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Background: One in four individuals with Parkinson's disease (PD) experience cognitive impairment (CI). However, few practical models integrating clinical and neuroimaging biomarkers have been developed to address CI in PD. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between circulating neuron-specific enolase (NSE) levels, substantia nigra hyperechogenicity (SNH), and cognitive function in PD and to develop a nomogram based on clinical and neuroimaging biomarkers for predicting CI in patients with PD. Methods: A total of 385 patients with PD who underwent transcranial sonography (TCS) from January 2021 to December 2022 at Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, were recruited as the training cohort. For validation, 165 patients with PD treated from January 2023 to December 2023 were enrolled. Data for SNH, plasma NSE, and other clinical measures were collected, and cognitive function was assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Logistic regression analysis was employed to select potential risk factors and establish a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve were generated to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. Results: Patients with PD exhibiting CI displayed advanced age, elevated Unified PD Rating Scale-III (UPDRS-III) score, an increased percentage of SNH, higher levels of plasma NSE and homocysteine (Hcy), a larger SNH area, and lower education levels compared to PD patients without CI. Gender [odds ratio (OR) =0.561, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.330-0.954, P=0.03], age (OR =1.039; 95% CI: 1.011-1.066; P=0.005), education level (OR =0.892; 95% CI: 0.842-0.954; P<0.001), UPDRS-III scores (OR =1.026; 95% CI: 1.009-1.043; P=0.003), plasma NSE concentration (OR =1.562; 95% CI: 1.374-1.776; P<0.001), and SNH (OR =0.545; 95% CI: 0.330-0.902; P=0.02) were independent predictors of CI in patients with PD. A nomogram developed using these six factors yielded a moderate discrimination performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.823 (95% CI 0.781-0.864; P<0.001). The calibration curve demonstrated acceptable agreement between predicted outcomes and actual values. Validation further confirmed the reliability of the nomogram, with an AUC of 0.864 (95% CI: 0.805-0.922; P<0.001). Conclusions: The level of NSE in plasma and the SNH assessed by TCS are associated with CI in patients with PD. The proposed nomogram has the potential to facilitate the detection of cognitive decline in individuals with PD.
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Purpose: Constipation is a common complication of diabetic patients, which has a negative impact on their own health. This study aims to establish and internally validate the risk nomogram of constipation in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and to test its predictive ability. Patients and Methods: This retrospective study included 746 patients with T2DM at two medical centers. Among the 746 patients with T2DM, 382 and 163 patients in the Beilun branch of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University were enrolled in the training cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. A total of 201 patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University were enrolled in external validation cohorts. The nomogram was established by optimizing the predictive factors through univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The prediction performance of the nomogram was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA). Furthermore, its applicability was internally and independently validated. Results: Among the 16 clinicopathological features, five variables were selected to develop the prediction nomogram, including age, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), calcium, anxiety, and regular exercise. The nomogram revealed good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.908 (95% CI = 0.865-0.950) in the training cohort, and 0.867 (95% CI = 0.790-0.944) and 0.816 (95% CI = 0.751-0.881) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curve presented a good agreement between the prediction by the nomogram and the actual observation. The DCA revealed that the nomogram had a high clinical application value. Conclusion: In this study, the nomogram for pretreatment risk management of constipation in patients with T2DM was developed which could help in making timely personalized clinical decisions for different risk populations.
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BACKGROUND The aim of this study was to establish and validate an easy-to-use nomogram to predict portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in patients with cirrhosis after splenectomy and to test its predictive ability. MATERIAL AND METHODS This retrospective study included 315 patients with cirrhosis who underwent splenectomy at 2 high-volume medical centers. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was used to select the predictors in the training cohort, and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the predictive nomogram model. We determined the prediction value of the nomogram by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Finally, the applicability of the nomogram was internally and independently validated. RESULTS The predictors of PVT included portal vein diameter, splenic vein diameter, body mass index, and platelet count. Based on the clinical and radiomic models, the nomogram had good predictive efficiency for predicting PVT in patients with cirrhosis after splenectomy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (0.856 in internal validation and 0.796 in independent validation). The decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram had good clinical application value. CONCLUSIONS We successfully developed an easy-to-use nomogram to predict the probability of PVT in patients with cirrhosis after splenectomy. The nomogram can help clinicians make timely, individualized clinical decisions for PVT in patients with cirrhosis after splenectomy.