The prognostic value of cardiac troponin for 60 day mortality and major adverse events in COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: The variability of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) illness severity has puzzled clinicians and has sparked efforts to better predict who would benefit from rapid intervention. One promising biomarker for in-hospital morbidity and mortality is cardiac troponin (cTn). METHODS: A retrospective study of 1331 adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to the Rush University System in Illinois, USA was performed. Patients without cTn measurement during their admission or a history of end stage renal disease or stage 5 chronic kidney disease were excluded. Using logistic regression adjusted for baseline characteristics, pre-existing comorbidities, and other laboratory markers of inflammation, cTn was assessed as a predictor of 60-day mortality and severe COVID-19 infection, consisting of a composite of 60-day mortality, need for intensive care unit, or requiring non-invasive positive pressure ventilation or intubation. RESULTS: A total of 772 patients met inclusion criteria. Of these, 69 (8.9%) had mild cTn elevation (> 1 to < 2x upper limit of normal (ULN)) and 46 (6.0%) had severe cTn elevation (≥ 2x ULN). Regardless of baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and initial c-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, and ferritin, when compared to the normal cTn group, mild cTn elevation and severe cTn elevation were predictors of severe COVID-19 infection (adjusted OR [aOR] aOR 3.00 [CI: 1.51 - 6.29], P < 0.01; aOR 9.96 [CI: 2.75 - 64.23], P < 0.01, respectively); severe cTn elevation was a predictor of in-hospital mortality (aOR 2.42 [CI: 1.10 - 5.21], P < 0.05) and 60-day mortality (aOR 2.45 [CI: 1.13 - 5.25], P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: In our cohort, both mild and severe initial cTn elevation were predictors of severe COVID-19 infection, while only severe cTn elevation was predictive of 60-day mortality. First cTn value on hospitalization is a valuable longitudinal prognosticator for COVID-19 disease severity and mortality.

Impact of pre-existing heart failure on 60-day outcomes in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: In the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic, patients with cardiovascular disease represent a vulnerable population with higher risk for contracting COVID-19 and worse prognosis with higher case fatality rates. However, the relationship between COVID-19 and heart failure (HF) is unclear, specifically whether HF is an independent risk factor for severe infection or if other accompanying comorbidities are responsible for the increased risk. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of 1331 adult patients diagnosed with COVID-19 infection between March and June 2020 admitted at Rush University System for Health (RUSH) in metropolitan Chicago, Illinois, USA. Patients with history of HF were identified by International Classification of Disease, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) code assignments extracted from the electronic medical record. Propensity score matching was utilized to control for the numerous confounders, and univariable logistic regression was performed to assess the relationship between HF and 60-day morbidity and mortality outcomes. RESULTS: The propensity score matched cohort consisted of 188 patients in both the HF and no HF groups. HF patients did not have lower 60-day mortality (OR 0.81; p = 0.43) compared to patients without HF. However, those with HF were more likely to require readmission within 60 days (OR 2.88; p < 0.001) and sustain myocardial injury defined as troponin elevation within 60 days (OR 3.14; p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the complex network of confounders present between HF and COVID-19. When balanced for these numerous factors, those with HF appear to be at no higher risk of 60-day mortality from COVID-19 but are at increased risk for morbidity.

Preoperative noninvasive artery flow volume and maturation of arteriovenous fistulae: A single surgeon's experience from 403 cases.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative Doppler ultrasound evaluation of arteriovenous fistula inflow artery includes measurements of arterial diameter and flow volume. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the significance of flow volume to arteriovenous fistula maturation rate. STUDY DESIGN: Review of consecutive patients who underwent arteriovenous fistula creation by a single surgeon. Cases with available preoperative arterial diameter and flow volume were analyzed. Primary end point was arteriovenous fistula failure to mature. Information collected included demographics, Doppler ultrasound reports, level of inflow artery, operative reports, and outcomes to the time of arteriovenous fistula maturation or failure. Risk factors were identified by logistic regression analysis. Outcomes were compared by odds ratio. RESULTS: Four hundred and three cases were identified. Arterial diameter and flow volume were both independent significant risk factors affecting arteriovenous fistula maturation rate (p = 0.001). Arterial diameter of <2.5 mm and flow volume of <20 mL/min predicted failure to mature with 95% specificity. Further comparison of cases with optimal arterial diameter but flow volume of <20 mL/min showed increased failure to mature rate compared to the combination of optimal arterial diameter with optimal flow volume (p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Preoperative arterial diameter and flow volume values were both significant independent variables affecting arteriovenous fistula maturation rate. However, flow volume of <20 mL/min remained a significant risk factor to failure-to-mature rate, despite optimal arterial diameter.