The relationship between Wolfe's classification of mammograms, accepted breast cancer risk factors, and the incidence of breast cancer.

Data collected between 1973 and 1984 on 696 incident cases of breast cancer and 1,376 matched controls from four Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project clinics in the United States were used to assess the role of mammographic parenchymal pattern as a risk factor and its relationship with other, accepted, risk factors. The data confirm previous reports of the influence of benign breast biopsy, age at first live birth, family history of breast cancer, and duration of menstruation on the incidence of breast cancer. Height is also found to be an influential factor. Parenchymal pattern is found to be a risk factor with effects comparable in magnitude to the other factors studied. It operates separately from them, except for its relationship with height and weight. After adjustment for parenchymal pattern, weight is seen to have a significant effect on breast cancer incidence, and height is no longer needed in a model for risk. A model which simultaneously incorporates all of the risk factors considered, including parenchymal pattern, is presented. While these factors are of interest in the epidemiology of breast cancer, it is demonstrated that they are insufficient to allow reliable prediction of the disease in an individual woman.

Wolfe mammographic parenchymal patterns. A study of the masking hypothesis of Egan and Mosteller.

Wolfe defined four different classes of breast parenchymal patterns and claimed that they were associated with different risks for the subsequent development of breast cancer. Egan and Mosteller suggested that these patterns did not constitute a true risk factor, rather the effect was caused by the greater difficulty of detecting breast cancers in the dense (P2, DY) patterns compared with the fatty (N1, P1) patterns. Similarly, Mendell believed that a bias was introduced into Wolfe's work by requiring a negative mammogram before a patient entered the study. This study of 221 prevalent and 706 incident cancers followed for up to 10 years indicates that a masking effect does exist, but that it operates in addition to a difference in risk of breast cancer within the four Wolfe classes. Wolfe's hypothesis is found to be valid.

Breast cancer prediction and the Wolfe classification of mammograms.

Mammographic parenchymal patterns have been proposed as a method of determining women at high risk of developing breast cancer. Wolfe's original report of relative risks as high as 37:1 for "dysplastic" breasts (DY) as compared with adipose breasts (N1), with intermediate values of P1 and P2, were not uniformly confirmed by others. (Relative risks are used here as the equivalent of odds ratios.) A case-control study of 706 breast cancers, each with two matching controls, drawn from 40,000 participants in four Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project clinics, was conducted to assess the role of the Wolfe classification of breast parenchymal patterns as a breast-cancer risk factor together with a set of well-established risk factors for breast cancer. Relative risks of 3.1 for DY to N1, 3.5 for P2 to N1, and 2.0 for P1 to N1 were determined. These are comparable to or greater than other known risk factors found in the same population. The Wolfe classification of parenchymal patterns strengthens the basis for clinical judgment, but should not be used exclusively to determine intervention in an individual patient's care.

Day case surgery for strabismus in children.

A consecutive series of 140 children was observed after strabismus surgery. All the postoperative problems are attributable to general anaesthesia, vomiting and drowsiness being the principal ones. Respiratory difficulties were unusual. There is no reason to keep a healthy child in hospital for longer than one night, and day case strabismus surgery appears to be safe if (1) an experienced doctor gives the anaesthetic, (2) there is adequate supervision for 3 to 4 hours after surgery, (3) the appropriate district nurse is forewarned that a child is returning home after general anaesthesia, and (4) facilities are available to retain a child in hospital if a problem arises before discharge. Signs of emotional trauma may be less in children treated as day cases than in those hospitalized for one or more nights.