKGROUND: Overt hypothyroidism and thyrotoxicosis have widespread systemic effects and are associated with increased mortality. Most death certificates that include them do not have the thyroid disease coded as the underlying cause of death. AIM: To describe regional (1979-2010) and national (1995-2010) trends in mortality rates for acquired hypothyroidism and thyrotoxicosis, analysing all certified causes of death (termed 'mentions') and not just the underlying cause. DESIGN: Analysis of death registration data. METHODS: Analysis of data for the Oxford region (mentions available from 1979) and English national data (mentions available from 1995). The data were grouped in periods defined by different national rules for selecting the underlying cause of death (1979-83, 1984-92, 1993-2000 and 2001-10) and were also analysed as single calendar years. RESULTS: Mentions mortality for acquired hypothyroidism in the Oxford region declined significantly from 1979 to 2010: the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was -2.6% (95% confidence intervals -3.5, -1.8). Most of the decrease occurred during the 1980s. The AAPC in rates for later years in England (1995-2010) was non-significant at 0.2% (-0.7, 1.0). Mortality rates for thyrotoxicosis decreased significantly: the AAPC was -2.8% (-4.1, -1.5) in the Oxford region and -3.8% (-4.7, -3.0) in England. In England, between 2001 and 2010, hypothyroidism or thyrotoxicosis was coded as the underlying cause of death on, respectively, 17 and 24% of death certificates that included them. CONCLUSION: Mortality rates for hypothyroidism and thyrotoxicosis have fallen substantially. The fall is probably wholly or mainly a result of improved care.

Avoidable mortality in people with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder in England.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the extent of 'avoidable mortality' in those with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder and to quantify the effect a reduction in these might have on the mortality gap associated with severe mental illness. METHOD: A cohort was studied of people aged <75 years, discharged from inpatient care with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder in 2006-2007, and followed up for 365 days. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated followed by hypothetical SMRs, estimating the residual mortality gap if 'avoidable' causes and suicide in the cohorts had occurred at the same level as those in the general population. RESULTS: Avoidable deaths comprised 60.2% and 59.2% of all deaths in the schizophrenia and bipolar disorder cohorts respectively. All-cause SMRs were 4.23 (95% CI 3.85-4.60) and 2.60 (2.21-3.00) respectively. After discounting the excess attributable to avoidable causes and suicide, the SMRs fell to 2.38 (2.09-2.66) and 1.66 (1.35-1.98) respectively. CONCLUSION: Bringing mortality from avoidable causes and suicide down to general population levels would reduce the overall mortality excess in severe mental illness substantially, by about 50%, but would not eliminate it. Other underlying factors beyond those conventionally considered as 'avoidable' need further research.

Risk of benign tumours of nervous system, and of malignant neoplasms, in people with neurofibromatosis: population-based record-linkage study.

BACKGROUND: The neurofibromatoses (NF) are genetic disorders. Increased risks of some cancers in people with NF are well recognised, but there is no comprehensive enumeration of the risks across the whole range of site-specific cancers. Our aim was to provide this. METHODS: A linked data set of hospital admissions and deaths in England was used to compare rates of tumours in an NF cohort with rates in a comparison cohort, with results expressed as rate ratios (RR). RESULTS: The RR for all cancers combined, in people with both types of NF combined, was 4.3 (95% confidence interval (CI): 4.0-4.6), based on 769 cases of cancer in 8003 people with NF. Considering only people with presumed NF1 (as defined in the main article), the RR for all cancers excluding nervous system malignancies remained elevated (2.7, 95% CI: 2.4-2.9); and risks were significantly high for cancer of the oesophagus (3.3), stomach (2.8), colon (2.0), liver (3.8), lung (3.0), bone (19.6), thyroid (4.9), malignant melanoma (3.6), non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (3.3), chronic myeloid leukaemia (6.7), female breast (2.3) and ovary (3.7). CONCLUSION: Neurofibromatosis was associated with an increased risk of many individual cancers. The relationships between NF and cancers may hold clues to mechanisms of carcinogenesis more generally.

Death rates for asthma in English populations 1979-2007: comparison of underlying cause and all certified causes.

OBJECTIVE: To report on trends in mortality for asthma using all certified causes of death mentioned on death certificates (conventionally termed 'mentions'), not just the underlying cause. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective analysis using death certificate information and population data. METHOD: Analysis of mortality records in the Oxford region (mentions available from 1979 to 2007) and English national data (mentions available from 1995 to 2007). The data were considered in periods defined by different national rules for selecting underlying cause of death (1979-1983, 1984-1992, 1993-2000, 2001-2007), and were also analysed as single calendar years. RESULTS: In Oxford, underlying cause mortality rates per million population in the four periods were 25, 32, 22 and 15, respectively. Rates for mentions were 44, 47, 41 and 29, respectively. Rule changes exaggerated the increase in underlying cause mortality in 1984-1992 (when 67% of asthma deaths were coded as underlying cause). Conversely, the decrease in underlying cause mortality for asthma by 2001-2007 is less than it seems (because just under 50% of asthma deaths in 2001-2007 were coded as underlying cause). Comparisons of trends in asthma and chronic obstructive airways disease (COPD) for individuals aged ≥ 55 years showed a decrease for both asthma and COPD in men; in women, a decrease in asthma and an increase in COPD was seen from the early 1990s. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately half of all deaths certified for asthma are missed when asthma mortality is analysed using underlying cause alone. The long-term decreasing trend in asthma mortality is real, and is not attributable to a trend in transferring certification from underlying to contributing cause. Nonetheless, caution is needed when comparing asthma deaths using underlying cause alone across periods that include changes to rules for the selection of underlying cause.

Mortality trends for tuberculosis and sarcoidosis in English populations, 1979-2008.

SETTING: Analysis of data sets that included both underlying and all contributing causes of death (together termed 'mentions'): the Oxford Record Linkage Study, 1979-2008, and England national data, 1995-2008. OBJECTIVE: To determine mortality trends for the granulomatous lung conditions tuberculosis (TB) and sarcoidosis in the Oxford region (1979-2008) and England (1995-2008). RESULTS: Mortality for mentions of TB in the Oxford region declined from 39.7 deaths per million population in 1979 to 9.0 in 2008. The corresponding rates for underlying cause were 17.1, falling to 4.5. In England, mortality rates from TB fell from 18.5/million in 1995 to 12.2 in 2008 (mentions), and from 9.3 in 1995 to 6.5 in 2008 (underlying cause). Numbers of deaths from sarcoidosis in Oxford were very small, and showed no significant trend. For the much larger England population, mortality rates based on mentions were 3.6/million in 1995 and 4.2 in 2008; the corresponding rates for sarcoidosis as underlying cause were 2.1 and 2.3. CONCLUSION: TB mortality is still declining in England, despite a recent resurgence in the prevalence of the disease. Mortality from sarcoidosis has been largely stable. The conventional statistic of underlying cause of death missed almost half of all certified TB and sarcoidosis deaths.

Increased risk of tuberculosis disease in people with diabetes mellitus: record-linkage study in a UK population.

BACKGROUND: The authors aimed to determine whether, and by how much, diabetes mellitus (DM) increases the risk of tuberculosis (TB) and conversely whether TB increases the risk of DM. METHODS: Retrospective cohort analyses using data from two Oxford Record Linkage Study (ORLS) datasets, containing information on hospital admissions and day-case care between 1963 and 1998 (ORLS1) and between 1999 and 2005 (ORLS2), were carried out. The rate ratio (RR) for tuberculosis after admission to hospital with diabetes and for diabetes after hospital admission with tuberculosis was calculated. RESULTS: In ORLS1, the RR for TB in people admitted to hospital with DM, comparing the latter with a reference cohort, was 1.83 (95% CI 1.26 to 2.60), and in ORLS2 the RR was 3.11 (1.17 to 7.03). RRs for pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) and extrapulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) within ORLS1 were similar at, respectively, 1.80 (1.16 to 2.67) and 1.98 (0.88 to 3.92). In ORLS 2 the RR for PTB was 2.63 (0.91 to 6.30). In ORLS1, there was no indication that TB was a risk factor for DM (RR 1.12, 0.76 to 1.60). The ORLS2 dataset was too small to analyse whether TB led to DM. DISCUSSION: DM was associated with a two- to threefold increased risk of TB within this predominantly white, English population. The authors found no evidence that TB increases the risk of DM. Our findings suggest that the risks of PTB and EPTB were both raised among individuals with DM. As DM prevalence rises, this association will become increasingly important for TB control and treatment.

Cancer of the body of the uterus: trends in mortality and incidence in England, 1985-2008.

OBJECTIVE: To report on trends in mortality and incidence for uterine cancer in England, 1985-2008. DESIGN: Database analysis. SETTING: England. POPULATION: Data sets of English national mortality and cancer registration statistics. METHODS: Analysis of data from death certificates with a mention of malignant neoplasm of corpus uteri or malignant neoplasm of uterus without specification of part, and analysis of incidence data from cancer registries in England. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-adjusted and age-specific trends in rates. RESULTS: Mortality rates in the UK declined from 41.3 per million women in 1985 until about 1999 (30.0 per million), and then increased to 35.9 per million in 2008. Incidence rates for those aged 55 years and over showed little or no change from 1985 to the early 1990s, but then increased: for example, for women aged 60-64 years, the rates per million women in 1985, 1993, 2001 and 2008 were, respectively, 448, 461, 647 and 728. Rates for younger women showed a decline, followed by an increase: for example, for women aged 50-54 years the corresponding rates were 290, 254, 267 and 294. Over the period 2001-2008, the age-adjusted average annual percentage increase was 2.55% per annum (95% CI 2.13-2.98%). The increase in incidence rates, observed from the 1990s, preceded the increase in mortality by about 10 years. CONCLUSIONS: After many years of declining rates, uterine cancer has become more common in the first decade of this century. One possible contributor to this increase may be an association with the increase in body mass index in women, but other causes are possible and are discussed.