Portal vein embolization and its effect on tumour progression for colorectal cancer liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term outcomes of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) exhibiting disease progression after portal vein embolization (PVE). METHODS: Patients with CRCLM requiring PVE before hepatectomy between 2003 and 2014 were included. Clinical variables, and liver and tumour volumes determined by three-dimensional CT volumetry were assessed before and after PVE. Overall and disease-free survival data were obtained. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of tumour progression after PVE. RESULTS: Of 141 patients who underwent PVE, 93 (66.0 per cent) had tumour progression and 17 (12.1 per cent) developed new contralateral lesions. Significantly fewer patients had resectable disease in the group with disease progression than among those with stable disease: 43 (46 per cent) of 93 versus 36 (75 per cent) of 48 respectively (P = 0.001). Median survival was similar in patients with and without tumour growth after PVE: 22.5 versus 26.0 months for patients with unresectable tumours (P = 0.706) and 46.2 versus 52.2 months for those with resectable disease (P = 0.953). However, disease-free survival for patients with tumour progression after PVE was shorter than that for patients with stable disease (6.0 versus 20.2 months; P = 0.045). Response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy was the only significant factor associated with tumour progression in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: Tumour progression after PVE did not affect overall survival, but patients with resected tumours who had tumour growth after embolization experienced earlier recurrence. A borderline response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy seemed to be associated with tumour progression after PVE.

A multicenter validation of computerized tomography models as predictors of non- optimal primary cytoreduction of advanced epithelial ovarian cancer.

AIMS: To compare the validity of four predictive models of preoperative computerized tomography (CT) scans in predicting suboptimal primary cytoreduction in patients treated for advanced ovarian cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Preoperative CT scans of patients with stage III/IV epithelial ovarian cancer who underwent primary cytoreductive surgery at one of four medical centers were reviewed by radiologists blinded to surgical outcome. The validity of each set of CT criteria previously published by Nelson, Bristow, Dowdy, and Qayyum as predictors of suboptimal cytoreduction was assessed. RESULTS: Data of 123 patients were evaluated. Optimal cytoreduction (largest diameter of residual tumor < or =1cm) was obtained in 90 (73.2%) patients. All CT models were able to significantly predict surgical outcome (p<0.02). The respective sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of the CT models to predict sub-optimal cytoreduction was 64%, 64% and 64% for Nelson's criteria, 70%, 64% and 66% for Bristow's criteria, 79%, 60%, and 65% for Dowdy's criteria, and 67% 57% and 60% for Qayyum's criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Apart from Dowdy's criteria, the accuracy rates of CT predictors of suboptimal cytoreduction in the original cohorts could not be confirmed in this cross validation. This study underscores the difficulty in devising universally applicable selection criteria or models that reliably predict surgical outcome across institutions and surgeons.