Intravascular ultrasound-based machine learning for predicting fractional flow reserve in intermediate coronary artery lesions.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Intravascular ultrasound (IVUS)-derived morphological criteria are poor predictors of the functional significance of intermediate coronary stenosis. IVUS-based supervised machine learning (ML) algorithms were developed to identify lesions with a fractional flow reserve (FFR) ≤0.80 (vs. >0.80). METHODS: A total of 1328 patients with 1328 non-left main coronary lesions were randomized into training and test sets in a 4:1 ratio. Masked IVUS images were generated by an automatic segmentation model, and 99 computed IVUS features and six clinical variables (age, gender, body surface area, vessel type, involved segment, and involvement of the proximal left anterior descending artery) were used for ML training with 5-fold cross-validation. Diagnostic performances of the binary classifiers (L2 penalized logistic regression, artificial neural network, random forest, AdaBoost, CatBoost, and support vector machine) for detecting ischemia-producing lesions were evaluated using the non-overlapping test samples. RESULTS: In the classification of test set lesions into those with an FFR ≤0.80 vs. >0.80, the overall diagnostic accuracies for predicting an FFR ≤0.80 were 82% with L2 penalized logistic regression, 80% with artificial neural network, 83% with random forest, 83% with AdaBoost, 81% with CatBoost, and 81% with support vector machine (AUCs: 0.84-0.87). With exclusion of the 28 lesions with borderline FFR of 0.75-0.80, the overall accuracies for the test set were 86% with L2 penalized logistic regression, 85% with an artificial neural network, 87% with random forest, 87% with AdaBoost, 85% with CatBoost, and 85% with support vector machine. CONCLUSIONS: The IVUS-based ML algorithms showed good diagnostic performance for identifying ischemia-producing lesions, and may reduce the need for pressure wires.

Angiography-Based Machine Learning for Predicting Fractional Flow Reserve in Intermediate Coronary Artery Lesions.

Background An angiography-based supervised machine learning ( ML ) algorithm was developed to classify lesions as having fractional flow reserve ≤0.80 versus >0.80. Methods and Results With a 4:1 ratio, 1501 patients with 1501 intermediate lesions were randomized into training versus test sets. Between the ostium and 10 mm distal to the target lesion, a series of angiographic lumen diameter measurements along the centerline was plotted. The 24 computed angiographic features based on the diameter plot and 4 clinical features (age, sex, body surface area, and involve segment) were used for ML by XGBoost. The model was independently trained and tested by 2000 bootstrap iterations. External validation with 79 patients was conducted. Including all 28 features, the ML model with 5-fold cross-validation in the 1204 training samples predicted fractional flow reserve ≤0.80 with overall diagnostic accuracy of 78±4% (averaged area under the curve: 0.84±0.03). The 12 high-ranking features selected by scatter search were involved segment; body surface area; distal lumen diameter; minimal lumen diameter; length of a lumen diameter <2.0 mm, <1.5 mm, and <1.25 mm; mean lumen diameter within the worst segment; sex; diameter stenosis; distal 5-mm reference lumen diameter; and length of diameter stenosis >70%. Using those 12 features, the ML predicted fractional flow reserve ≤0.80 in the test set with sensitivity of 84%, specificity of 80%, and overall accuracy of 82% (area under the curve: 0.87). The averaged diagnostic accuracy in bootstrap replicates was 81±1% (averaged area under the curve: 0.87±0.01). External validation showed accuracy of 85% (area under the curve: 0.87). Conclusions Angiography-based ML showed good diagnostic performance in identifying ischemia-producing lesions and reduced the need for pressure wires.