Prospective validation of a proposal for diagnosis and management of patients attending the emergency department for mild head injury.

BACKGROUND: In mild head injury, predictors to select patients for computed tomography (CT) and/or to plan proper management are needed. The strength of evidence of published recommendations is insufficient for current use. We assessed the diagnostic accuracy and the clinical validity of the proposal of the Neurotraumatology Committee of the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies on mild head injury from an emergency department perspective. METHODS: In a three year period, 5578 adolescent and adult subjects were prospectively recruited and managed according to the proposed protocol. Outcome measures were: (a) any post-traumatic lesion; (b) need for neurosurgical intervention; (c) unfavourable outcome (death, permanent vegetative state or severe disability) after six months. The predictive value of a model based on five variables (Glasgow coma score, clinical findings, risk factors, neurological deficits, and skull fracture) was tested by logistic regression analysis. FINDINGS: At first CT evaluation 327 patients (5.9%) had intracranial post-traumatic lesions. In 16 cases (0.3%) previously undiagnosed lesions were detected after re-evaluation within seven days. Neurosurgical intervention was needed in 71 patients (1.3%) and an unfavourable outcome occurred in 39 cases (0.7%). The area under the ROC curve of the variables in predicting post-traumatic lesions was 0.906 (0.009) (sensitivity 70.0%, specificity 94.1% at best cut off), neurosurgical intervention was 0.926 (0.016) (sensitivity 81.7%, specificity 94.1%), and unfavourable outcome was 0.953 (0.014) (sensitivity 88.1%, specificity 95.1%). INTERPRETATION: The variables prove highly accurate in the prediction of clinically meaningful outcomes, when applied to a consecutive set of patients with mild head injury in the clinical setting of a 1st level emergency department.

Positive blood alcohol concentration and road accidents. A prospective study in an Italian emergency department.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To examine if a positive blood alcohol concentration (BAC) at the time of crash (>or=0.50 g/l), independently of any clinical evidence and laboratory results indicating acute alcohol intoxication, is associated with specific features of patients involved, specific types of injury, and characteristics of the accident. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, the BAC was measured in adult patients who had been injured and who were admitted to an Italian emergency department within four hours after a road accident. Altogether 2354 trauma patients were included between January to December 1998 out of 2856 eligible subjects. RESULTS: BAC exceeded 0.50 g/l in 425 subjects (18.1%), but was in a toxic range (>1.00 g/l) in only 179 subjects (7.6%). BAC positivity was significantly more common in men, in young subjects, in subjects driving cars or trucks, and in persons involved in a crash during night time and at weekends. It was associated with higher trauma severity, but no differences were found in injury body distribution according to vehicle type. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the risk of a positive BAC in injured patients at the time of crash was independently associated with night time (odds ratio: 3.48; 95% confidence intervals: 2.46 to 4.91), male sex (3.08 (2.36 to 4.01)), weekend nights (1.21 (1.05 to 1.41)), and age (0.92 (0.86 to 0.99) per decades). CONCLUSION: In injured patients after a road accident, a BAC at the time of crash in a non-toxic range (>or=0.50 g/l) is associated with specific characteristics of crash, as well as increased risk of higher trauma severity. More careful monitoring is needed in young men during weekend nights for highest risk of BAC positivity after a road accident.

Blood alcohol concentration and management of road trauma patients in the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: The effects of blood alcohol on injury after crash are controversial, and safe limits are not settled. We examined if a positive blood alcohol concentration, even in a nontoxic range, affects management and outcome of injured patients after road crashes. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we recruited all adult subjects admitted to an emergency department within 4 hours after a road crash. Outcomes were mortality or expected permanent disability, and data related to patients' management. RESULTS: Alcohol-positive trauma patients were more frequently critical at admission (odds ratio [OR], 1.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18-3.02), and had an increased risk of combined mortality or expected permanent disability (OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.08-2.58), need for intensive care (OR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.01-3.46), surgery (OR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.37-2.66) and blood transfusions (OR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.20-3.64), and acute medical complications (OR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.33-2.85). All these events were explained by higher trauma severity. Only the risk of unsuspected injuries, diagnosed only at final evaluation, was independently associated with a positive blood alcohol concentration (OR, 4.98; 95% CI, 3.62-6.87), in addition to trauma severity and preexisting chronic conditions. Blood alcohol measurement significantly improved the accuracy in predicting unsuspected injuries, from 81.3% to 86.2%. CONCLUSION: In injured patients after a road crash, a positive blood alcohol concentration increases the chance that the final diagnosis will include more injuries than initially documented. More careful monitoring is needed in alcohol-positive trauma patients, independent of clinical status, injury severity, and overt symptoms of alcohol intoxication.

Thyroid involvement in chronic inflammatory rheumatological disorders.

The association between rheumatological and thyroid disorders has long been known, the most common being the association of rheumatoid arthritis and autoimmune thyroiditis. Little is known as to possible thyroid involvement in other rheumatological disease of possible autoimmune aetiology, such as psoriatic arthritis and ankylosing spondylitis. We measured thyroid volume and function as well as the prevalence of anti-microsome and anti-thyroglobulin antibodies in 107 consecutive patients with rheumatoid arthritis, 42 patients with psoriatic arthritis, and 12 male patients with ankylosing spondylitis. Fifty-two normal subjects were used as controls. The average thyroid volume, measured at ultrasounds, was increased in all groups of patients, and the prevalence of thyroid enlargement (A-P diameter > 20 mm) was 2-3 fold higher in rheumatological disorders in comparison to controls. Both, patients with rheumatoid arthritis and psoriatic arthritis had higher-than-normal fT4 levels and an increased prevalence of anti-microsome antibodies. In the rheumatoid arthritis group alterations in thyroid volume and function were present irrespective of disease activity, whereas in psoriatic arthritis thyroid involvement was confined to patients with active disease. Our data are consistent with a significant thyroid involvement in rheumatological disorders, which is not limited to diseases with a definite autoimmune aetiology.

Prognostic significance of portal hemodynamics in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

The prognostic value of portal hemodynamics, measured by pulsed echo-Doppler, was prospectively evaluated, together with clinical, biochemical and endoscopic parameters, in a series of 50 consecutive patients with compensated cirrhosis. After a mean follow-up of 6 years, 25 patients had died, all from complications of liver disease. Among conventional variables, the step-wise Cox model showed that only the Child-Pugh score independently predicted death (chi 2 = 18.66; p < 0.001). When hemodynamic parameters were added to the Child-Pugh score in the same model, portal blood velocity was shown to add prognostic significance (improvement in chi 2 = 14.06; p = 0.0002; Wald test). The present study shows that a portal blood velocity below the lower limit of controls (10 cm/s) characterizes patients with shorter survival, and suggests that this non-invasive parameter should be associated to the Child-Pugh score in the evaluation of patients with cirrhosis.

Prognostic indicators in compensated cirrhosis.

In an attempt to identify variables predicting prognosis, 100 consecutive patients with compensated cirrhosis of the liver were followed for a mean of 4.9 (SD 0.7) yr. Fifty-one patients belonged to Child-Pugh class A, 49 to class B. At entry, five laboratory parameters were considered, together with sex, the grade of esophageal varices, and seven variables measured by ultrasonography (liver and spleen volume and the calibers of the splanchnic vessels). In a subgroup of 56 patients, the galactose elimination capacity also was determined. Forty-six patients were alive at the end of follow-up. Survival was analyzed according to Cox's model. Six parameters were able to predict survival (albumin, bilirubin, liver volume, prothrombin activity, cholesterol, varices). However, step-wise Cox regression analysis identified only four variables that independently correlated with survival: albumin, bilirubin, cholesterol, and liver volume. Galactose elimination failed to add any significance to routine liver function tests. This prospective study confirms the ability of routine liver function tests in predicting survival in compensated cirrhosis. The measurement of liver volume, easily obtained by ultrasonography, is also significant for prognosis, and may be introduced into clinical practice.

Prognostic value of galactose elimination capacity, aminopyrine breath test, and ICG clearance in patients with cirrhosis. Comparison with the Pugh score.

Seventy-eight patients with cirrhosis were prospectively followed for up to 20 months, on the average. At entry into the study, galactose elimination capacity, aminopyrine breath test, and ICG clearance were measured. At the end of the study, 27 patients had died. Univariate analysis using the Kaplan-Meier method showed that both quantitative liver function tests (galactose elimination capacity: P less than 0.025; aminopyrine breath test: P less than 0.001; ICG clearance: P less than 0.005) and common clinical and biochemical data (encephalopathy: P less than 0.001; ascites: P less than 0.001; serum bilirubin: P less than 0.005; serum albumin: P less than 0.001; prothrombin index: P less than 0.05) were significant predictors of survival. To investigate whether quantitative liver function tests could contribute to a better definition of the prognosis, once Pugh score had already been taken into account, a multiple regression analysis according to the Cox model was performed. Pugh score and galactose elimination capacity resulted in the only independent prognostic covariates. From them a prognostic index was calculated, and the model was validated in an additional sample of 70 patients investigated according to the same protocol. The contribution GEC gave to the assessment of overall prognosis over that obtained using the Pugh score was slight, as estimated by the statistical parameters of the Cox's model, but was significant as assessed by a ROC curve analysis (P = 0.05). These data show that all quantitative liver function tests were predictors of survival in cirrhosis, and that the galactose elimination capacity added some new prognostic information to those already available using the Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification.

Thyroid gland size and function in patients with cirrhosis of the liver.

Thyroid dysfunction has long been reported in patients with liver disease, but limited information is available on thyroid gland size in cirrhosis. Most studies were carried out on small, selected series of patients, and no study has measured thyroid volume in relation to the etiology of liver disease. Thyroid volume was measured at ultrasound in 118 consecutive patients with cirrhosis of different etiology and 48 healthy subjects matched for age and sex. No subjects had evidence of overt thyroid disease. The mean volume was increased by 17% (from 16.0 [SD 5.2] ml in controls to 18.8 [7.6] in cirrhosis; P less than 0.025), and thyroid enlargement (antero-posterior diameter greater than 20 mm) was present in 38% of cases, in the presence of hormone values indicative of low-T3 syndrome. No significant differences in thyroid gland size were observed in relation to the extent of liver dysfunction or to the etiology of liver disease. The prevalence of thyroid nodules was similar in controls and in patients with cirrhosis. In only 8% of cases were laboratory values indicative of hypothyroidism, with low free triiodothyronine and raised thyroid-stimulating hormone levels; in these patients thyroid volume was decreased on average by 26%. This was mainly the case with patients with primary biliary and alcoholic cirrhosis. The largest mean thyroid volume was observed in patients with HBsAg + ve postnecrotic cirrhosis, whose thyroid volume was increased on average by 37%, and 53% of subjects had thyroid enlargement. This finding raises the question of a possible direct involvement of the thyroid in hepatitis B virus infection.

Portal blood velocity and flow in aging man.

The portal blood velocity and flow were measured by means of pulsed echo-Doppler in 60 normal subjects of 4 different age groups (less than or equal to 40, 41-55, 56-70, greater than or equal to 71 years). All subjects had normal routine liver function tests and no history of liver disease. Portal blood velocity decreased from 15.7 +/- 3.2 cm/s in younger subjects to 12.4 +/- 1.7 in subjects over 71 years (ANOVA: p = 0.005). Similarly portal blood flow decreased (p = 0.025). Both portal blood velocity and flow were inversely correlated with age (r = -0.583 and -0.505, respectively). No changes in portal vein diameter were observed. The age-related decline in portal flow may account for the decrease in hepatic blood flow previously documented in the elderly.