RESUMEN
Objectives: Studies on the prognosis and risk stratification of patients with acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) - related Burkitt lymphoma (AR-BL) are rare. We aim to construct a novel model to improve the risk assessment of these patients. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 34 patients over the past 10 years and the factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated in univariate and multivariate Cox models. Then, the novel model consisting of screened factors was compared with the existing models. Results: With a 37-month median follow-up, the overall 2-year PFS and OS rates were 40.50% and 36.18%, respectively. The OS of patients who received chemotherapy was better compared with those without chemotherapy (P = .0012). Treatment with an etoposide, prednisone, oncovin, cyclophosphamide, and hydroxydaunorubicin-based regimen was associated with longer OS and PFS compared with a cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone-based regimen (OS, P = .0002; PFS, P = .0158). Chemotherapy (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.075; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.009-0.614) and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) 2 to 4 (HR = 4.738; 95% CI, 1.178-19.061) were independent prognostic factors of OS in multivariate analysis and we established a novel prognostic risk stratification model named GZ8H model with chemotherapy and ECOG PS. Conclusion: GZ8H showed better stratification ability than the international prognostic index (IPI) or Burkitt lymphoma IPI (BL-IPI). Furthermore, the C-index of the nomogram used to predict OS was 0.884 in the entire cohort and the calibration curve showed excellent agreement between the predicted and actual results of OS. No human immunodeficiency virus-related factors were found to be associated with OS and PFS of AR-BL patients in our study. Overall, the clinical characteristics and outcomes in AR-BL were shown and prognostic factors for OS and PFS were identified in this study.
Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , Linfoma de Burkitt , Linfoma de Células B Grandes Difuso , Humanos , Linfoma de Burkitt/diagnóstico , Linfoma de Burkitt/tratamiento farmacológico , Linfoma de Burkitt/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/tratamiento farmacológico , Prednisona , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Pronóstico , Ciclofosfamida , Vincristina , Doxorrubicina/uso terapéutico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related diffuse large B cell lymphoma (AR-DLBCL) is a rare disease with a high risk of mortality. There is no specific prognostic model for patients with AR-DLBCL. A total of 100 patients diagnosed with AR-DLBCL were enrolled in our study. Clinical features and prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. Central nervous system (CNS) involvement, opportunistic infection (OI) at lymphoma diagnosis, and elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were selected to construct the OS model; CNS involvement, OI at lymphoma diagnosis, elevated LDH, and over four chemotherapy cycles were selected to construct the PFS model. The area under the curve and C-index of GZMU OS and PFS models were 0.786/0.712; 0.829/0.733, respectively. The models we constructed showed better risk stratification than International Prognostic Index (IPI), age-adjusted IPI, and National Comprehensive Cancer Network-IPI. Furthermore, in combined cohort, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the models were good fits (OS: p = 0.8244; PFS: p = 0.9968) and the decision curve analysis demonstrated a significantly better net benefit. The prognostic efficacy of the proposed models was validated independently and outperformed the currently available prognostic tools. These novel prognostic models will help to tackle a clinically relevant unmet need.
Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , Linfoma de Células B Grandes Difuso , Infecciones Oportunistas , Humanos , Pronóstico , Linfoma de Células B Grandes Difuso/diagnóstico , Análisis MultivarianteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Serum albumin has been demonstrated as prognostic parameter in non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). Primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) is a rare extranodal NHL with highly aggressive behavior. In this study, we aimed at creating a novel prognostic model for PCNSL based on serum albumin levels. METHODS: We compared several commonly used laboratory nutritional parameters for predicting the survival of PCNSL patients using overall survival (OS) for outcome analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to determine the optimal cut-off values. Parameters associated with OS were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. Independent prognostic parameters for OS were selected for risk stratification, including albumin ≤ 4.1 g/dL, ECOG PS > 1, and LLR > 166.8, which were associated with shorter OS; albumin > 4.1 g/dL, ECOG PS 0-1 and LLR ≤ 166.8, which were associated with longer OS, and five-fold cross-validation was used for evaluating predictive accuracy of identified prognostic model. RESULTS: By univariate analysis, age, ECOG PS, MSKCC score, Lactate dehydrogenase-to-lymphocyte ratio (LLR), total protein, albumin, hemoglobin, and albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) resulted statistically associated with the OS of PCNSL. By multivariate analysis, albumin ≤ 4.1 g/dL, ECOG PS > 1, and LLR > 166.8 were confirmed to be significant predictors of inferior OS. We explored several PCNSL prognostic models based on albumin, ECOG PS and LLR with 1 point assigned to each parameter. Eventually, a novel and effective PCNSL prognostic model based on albumin and ECOG PS successfully classified patients into three risk groups with 5-year survival rates of 47.5%, 36.9%, and 11.9%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The novel two-factor prognostic model based on albumin and ECOG PS we propose represents a simple but significant prognostic tool for assessing newly diagnosed patients with PCNSL.