Australian vaccine preventable disease epidemiological review series: Hepatitis B, 2000-2019.

Introduction: Hepatitis B vaccination was nationally funded for adolescents in 1996, with inclusion of universal infant immunisation under the National Immunisation Program (NIP) in May 2000. This study describes hepatitis B epidemiology in Australia in the two decades since 2000. Methods: This article analyses newly-acquired (within the prior 24 months) and unspecified (all other) hepatitis B notifications (2000-2019) from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System; acute hepatitis B hospitalisations (2001-2019) from the National Hospital Morbidity Database; and acute (2000-2019) and chronic (2006-2019) hepatitis B deaths from the Australian Bureau of Statistics and Australian Coordinating Registry. Rates over the reporting period were described overall, and by age group, sex, and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status (Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander versus other [neither Aboriginal nor Torres Strait Islander, unknown or not stated]). Trend analyses were performed using Poisson or negative binomial regression. Additional analyses were performed for the cohort born after May 2000. Results and discussion: The annual all-age notification rate per 100,000 per year declined (p < 0.001) from 2.13 in 2000 to 0.65 in 2019 for newly-acquired hepatitis B and from 38.3 to 22.3 for unspecified hepatitis B (likely to predominantly represent chronic hepatitis B). Newly-acquired and unspecified hepatitis B notification rates were lowest among children aged < 15 years. The most substantial reductions in notification rates of newly-acquired hepatitis B were among adolescents aged 15-19 years and young adults aged 20-24 and 25-29 years (respectively 17-, 11-, and 7-fold); these age groups also recorded the most substantial reductions in unspecified hepatitis B notifications (respectively 5-, 3.5-, and 2-fold). Newly-acquired hepatitis B notification and acute hepatitis B mortality rates were two- to threefold higher in males than females. The all-age newly-acquired hepatitis B notification rate in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people decreased twofold between 2000 and 2019, but remained threefold higher than in other people. Acute hepatitis B hospitalisations also declined over the study period (p < 0.001) and followed similar patterns. There were no acute or chronic hepatitis B deaths among people born after May 2000; this cohort featured 52 newly-acquired and 887 unspecified hepatitis B notifications. Due to lack of data on country of birth (and hence eligibility for infant vaccination under the NIP or overseas programs), vaccination status and likely transmission routes, we were unable to assess factors contributing to these potentially preventable infections. Conclusion: Adolescent and infant immunisation under the NIP has led to significant reductions in notification rates of newly-acquired hepatitis B, and in acute hepatitis B hospitalisation rates, both overall and in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people. Unspecified hepatitis B notification rates have also greatly decreased in children and young adults, likely largely due to the impact of overseas infant immunisation programs on prevalence in child and adolescent migrants. Work to improve completeness of variables within national datasets is crucial, along with enhanced surveillance of both newly-acquired and unspecified hepatitis B cases to investigate transmission routes, vaccination status and factors contributing to acquisition of hepatitis B, in order to optimise the impact of immunisation programs and ensure linkage with care.

Longitudinal tracking of intrabreath respiratory impedance in preschool children.

BACKGROUND: Longitudinal measurements of intrabreath respiratory impedance (Zrs) in preschool-aged children may be able to distinguish abnormal lung function trajectories in children with a history of wheezing compared to healthy ones. METHODS: Children from a prospective, longitudinal community-based cohort performed annual intrabreath oscillometry (IB-OSC) measurements from age 3- to 7-years. IB-OSC was performed using a single 10 Hz sinusoid while clinically asymptomatic. Linear mixed-effects models were developed to explore the effects of wheezing phenotypes, growth, and sex on seven IB-OSC outcome variables over time: resistance at end-expiration (ReE), resistance at end-inspiration (ReI), the tidal change in resistance (∆R=ReE-ReI), reactance at end-expiration (XeE), reactance at end-inspiration (XeI), the tidal change in reactance (∆X=XeE-XeI), and ∆X normalized by tidal volume (∆X/VT). RESULTS: Eighty-five children produced 374 acceptable IB-OSC measurements. Subjects were classified into one of three wheeze groups: never (n = 36), transient (n = 34), or persistent (n = 15). After adjusting for height, children with persistent wheezing, compared to those who never wheezed, had +0.814 hPa s L-1 ReE (95% confidence interval [CI] +0.178 to +1.451, p = 0.015), -0.792 hPa s L-1 XeE (95% CI -1.203 to -0.381, p = 0.003), -0.538 hPa s L-1 ∆X (95% CI -0.834 to -0.242, p = 0.007) and -1.672 hPa s L-2 ∆X/VT (95% CI -2.567 to -0.777, p < 0.001). Increasing height had a significant effect on all IB-OSC resistance and reactance variables when adjusted for the effect of preschool wheezing. CONCLUSIONS: IB-OSC is feasible for tracking lung function growth in preschool-aged children and may allow abnormal lung function to be identified early in asymptomatic preschoolers with a history of persistent wheezing.

Association of antenatal and early childhood air pollution and greenspace exposures with respiratory pathogen upper airway acquisitions and respiratory health outcomes.

The association of air pollution and greenspace with respiratory pathogen acquisition and respiratory health was investigated in a community-based birth-cohort of 158 Australian children. Weekly nasal swabs and daily symptom-diaries were collected for 2-years, with annual reviews from ages 3-7-years. Annual exposure to fine-particulate-matter (PM2.5), nitrogen-dioxide (NO2), and normalised-difference-vegetation-index (NDVI) was estimated for pregnancy and the first 2-years-of-life. We examined rhinovirus, any respiratory virus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Moraxella catarrhalis, and Haemophilus influenzae detections in the first 3-months-of-life, age at initial pathogen detection, wheezing in the first 2-years, and asthma at ages 5-7-years. Our findings suggest that higher NDVI was associated with fewer viral and M. catarrhalis detections in the first 3-months, while increased PM2.5 and NO2 were linked to earlier symptomatic rhinovirus and H. influenzae detections, respectively. However, no associations were observed with wheezing or asthma. Early-life exposure to air pollution and greenspace may influence early-life respiratory pathogen acquisition and illness. .

Shiga Toxin‒Producing Escherichia coli Diagnoses from Health Practitioners, Queensland, Australia.

In Queensland, Australia, 31 of 96 Shiga toxin‒producing Escherichia coli cases during 2020-2022 were reported by a specialty pathology laboratory servicing alternative health practitioners. Those new cases were more likely to be asymptomatic or paucisymptomatic, prompting a review of the standard public health response.

Assessing the impact of chickenpox and shingles vaccination using intermittent enhanced surveillance in Queensland, Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Chickenpox and shingles are vaccine preventable diseases caused by varicella-zoster virus (VZV). Chickenpox is more common in children before adolescence and shingles among ≥50 years of age. With this study we aimed to determine changes in VZV epidemiology following chickenpox and shingles vaccine introduction in Queensland. METHODS: This case series study used notified cases of VZV infection in Queensland from January 2010 to December 2021. In Queensland, VZV notifications are received as mostly clinically unspecified cases from pathology laboratories. Intermittent enhanced surveillance was conducted using clinician follow up to determine chickenpox and shingles clinical presentation, and we then analysed these by age-group, time period, and within vaccine eligible cohorts. RESULTS: Of the 87,759 VZV notifications received, 70 % (n = 61,298) were notified as unspecified, followed by 23 % shingles (n = 19,927), and 7 % chickenpox (n = 6,534). Over the study period, the percent change in total notifications adjusted by age and sex was estimated to be an increase of 5.7 % (95 % CI 4.9-6.4) each year. The chickenpox notifications fell sharply at 18 months of age (eligible for chickenpox vaccine) with the rate being 57 % and 36 % lower among those aged 18-23 months compared to <12 and 12-17 months of age, respectively. Assuming all cases aged 60 years and older were shingles, notification rates of shingles decreased by 12-22 % among 70-79 years old (eligible for shingles vaccination) over the years 2017-2021 after vaccine introduction in 2016. CONCLUSION: The VZV notification rate has increased over time in Queensland. Impact of chickenpox and shingles vaccines funded under National Immunisation Program is seen with a decline in notification rates among age-specific cohorts eligible to receive the vaccines under the program. Introduction of a second childhood dose chickenpox vaccine and more effective recombinant shingles vaccine may further improve the impact of the vaccination program.

Enhanced surveillance of notifications of hepatitis C to Queensland Health up to 19 years previously.

In this study we aimed to assess the utility of following up historical hepatitis C notifications for enhanced surveillance and linking cases to further testing and treatment. Queensland hepatitis C notifications from June 2018, 2013, 2008 and 2003 who were not incarcerated at the time of testing were followed up. The most recent identified clinicians for cases were contacted by telephone. When no information about a current clinician was available, the case was contacted via a letter or text message. Clinicians and cases were encouraged to pursue further testing and treatment and provide information about management. Following notification but prior to this study's follow-up, a majority of cases (309/532; 58%) had a negative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test or underwent treatment.Clinician follow-up was successful in 21% of eligible cases, with the proportion decreasing with increasing time since notification. In conclusion, contacting clinicians to link notified cases to further testing and treatment may increase testing and treatment in a small proportion of cases notified up to nine years post-notification. From our experience, the follow-up of notifications before this time is unlikely to result in improved outcomes.

Using notifications data to increase hepatitis C testing and treatment rates in Queensland.

Australia's goal of eliminating hepatitis C by 2030 requires increases in uptake of and access to testing and treatment. As hepatitis C is a notifiable condition, health departments have access to information about people exposed to the hepatitis C virus (HCV), including the details of notifying clinicians who ordered their diagnostic pathology tests. Hepatitis C RNA testing confirms active infection that requires treatment, whereas a positive antibody test result only indicates prior exposure to the virus. We undertook a pilot project in Queensland to follow up hepatitis C notifications with clinicians, aiming to increase HCV-RNA testing and treatment uptake. For all individuals with a first-time hepatitis C notification in Queensland between 3 November 2020 and 28 May 2021, we sought information regarding hepatitis C RNA testing from laboratories, excluding those cases diagnosed in prisons. Cases who did not have RNA testing identified as part of or after their initial diagnostic tests were followed up via their notifying clinician. Interviews with selected clinicians were undertaken to improve our understanding of the follow-up process. There were 769 new hepatitis C notifications during our study period: 244 had no subsequent RNA test identified and were followed up for this study. Of these, 134 cases were lost to follow-up; 26 were already being effectively case managed; 22 reported previous treatment and no further risk; and 62 were eligible for HCV-RNA testing. Twenty-six cases subsequently started hepatitis C treatment. Thirty-four percent of notifications that required follow-up resulted from testing initially requested in hospital settings. Following up hepatitis C notifications can result in increased treatment rates; however, the process was resource-intensive and often failed to result in further contact between clinicians and patients. Our findings also highlight the importance of supporting better continuity of care between hospitals and community settings.

Association of rhinovirus and potentially pathogenic bacterial detections in the first 3 months of life with subsequent wheezing in childhood.

OBJECTIVE: Airway interactions between viruses, especially rhinoviruses, and potentially pathogenic bacteria (PPB; Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, and Moraxella catarrhalis) in early infancy may increase the risk of subsequent wheezing and asthma. We evaluated the association between rhinovirus and PPB in the first 3 months of life and wheezing episodes before age 2 years and asthma at age 5-7 years. METHODS: An Australian community-based birth cohort of healthy children involved parents collecting nasal swabs weekly and completing symptom diaries daily until age 2 years. In a follow-up subset, asthma diagnosis was assessed annually until age 7 years. Swabs were analyzed by real-time polymerase chain reaction assays. Children were included if they returned symptom diaries beyond age 3 months (wheeze) or were reviewed at age 5-7 years (asthma). RESULTS: 1440 swabs were returned by 146 children in the first 3 months of life. Wheeze and asthma outcomes were recorded for 146 and 84 children, respectively. Each additional week of rhinovirus detection increased the incidence of wheezing before age 2 years by 1.16 times (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.99-1.35). There were no significant associations between bacteria and wheeze. Each additional week with H. influenzae increased the odds of asthma at age 5-7 years by 135% (odds ratio: 2.35, 95% CI: 0.99-5.58). No significant interaction was observed between rhinovirus and PPB for wheezing or asthma. CONCLUSION: Early life rhinovirus infection was associated with wheezing before age 2 years and H. influenzae with asthma by age 5-7 years. Microbes may play an etiologic role in wheezing and asthma, warranting further study.

Interference Between Enteric Viruses and Live-Attenuated Rotavirus Vaccine Virus in a Healthy Australian Birth Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus vaccines have reduced effectiveness in high-mortality settings. Interference between enteric viruses and live-attenuated oral vaccine strains may be a factor. METHODS: In a birth cohort of healthy Australian infants, parents collected weekly stool samples. Three hundred eighty-one paired swabs collected within 10-days of RotaTeq vaccination from 140 infants were tested for 10 enteric viruses and RotaTeq strains. RESULTS: Collectively, both ribonucleic acid and deoxyribonucleic acid viruses were negatively associated with RotaTeq shedding (adjusted odds ratio = 0.29, 95% confidence interval = 0.14-0.58 and adjusted odds ratio = 0.30, 95% confidence interval = 0.11-0.78, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Enteric viruses may interfere with RotaTeq replication in the gut and thus RotaTeq stool shedding.

Human bocavirus-1 infections in Australian children aged < 2 years: a birth cohort study.

To determine human bocavirus-1 (HBoV1) infection characteristics in young Australian children. Data were from the Observational Research in Childhood Infectious Diseases (ORChID) study, a Brisbane, Australia-based birth cohort of healthy, term, newborns followed prospectively for 2 years. Parents recorded daily symptoms, maintained an illness-burden diary, and collected weekly nasal swabs, which were tested for 17 respiratory viruses, including HBoV1, by real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays. Main outcomes measured were infection incidence, risk factors, symptoms, and healthcare use. One hundred fifty-eight children in the ORChID cohort provided 11,126 weekly swabs, of which 157 swabs were HBoV1 positive involving 107 incident episodes. Co-detections were observed in 65/157 (41.4%) HBoV1-positive swabs (or 41/107 [38.3%] infection episodes), principally with rhinovirus. Shedding duration was 1 week in 64.5% of episodes. The incidence of HBoV1 infections in the first 2 years of life was 0.58 episodes per child-year (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47-0.71), including 0.38 episodes per child-year (95% CI 0.30-0.49) associated with respiratory symptoms. Recurrent episodes occurred in 18/87 (20.7%) children following their primary infection. In the first 2 years of life, incidence of HBoV1 episodes increased with age, during winter and with childcare attendance. Overall, 64.2% of HBoV1 episodes were symptomatic, with 26.4% having healthcare contact. Viral load estimates were higher when children were symptomatic than when asymptomatic (mean difference = 3.4; 95% CI 1.0-5.7 PCR cycle threshold units). After age 6 months, HBoV1 is detected frequently in the first 2 years of life, especially during winter. Symptoms are usually mild and associated with higher viral loads.

Real world impact of 13vPCV in preventing invasive pneumococcal pneumonia in Australian children: A national study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to assess the direct protective effect of 13 valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (13vPCV) against invasive pneumococcal pneumonia (IPP; including pneumonia and empyema) in children using a nation-wide case-control study across 11 paediatric tertiary hospitals in Australia. METHODS: Children < 18 years old admitted with pneumonia were eligible for enrolment. IPP was defined as Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP) cultured or detected by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) from blood or pleural fluid. Causative SP serotype (ST) was determined from blood or pleural fluid SP isolates by molecular methods in PCR positive specimens or else inferred from nasopharyngeal isolates. For each IPP case, 20 population controls matched by age and socio-economic status were sampled from the Australian Immunisation Register. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of being fully vaccinated with 13vPCV (≥3 doses versus < 3 doses) among IPP cases compared to controls, adjusted for sex and Indigenous status. RESULTS: From February 2015 to September 2018, we enrolled 1,168 children with pneumonia; 779 were 13vPCV-eligible and were individually matched to 15,580 controls. SP was confirmed in 195 IPP cases, 181 of whom had empyema. ST3 and ST19A were identified in 52% (102/195) and 11% (21/195) of IPP cases respectively. The aOR of being fully vaccinated with 13vPCV was 0.8 (95% CI 0.6-1.0) among IPP cases compared to matched controls. CONCLUSION: We failed to identify a strong direct protective effect of 13vPCV against IPP among Australian children, where disease was largely driven by ST3.

Assessing the Prevalence of Trachoma: Lessons from Community Screening with Laboratory Testing in Australia's Torres Strait Islands.

PURPOSE: We undertook a screening program between 2016 and 2019 to determine if trachoma was endemic in the Torres Strait Islands of Queensland, Australia. METHODS: Eleven screening surveys assessing trachoma prevalence were undertaken in seven communities using the World Health Organization (WHO) simplified grading tool. Additionally, an ophthalmologist performed a detailed clinical assessment including examination for Herbert's pits and corneal pannus and, where clinically indicated, collection of conjunctival specimens to investigate the presence of Chlamydia trachomatis nucleic acid. RESULTS: Prevalence of trachomatous inflammation-follicular (TF) in children aged 5-9 years for the aggregated first survey across all communities was 6% (17/284). No child had trachomatous inflammation-intense, trachomatous scarring, corneal pannus, or Herbert's pits. Of the 66 times any child was tested for C. trachomatis by polymerase chain reaction (PCR), the result was negative. No cicatricial trachoma was identified amongst the adults (n = 186) who were opportunistically offered examination. CONCLUSION: Whilst TF was present, the lack of intense inflammatory thickening in any child examined, the lack of end-stage trachomatous disease, and the lack of ocular C. trachomatis detection by PCR indicate trachoma is not endemic in the Torres Strait Islands, and no ongoing public health intervention is required. These findings add to a growing body of evidence suggesting that use of the WHO simplified grading tool alone in the peri-elimination setting may overestimate the community burden of trachoma.

Sapovirus Infections in an Australian Community-Based Healthy Birth Cohort During the First 2 Years of Life.

BACKGROUND: Sapovirus is an important cause of acute gastroenteritis (AGE) in young children. However, knowledge gaps remain in community settings. We investigated the epidemiology, disease characteristics, and healthcare use associated with sapovirus infections in Australian children during their first 2 years of life. METHODS: Children in the Brisbane-based Observational Research in Childhood Infectious Diseases birth cohort provided daily gastrointestinal symptoms (vomiting/loose stools), weekly stool swabs, and healthcare data until age 2 years. Swabs were batch-tested for sapovirus using real-time polymerase chain reaction assays. Incidence rates and estimates of associations were calculated. RESULTS: Overall, 158 children returned 11 124 swabs. There were 192 sapovirus infection episodes. The incidence rate in the first 2 years of life was 0.89 infections per child-year (95% confidence interval [CI], .76-1.05), and the symptomatic incidence rate was 0.26 episodes per child-year (95% CI, .17-.37). Age ≥6 months, the fall season, and childcare attendance increased disease incidence significantly. Fifty-four of the 180 (30%) infections with linked symptom diaries were symptomatic, with 72% recording vomiting and 48% diarrhea. Prior infection reduced risk of further infections (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, .54-.81]) in the study period. Viral loads were higher and viral shedding duration was longer in symptomatic than asymptomatic children. Twenty-three (43%) symptomatic episodes required healthcare, including 6 emergency department presentations and 2 hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: Sapovirus infections are common in Australian children aged 6-23 months. Efforts to reduce childhood AGE after the global rollout of rotavirus vaccines should include sapovirus where estimates of its incidence in communities will be crucial.

Factors associated with COVID-19 booster vaccine willingness among migrants from the Eastern Mediterranean living in Australia: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Migrants have been disproportionally affected by COVID-19 in Australia. Vaccination against COVID-19 is a key pillar of Australia's public health response, but little is known about the willingness to receive booster vaccinations among migrants. This study aimed to assess the factors associated with a willingness to receive a COVID-19 booster vaccine among migrants living in Australia born in the World Health Organization's Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMRO). METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted from September to November 2021 (n = 300). Participants were questioned on booster vaccine willingness, sociodemographic characteristics, COVID-19 vaccine information needs and sources, and perceptions of COVID-19 vaccines. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to assess factors associated with booster willingness. RESULTS: Most respondents (87%) had received two doses of COVID-19 vaccine, of which 81% were willing to receive a booster dose. About half of the participants reported high or very high needs for receiving information about "COVID-19 vaccines' safety monitoring in Australia", "COVID-19 vaccines protection against illness", "Safety of COVID-19 vaccines used in Australia", and "The Australian COVID-19 vaccination program". People who were willing to receive a boost dose had significantly higher self-estimated knowledge of COVID-19 vaccines, confidence in COVID-19 vaccines and trust in the Australian government's vaccine recommendations, and perceived COVID-19 as a greater risk compared to those who were unsure/hesitant. Both groups reported similar perceptions of their personal risks from COVID-19 but diverged on their views of COVID-19 as a broader health problem. There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of channels used to find information about COVID-19 vaccines. Factors associated with willingness to receive a COVID-19 booster vaccine in the multivariate logistic regression were age (aOR 1.07 95% CI 1.02-1.12), and no exposure to concerning news about COVID-19 vaccines (aOR 3.71 95% CI 1.51-9.09). CONCLUSION: Vaccine acceptance and reported booster willingness was high. The results suggest the news and information seen may impact willingness to receive booster doses, even among those who have already received doses of COVID-19 vaccine. Addressing vaccine concerns and transparent communication about uncertainty should be a priority in the current and in future pandemics.

Clinical signs of trachoma and laboratory evidence of ocular Chlamydia trachomatis infection in a remote Queensland community: a serial cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the findings of standard clinical assessments and of complementary clinical and laboratory methods for determining whether community-wide treatment for trachoma is warranted in a remote Queensland community. DESIGN: Three cross-sectional screening surveys, 2019-2021, complemented by laboratory pathology testing. SETTING: Small community in northwest Queensland with geographic and cultural ties to Northern Territory communities where trachoma persists. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged 1-14 years; opportunistic screening of people aged 15 years or more. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of clinical signs of trachoma, Chlamydia trachomatis infection, ocular non-chlamydial infections, and seropositivity for antibodies to the C. trachomatis Pgp3 protein. RESULTS: During the three surveys, 73 examinations of 58 children aged 1-4 years, 309 of 171 aged 5-9 years, and 142 of 105 aged 10-14 years for trachoma were undertaken, as were 171 examinations of 164 people aged 15 years or more; 691 of 695 examinations were of Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander people (99%), 337 were of girls or young women (48%). Clinical signs consistent with trachomatous inflammation-follicular were identified in 5-9-year-old children 23 times (7%), including in eleven with non-chlamydial infections and one with a C. trachomatis infection. One child (10-14 years) met the criteria for trachomatous scarring. Two of 272 conjunctival swab samples (all ages) were polymerase chain reaction-positive for C. trachomatis (0.7%). Two of 147 people aged 15 years or more examined in 2019 had trichiasis, both aged 40 years or more. Seven of 53 children aged 1-9 years in 2019 and seven of 103 in 2021 were seropositive for anti-Pgp3 antibodies. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the prevalence of clinical signs consistent with trachomatous inflammation-follicular among 5-9-year-old children exceeding the 5% threshold for community-wide treatment, laboratory testing indicated that childhood exposure to ocular C. trachomatis is rare in this community. Laboratory testing should be integrated into Australian trachoma guidelines.

Modelling herd immunity requirements in Queensland: impact of vaccination effectiveness, hesitancy and variants of SARS-CoV-2.

Long-term control of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks depends on the widespread coverage of effective vaccines. In Australia, two-dose vaccination coverage of above 90% of the adult population was achieved. However, between August 2020 and August 2021, hesitancy fluctuated dramatically. This raised the question of whether settings with low naturally derived immunity, such as Queensland where less than [Formula: see text] of the population is known to have been infected in 2020, could have achieved herd immunity against 2021's variants of concern. To address this question, we used the agent-based model Covasim. We simulated outbreak scenarios (with the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants) and assumed ongoing interventions (testing, tracing, isolation and quarantine). We modelled vaccination using two approaches with different levels of realism. Hesitancy was modelled using Australian survey data. We found that with a vaccine effectiveness against infection of 80%, it was possible to control outbreaks of Alpha, but not Delta or Omicron. With 90% effectiveness, Delta outbreaks may have been preventable, but not Omicron outbreaks. We also estimated that a decrease in hesitancy from 20% to 14% reduced the number of infections, hospitalizations and deaths by over 30%. Overall, we demonstrate that while herd immunity may not be attainable, modest reductions in hesitancy and increases in vaccine uptake may greatly improve health outcomes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.

Interference between rhinovirus and other RNA respiratory viruses in the first 2-years of life: A longitudinal community-based birth cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cross-sectional studies report negative associations between rhinovirus and other RNA respiratory viruses. However, longitudinal studies with frequent, serial sampling are needed to identify the directionality of this relationship and its nature. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between rhinovirus and other RNA respiratory viruses detected 1-week apart. METHODS: The Observational Research in Childhood Infectious Diseases cohort study was conducted in Brisbane, Australia (2010-2014). Parents collected nasal swabs weekly from birth until age 2-years. Swabs were analysed by real-time polymerase chain reaction. The association between new rhinovirus detections and five other RNA viruses (influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, parainfluenza viruses, seasonal human coronaviruses, and human metapneumovirus) in paired swabs 1-week apart were investigated. RESULTS: Overall, 157 children provided 8,101 swabs, from which 4,672 paired swabs 1-week apart were analysed. New rhinovirus detections were negatively associated with new pooled RNA respiratory virus detections 1-week later (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.48; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.13-0.83), as were pooled RNA virus detections with new rhinovirus detections the following week (aOR 0.34; 95%CI: 0.09-0.60). At the individual species level, rhinovirus had the strongest negative association with new seasonal human coronavirus detections in the subsequent week (aOR 0.34; 95%CI: 0.120.95) and respiratory syncytial virus had the strongest negative association with rhinovirus 1-week later (aOR 0.21; 95%CI: 0.050.88). CONCLUSION: A strong, negative bidirectional association was observed between rhinovirus and other RNA viruses in a longitudinal study of a community-based cohort of young Australian children. This suggests within-host interference between RNA respiratory viruses.

A multi-jurisdictional outbreak of Salmonella Typhimurium infections linked to backyard poultry-Australia, 2020.

Zoonotic salmonellosis can occur either through direct contact with an infected animal or through indirect contact, such as exposure to an infected animal's contaminated environment. Between May and August 2020, a multi-jurisdictional outbreak of Salmonella Typhimurium (STm) infection due to zoonotic transmission was investigated in Australia. In total, 38 outbreak cases of STm with a median age of 5 years were reported. Epidemiological investigation showed contact with live poultry to be a common risk factor with most cases recently purchasing one-week old chicks from produce/pet stores. Traceback investigation of cases identified 25 product/pet stores of which 18 were linked to a single poultry breeder farm. On farm environmental sampling identified the same STm genotype as identified in cases. Whole genome sequencing of both environmental and human outbreak isolates found them to be highly related by phylogenetic analysis. This investigation describes the first documented widespread zoonotic salmonellosis outbreak in Australia attributed to backyard poultry exposure and identified potential risk factors and prevention and control measures for future outbreaks. Prevention of future outbreaks will require an integrated One Health approach involving the poultry industry, produce/pet store owners, animal healthcare providers, public health and veterinary health agencies and the public.

Profiling Risk Factors for Household and Community Spatiotemporal Clusters of Q Fever Notifications in Queensland between 2002 and 2017.

Q fever, caused by the bacterium Coxiella burnetii, is an important zoonotic disease worldwide. Australia has one of the highest reported incidences and seroprevalence of Q fever, and communities in the state of Queensland are at highest risk of exposure. Despite Australia's Q fever vaccination programs, the number of reported Q fever cases has remained stable for the last few years. The extent to which Q fever notifications cluster in circumscribed communities is not well understood. This study aimed to retrospectively explore and identify the spatiotemporal variation in Q fever household and community clusters in Queensland reported during 2002 to 2017, and quantify potential within cluster drivers. We used Q fever notification data held in the Queensland Notifiable Conditions System to explore the geographical clustering patterns of Q fever incidence, and identified and estimated community Q fever spatiotemporal clusters using SatScan, Boston, MA, USA. The association between Q fever household and community clusters, and demographic and socioeconomic characteristics was explored using the chi-squared statistical test and logistic regression analysis. From the total 2175 Q fever notifications included in our analysis, we found 356 Q fever hotspots at a mesh-block level. We identified that 8.2% of Q fever notifications belonged to a spatiotemporal cluster. Within the spatiotemporal Q fever clusters, we found 44 (61%) representing household clusters and 20 (27.8%) were statistically significant with an average cluster size of 3 km radius. Our multivariable model shows statistical differences between cases belonging to clusters in comparison with cases outside clusters based on the type of reported exposure. In conclusion, our results demonstrate that clusters of Q fever notifications are temporally stable and geographically circumscribed, indicating a persistent common exposure. Furthermore, within individuals in household and community clusters, abattoir exposure (a traditional occupational exposure) was rarely reported by individuals.