Prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in Sri Lanka: a new global hotspot-estimates from the Sri Lanka Health and Ageing Survey 2018/2019.

INTRODUCTION: This study's objective was to produce robust, comparable estimates of the prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes in the Sri Lankan adult population, where previous studies suggest the highest prevalence in South Asia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used data on 6661 adults from the nationally representative 2018/2019 first wave of the Sri Lanka Health and Ageing Study (SLHAS). We classified glycemic status based on previous diabetes diagnosis, and either fasting plasma glucose (FPG), or FPG and 2-hour plasma glucose (2-h PG). We estimated crude and age-standardized prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes and by major individual characteristics weighting the data to account for study design and subject participation. RESULTS: Crude prevalence of diabetes in adults was 23.0% (95% CI 21.2% to 24.7%) using both 2-h PG and FPG, and age-standardized prevalence was 21.8% (95% CI 20.1% to 23.5%). Using only FPG, prevalence was 18.5% (95% CI 7.1% to 19.8%). Previously diagnosed prevalence was 14.3% (95% CI 13.1% to 15.5%) of all adults. The prevalence of pre-diabetes was 30.5% (95% CI 28.2% to 32.7%). Diabetes prevalence increased with age until ages ≥70 years and was more prevalent in female, urban, more affluent, and Muslim adults. Diabetes and pre-diabetes prevalence increased with body mass index (BMI) but was as high as 21% and 29%, respectively, in those of normal weight. CONCLUSIONS: Study limitations included using only a single visit to assess diabetes, relying on self-reported fasting times, and unavailability of glycated hemoglobin for most participants. Our results indicate that Sri Lanka has a very high diabetes prevalence, significantly higher than previous estimates of 8%-15% and higher than current global estimates for any other Asian country. Our results have implications for other populations of South Asian origin, and the high prevalence of diabetes and dysglycemia at normal body weight indicates the need for further research to understand the underlying drivers.

Prevalence and Associations of Hypertension in Sri Lankan Adults: Estimates from the SLHAS 2018-19 Survey Using JNC7 and ACC/AHA 2017 Guidelines.

Background: Sri Lanka lacks robust estimates of hypertension (HTN) prevalence owing to few national studies, hindering optimization of control strategies. Evidence on how the revised 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) HTN definition affects prevalence in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is also limited. Objectives: To make robust estimates of HTN prevalence in the Sri Lankan adult population, and to assess impact of the ACC/AHA 2017 definitions. Methods: Data were sourced from the 2018-2019 first wave of the Sri Lanka Health and Ageing Study (SLHAS), a nationally representative longitudinal study of the noninstitutionalized adult population. After excluding those with missing data and aged <18 years, 6,342 participants (95.1%) were included in the analysis. HTN was defined using either the traditional threshold of systolic BP (SBP) ≥140 mmHg or a diastolic BP (DBP) ≥90 mmHg, or the ACC/AHA 2017 threshold of SBP ≥130 mmHg or DBP ≥80 mmHg, or if taking antihypertensive medication. Results: Estimated prevalence of HTN in all Sri Lankan adults was 28.2% using the traditional definition, and it doubled to 51.3% when applying the ACC/AHA 2017 definition. Of those classified as hypertensive according to the older and ACC/AHA 2017 definitions, 53.4% and 31.2%, respectively, were previously diagnosed. Of the 23.2% of adults reclassified as hypertensive by the ACC/AHA 2017 definition, 16.6% had a history of CVD or diabetes. Increased prevalence was associated with urban residence, socioeconomic status, obesity, and Muslim ethnicity. Prevalence increased with age, but the increase was steeper in women from their 30s. Conclusions: Nearly one in three adult Sri Lankans are hypertensive, requiring antihypertensive treatment. Applying the ACC/AHA 2017 definitions almost doubles numbers, but many of those reclassified would require treatment under recent WHO guidelines. Study findings also suggest that design effects in HTN surveys may be higher than usually assumed.

Increased Intensity Of PCR Testing Reduced COVID-19 Transmission Within Countries During The First Pandemic Wave.

Experts agree that reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing is critical in controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but decision makers disagree on how much testing is optimal. Controlling for interventions and ecological factors, we used linear regression to quantify testing's impact on COVID-19's average reproduction number, which represents transmissibility, in 173 countries and territories (which account for 99 percent of the world's COVID-19 cases) during March-June 2020. Among interventions, PCR testing had the greatest influence: a tenfold increase in the ratio of tests to new cases reported reduced the average reproduction number by 9 percent across a range of testing levels. Our results imply that mobility reductions (for example, shelter-in-place orders) were less effective in developing countries than in developed countries. Our results help explain how some nations achieved near-elimination of COVID-19 and the failure of lockdowns to slow COVID-19 in others. Our findings suggest that the testing benchmarks used by the World Health Organization and other entities are insufficient for COVID-19 control. Increased testing and isolation may represent the most effective, least costly alternative in terms of money, economic growth, and human life for controlling COVID-19.