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BACKGROUND: Prediction of mortality is very important for care planning in hospitalized patients with dementia and artificial intelligence has the potential to serve as a solution; however, this issue remains unclear. Thus, this study was conducted to elucidate this matter. METHODS: We identified 10,573 hospitalized patients aged ≥ 45 years with dementia from three hospitals between 2010 and 2020 for this study. Utilizing 44 feature variables extracted from electronic medical records, an artificial intelligence (AI) model was constructed to predict death during hospitalization. The data was randomly separated into 70 % training set and 30 % testing set. We compared predictive accuracy among six algorithms including logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and support vector machine (SVM). Additionally, another set of data collected in 2021 was used as the validation set to assess the performance of six algorithms. RESULTS: The average age was 79.8 years, with females constituting 54.5 % of the sample. The in-hospital mortality rate was 6.7 %. LightGBM exhibited the highest area under the curve (0.991) for predicting mortality compared to other algorithms (XGBoost: 0.987, random forest: 0.985, logistic regression: 0.918, MLP: 0.898, SVM: 0.897). The accuracy, sensitivity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of LightGBM were 0.943, 0.944, 0.943, 0.542, and 0.996, respectively. Among the features in LightGBM, the three most important variables were the Glasgow Coma Scale, respiratory rate, and blood urea nitrogen. In the validation set, the area under the curve of LightGBM reached 0.753. CONCLUSIONS: The AI prediction model demonstrates strong accuracy in predicting in-hospital mortality among patients with dementia, suggesting its potential implementation to enhance future care quality.
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Purpose: The home-based medical integrated program (HMIP) is a novel model for home healthcare (HHC) in Taiwan, initiated in 2016 to enhance care quality. However, the outcomes of this program on health outcomes and medical resource utilization in HHC patients remain unclear. Thus, we conducted this study to clarify it. Patients and Methods: The authors utilized the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database to identify HHC patients who received HMIP and those who did not between January 2015 and December 2017. A retrospective cohort study design was used. Convenience sampling was employed to select patients who met the inclusion criteria: being part of the HHC program and having complete data for analysis. Results: A total of 4982 HHC patients in the HMIP group and 10,447 patients in the non-HMIP group were identified for this study. The mean age in the HMIP group and non-HMIP group was 77.6 years and 76.1 years, respectively. Compared with the non-HMIP group, the HMIP group had lower total medical costs for HHC, fewer outpatient department visits and lower medical costs, lower medical costs for emergency department visits, fewer hospitalizations, and a lower mortality rate (34.6% vs 41.2%, p<0.001). Conclusion: The HMIP is a promising model for improving care quality and reducing medical resource utilization in HHC patients. While this suggests that the non-HMIP model should be replaced, it's important to note that both non-HMIP and HMIP models currently coexist. The HMIP may serve as an important reference for other nations seeking to improve care quality and reduce medical resource utilization in their own HHC systems.
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Servicios de Atención de Salud a Domicilio , Humanos , Taiwán , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Programas Nacionales de Salud , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prestación Integrada de Atención de Salud , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Calidad de la Atención de SaludRESUMEN
In the original publication [...].
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Previous studies have suggested a possible association between carbon monoxide poisoning (COP) and hypothyroidism, but the evidence is limited. Therefore, the aim of this study was to further investigate this relationship. Using data from the Taiwan National Health Research Database, we identified 32,162 COP patients and matched with 96,486 non-COP patients by age and index date for an epidemiological study. The risk of hypothyroidism was compared between the two cohorts until 2018. Independent predictors of hypothyroidism were analyzed using competing risk analysis. An animal study was also conducted to support the findings. COP patients had an increased risk of hypothyroidism compared to non-COP patients in the overall analysis (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]= 3.88; 95â¯% confidence interval [CI]: 3.27-4.60) and in stratified analyses by age, sex, and comorbidities. The increase in the overall risk persisted even after more than six years of follow-up (AHR= 4.19; 95â¯% CI: 3.18-5.53). Independent predictors of hypothyroidism, in addition to COP, included age ≥65 years, female sex, hyperlipidemia, and mental disorder. The animal study showed damages in the hypothalamus, pituitary gland, and thyroid, as well as altered hormone levels 28 days after COP exposure. The epidemiological results showed an increased risk of hypothyroidism in COP patients, which was further supported by the animal study. These findings suggest the need for close monitoring of thyroid function in COP patients, especially in those who are age ≥65 years, female, and have hyperlipidemia or mental disorder.
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BACKGROUND: Heat-related illness (HRI) is commonly considered an acute condition, and its potential long-term consequences are not well understood. We conducted a population-based cohort study and an animal experiment to evaluate whether HRI is associated with dementia later in life. METHODS: The Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database was used in the epidemiological study. We identified newly diagnosed HRI patients between 2001 and 2015, but excluded those with any pre-existing dementia, as the study cohort. Through matching by age, sex, and the index date with the study cohort, we selected individuals without HRI and without any pre-existing dementia as a comparison cohort at a 1:4 ratio. We followed each cohort member until the end of 2018 and compared the risk between the two cohorts using Cox proportional hazards regression models. In the animal experiment, we used a rat model to assess cognitive functions and the histopathological changes in the hippocampus after a heat stroke event. RESULTS: In the epidemiological study, the study cohort consisted of 70,721 HRI patients and the comparison cohort consisted of 282,884 individuals without HRI. After adjusting for potential confounders, the HRI patients had a higher risk of dementia (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] = 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.29). Patients with heat stroke had a higher risk of dementia compared with individuals without HRI (AHR = 1.26; 95% CI: 1.18-1.34). In the animal experiment, we found cognitive dysfunction evidenced by animal behavioral tests and observed remarkable neuronal damage, degeneration, apoptosis, and amyloid plaque deposition in the hippocampus after a heat stroke event. CONCLUSIONS: Our epidemiological study indicated that HRI elevated the risk of dementia. This finding was substantiated by the histopathological features observed in the hippocampus, along with the cognitive impairments detected, in the experimental heat stroke rat model.
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Demencia , Animales , Demencia/epidemiología , Demencia/patología , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Anciano , Taiwán/epidemiología , Ratas , Estudios de Cohortes , Hipocampo/patología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor/epidemiología , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor/complicaciones , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos Animales de EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: While the impact of telephone follow-up (TFU) for older emergency department (ED) patients is controversial, its effects on the Asian population remain uncertain. In this study, we evaluated the effectiveness of a novel computer assisted TFU model specifically for this demographic. METHODS: At a Taiwanese tertiary medical center, we developed a TFU protocol that included a referral and case management system within the ED hospital information system. We provided TFU to older discharged patients between April 1, 2021, and May 31, 2021. We compared this cohort with a non-TFU cohort of older ED patients and analyzed demographic characteristics and post-ED discharge outcomes. RESULTS: The TFU model was successfully implemented, with 395 patients receiving TFU and 191 without TFU. TFU patients (median age: 76 years, male proportion: 48.9%) differed from non-TFU patients (median age: 74 years, male proportion: 43.5%). Compared with the non-TFU cohort, the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the TFU cohort had a lower total medical expenditure < 1 month (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 0.32; 95% CI: 0.21 - 0.47 for amounts exceeding 5,000 New Taiwan Dollars), and higher satisfaction (AOR: 2.80; 95% CI: 1.46 - 5.36 for scores > 3 on a five-point Likert Scale). However, the TFU cohort also had a higher risk of hospitalization < 1 month (AOR: 2.50; 95% CI: 1.31 - 4.77) compared to the non-TFU cohort. CONCLUSION: Computer-assisted TFU appears promising. Further research involving a larger number of patients and validation in other hospitals is necessary to bolster the evidence and extend the findings to a broader context.
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Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Alta del Paciente , Teléfono , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Taiwán , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pueblo Asiatico , Estudios de SeguimientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation is an effective treatment for preventing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. This retrospective study aimed to quantitatively evaluate the attenuation in Hounsfield units (HU) on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) as a prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation as a treatment. Our goal is to optimize its predictive ability for early tumor recurrence and compare it with the other imaging modality-positron emission tomography (PET). METHODS: In 618 cases of LDLT for HCC, only 131 patients with measurable viable HCC on preoperative CECT and preoperative positron emission tomography (PET) evaluations were included, with a minimum follow-up period of 6 years. Cox regression models were developed to identify predictors of postoperative recurrence. Performance metrics for both CT and PET were assessed. The correlation between these two imaging modalities was also evaluated. Survival analyses were conducted using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and area under the curve (AUC) to assess accuracy and determine optimized cut-off points. RESULTS: Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that both arterial-phase preoperative tumor attenuation (HU) and PET were independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. Both lower arterial tumor enhancement (Cut-off value = 59.2, AUC 0.88) on CT and PET positive (AUC 0.89) increased risk of early tumor recurrence 0.5-year time-dependent ROC. Composites with HU < 59.2 and a positive PET result exhibited significantly higher diagnostic accuracy in detecting early tumor recurrence (AUC = 0.96). CONCLUSION: Relatively low arterial tumor enhancement values on CECT effectively predict early HCC recurrence after LDLT. The integration of CT and PET imaging may serve as imaging markers of early tumor recurrence in HCC patients after LDLT.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Donadores Vivos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagen , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Masculino , Femenino , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/diagnóstico por imagen , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/métodos , Medios de Contraste , Adulto , Anciano , Análisis de Supervivencia , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , PronósticoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Artificial intelligence (AI) prediction is increasingly used for decision making in health care, but its application for adverse outcomes in emergency department (ED) patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) is not well understood. This study aimed to clarify this aspect. METHODS: Data from 8274 ED patients with AP in three hospitals from 2009 to 2018 were analyzed. Demographic data, comorbidities, laboratory results, and adverse outcomes were included. Six algorithms were evaluated, and the one with the highest area under the curve (AUC) was implemented into the hospital information system (HIS) for real-time prediction. Predictive accuracy was compared between the AI model and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP). RESULTS: The mean ± SD age was 56.1 ± 16.7 years, with 67.7% being male. The AI model was successfully implemented in the HIS, with Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) showing the highest AUC for sepsis (AUC 0.961) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission (AUC 0.973), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) showing the highest AUC for mortality (AUC 0.975). Compared to BISAP, the AI model had superior AUC for sepsis (BISAP 0.785), ICU admission (BISAP 0.778), and mortality (BISAP 0.817). CONCLUSIONS: The first real-time AI prediction model implemented in the HIS for predicting adverse outcomes in ED patients with AP shows favorable initial results. However, further external validation is needed to ensure its reliability and accuracy.
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Pancreatitis , Sepsis , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Femenino , Pancreatitis/complicaciones , Pancreatitis/diagnóstico , Pancreatitis/terapia , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Inteligencia Artificial , Enfermedad Aguda , Reglas de Decisión Clínica , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Valor Predictivo de las PruebasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Chronic pain (CP) may increase the risk of acute coronary syndrome (ACS); however, this issue in the older population remains unclear. Therefore, this study was conducted to clarify it. METHODS: We used the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database to identify older patients with CP between 2001 and 2005 as the study cohort. Comparison cohort was the older patients without CP by matching age, sex, and index date at 1:1 ratio with the study cohort in the same period. We also included common underlying comorbidities in the analyses. The risk of ACS was compared between the two cohorts by following up until 2015. RESULTS: A total of 17241 older patients with CP and 17241 older patients without CP were included in this study. In both cohorts, the mean age (± standard deviation) and female percentage were 73.5 (± 5.7) years and 55.4%, respectively. Spinal disorders (31.9%) and osteoarthritis (27.0%) were the most common causes of CP. Older patients with CP had an increased risk for ACS compared to those without CP after adjusting for all underlying comorbidities (adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.18; 95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.30). The increasement of risk of ACS was more when the follow-up period was longer (adjusted sHR of < 3 years: 1.8 vs. <2 years: 1.75 vs. <1 year: 1.55). CONCLUSIONS: CP was associated with an increased risk of ACS in the older population, and the association was more prominent when the follow-up period was longer. Early detection and intervention for CP are suggested in this population.
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Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Dolor Crónico , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Factores de Riesgo , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/diagnóstico , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/epidemiología , Dolor Crónico/diagnóstico , Dolor Crónico/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Taiwán/epidemiología , Incidencia , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
This study aimed to compare the diagnostic performances of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and FDG PET/CT in the preoperative T-staging of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and determine whether their innovative coordination achieves better prediction. In total, 100 patients diagnosed with ESCC, 57 without (CRT[-]sub) and 43 with (CRT[+]sub) neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, undergoing EUS and FDG PET/CT, followed by surgical resection of the tumor, were included in this analysis. EUS classified T-stages based on the depth of primary tumor invasion, and FDG PET/CT used thresholded maximal standardized uptake value (SUVmax) classifications. By employing pathology results as the reference standard, we assessed the accuracy of EUS and FDG PET/CT, evaluated their concordance using the κ statistic, and conducted a comparative analysis between the two modalities through McNemar's chi-square test. FDG PET/CT had higher overall accuracy than EUS (for CRT[-]sub: 71.9%, κ = 0.56 vs. 56.1%, κ = 0.31, p = 0.06; for CRT[+]sub: 65.1%, κ = 0.50 vs. 18.6%, κ = 0.05, p < 0.01) in predicting pT- and ypT-stage. Our proposed method of incorporating both FDG PET/CT and EUS information could achieve higher accuracies in differentiating between early and locally advanced disease in the CRT[-]sub group (82.5%) and determining residual viable tumor in the CRT[+]sub group (83.7%) than FDG PET/CT or EUS alone. FDG PET/CT had a better diagnostic ability than EUS to predict the (y)pT-stage of ESCC. Our complementary method, which combines the advantages of both imaging modalities, can deliver higher accuracy for clinical applications of ESCC.
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BACKGROUND: Hyperglycemic crises are associated with high morbidity and mortality. Previous studies have proposed methods to predict adverse outcomes of patients in hyperglycemic crises; however, artificial intelligence (AI) has never been used to predict adverse outcomes. We implemented an AI model integrated with the hospital information system (HIS) to clarify whether AI could predict adverse outcomes. METHODS: We included 2,666 patients with hyperglycemic crises from emergency departments (ED) between 2009 and 2018. The patients were randomized into a 70%/30% split for AI model training and testing. Twenty-two feature variables from the electronic medical records were collected. The performance of the multilayer perceptron (MLP), logistic regression, random forest, Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), support vector machine (SVM), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) algorithms was compared. We selected the best algorithm to construct an AI model to predict sepsis or septic shock, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and all-cause mortality within 1 month. The outcomes between the non-AI and AI groups were compared after implementing the HIS and predicting the hyperglycemic crisis death (PHD) score. RESULTS: The MLP had the best performance in predicting the three adverse outcomes, compared with the random forest, logistic regression, SVM, KNN, and LightGBM models. The areas under the curves (AUCs) using the MLP model were 0.852 for sepsis or septic shock, 0.743 for ICU admission, and 0.796 for all-cause mortality. Furthermore, we integrated the AI predictive model with the HIS to assist decision making in real time. No significant differences in ICU admission or all-cause mortality were detected between the non-AI and AI groups. The AI model performed better than the PHD score for predicting all-cause mortality (AUC 0.796 vs. 0.693). CONCLUSIONS: A real-time AI predictive model is a promising method for predicting adverse outcomes in ED patients with hyperglycemic crises. Further studies recruiting more patients are warranted.
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Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Inteligencia Artificial , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Servicio de Urgencia en HospitalRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) holds significant potential to be a valuable tool in healthcare. However, its application for predicting bacteremia among adult febrile patients in the emergency department (ED) remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted a study to provide clarity on this issue. METHODS: Adult febrile ED patients with blood cultures at Chi Mei Medical Center were divided into derivation (January 2017 to June 2019) and validation groups (July 2019 to December 2020). The derivation group was utilized to develop AI models using twenty-one feature variables and five algorithms to predict bacteremia. The performance of these models was compared with qSOFA score. The AI model with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was chosen to implement the AI prediction system and tested on the validation group. RESULTS: The study included 5,647 febrile patients. In the derivation group, there were 3,369 patients with a mean age of 61.4 years, and 50.7% were female, including 508 (13.8%) with bacteremia. The model with the best AUC was built using the random forest algorithm (0.761), followed by logistic regression (0.755). All five models demonstrated better AUC than the qSOFA score (0.560). The random forest model was adopted to build a real-time AI prediction system integrated into the hospital information system, and the AUC achieved 0.709 in the validation group. CONCLUSION: The AI model shows promise to predict bacteremia in adult febrile ED patients; however, further external validation in different hospitals and populations is necessary to verify its effectiveness.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Bacteriemia , Humanos , Adulto , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Bacteriemia/diagnóstico , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Algoritmos , Modelos Logísticos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This meta-analysis compared the effects of intravenous Tranexamic acid (TXA) and a placebo on hemostasis, hospital course, and complications in adult patients undergoing various urologic surgeries. METHODS: The literature was extensively searched using various databases. The primary outcomes were standardized mean differences (SMDs) of intraoperative blood loss and odds ratios (ORs) of necessary blood product transfusion. The secondary outcomes included SMDs of operative time, SMDs of decreased hemoglobulin levels at 24 hours after surgery, and ORs of thromboembolic events. RESULTS: The meta-analysis included 13 randomized controlled trials (RCT) comprising 1814 participants in total. The SMD of intraoperative blood loss for TXA versus placebo wasâ -0.705 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -1.113 toâ -0.297). The pooled ORs of transfusion in the TXA group compared with the placebo group was 0.426 (95% CI: 0.290-0.625). These findings indicated a significantly lower intraoperative blood loss and a reduced need for transfusion following intravenous TXA. The pooled ORs of thromboembolic events in the TXA group compared with the placebo group was 0.664 (95% CI: 0.146-3.024). CONCLUSIONS: Intravenous TXA can reduce intraoperative blood loss, decrease the need for transfusion, and shorten operative time, and it does not increase the risk of thromboembolic events.
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Antifibrinolíticos , Tromboembolia , Ácido Tranexámico , Humanos , Pérdida de Sangre Quirúrgica/prevención & control , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Tromboembolia/prevención & controlRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Dentists may be at a higher risk of developing carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) because of their use of frequent wrist and vibratory instruments at work; however, this issue remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted this study to clarify it. METHODS: Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database was used for this nationwide population-based study. We identified 11,084 dentists, 74,901 non-dentist healthcare professionals (HCPs), and identical number of age- and sex-matched participants from the general population. Participants who had the diagnosis of CTS before 2007 were excluded. Between 2007 and 2011, the risk of developing CTS among dentists, non-dentist HCPs, and the general population was compared by following their medical histories. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence rate of CTS among dentists was 0.5% during the 5-year follow-up period. In dentists, the risk was higher in women (women: 0.7%; men: 0.4%) and older individuals (≥60 years: 1.0%; <60 years: 0.4%). After adjusting for age, sex, and underlying comorbidities, dentists had a lower risk of CTS than the general population (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 0.65, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45-0.92). Dentists had a higher risk for CTS compared with non-dentist HCPs, although the difference was not statistically significant (AOR: 1.21; 95% CI: 0.90-1.64). CONCLUSIONS: In CTS, dentists had a lower risk than the general population and a trend of higher risk than non-dentist HCPs. The difference between dentists and non-dentist HCPs suggests that we should pay attention to dentists for potential occupational risk of this disease. However, further studies are warranted to better clarify it.
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Síndrome del Túnel Carpiano , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Síndrome del Túnel Carpiano/epidemiología , Taiwán/epidemiología , Riesgo , Incidencia , Comorbilidad , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: One of the most severe complications of liposuction and fat grafting is pulmonary fat embolism (PFE). However, most healthcare workers are not familiar with PFE. We performed a systematic review to describe the details of PFE. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, and Google Scholar were searched up to October 2022. Further analysis focused on clinical, diagnostic, and outcome parameters. RESULTS: A total of 40 patients from 19 countries were included. Chest computed tomography (CT) yielded 100% accuracy in the diagnosis of PFE. More than 90% of the deceased died within 5 days after surgery, and in 69% of patients, onset of symptoms occurred within 24 h after surgery. The proportions of patients who required mechanical ventilation, had a cardiac arrest event, or died among all patients and among those whose onset of symptoms occurred within 24 h after surgery were 76%, 38%, and 34% versus 86%, 56%, and 54%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The earlier the onset of symptoms was, the more severe the clinical course was. Once a patient presents with PFE-related symptoms, surgery should be halted, supportive care initiated, and chest CT used to diagnose PFE. According to our review results, if a patient with PFE survives the initial episode without permanent sequelae, a complete recovery can be anticipated.
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The Geriatric Influenza Death (GID) score was developed to help decision making in older patients with influenza in the emergency department (ED), but external validation is unavailable. Thus, we conducted a study was to fill the data gap. We recruited all older patients (≥65 years) who visited the ED of three hospitals between 2009 and 2018. Demographic data and clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected. Discrimination, goodness of fit, and performance of the GID score were evaluated. Of the 5,508 patients (121 died) with influenza, the mean age was 76.6±7.4 (standard deviation) years, and 49.3% were males. The GID score was higher in the mortality group (1.7±1.1 vs. 0.8±0.8, p <0.01). With 0 as the reference, the odds ratio for morality with score of 1, 2 and ≥3 was 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.66-5.71), 6.69 (95% CI: 3.52-12.71), and 23.68 (95% CI: 11.95-46.93), respectively. The area under the curve was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.677-0.766), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test was 1.000. The GID score had excellent negative predictive values with different cut-offs. The GID score had good external validity, and further studies are warranted for wider application.
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Gripe Humana , Masculino , Humanos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Recolección de Datos , Curva ROCRESUMEN
(1) Background: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has been incorporated into the selection criteria of liver transplantation and been used to predict the outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. Locoregional therapy (LRT) is recommended for bridging or downstaging in HCC patients listed for liver transplantation. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of the AFP response to LRT on the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). (2) Methods: This retrospective study included 370 HCC LDLT recipients with pretransplant LRT from 2000 to 2016. The patients were divided into four groups according to AFP response to LRT. (3) Results: The nonresponse group had the worst 5-year cumulative recurrence rates whereas the complete-response group (patients with abnormal AFP before LRT and with normal AFP after LRT) had the best 5-year cumulative recurrence rate among the four groups. The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate of the partial-response group (AFP response was over 15% lower) was comparable to the control group. (4) Conclusions: AFP response to LRT can be used to stratify the risk of HCC recurrence after LDLT. If a partial AFP response of over 15% declineis achieved, a comparable result to the control can be expected.
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Background: The purpose of this study was to assess the safety and efficacy of Yttrium-90 radioembolization using in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods: From 2017 to 2021, 32 patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma, with mean tumor diameter about 7cm (21 males, 11 females; median age, 57.5 years of age), treated with Yttrium-90 radioembolization using resin microspheres were reviewed at pre-Yttrium-90 and post-Yttrium-90 follow-up. Tumor response was assessed according to the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Outcomes including overall survival and progression-free survival were reported. Results: Median follow-up was 18 months. At follow-up examinations at 3-, 6-, and 12-months follow-up, the overall survival rates were 94%, 87% and 59%, and the progression-free survival rates were 78%, 64% and 60%, respectively. Complete response, partial response, stable disease, and progressive disease were noted in 7 (21.9%), 14 (43.7%), 4 (12.5%), and 7 (21.9%) patients, respectively. The disease control rate was 78.1%, the objective response rate was 65.6%, and the successful downstage rate was 34.4% (11 of 32). Nine of thirty-two patients underwent resection or transplantation after Yttrium-90 radioembolization with 2-year overall survival being 100%. No serious adverse events occurred after Yttrium-90 treatment. Worse overall survival was related to the larger tumor, higher stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, and Child-Pugh score. And worse progression-free survival was related to the higher tumor burden, and pre-Yttrium-90 serum α-fetoprotein level >100. Conclusion: Yttrium-90 Radioembolization can control hepatocellular carcinoma well even in advanced diseases. Patients successfully downstaging/bridging to resection or transplantation have excellent overall survival.
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Objectives: Altered immune and inflammatory responses resulting from alcohol abuse have been implicated in increasing the risk of autoimmune connective tissue disease (ACTD). However, limited research has been conducted on this topic in the Asian population. Therefore, this study was undertaken to investigate and address this knowledge gap. Methods: Using data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we identified all patients with alcohol abuse between 2000 and 2017. We selected a comparison cohort without alcohol abuse, matching them in terms of age, sex, and index date at a 3:1 ratio. We collected information on common underlying comorbidities for analysis. Both cohorts were followed up until the diagnosis of ACTD or the end of 2018. Results: A total of 57,154 patients with alcohol abuse and 171,462 patients without alcohol abuse were included in the study. The age and sex distributions were similar in both cohorts, with men accounting for 89.8% of the total. After adjusting for underlying comorbidities, patients with alcohol abuse had a higher risk of developing ACTD [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.25]. The stratified analysis revealed that this increased risk was specific to the male population. Additionally, besides alcohol abuse, liver disease, renal disease, coronary artery disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were identified as independent predictors for ACTD. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that alcohol abuse increases the risk of developing ACTD in the Asian population, particularly among men. Therefore, it is important to implement alcohol cessation, especially in individuals with liver disease, renal disease, coronary artery disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
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Purpose: Carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning may damage the pancreas, but the effects of CO poisoning on the development of diabetes and on existing diabetes remain unclear. We conducted a study incorporating data from epidemiologic analyses and animal experiments to clarify these issues. Methods: Using the National Health Insurance Database of Taiwan, we identified CO poisoning patients diagnosed between 2002 and 2016 (CO poisoning cohort) together with references without CO poisoning who were matched by age, sex, and index date at a 1:3 ratio. We followed participants until 2017 and compared the risks of diabetes and hyperglycemic crisis between two cohorts using Cox proportional hazards regressions. In addition, a rat model was used to assess glucose and insulin levels in blood as well as pathological changes in the pancreas and hypothalamus following CO poisoning. Results: Among participants without diabetes history, 29,141 in the CO poisoning cohort had a higher risk for developing diabetes than the 87,423 in the comparison cohort after adjusting for potential confounders (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]=1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18-1.28). Among participants with diabetes history, 2302 in the CO poisoning cohort had a higher risk for developing hyperglycemic crisis than the 6906 in participants without CO poisoning (AHR = 2.12; 95% CI: 1.52-2.96). In the rat model, CO poisoning led to increased glucose and decreased insulin in blood and damages to pancreas and hypothalamus. Conclusion: Our epidemiological study revealed that CO poisoning increased the risks of diabetes and hyperglycemic crisis, which might be attributable to damages in the pancreas and hypothalamus as shown in the animal experiments.