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BACKGROUND: In infants and children, postoperative respiratory complications are leading causes of perioperative morbidity, mortality, and increased healthcare utilisation. We aimed to develop a novel score for prediction of postoperative respiratory complications in paediatric patients (SPORC for children). METHODS: We analysed data from paediatric patients (≤12 yr) undergoing surgery in New York and Boston, USA for score development and external validation. The primary outcome was postoperative respiratory complications within 30 days after surgery, defined as respiratory infection, respiratory failure, aspiration pneumonitis, pneumothorax, pleural effusion, bronchospasm, laryngospasm, and reintubation. Data from Children's Hospital at Montefiore were used to create the score by stepwise backwards elimination using multivariate logistic regression. External validation was conducted using a separate cohort of children who underwent surgery at Massachusetts General Hospital for Children. RESULTS: The study included data from children undergoing 32,187⬠surgical procedures, where 768 (2.4%) children experienced postoperative respiratory complications. The final score consisted of 11 predictors, and showed discriminatory ability in development, internal, and external validation cohorts with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.85 (95% confidence interval: 0.83-0.87), 0.84 (0.80-0.87), and 0.83 (0.80-0.86), respectively. CONCLUSION: SPORC is a novel validated score for predicting the likelihood of postoperative respiratory complications in children that can be used to predict postoperative respiratory complications in infants and children.
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The role of antithrombotic therapy in the prevention of ischemic stroke after non-cardiac surgery is unclear. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation therapy. Of 251,837 adult patients (155,111 female (61.6%) and 96,726 male (38.4%)) who underwent non-cardiac surgical procedures at two sites, POAF was detected in 4,538 (1.8%) patients. The occurrence of POAF was associated with increased 1-year ischemic stroke risk (3.6% versus 2.3%; adjusted risk ratio (RRadj) = 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37-1.87), P < 0.001). In patients with POAF, the risk of developing stroke attributable to POAF was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.44-2.28; P < 0.001) without oral anticoagulation, whereas, in patients treated with anticoagulation, no significant association was observed between POAF and stroke (RRadj = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.71-1.51), P = 0.847, P for interaction = 0.013). Furthermore, we derived and validated a computational model for the prediction of POAF after non-cardiac surgery based on demographics, comorbidities and procedural risk. These findings suggest that POAF is predictable and associated with an increased risk of postoperative ischemic stroke in patients who do not receive postoperative anticoagulation.
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BACKGROUND: Limited research exists on contemporary opioid overdose mortality burden and trends in New York State, with most studies focusing on New York City. This study aimed to assess opioid overdose burden and death trends in New York State by age, sex, race/ethnicity, geographic area, opioid type, and overdose intent from 1999 to 2020. METHODS: Mortality data were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's WONDER database. Opioid overdose decedents were identified using relevant International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes. Joinpoint regression analyzed trends, estimating annual and average annual percentage changes in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR). 95% confidence intervals were derived using the Parametric Method. RESULTS: From 1999 to 2020, New York State recorded 34,109 opioid overdose deaths (AAMR = 7.9 per 100,000 persons; 95% CI: 7.8-7.9). The overall trend increased by 12.6% per year (95% CI: 10.8, 14.4) from 2004 to 2020. Subgroups exhibited varying trends, with an 11.1% yearly increase among Non-Hispanic White persons from 2007 to 2020 (95% CI: 9.0, 13.2), a 24.6% annual rise among Non-Hispanic Black persons from 2012 to 2020 (95% CI: 17.7, 31.8), and an 18.3% increase yearly among Hispanic individuals from 2011 to 2020 (95% CI: 14.0, 22.9). Recent trends have worsened in both males and females, across all age groups, in both New York City (NYC) and areas outside NYC, and for heroin, natural and semisynthetic opioids, and synthetic opioids. CONCLUSIONS: Opioid overdose mortality in New York State has worsened significantly in the last two decades. Further research is essential to identify driving factors for targeted public health interventions.
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Sobredosis de Opiáceos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Analgésicos Opioides/envenenamiento , Sobredosis de Droga/mortalidad , New York/epidemiología , Sobredosis de Opiáceos/mortalidad , Sobredosis de Opiáceos/epidemiología , Trastornos Relacionados con Opioides/mortalidad , Blanco , Negro o Afroamericano , Hispánicos o LatinosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Dexmedetomidine utilisation in paediatric patients is increasing. We hypothesised that intraoperative use of dexmedetomidine in children is associated with longer postanaesthesia care unit length of stay, higher healthcare costs, and side-effects. METHODS: We analysed data from paediatric patients (aged 0-12 yr) between 2016 and 2021 in the Bronx, NY, USA. We matched our cohort with the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project-Kids' Inpatient Database (HCUP-KID). RESULTS: Among 18 104 paediatric patients, intraoperative dexmedetomidine utilisation increased from 51.7% to 85.7% between 2016 and 2021 (P<0.001). Dexmedetomidine was dose-dependently associated with a longer postanaesthesia care unit length of stay (adjusted absolute difference [ADadj] 19.7 min; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 18.0-21.4 min; P<0.001, median length of stay of 122 vs 98 min). The association was magnified in children aged ≤2 yr undergoing short (≤60 min) ambulatory procedures (ADadj 33.3 min; 95% CI: 26.3-40.7 min; P<0.001; P-for-interaction <0.001). Dexmedetomidine was associated with higher total hospital costs of USD 1311 (95% CI: USD 835-1800), higher odds of intraoperative mean arterial blood pressure below 55 mm Hg (adjusted odds ratio [ORadj] 1.27; 95% CI: 1.16-1.39; P<0.001), and higher odds of heart rate below 100 beats min-1 (ORadj 1.32; 95% CI: 1.21-1.45; P<0.001), with no preventive effects on emergence delirium requiring postanaesthesia i.v. sedatives (ORadj 1.67; 95% CI: 1.04-2.68; P=0.034). CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative use of dexmedetomidine is associated with unwarranted haemodynamic effects, longer postanaesthesia care unit length of stay, and higher costs, without preventive effects on emergence delirium.
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Periodo de Recuperación de la Anestesia , Dexmedetomidina , Hemodinámica , Hipnóticos y Sedantes , Tiempo de Internación , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Dexmedetomidina/uso terapéutico , Preescolar , Lactante , Femenino , Masculino , Niño , Hipnóticos y Sedantes/economía , Hemodinámica/efectos de los fármacos , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Recién Nacido , Anestesia/economía , Anestesia/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Anestesia PediátricaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Black race is associated with postoperative adverse discharge to a nursing facility, but the effects of Hispanic/Latino ethnicity are unclear. We explored the Hispanic paradox , described as improved health outcomes among Hispanic/Latino patients on postoperative adverse discharge to nursing facility. METHODS: A total of 93,356 adults who underwent surgery and were admitted from home to Montefiore Medical Center in the Bronx, New York, between January 2016 and June 2021 were included. The association between self-identified Hispanic/Latino ethnicity and the primary outcome, postoperative adverse discharge to a nursing home or skilled nursing facility, was investigated. Interaction analysis was used to examine the impact of socioeconomic status, determined by estimated median household income and insurance status, on the primary association. Mixed-effects models were used to evaluate the proportion of variance attributed to the patient's residential area defined by zip code and self-identified ethnicity. RESULTS: Approximately 45.9% (42,832) of patients identified as Hispanic/Latino ethnicity and 9.7% (9074) patients experienced postoperative adverse discharge. Hispanic/Latino ethnicity was associated with lower risk of adverse discharge (relative risk [RR adj ] 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 00.82-0.94; P < .001), indicating a Hispanic Paradox . This effect was modified by the patient's socioeconomic status ( P -for-interaction <.001). Among patients with a high socioeconomic status, the Hispanic paradox was abolished (RR adj 1.10; 95% CI, 11.00-1.20; P = .035). Furthermore, within patients of low socioeconomic status, Hispanic/Latino ethnicity was associated with a higher likelihood of postoperative discharge home with health services compared to non-Hispanic/Latino patients (RR adj 1.06; 95% CI, 11.01-1.12; P = .017). CONCLUSIONS: Hispanic/Latino ethnicity is a protective factor for postoperative adverse discharge, but this association is modified by socioeconomic status. Future studies should focus on postoperative discharge disposition and socioeconomic barriers in patients with Hispanic/Latino ethnicity.
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Hispánicos o Latinos , Alta del Paciente , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Ciudad de Nueva York , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etnología , Vida Independiente , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Casas de Salud , Instituciones de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermería , Factores SocioeconómicosRESUMEN
Importance: Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability in the US. Accurate and updated measures of stroke burden are needed to guide public health policies. Objective: To present burden estimates of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke in the US in 2019 and describe trends from 1990 to 2019 by age, sex, and geographic location. Design, Setting, and Participants: An in-depth cross-sectional analysis of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study was conducted. The setting included the time period of 1990 to 2019 in the US. The study encompassed estimates for various types of strokes, including all strokes, ischemic strokes, intracerebral hemorrhages (ICHs), and subarachnoid hemorrhages (SAHs). The 2019 Global Burden of Disease results were released on October 20, 2020. Exposures: In this study, no particular exposure was specifically targeted. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary focus of this analysis centered on both overall and age-standardized estimates, stroke incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs per 100â¯000 individuals. Results: In 2019, the US recorded 7.09 million prevalent strokes (4.07 million women [57.4%]; 3.02 million men [42.6%]), with 5.87 million being ischemic strokes (82.7%). Prevalence also included 0.66 million ICHs and 0.85 million SAHs. Although the absolute numbers of stroke cases, mortality, and DALYs surged from 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized rates either declined or remained steady. Notably, hemorrhagic strokes manifested a substantial increase, especially in mortality, compared with ischemic strokes (incidence of ischemic stroke increased by 13% [95% uncertainty interval (UI), 14.2%-11.9%]; incidence of ICH increased by 39.8% [95% UI, 38.9%-39.7%]; incidence of SAH increased by 50.9% [95% UI, 49.2%-52.6%]). The downturn in stroke mortality plateaued in the recent decade. There was a discernible heterogeneity in stroke burden trends, with older adults (50-74 years) experiencing a decrease in incidence in coastal areas (decreases up to 3.9% in Vermont), in contrast to an uptick observed in younger demographics (15-49 years) in the South and Midwest US (with increases up to 8.4% in Minnesota). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study, the declining age-standardized stroke rates over the past 3 decades suggest progress in managing stroke-related outcomes. However, the increasing absolute burden of stroke, coupled with a notable rise in hemorrhagic stroke, suggests an evolving and substantial public health challenge in the US. Moreover, the significant disparities in stroke burden trends across different age groups and geographic locations underscore the necessity for region- and demography-specific interventions and policies to effectively mitigate the multifaceted and escalating burden of stroke in the country.
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BACKGROUND: Despite the burden of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL) in the USA, an assessment of contemporary mortality trends is scarce in the literature. This study aimed to assess the temporal trends in AF/AFL deaths among US adults by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and census region from 1999 to 2020. METHODS: National mortality data was abstracted from the National Center for Health Statistics to identify decedents whose underlying cause of death was cardiovascular disease and multiple cause of death, AF/AFL. Joinpoint regression assessed mortality trends, and we calculated the average percentage changes (APC) and average annual percentage changes in mortality rates. Results were presented as effect estimates and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2020, 657,126 adults died from AF/AFL in the USA. Contemporary trends have worsened overall except among individuals from the Northeast region for whom the rates have remained stationary since 2015 (APC = 0.1; 95% CI, - 1.0, 1.1). Regional and demographic disparities were observed, with higher rates noted among younger persons below 65 years of age, women (APC = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.7, 2.5), and non-Hispanic Blacks (APC = 4.5; 95% CI, 3.9, 5.2). CONCLUSIONS: The temporal trends in AF/AFL mortality in the USA have exhibited a worsening pattern in recent years, with regional and demographic disparities. Further investigations are warranted to explore the determinants of AF/AFL mortality in the US population and identify factors that may explain the observed differences. Understanding these factors will facilitate efforts to promote improved and equitable health outcomes for the population.
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BACKGROUND: Social inequalities among underrepresented communities may lead to higher overdose mortality involving cocaine use. We assessed the temporal trends in cocaine-involved overdose mortality rate in the US by race, ethnicity, and geographic region from 1999 to 2020. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study among adults in the US using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database (1999 to 2020). To identify cocaine-involved overdose decedents, we used the International Classification of Diseases Code, 10th Revision-T40.5. We used Joinpoint regression to examine the trends in age-adjusted cocaine-involved overdose mortality rates (AAMR) by race, ethnicity, and geographic region and estimated annual percentage changes (APC). RESULTS: Overall, cocaine-involved overdose mortality trends increased (APC, 11.3%; 95% CI, 0.6, 23.2) from 2017 to 2020. The latest trends have remained stable among Non-Hispanic Whites since 2017 (APC, 4.3%; 95% CI, -5.7%, 15.4%) but have significantly increased among Non-Hispanic Blacks (APC, 27.2%; 95% CI, 22.1%, 32.5%), Hispanics (APC, 26.9%; 95% CI, 20.6%, 33.5%), and American Indians/Alaska Natives (APC, 24.1%; 95% CI, 16.5%, 32.2%). CONCLUSION: Cocaine-related overdose deaths in the US significantly increased between 2017 and 2020, but the increase was among racial and ethnic minorities and not among Non-Hispanic Whites. These findings suggest a need to address the US' longstanding racial and ethnic healthcare inequities.
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Cocaína , Sobredosis de Droga , Etnicidad , Grupos Raciales , Adulto , Humanos , Cocaína/efectos adversos , Estudios Transversales , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Sobredosis de Droga/mortalidadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: This article describes key data sources and methods used to estimate hearing loss in the United States, in the Global Burden of Disease study. Then, trends in hearing loss are described for 2019, including temporal trends from 1990 to 2019, changing prevalence over age, severity patterns, and utilization of hearing aids. DESIGN: We utilized population-representative surveys from the United States to estimate hearing loss prevalence for the Global Burden of Disease study. A key input data source in modeled estimates are the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES), years 1988 to 2010. We ran hierarchical severity-specific models to estimate hearing loss prevalence. We then scaled severity-specific models to sum to total hearing impairment prevalence, adjusted estimates for hearing aid coverage, and split estimates by etiology and tinnitus status. We computed years lived with disability (YLDs), which quantifies the amount of health loss associated with a condition depending on severity and creates a common metric to compare the burden of disparate diseases. This was done by multiplying the prevalence of severity-specific hearing loss by corresponding disability weights, with additional weighting for tinnitus comorbidity. RESULTS: An estimated 72.88 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 68.53 to 77.30) people in the United States had hearing loss in 2019, accounting for 22.2% (20.9 to 23.6) of the total population. Hearing loss was responsible for 2.24 million (1.56 to 3.11) YLDs (3.6% (2.8 to 4.7) of total US YLDs). Age-standardized prevalence was higher in males (17.7% [16.7 to 18.8]) compared with females (11.9%, [11.2 to 12.5]). While most cases of hearing loss were mild (64.3%, 95% UI 61.0 to 67.6), disability was concentrated in cases that were moderate or more severe. The all-age prevalence of hearing loss in the United States was 28.1% (25.7 to 30.8) higher in 2019 than in 1990, despite stable age-standardized prevalence. An estimated 9.7% (8.6 to 11.0) of individuals with mild to profound hearing loss utilized a hearing aid, while 32.5% (31.9 to 33.2) of individuals with hearing loss experienced tinnitus. Occupational noise exposure was responsible for 11.2% (10.2 to 12.4) of hearing loss YLDs. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate large burden of hearing loss in the United States, with an estimated 1 in 5 people experiencing this condition. While many cases of hearing loss in the United States were mild, growing prevalence, low usage of hearing aids, and aging populations indicate the rising impact of this condition in future years and the increasing importance of domestic access to hearing healthcare services. Large-scale audiometric surveys such as NHANES are needed to regularly assess hearing loss burden and access to healthcare, improving our understanding of who is impacted by hearing loss and what groups are most amenable to intervention.
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Audífonos , Pérdida Auditiva , Acúfeno , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Carga Global de Enfermedades , Acúfeno/epidemiología , Años de Vida Ajustados por Discapacidad , Encuestas Nutricionales , Salud Global , Pérdida Auditiva/epidemiología , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de VidaRESUMEN
Objectives. To assess the association between the New York Secure Ammunition and Firearms Enforcement Act (NY SAFE Act) and firearm suicide and homicide rates. Methods. We employed a synthetic controls approach to investigate the impact of the NY SAFE Act on firearm suicide and firearm homicide rates. We collected state-level data on firearm mortality from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) database for the period 1999-2019. We derived statistical inference by using a permutation-based in-place placebo test. Results. The implementation of the NY SAFE Act was associated with a significant reduction in firearm homicide rates, demonstrating a decrease of 63%. This decrease corresponds to an estimated prevention of 1697 deaths between 2013 and 2019. However, there was no association between the NY SAFE Act and firearm suicide rates. Conclusions. As the responsibility for enacting firearm policies increasingly falls on states instead of the federal government, this study provides valuable information that can assist states in making evidence-based decisions regarding the development and implementation of firearm policies that prioritize public safety and aim to prevent firearm-related fatalities. (Am J Public Health. 2023;113(12):1309-1317. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307400).
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Armas de Fuego , Suicidio , Heridas por Arma de Fuego , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Homicidio/prevención & control , New York/epidemiología , Toma de DecisionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) imposes a high disease burden on patients, primarily because of multimorbidity and frequent hospitalizations. Recently, the American College of Cardiology Expert Consensus recommended treating all patients diagnosed with HFpEF with a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, such as dapagliflozin or empagliflozin, to reduce the risk of cardiovascular death and hospitalization and improve health status. However, managing HFpEF can be expensive, highlighting the need to assess therapeutic alternatives that can minimize health care costs while optimizing patient outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost-effectiveness of dapagliflozin vs empagliflozin in managing patients with HFpEF from the US health care system perspective. METHODS: We developed a Markov model to simulate a cohort of patients with HFpEF (defined as having a left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 50%) treated with dapagliflozin or empagliflozin. Transition probabilities between 3 health states (HFpEF, hospitalization for heart failure, and death), costs, and quality of life weight input variables were obtained from the literature. In the base-case analysis, we estimated total expected costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a lifetime horizon. All future expected costs and QALYs were discounted at the annual rate of 3%. We conducted sensitivity analyses to demonstrate the robustness of the cost-effectiveness model findings. RESULTS: Dapagliflozin had an incremental expected lifetime cost of $29,896 compared with empagliflozin, resulting in an ICER of $36,902/QALY. Value-based price threshold analysis suggested that for empagliflozin to be cost-effective, it would need a 29% discount on its annual price. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, dapagliflozin would be the most preferred cost-effective option at willingness-to-pay thresholds of $50,000/QALY about 72% of the time. CONCLUSIONS: This cost-effectiveness analysis showed that, from the US health care system perspective, dapagliflozin was more cost-effective than empagliflozin, and its uptake may enhance long-term outcomes in patients with HFpEF.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Humanos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Análisis de Costo-Efectividad , Calidad de Vida , Volumen Sistólico , Función Ventricular IzquierdaRESUMEN
Importance: Alcohol consumption rates have been increasing among women in the US, which may affect mortality rates and sex gaps. Therefore, conducting a comprehensive assessment of sex differences in alcohol-related deaths is essential to inform targeted interventions and policies aimed at reducing the burden of alcohol-related harm among the population. Objective: To examine sex differences in the burden and trends of alcohol-related mortality in the US from 1999 to 2020. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional time series study used Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research data on alcohol-related deaths from 1999 to 2020. Alcohol-related deaths were identified from the underlying cause of death files using International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision, codes, including alcohol-related poisoning, liver disease, gastritis, cardiomyopathy, myopathy, polyneuropathy, and pseudo-Cushing syndrome, among others. Main Outcomes and Measures: Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were analyzed by sex and substratified by race and ethnicity, age, and census region. Rate ratios and 95% CIs calculated by Taylor series were used to assess sex differences in mortality burden. Joinpoint regression was used to assess temporal trends. Results: A total of 605â¯948 alcohol-attributed deaths were identified in the US from 1999 through 2020 (AAMR, 8.3 per 100â¯000 persons; 95% CI, 8.3-8.3 per 100â¯000 persons). The mortality burden was higher among male individuals than female individuals, with male individuals being 2.88 (95% CI, 2.86-2.89) times more likely to die compared with female individuals. However, temporal trends showed an increase in alcohol-related deaths for both male and female individuals in recent years, with higher rates of increase among female individuals relative to male individuals. The AAMR increased by 12.5% (95% CI, 6.4%-19.1%) per year among male individuals from 2018 to 2020 but increased by 14.7% (95% CI, 9.1%-20.5%) per year among female individuals during the same period. Trend differences were observed across subtypes of age, race and ethnicity, cause, and region. Conclusions and Relevance: This study of alcohol-related mortality in the US suggests there has been a significantly higher rate of increase in deaths among female individuals in recent years. These findings underscore the need for further research to understand the specific factors associated with this trend. The development of targeted interventions and evidence-based treatments for alcohol use among female individuals becomes imperative in effectively addressing the increasing rates of alcohol-related deaths.
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Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas , Etnicidad , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Transversales , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Prior studies have reported a reversal or stalling of stroke mortality trends in the United States, but the literature has not been updated using recent data. A comprehensive examination of contemporary trends is crucial to informing public health intervention efforts, setting health priorities, and allocating limited health resources. This study assessed the temporal trends in stroke death rates in the United States from 1999 through 2020. METHODS: We used national mortality data from the Underlying Cause of Death files in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER). Stroke decedents were identified using the International Classification of Diseases Codes, 10th Revision- I60-I69. Crude/age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were abstracted overall and by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and US census region. Joinpoint analysis and five-year simple moving averages assessed mortality trends from 1999 through 2020. Results were expressed as annual percentage changes (APC), average annual percentage changes (AAPC), and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Stroke mortality trends declined from 1999 to 2012 but increased by 0.5% annually from 2012 through 2020. Rates increased by 1.3% per year among Non-Hispanic Blacks from 2012 to 2020, 1.7% per year among Hispanics from 2012 to 2020, and stalled among Non-Hispanic Whites (2012-2020), Asians/Pacific Islanders (2014-2020), and American Indians/Alaska Natives (2013-2020). Recent rates have stalled among females from 2012 to 2020 and increased among males at an annual rate of 0.7% during the same period. Based on age, trends have stabilized among older adults since 2012 and grew at an annual rate of 7.1% among persons <35 years and 5.2% among persons 35 to 64 years since 2018. Declining trends were sustained in the Northeastern region only, with rates stalling in the Midwest and increasing in the South and West. CONCLUSIONS: The decline in US stroke mortality trends recorded during previous decades has not been sustained in recent years. While the reasons are unclear, findings might be attributed to changes in stroke risk factors in the US population. Further research should identify social, regional, and behavioral drivers to guide medical and public health intervention efforts.
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Etnicidad , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Grupos Raciales , Persona de Mediana EdadRESUMEN
This study comprehensively examined trends in alcohol-induced overdose mortality in the USA between 1999 and 2020 by age, sex, race/ethnicity, census region, and type of injury. Using the CDC WONDER database, 605,948 alcohol-induced deaths were recorded. Mortality increased by 14.1% per year (95% CI 8.2, 20.3) from 2018 to 2020, with the highest rates among males, non-Hispanic Whites, individuals aged 55-64, and the Western census region. Rising trends were observed across racial/ethnic subgroups, except for American Indians/Alaska Natives, with annual increases of 17% among non-Hispanic Blacks, 14.3% among non-Hispanic Whites, 9.5% among Asian/Pacific Islanders, and 12.6% among Hispanics. Males, females, all age groups, and census regions also experienced increasing trends. In conclusion, this study underscores worsening alcohol-induced mortality in the recent two decades and the need for research to identify its determinants. Such research can guide evidence-based public health interventions to reduce excessive alcohol use consequences. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11469-023-01083-1.
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BACKGROUND: The health and well-being of mothers are essential for a thriving and prosperous society, yet maternal mortality remains a pressing public health problem in the USA. We aimed to examine the US trends in maternal mortality from 1999 to 2020 based on age, race/ethnicity, and census region. METHODS: Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research were used to identify maternal mortality cases. Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression. Annual percentage changes, average annual percentage changes, and 95% confidence intervals were calculated. RESULTS: The maternal mortality rate in the USA increased from 1999 to 2013, but has stabilized since then until 2020 (APC = - 0.1; 95% CI: - 7.4, 2.9). However, there have been recent increases among Hispanics at a rate of 2.8% per year (95% CI: 1.6, 4.0) from 1999 to 2020. The rates stabilized among non-Hispanic Whites (APC = - 0.7; 95% CI: - 8.1, 3.2) and non-Hispanic Blacks (APC = - 0.7; 95% CI: - 14.7, 3.0). Maternal mortality rates increased among women aged 15-24 years at a rate of 3.3% per year (95% CI: 2.4, 4.2) since 1999, among women aged 25-44 years at a rate of 22.5% per year (95% CI: 5.4, 34.7), and among women aged 35-44 years at a rate of 4% per year (95% CI: 2.7, 5.3). Regional disparities existed, with rising rates in the West at a rate of 13.0% per year (95% CI: 4.3, 38.4), and stable rates in the Northeast (APC = 0.7; 95% CI: - 3.4, 2.8), Midwest (APC = - 1.8; 95% CI: - 23.4, 4.2), and South (APC = - 1.7; 95% CI: - 7.5, 1.7). CONCLUSIONS: While maternal mortality rates in the USA have stabilized since 2013, our analysis reveals significant disparities by race, age, and region. Therefore, it is essential to prioritize efforts to improve maternal health outcomes across all population subgroups to achieve equitable maternal health outcomes for all women.
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PURPOSE: Evidence suggests that adding dapagliflozin to the prior standard of care is cost-effective compared with the standard of care alone. The latest guideline by the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Heart Failure Society of America now recommends the use of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, the relative cost-effectiveness of different SGLT2 inhibitors, including dapagliflozin and empagliflozin, has not been fully characterized. Therefore, we conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to compare dapagliflozin and empagliflozin in patients with HFrEF from the US health care perspective. METHODS: To compare the cost-effectiveness of dapagliflozin and empagliflozin in treating HFrEF, we used a state-transition Markov model. This model was used to estimate the expected lifetime costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for both medications. The model incorporated patients who were 65 years of age at entry and simulated their health outcomes over a lifetime horizon. The perspective of the analysis was based on the US health care system. To determine the health state transition probabilities, we used a network meta-analysis. All future costs and QALYs were discounted at an annual rate of 3%, and the costs were presented in 2022 US dollars. FINDINGS: The base case analysis found that the incremental expected lifetime cost of treating patients with dapagliflozin vs empagliflozin was $37,684, resulting in an ICER of $44,763 per QALY. A price threshold analysis indicated that for empagliflozin to be the most cost-effective SGLT2 inhibitor at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000 per QALY, it may require a 12% discount on its current annual prices. IMPLICATIONS: The findings of this study indicate that dapagliflozin may offer greater lifetime economic value when compared with empagliflozin. Given that the current clinical practice guideline does not recommend one SGLT2 inhibitor over the other, it is essential to implement scalable strategies to ensure affordable access to both medications. By doing so, patients and health care practitioners can make informed decisions about their treatment options without being constrained by financial barriers.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Inhibidores del Cotransportador de Sodio-Glucosa 2 , Disfunción Ventricular Izquierda , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Inhibidores del Cotransportador de Sodio-Glucosa 2/uso terapéutico , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Volumen Sistólico , Compuestos de Bencidrilo/uso terapéutico , Disfunción Ventricular Izquierda/tratamiento farmacológico , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de VidaRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Lung cancer in never-smokers (LCINS) is the seventh leading cause of cancer, and exposure to cooking fumes has recently emerged as a potential risk factor. This systematic review is the first to summarize and evaluate the relationship between exposure to cooking fumes and the risk of LCINS. METHODS: This study conducted an online literature search of PubMed, CINAHL, and PsychInfo databases. Inclusion criteria were original research articles published in English, that assessed the relationship between exposure to cooking fumes and the risk of lung cancer between 1 January 2012 and 6 December 2022, and that included never-smokers. RESULTS: Thirteen case-control studies and three prospective cohort studies, focusing mostly on women with LCINS, met the inclusion criteria. Seven case-control studies reported an association between exposure to cooking oil fumes and an increased risk of LCINS. Two case-control studies found that using a fume extractor was associated with a decreased risk of LCINS. In other case-control studies, coal use was linked to an increased risk of LCINS, and participants who did not use a ventilator in their kitchens had a higher risk for LCINS. Poor ventilation [Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) = 1.49; 95% CI: 1.15, 1.95] and poor ventilation in combination with coal use (AHR = 2.03; 95% CI: 1.35, 3.05) were associated with an increased risk for LCINS in one prospective cohort study. CONCLUSION: The evidence reviewed underscores the need to develop culturally-tailored interventions that improve access to affordable and clean fuel through engaging relevant stakeholders.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Fumadores , Humanos , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etiología , Culinaria , Carbón Mineral/efectos adversosRESUMEN
The disparities in alcohol-attributed death rates among different racial and ethnic groups in the United States (US) have received limited research attention. Our study aimed to examine the burden and trends in alcohol-attributed mortality rates in the US by race and ethnicity from 1999 to 2020. We used national mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database and employed the ICD-10 coding system to identify alcohol-related deaths. Disparity rate ratios were calculated using the Taylor series, and Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends and calculate annual and average annual percentage changes (APCs and AAPCs, respectively) in mortality rates. Between 1999 and 2020, 605,948 individuals died from alcohol-related causes in the US. The highest age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) was observed among American Indian/Alaska Natives, who were 3.6 times more likely to die from alcohol-related causes than Non-Hispanic Whites (95% CI: 3.57, 3.67). An examination of trends revealed that recent rates have leveled among American Indians/Alaska Natives (APC = 17.9; 95% CI: -0.3, 39.3) while increasing among Non-Hispanic Whites (APC = 14.3; 95% CI: 9.1, 19.9), Non-Hispanic Blacks (APC = 17.0; 95% CI: 7.3, 27.5), Asians/Pacific Islanders (APC = 9.5; 95% CI: 3.6, 15.6), and Hispanics (APC = 12.6; 95% CI: 1.3, 25.1). However, when the data were disaggregated by age, sex, census region, and cause, varying trends were observed. This study underscores the disparities in alcohol-related deaths among different racial and ethnic groups in the US, with American Indian/Alaska Natives experiencing the highest burden. Although the rates have plateaued among this group, they have been increasing among all other subgroups. To address these disparities and promote equitable alcohol-related health outcomes for all populations, further research is necessary to gain a better understanding of the underlying factors and develop culturally sensitive interventions.
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Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas , Etnicidad , Grupos Raciales , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas/mortalidadRESUMEN
Health is a fundamental human right, yet healthcare facilities are not distributed equitably across all communities. This study aims to investigate the distribution of healthcare facilities in Nassau County, New York, and examine whether the distribution is equitable across different social vulnerability levels. An optimized hotspot analysis was conducted on a dataset of 1695 healthcare facilities-dental, dialysis, ophthalmic, and urgent care-in Nassau County, and social vulnerability was measured using the FPIS codes. The study found that healthcare facilities were disproportionately distributed in the county, with a higher concentration in areas of low social vulnerability compared to areas of high social vulnerability. The majority of healthcare facilities were found to be clustered in two ZIP codes-11020 and 11030-that rank among the top ten wealthiest in the county. The results of this study suggest that socially vulnerable residents in Nassau County are at a disadvantage when it comes to attaining equitable access to healthcare facilities. The distribution pattern highlights the need for interventions to improve access to care for marginalized communities and to address the underlying determinants of healthcare facility segregation in the county.