Improved subseasonal prediction of South Asian monsoon rainfall using data-driven forecasts of oscillatory modes.

Predicting the temporal and spatial patterns of South Asian monsoon rainfall within a season is of critical importance due to its impact on agriculture, water availability, and flooding. The monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (MISO) is a robust northward-propagating mode that determines the active and break phases of the monsoon and much of the regional distribution of rainfall. However, dynamical atmospheric forecast models predict this mode poorly. Data-driven methods for MISO prediction have shown more skill, but only predict the portion of the rainfall corresponding to MISO rather than the full rainfall signal. Here, we combine state-of-the-art ensemble precipitation forecasts from a high-resolution atmospheric model with data-driven forecasts of MISO. The ensemble members of the detailed atmospheric model are projected onto a lower-dimensional subspace corresponding to the MISO dynamics and are then weighted according to their distance from the data-driven MISO forecast in this subspace. We thereby achieve improvements in rainfall forecasts over India, as well as the broader monsoon region, at 10- to 30-d lead times, an interval that is generally considered to be a predictability gap. The temporal correlation of rainfall forecasts is improved by up to 0.28 in this time range. Our results demonstrate the potential of leveraging the predictability of intraseasonal oscillations to improve extended-range forecasts; more generally, they point toward a future of combining dynamical and data-driven forecasts for Earth system prediction.

Short term response of plankton community to nutrient enrichment in central eastern Arabian Sea: Elucidation through mesocosm experiments.

Oligotrophic waters (OW), generally favour longer food chain facilitated by the microbial loop. In such ecosystems, physical mixing (e.g. upwelling, and winter convection) inject nutrients and propagules from subsurface to the photic zone. Such events are expected to alter the food chain through shifts in the plankton community. Mesocosm experiments were carried out to evaluate the influence of nutrient enrichment from the deep (100-150 m) on the surface plankton community for the first time in the Arabian Sea, through custom-designed enclosures in OW of the central-eastern Arabian Sea (CEAS). Surface water was characterized by low nutrients and phytoplankton biomass (chlorophyll-a of <0.2 µg m-3) and upon nutrient enrichment yielded differing response. Higher abundance of picophytoplankton, bacteria and protists was noticed at a depth of ~100 m than at surface. The inoculation of such a population to the surface, resulted in a significant enhancement of autotrophic (picophytoplankton) and heterotrophic (bacteria and protists) populations. However, significant changes in the abundance of larger plankton was not evident till three days of incubation. Even though autotrophic picophytoplankton responded positively, a distinct increase in chlorophyll-a was not evident. This study points out that the lack of sufficient viable microphytoplankton propagules, neither at the surface nor at the depth (inoculum) are the possible reasons for the lack of their distinct positive response. These experiments suggest the dominance of microbial community response to physical mixing in the OW regions of the Arabian Sea and the importance of propagule diversity. The insights from this experiment will serve as a precursor for appropriate modifications in ocean modelling and forecasting studies and help in building global environmental management tools.

Homology modeling, virtual screening and dynamics study of proteins involved in Pebrine - Serine protease inhibitor 106 and spore wall protein 26.

Pebrine is a microsporidian disease caused by Nosema bombycis in Bombyx mori (silk worm) which results in brown/black spots. The affected larvae either spin cocoons which are flimsy with low silk content or not spin a cocoon. It has been hypothesised that Serine Protease Inhibitor 106 (SPN106) is responsible for evasion of host immune system by inhibiting the melanization process in silkworms. Also, Spore Wall Protein 26 (SWP26) has been observed to bind with Ig- like protein Bombyx mori turtle-like protein (Bm-TLP) facilitating the attachment of the microsporidian to the host and contributing to infectivity. Till date, there is no crystal structure of the proteins SPN106, SWP26 and Bm-TLP available. In this study, we performed homology modeling of the three structures using Modeller v9.18 and the binding pockets were identified. Virtual screening was conducted using AutoDock Vina on a ligand library consisting of 28,870 lead-like molecules. The protein stability, compactness, fluctuations and protein-ligand interactions were investigated through Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations studies using Desmond Maestro 11.3 and a potential lead molecule was identified.Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.

Predictability of Weather and Climate.

The past developments in the predictability of weather and climate are discussed from the point of view of nonlinear dynamical systems. The problems ahead for long-range predictability extending into the climate time scale are also presented. The sensitive dependence of chaos on initial conditions and the imperfections in the models limit reliable predictability of the instantaneous state of the weather to less than 10 days in present-day operational forecasts. The existence of slowly varying components such as the sea surface temperature, soil moisture, snow cover, and sea ice may provide basis for predicting certain aspects of climate at long range. The regularly varying nonlinear oscillations, such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation, monsoon intraseasonal oscillations, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, are also possible sources of extended-range predictability at the climate time scale. A prediction model based on phase space reconstruction has demonstrated that monsoon intraseasonal oscillation can be better predicted at long leads.

Obesity and fatty liver are prevented by inhibition of the aryl hydrocarbon receptor in both female and male mice.

Inhibition of the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AHR) prevents Western diet-induced obesity and fatty liver in C57Bl/6J (B6) male mice. The AHR is a ligand-activated nuclear receptor that regulates genes involved in xenobiotic metabolism and T-cell differentiation. Here, we tested the hypothesis that AHR antagonism would also prevent obesity and fatty liver in female mice and that B6 mice (higher-affinity AHR) and congenic B6.D2 mice (lower-affinity AHR) would differentially respond to AHR inhibition. Female and male adult B6 and B6.D2 mice were fed control and Western diets with and without α-naphthoflavone (NF), an AHR inhibitor. A nonlinear mixed-model analysis was developed to project asymptote body mass. We found that obesity, adiposity, and liver steatosis were reduced to near control levels in all female and male B6 and B6.D2 experimental groups fed Western diet with NF. However, differences were noted in that female B6.D2 vs B6 mice on Western diet became more obese; and in general, female mice compared with male mice had a greater fat mass to body mass ratio, were less responsive to NF, and had reduced liver steatosis and hepatomegaly. We report that male mice fed Western diet containing NF or CH-223191, another AHR inhibitor, caused reduced mRNA levels of several liver genes involved in metabolism, including Cyp1b1 and Scd1, offering evidence for a possible mechanism by which the AHR regulates obesity. In conclusion, although there are some sex- and Ahr allelic-dependent differences, AHR inhibition prevents obesity and liver steatosis in both males and females regardless of the ligand-binding capacity of the AHR. We also present evidence consistent with the notion that an AHR-CYP1B1-SCD1 axis is involved in obesity, providing potentially convenient and effective targets for treatment.

Early postnatal exposure to intermittent hypoxia in rodents is proinflammatory, impairs white matter integrity, and alters brain metabolism.

BackgroundPreterm infants are frequently exposed to intermittent hypoxia (IH) associated with apnea and periodic breathing that may result in inflammation and brain injury that later manifests as cognitive and executive function deficits. We used a rodent model to determine whether early postnatal exposure to IH would result in inflammation and brain injury.MethodsRat pups were exposed to IH from P2 to P12. Control animals were exposed to room air. Cytokines were analyzed in plasma and brain tissue at P13 and P18. At P20-P22, diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) and magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) were performed.ResultsPups exposed to IH had increased plasma Gro/CXCL1 and cerebellar IFN-γ and IL-1ß at P13, and brainstem enolase at P18. DTI showed a decrease in FA and AD in the corpus callosum (CC) and cingulate gyrus, and an increase in RD in the CC. MRS revealed decreases in NAA/Cho, Cr, Tau/Cr, and Gly/Cr; increases in TCho and GPC in the brainstem; and decreases in NAA/Cho in the hippocampus.ConclusionsWe conclude that early postnatal exposure to IH, similar in magnitude to that experienced in human preterm infants, is associated with evidence for proinflammatory changes, decreases in white matter integrity, and metabolic changes consistent with hypoxia.

Robust singlet dimers with fragile ordering in two-dimensional honeycomb lattice of Li2RuO3.

When an electronic system has strong correlations and a large spin-orbit interaction, it often exhibits a plethora of mutually competing quantum phases. How a particular quantum ground state is selected out of several possibilities is a very interesting question. However, equally fascinating is how such a quantum entangled state breaks up due to perturbation. This important question has relevance in very diverse fields of science from strongly correlated electron physics to quantum information. Here we report that a quantum entangled dimerized state or valence bond crystal (VBC) phase of Li2RuO3 shows nontrivial doping dependence as we perturb the Ru honeycomb lattice by replacing Ru with Li. Through extensive experimental studies, we demonstrate that the VBC phase melts into a valence bond liquid phase of the RVB (resonating valence bond) type. This system offers an interesting playground where one can test and refine our current understanding of the quantum competing phases in a single compound.

Inhibition of the aryl hydrocarbon receptor prevents Western diet-induced obesity. Model for AHR activation by kynurenine via oxidized-LDL, TLR2/4, TGFß, and IDO1.

Obesity is an increasingly urgent global problem, yet, little is known about its causes and less is known how obesity can be effectively treated. We showed previously that the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AHR) plays a role in the regulation of body mass in mice fed Western diet. The AHR is a ligand-activated nuclear receptor that regulates genes involved in a number of biological pathways, including xenobiotic metabolism and T cell polarization. This study was an investigation into whether inhibition of the AHR prevents Western diet-based obesity. Male C57Bl/6J mice were fed control and Western diets with and without the AHR antagonist α-naphthoflavone or CH-223191, and a mouse hepatocyte cell line was used to delineate relevant cellular pathways. Studies are presented showing that the AHR antagonists α-naphthoflavone and CH-223191 significantly reduce obesity and adiposity and ameliorates liver steatosis in male C57Bl/6J mice fed a Western diet. Mice deficient in the tryptophan metabolizing enzyme indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 (IDO1) were also resistant to obesity. Using an AHR-directed, luciferase-expressing mouse hepatocyte cell line, we show that the transforming growth factor ß1 (TGFß1) signaling pathway via PI3K and NF-κB and the toll-like receptor 2/4 (TLR2/4) signaling pathway stimulated by oxidized low-density lipoproteins via NF-κB, each induce luciferase expression; however, TLR2/4 signaling was significantly reduced by inhibition of IDO1. At physiological levels, kynurenine but not kynurenic acid (both tryptophan metabolites and known AHR agonists) activated AHR-directed luciferase expression. We propose a hepatocyte-based model, in which kynurenine production is increased by enhanced IDO1 activity stimulated by TGFß1 and TLR2/4 signaling, via PI3K and NF-κB, to perpetuate a cycle of AHR activation to cause obesity; and inhibition of the AHR, in turn, blocks the cycle's output to prevent obesity. The AHR with its broad ligand binding specificity is a promising candidate for a potentially simple therapeutic approach for the prevention and treatment of obesity and associated complications.

Effect of alginate microencapsulation on the catalytic efficiency and in vitro enzyme-prodrug therapeutic efficacy of cytosine deaminase and of recombinant E. coli expressing cytosine deaminase.

Cytosine deaminase (CD) catalyses the enzymatic conversion of the non-toxic prodrug 5-fluorocytosine (5-FC) to the potent chemotherapeutic form, 5-fluorouracil (5-FU). Intratumoral delivery of CD localises chemotherapy dose while reducing systemic toxicity. Encapsulation in biocompatible microcapsules immunoisolates CD and protects it from degradation. We report on the effect of alginate encapsulation on the catalytic and functional activity of isolated CD and recombinant E. coli engineered to express CD (E. coli(CD)). Alginate microcapsules containing either CD or Escherichia coli(CD) were prepared using ionotropic gelation. Conversion of 5-FC to 5-FU was quantitated in unencapsulated and encapsulated CD/E. coli(CD) using spectrophotometry, with a slower rate of conversion observed following encapsulation. Both encapsulated CD/5-FC and E. coli(CD)/5-FC resulted in cell kill and reduced proliferation of 9 L rat glioma cells, which was comparable to direct 5-FU treatment. Our results show that encapsulation preserves the therapeutic potential of CD and E. coli(CD) is equally effective for enzyme-prodrug therapy.

Toward Localized In Vivo Biomarker Concentration Measurements.

We know a great deal about the biochemistry of cells because they can be isolated and studied. The biochemistry of the much more complex in vivo environment is more difficult to study because the only ways to quantitate concentrations is to sacrifice the animal or biopsy the tissue. Either method disrupts the environment profoundly and neither method allows longitudinal studies on the same individual. Methods of measuring chemical concentrations in vivo are very valuable alternatives to sacrificing groups of animals. We are developing microscopic magnetic nanoparticle (mNP) probes to measure the concentration of a selected molecule in vivo. The mNPs are targeted to bind the selected molecule and the resulting reduction in rotational freedom can be quantified remotely using magnetic spectroscopy. The mNPs must be contained in micrometer sized porous shells to keep them from migrating and to protect them from clearance by the immune system. There are two key issues in the development of the probes. First, we demonstrate the ability to measure concentrations in the porous walled alginate probes both in phosphate buffered saline and in blood, which is an excellent surrogate for the complex and challenging in vivo environment. Second, sensitivity is critical because it allows microscopic probes to measure very small concentrations very far away. We report sensitivity measurements on recently introduced technology that has allowed us to improve the sensitivity by two orders of magnitude, a factor of 200 so far.

Two Unusual but Treatable Causes of Refractory Ascites After Liver Transplantation.

Refractory ascites (RA) is thought to complicate the postoperative course of 5-7% (Nishida et al. in Am J Transplant. 6: 140-149, 2006; Gotthardt et al. in Ann Transplant. 18: 378-383, 2013) of liver transplant recipients. RA after liver transplantation is often a frustrating diagnostic dilemma with few good management options unless an obvious mechanical factor is identified. Supportive therapies often fail until a treatable precipitating cause is identified and removed. We describe two patients who developed RA following liver transplantation for primary sclerosing cholangitis, and hepatitis C and alcoholic liver disease, respectively. The cause for RA was hyperkinetic portal hypertension secondary to splenomegaly in the first case and a pancreatic AVM in the 2nd case. After failure of other interventions, surgical splenectomy resulted in immediate and durable resolution of the previously intractable ascites.

Magnetic nanoparticle hyperthermia induced cytosine deaminase expression in microencapsulated E. coli for enzyme-prodrug therapy.

Engineered bacterial cells that are designed to express therapeutic enzymes under the transcriptional control of remotely inducible promoters can mediate the de novo conversion of non-toxic prodrugs to their cytotoxic forms. In situ cellular expression of enzymes provides increased stability and control of enzyme activity as compared to isolated enzymes. We have engineered Escherichia coli (E. coli), designed to express cytosine deaminase at elevated temperatures, under the transcriptional control of thermo-regulatory λpL-cI857 promoter cassette which provides a thermal switch to trigger enzyme synthesis. Enhanced cytosine deaminase expression was observed in cultures incubated at 42°C as compared to 30°C, and enzyme expression was further substantiated by spectrophotometric assays indicating enhanced conversion of 5-fluorocytosine to 5-fluorouracil. The engineered cells were subsequently co-encapsulated with magnetic iron oxide nanoparticles in immunoprotective alginate microcapsules, and cytosine deaminase expression was triggered remotely by alternating magnetic field-induced hyperthermia. The combination of 5-fluorocytosine with AMF-activated microcapsules demonstrated tumor cell cytotoxicity comparable to direct treatment with 5-fluorouracil chemotherapy. Such enzyme-prodrug therapy, based on engineered and immunoisolated E. coli, may ultimately yield an improved therapeutic index relative to monotherapy, as AMF mediated hyperthermia might be expected to pre-sensitize tumors to chemotherapy under appropriate conditions.

Defining acute ischemic stroke tissue pathophysiology with whole brain CT perfusion.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify and validate whole brain perfusion computed tomography (CTP) thresholds for ischemic core and salvageable penumbra in acute stroke patients and develop a probability based model to increase the accuracy of tissue pathophysiology measurements. METHODS: One hundred and eighty-three patients underwent multimodal stroke CT using a 320-slice scanner within 6hours of acute stroke onset, followed by 24hour MRI that included diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) and dynamic susceptibility weighted perfusion imaging (PWI). Coregistered acute CTP and 24hour DWI was used to identify the optimum single perfusion parameter thresholds to define penumbra (in patients without reperfusion), and ischemic core (in patients with reperfusion), using a pixel based receiver operator curve analysis. Then, these results were used to develop a sigma curve fitted probability based model incorporating multiple perfusion parameter thresholds. RESULTS: For single perfusion thresholds, a time to peak (TTP) of +5seconds best defined the penumbra (area under the curve, AUC 0.79 CI 0.74-0.83) while a cerebral blood flow (CBF) of < 50% best defined the acute ischemic core (AUC 0.73, CI 0.69-0.77). The probability model was more accurate at detecting the ischemic core (AUC 0.80 SD 0.75-0.83) and penumbra (0.85 SD 0.83-0.87) and was significantly closer in volume to the corresponding reference DWI (P=0.031). CONCLUSIONS: Whole brain CTP can accurately identify penumbra and ischemic core using similar thresholds to previously validated 16 or 64 slice CTP. Additionally, a novel probability based model was closer to defining the ischemic core and penumbra than single thresholds.

In vitro and in vivo evaluation of SU-8 biocompatibility.

SU-8 negative photoresist is a high tensile strength polymer that has been used for a number of biomedical applications that include cell encapsulation and neuronal probes. Chemically, SU-8 comprises, among other components, an epoxy based monomer and antimony salts, the latter being a potential source of cytotoxicity. We report on the in vitro and in vivo evaluation of SU-8 biocompatibility based on leachates from various solvents, at varying temperatures and pH, and upon subcutaneous implantation of SU-8 substrates in mice. MTT cell viability assay did not exhibit any cytotoxic effects from the leachates. The hemolytic activity of SU-8 is comparable to that of FDA approved implant materials such as silicone elastomer, Buna-S and medical steel. In vivo histocompatibility study in mice indicates a muted immune response to subcutaneous SU-8 implants.

Native valve Escherichia coli endocarditis following urosepsis.

Gram-negative organisms are a rare cause of infective endocarditis. Escherichia coli, the most common cause of urinary tract infection and gram-negative septicemia involves endocardium rarely. In this case report, we describe infection of native mitral valve by E. coli following septicemia of urinary tract origin in a diabetic male; subsequently, he required prosthetic tissue valve replacement indicated by persistent sepsis and congestive cardiac failure.

Ethyl 3-amino-5-bromo-1-benzo-furan-2-carboxyl-ate.

The title compound, C11H10BrNO3, is close to planar with the benzo-furan unit and the ester group subtending a dihedral angle of 5.25 (2)°. The mol-ecular structure features an intra-molecular N-H⋯O inter-action. In the crystal, N-H⋯O hydrogen bonds involving carboxyl O-atom acceptors generate a chain extending along [201].

Ethyl 5-bromo-3-eth-oxy-carbonyl-amino-1-benzofuran-2-carboxyl-ate.

In the title compound, C14H14BrNO5, the ester group is disordered [occupancy ratio 0.52 (2):0.48 (2)]. The major component is nearly coplanar with the benzofuran plane, subtending a dihedral angle of 7.84 (2)°, while the amide group is twisted out of the benzofuran plane making a dihedral angle of 39.69 (2)°. An intra-molecular N-H⋯O hydrogen bond occurs. In the crystal, pairs of weak C-H⋯O hydrogen bonds link the mol-ecules into inversion dimers, which are further linked via strong N-H⋯O hydrogen bonds, generating a zigzag chain extending along [100].

Advances in alginate gel microencapsulation of therapeutic cells.

Rapid developments in the therapeutic applications of genetically engineered cells and stem cell research have increased the possibilities of addressing some pathologies by grafting therapeutic cells. Immunoprotective encapsulation of such therapeutic cells is often essential for their survival and function. Hydrogels provide a bioteolerable matrix for cellular encapsulation and support subsequent graft survival and function. The naturally occurring marine polysaccharide, alginate, is the hydrogel of choice for most applications. However, long-term graft survival is affected by the mechanical instability of alginate and adverse immune reaction to its grafting. So, a variety of modifications have been developed to enhance the physicochemical properties and biotolerance of alginate hydrogels. We highlight the developments in alginate hydrogel microencapsulation of therapeutic cells.

The diaphragms of fenestrated endothelia: gatekeepers of vascular permeability and blood composition.

Fenestral and stomatal diaphragms are endothelial subcellular structures of unknown function that form on organelles implicated in vascular permeability: fenestrae, transendothelial channels, and caveolae. PV1 protein is required for diaphragm formation in vitro. Here, we report that deletion of the PV1-encoding Plvap gene in mice results in the absence of diaphragms and decreased survival. Loss of diaphragms did not affect the fenestrae and transendothelial channels formation but disrupted the barrier function of fenestrated capillaries, causing a major leak of plasma proteins. This disruption results in early death of animals due to severe noninflammatory protein-losing enteropathy. Deletion of PV1 in endothelium, but not in the hematopoietic compartment, recapitulates the phenotype of global PV1 deletion, whereas endothelial reconstitution of PV1 rescues the phenotype. Taken together, these data provide genetic evidence for the critical role of the diaphragms in fenestrated capillaries in the maintenance of blood composition.