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1.
Heliyon ; 10(11): e31760, 2024 Jun 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38845901

RESUMEN

Because of its high contagiousness and correlation with HIV/AIDS complaints, the virus that causes varicella-zoster virus and its interactions have major consequences for a considerable portion of people worldwide. The primary aim of this work is to suggest and examine optimal control methods for managing the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS and Varicella-Zoster co-infection, using an integer model approach. The mathematical analyses of the proposed integer order model places particular emphases on the boundedness and non-negativity of the model solutions, scrutinizing equilibrium points, determining the models basic reproduction ratios (the models basic reproduction numbers) through the next-generation matrix operator method, and assessing the model equilibrium points existences and stabilities in local approach by considering the local stability conditions of Routh and Hurwitz. Additionally, it incorporates an optimal control framework to enhance our understanding of the dynamics involved in the spreading of HIV/AIDS and Varicella-Zoster co-infection within a considered population. This entails determining preventative measures that can be deliberately put into place to lessen the effects of these co-infections. The solutions of the HIV/AIDS and Varicella-Zoster co-infection model converges to the co-infection endemic equilibrium point whenever the associated basic reproduction number is greater than unity, as verified by numerical simulation results. Including optimal management gives the research an innovative viewpoint and helps identify tactical ways to mitigate the negative effects of this co-infection on the public health. The results highlight how crucial it is to address these complex structures in order to protect and improve public health outcomes. Implementing the proposed protection measures and treatment measures simultaneously has most effective result to minimize and eliminate the HIV/AIDS and Varicella-Zoster co-infection disease throughout the population.

2.
PLoS One ; 19(3): e0299734, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38427667

RESUMEN

The prevalence of the varicella-zoster virus (VZV) and its correlation underscore its impact on a significant segment of the population. Notably contagious, VZV serves as a risk factor for the manifestation of HIV/AIDS, with its reactivation often signaling the onset of immunodeficiency. Recognizing the concurrent existence of these two diseases, this study focuses on the co-infection dynamics through a deterministic mathematical model. The population is categorized into seven exclusive groups, considering the complexities arising from the interplay of HIV and Zoster. We establish the non-negativity and boundedness of solutions, examine equilibrium points, calculate basic reproduction numbers via the next-generation matrix approach, and analyze the existence and local stabilities of equilibriums using the Routh-Hurwitz stability criteria. The numerical simulations reveal that the model converges to an endemic equilibrium point when the reproduction number exceeds unity. The primary objectives of this study are to comprehensively understand the transmission dynamics of HIV and Zoster in a co-infected population and to provide valuable insights for developing effective intervention strategies. The findings emphasize the importance of addressing these co-infections to mitigate their impact on public health.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , Varicela , Coinfección , Herpes Zóster , Infección por el Virus de la Varicela-Zóster , Humanos , Varicela/epidemiología , Herpes Zóster/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Coinfección/epidemiología
3.
PLoS One ; 18(5): e0284759, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37146033

RESUMEN

HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 co-infection is a common global health and socio-economic problem. In this paper, a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 co-infection that incorporates protection and treatment for the infected (and infectious) groups is formulated and analyzed. Firstly, we proved the non-negativity and boundedness of the co-infection model solutions, analyzed the single infection models steady states, calculated the basic reproduction numbers using next generation matrix approach and then investigated the existence and local stabilities of equilibriums using Routh-Hurwiz stability criteria. Then using the Center Manifold criteria to investigate the proposed model exhibited the phenomenon of backward bifurcation whenever its effective reproduction number is less than unity. Secondly, we incorporate time dependent optimal control strategies, using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle to derive necessary conditions for the optimal control of the disease. Finally, we carried out numerical simulations for both the deterministic model and the model incorporating optimal controls and we found the results that the model solutions are converging to the model endemic equilibrium point whenever the model effective reproduction number is greater than unity, and also from numerical simulations of the optimal control problem applying the combinations of all the possible protection and treatment strategies together is the most effective strategy to drastically minimizing the transmission of the HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 co-infection in the community under consideration of the study.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , COVID-19 , Coinfección , Humanos , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/epidemiología , Coinfección/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Modelos Teóricos , Número Básico de Reproducción
4.
J Biol Dyn ; 17(1): 2175920, 2023 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36787248

RESUMEN

HIV/AIDS-COVID-19 co-infection is a major public health concern especially in developing countries of the world. This paper presents HIV/AIDS-COVID-19 co-infection to investigate the impact of interventions on its transmission using ordinary differential equation. In the analysis of the model, the solutions are shown to be non-negative and bounded, using next-generation matrix approach the basic reproduction numbers are computed, sufficient conditions for stabilities of equilibrium points are established. The sensitivity analysis showed that transmission rates are the most sensitive parameters that have direct impact on the basic reproduction numbers and protection and treatment rates are more sensitive and have indirect impact to the basic reproduction numbers. Numerical simulations shown that some parameter effects on the transmission of single infections as well as co-infection, and applying the protection rates and treatment rates have effective roles to minimize and also to eradicate the HIV/AIDS-COVID-19 co-infection spreading in the community.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , COVID-19 , Coinfección , Humanos , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/epidemiología , Coinfección/epidemiología , Modelos Biológicos , Simulación por Computador
5.
Comput Math Methods Med ; 2022: 9945047, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36479316

RESUMEN

The membranes that encompass the brain and spinal cord become inflamed by the potentially fatal infectious disease called pneumococcal meningitis. Pneumonia and meningitis "coinfection" refers to the presence of both conditions in a single host. In this work, we accounted for the dynamics of pneumonia and meningitis coinfection in communities by erroneously using a compartment model to analyze and suggest management techniques to stakeholders. We have used the next generation matrix approach and derived the effective reproduction numbers. When the reproduction number is less than one, the constructed model yields a locally asymptotically stable disease-free equilibrium point. Additionally, we conducted a sensitivity analysis to determine how different factors affected the incidence and transmission rate, which revealed that both the pneumonia and meningitis transmission rates are extremely sensitive. The performance of our numerical simulation demonstrates that the endemic equilibrium point of the pneumonia and meningitis coinfection model is locally asymptotically stable when max{ ℛ 1, ℛ 2} > 1. Finally, as preventative and control measures for the coinfection of pneumonia and meningitis illness, the stakeholders must concentrate on reducing the transmission rates, reducing vaccination wane rates, and boosting the portion of vaccination rates for both pneumonia and meningitis.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Teóricos , Neumonía , Humanos , Neumonía/epidemiología , Neumonía/prevención & control
6.
Comput Math Methods Med ; 2022: 9977727, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35991135

RESUMEN

Racism and corruption are mind infections which affect almost all public and governmental sectors. However, we cannot find enough published literatures on mathematical model analyses of racism and corruption coexistence. In this study, we have contemplated the dynamics of racism and corruption coexistence in communities, using deterministic compartmental model to analyze and suggest proper control strategies to stakeholders. We used qualitative and comprehensive mathematical methods and analyzed both the racism model in the absence of corruption and the corruption model in the absence of racism. We have computed basic reproduction numbers by applying the next generation matrix method. The developed model has a disease-free equilibrium point that is locally asymptotically stable whenever the reproduction number is less than one. Additionally, we have done sensitivity analysis to observe the effect of the parameters on the incidence and transmission of the mind infections that deduce the transmission rates of both the racism and corruption are highly sensitive. The numerical simulation we have simulated showed that the endemic equilibrium point of racism and corruption coexistence model is locally asymptotically stable when max{ ℛ r, ℛ c} > 1, the effects of parameters on the basic reproduction numbers, and the effect of parameter on the infectious groups. Finally, the stakeholders must focus on minimizing the transmission rates and increasing the recovery (removed) rate for both racism and corruption action which can be considered prevention and controlling strategies.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Racismo , Número Básico de Reproducción , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Teóricos
7.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 2639, 2022 02 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35173209

RESUMEN

In this paper, we have considered a deterministic mathematical model to analyze effective interventions for meningitis and pneumonia coinfection as well as to make a rational recommendation to public healthy, policy or decision makers and programs implementers. We have introduced the epidemiology of infectious diseases, the epidemiology of meningitis, the epidemiology of pneumonia, and the epidemiology of infection of meningitis and pneumonia. The positivity and boundedness of the sated model was shown. Our model elucidate that, the disease free equilibrium points of each model are locally asymptotically stable if the corresponding reproduction numbers are less than one and globally asymptotically stable if the corresponding reproduction numbers are greater than one. Additionally, we have analyzed the existence and uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium point of each sub models, local stability and global stability of the endemic equilibrium points for each model. By using standard values of parameters we have obtained from different studies, we found that the effective reproduction numbers of meningitis [Formula: see text] and effective reproduction numbers of pneumonia [Formula: see text] that lead us to the effective reproduction number of the meningitis and pneumonia co-infected model is [Formula: see text]. Applying sensitivity analysis, we identified the most influential parameters that can change the behavior of the solution of the meningitis pneumonia coinfection dynamical system are [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. Biologically, decrease in [Formula: see text] and increasing in [Formula: see text] is a possible intervention strategy to reduce the infectious from communities. Finally, our numerical simulation has shown that vaccination against those diseases, reducing contact with infectious persons and treatment have the great effect on reduction of these silent killer diseases from the communities.


Asunto(s)
Número Básico de Reproducción , Coinfección/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Meningitis/epidemiología , Modelos Teóricos , Neumonía/epidemiología , Coinfección/prevención & control , Humanos , Meningitis/prevención & control , Neumonía/prevención & control , Salud Pública
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