Prognostication and risk factor stratification for survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide big data analysis.

This study was conducted to identify risk factors affecting overall survival (OS) and provide prognostication for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using nationwide big data. Between January 2008 and December 2014, 10,573 adult patients with new HCC were registered in a nationwide database. Among them, 6830 patients without missing data were analyzed to construct a prognostication system. A validation cohort of 4580 patients was obtained from a tertiary hospital. All patients were assumed to have received the best treatment. A conditional inference tree analysis was performed to establish a prognostic system. The C-index and calibration plot for 5-year survival were estimated for validation. As a result, the tumor burden (TB) grade was the most significant factor in determining OS, and the cutoff was TB3 (TB1‒3 versus TB4). The patients were ultimately divided into 13 prognosis groups. The C-indexes were 0.714 and 0.737 (95% confidence interval, 0.733-0.742) in the nationwide (derivation) and hospital (validation) cohorts, respectively. In the calibration plot, the 5-year survival of the validation cohort largely matched the 45-degree line. In conclusion, the proposed prognostication system with a simple tree structure enabled the detailed stratification of patient prognosis and visualized the strata of risk factors affecting OS.

Statistical Analysis of Influences on the Psychosocial Status of Children With Hemangiomas and Their Families.

The psychologic stress on the child and family, which arise from hemangiomas, the most common neoplasm of childhood, cannot be overestimated. This study determined the preoperative and postoperative psychosocial status and variation among Oriental children with hemangiomas and their families by questionnaire. Thirty patients who underwent surgery for hemangiomas were assessed for preoperative and postoperative psychosocial status by questionnaire. The distribution of the total mean score and variation between the preoperative and postoperative status was estimated. Based on these results, the significance was statistically analyzed according to variable determinants. This study showed that hemangiomas have harmful effects on psychosocial status of patients and families. After corrective surgery, an improvement in psychosocial status was noted with respect to the self-esteem category or categories related to social activity, and in the following variables, women, face, and dissatisfaction with appearance. When the authors care for patients with hemangiomas and their families, the psychosocial health must be presumed to be at particular risk. Earlier surgical interventions with esthetic concerns have permitted the patient and family the opportunity to reduce the psychologic impact that the hemangioma may otherwise have.

Risk factor analysis for postoperative urinary retention after surgery for degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Postoperative urinary retention (POUR) may not be considered a major complication after surgery for degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis. However, improper management of transient POUR leads to bladder overdistension and permanent bladder detrusor damage. Systematic monitoring of POUR may be recommended in vulnerable patients. PURPOSE: The aim of the present study was to determine the incidence of and risk factors for POUR. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: This is a retrospective nested case-control study. PATIENT SAMPLE: A total of 284 consecutive patients (M : F=125:159; mean age, 63.3 years) who underwent spine surgery for degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis were reviewed. OUTCOME MEASURES: A multivariable logistic model was utilized to identify risk factors. METHODS: A systematic postoperative voiding care protocol was applied for all patients to monitor them for the development of POUR. An indwelling urethral catheter was inserted intraoperatively and removed in the postanesthesia care unit. The patients were encouraged to void within 6 hours postoperatively and every 4-6 hours thereafter. After each voiding, the postvoid residual urine (PVR) was measured by an ultrasound bladder scan. POUR was defined as the inability to void or having a PVR≥100 mL for more than 2 days after surgery. RESULTS: The incidence of POUR was 27.1% (77/284). Older age (odds ratio, 1.062; 95% confidence interval, 1.029-1.095) and a long duration of surgery (odds ratio, 1.003; 95% confidence interval, 1.001-1.005) were significant risk factors. A formula for determining the probability of POUR was developed, and a probability of ≥0.26 was regarded as the cut-off value (sensitivity of 0.75 and specificity of 0.57; C-statics, 0.684). CONCLUSION: POUR was a common morbidity after surgery for degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis. We recommend adopting a systematic postoperative voiding care protocol to prevent bladder overdistension and detrusor damage, especially for elderly patients and those who have undergone longer surgeries.

Sex, Age, and the Association of Serum Phosphorus With All-Cause Mortality in Adults With Normal Kidney Function.

BACKGROUND: High serum phosphorus levels are associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in kidney disease. Although serum phosphorus levels possibly influence on mortality in individuals without kidney disease, this is uncertain because of the variable sex- and age-based distribution of serum phosphorus levels. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Clinical and biochemical data were collected from 138,735 adults undergoing routine health checkups in 3 tertiary hospitals. Individuals with estimated glomerular filtration rates < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and urine dipstick albumin ≥ 1+ were excluded. PREDICTOR: Sex-specific quartiles of serum phosphorus and sex. OUTCOMES: All-cause mortality. RESULTS: The study included 92,756 individuals. Generally, women showed higher serum phosphorus levels than men. In women, serum phosphorus levels increased with age until 60 years old, then decreased with age. Men with higher serum phosphorus levels were younger and less likely to have hypertension, whereas women with higher serum phosphorus levels were older and more likely to have diabetes and hypertension. During a median follow-up of 75 months, 1,646 participants died. In the overall population, higher serum phosphorus levels were an independent predictor for all-cause mortality after adjustment (adjusted HR for the highest vs. lowest quartile, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.15-1.56; P<0.001). We observed that this increased risk was present in men but not in women (adjusted HR of 1.43 [95% CI, 1.22-1.68] vs. 1.01 [95% CI, 0.76-1.33]), but interaction by sex was not significant (P=0.8). LIMITATIONS: A single phosphorus measurement and low power to test for interactions by sex and age. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that higher serum phosphorus levels influenced all-cause mortality in individuals with normal kidney function. Our findings suggest that the association may differ by sex, but future studies with adequate power to test for effect modification are needed to confirm our findings.

Dialysis Modality and Mortality in the Elderly: A Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Identifying the appropriate choice between hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) is an unresolved issue in elderly patients with ESRD, who are at high risk for death but have a low chance of receiving kidney transplantation. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Data on 13,065 incident dialysis Korean patients (age≥65 years) receiving HD (n=10,675) or PD (n=2390) were obtained from the Korean Health Insurance dataset. Multiple statistical approaches, including the multivariate Cox model, were used to compare mortality between Korean patients receiving PD and those receiving HD. Subsequently, meta-analysis of previous comparison studies (published since the year 2000; population-based studies) and the Korean dataset was performed. RESULTS: During a mean duration of 1.8±1.3 years (maximum of 5 years), the Korean PD group had a higher mortality rate than the Korean HD group (hazard ratio [HR], 1.20 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.13 to 1.28]; P<0.001 by multivariate Cox model). The discrepancy between the two modalities was greater in the presence of certain conditions, such as diabetes mellitus or longer dialysis duration. In the meta-analysis, 15 studies involving >631,421 elderly patients were reviewed. Compared with HD, the pooled HR with PD was 1.10 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.20). When the meta-analysis was stratified by confounding factors, the survival benefit from HD was particularly strong in subgroups that had diabetes mellitus, had long dialysis duration (>1 year), or contained cohorts starting dialysis in the 1990s. CONCLUSIONS: A meta-analysis that included results in Korean patients suggests a higher risk for death in elderly patients receiving PD than in those receiving HD.