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1.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(11): 1-11, 2024 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39447210

RESUMEN

The low specificity of Ebola virus disease clinical signs increases the risk for nosocomial transmission to patients and healthcare workers during outbreaks. Reducing this risk requires identifying patients with a high likelihood of Ebola virus infection. Analyses of retrospective data from patients suspected of having Ebola virus infection identified 13 strong predictors and time from disease onset as constituents of a prediction score for Ebola virus disease. We also noted 4 highly predictive variables that could distinguish patients at high risk for infection, independent of their scores. External validation of this algorithm on retrospective data revealed the probability of infection continuously increased with the score.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola , Triaje , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/diagnóstico , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/transmisión , Humanos , Triaje/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Masculino , Femenino , Ebolavirus , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad
2.
medRxiv ; 2024 Sep 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39314953

RESUMEN

Cholera is a bacterial water-borne diarrheal disease transmitted via the fecal-oral route that causes high morbidity in sub-Saharan Africa and Asia. It is preventable with vaccination, and Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH) improvements. However, the impact of vaccination in endemic settings remains unclear. Cholera is endemic in the city of Kalemie, on the shore of Lake Tanganyika, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, where both seasonal mobility and the lake, a potential environmental reservoir, may promote transmission. Kalemie received a vaccination campaign and WASH improvements in 2013-2016. We assessed the impact of this intervention to inform future control strategies in endemic settings. We fit compartmental models considering seasonal mobility and environmentally-based transmission. We estimated the number of cases the intervention avoided, and the relative contributions of the elements promoting local cholera transmission. We estimated the intervention avoided 5,259 cases (95% credible interval: 1,576.6-11,337.8) over 118 weeks. Transmission did not rely on seasonal mobility and was primarily environmentally-driven. Removing environmental exposure or contamination could control local transmission. Repeated environmental exposure could maintain high population immunity and decrease the impact of vaccination in similar endemic areas. Addressing environmental exposure and contamination should be the primary target of interventions in such settings.

5.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 24(6): 602-610, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38340736

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The rVSVΔG-ZEBOV-GP vaccine constitutes a valuable tool to control Ebola virus disease outbreaks. This retrospective cohort study aimed to assess the protective effect of the vaccine against death among patients with confirmed Ebola virus disease. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort analysis of patients with confirmed Ebola virus disease admitted to Ebola health facilities in the Democratic Republic of the Congo between July 27, 2018, and April 27, 2020, we performed univariate and multivariate analyses to assess case fatality risk and cycle threshold for nucleoprotein according to vaccination status, Ebola virus disease-specific treatments (eg, mAb114 and REGN-EB3), and other risk factors. FINDINGS: We analysed all 2279 patients with confirmed Ebola virus disease. Of these 2279 patients, 1300 (57%) were female and 979 (43%) were male. Vaccination significantly lowered case fatality risk (vaccinated: 25% [106/423] vs not vaccinated: 56% [570/1015]; p<0·0001). In adjusted analyses, vaccination significantly lowered the risk of death compared with no vaccination, with protection increasing as time elapsed from vaccination to symptom onset (vaccinated ≤2 days before onset: 27% [27/99], adjusted relative risk 0·56 [95% CI 0·36-0·82, p=0·0046]; 3-9 days before onset: 20% [28/139], 0·44 [0·29-0·65, p=0·0001]; ≥10 days before onset: 18% [12/68], 0·40 [0·21-0·69; p=0·0022]; vaccination date unknown: 33% [39/117], 0·69 [0·48-0·96; p=0·0341]; and vaccination status unknown: 52% [441/841], 0·80 [0·70-0·91, p=0·0011]). Longer time from symptom onset to admission significantly increased risk of death (49% [1117/2279], 1·03 [1·02-1·05; p<0·0001]). Cycle threshold values for nucleoprotein were significantly higher-indicating lower viraemia-among patients who were vaccinated compared with those who were not vaccinated; the highest difference was observed among those vaccinated 21 days or longer before symptom onset (median 30·0 cycles [IQR 24·6-33·7]) compared with patients who were not vaccinated (21·4 cycles [18·4-25·9], p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: To our knowledge, this is the first observational study describing the protective effect of rVSVΔG-ZEBOV-GP vaccination against death among patients with confirmed Ebola virus disease admitted to an Ebola health facility. Vaccination was protective against death for all patients, even when adjusted for Ebola virus disease-specific treatment, age group, and time from symptom onset to admission. FUNDING: Médecins Sans Frontières. TRANSLATION: For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/prevención & control , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/mortalidad , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Femenino , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra el Virus del Ébola/inmunología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ebolavirus/inmunología , Vacunación , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Factores de Riesgo , Niño
7.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(Suppl 1): S13-S16, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37274531

RESUMEN

Gavi supports countries to introduce typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) with catch-up campaigns. Available TCVs are highly efficacious, equity-focused, and critical to curbing the expansion of antimicrobial resistance. Four Gavi-supported countries have introduced TCVs since 2018. In the wake of the COVID-19 emergency, momentum is building to scale up TCV introduction worldwide, supported by global partners and Gavi's funding for improved typhoid diagnostics.

8.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 3(6): e0001457, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37289736

RESUMEN

Although seroprevalence studies have demonstrated the wide circulation of SARS-COV-2 in African countries, the impact on population health in these settings is still poorly understood. Using representative samples of the general population, we evaluated retrospective mortality and seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Lubumbashi and Abidjan. The studies included retrospective mortality surveys and nested anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence surveys. In Lubumbashi the study took place during April-May 2021 and in Abidjan the survey was implemented in two phases: July-August 2021 and October-November 2021. Crude mortality rates were stratified between pre-pandemic and pandemic periods and further investigated by age group and COVID waves. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was quantified by rapid diagnostic testing (RDT) and laboratory-based testing (ELISA in Lubumbashi and ECLIA in Abidjan). In Lubumbashi, the crude mortality rate (CMR) increased from 0.08 deaths per 10 000 persons per day (pre-pandemic) to 0.20 deaths per 10 000 persons per day (pandemic period). Increases were particularly pronounced among <5 years old. In Abidjan, no overall increase was observed during the pandemic period (pre-pandemic: 0.05 deaths per 10 000 persons per day; pandemic: 0.07 deaths per 10 000 persons per day). However, an increase was observed during the third wave (0.11 deaths per 10 000 persons per day). The estimated seroprevalence in Lubumbashi was 15.7% (RDT) and 43.2% (laboratory-based). In Abidjan, the estimated seroprevalence was 17.4% (RDT) and 72.9% (laboratory-based) during the first phase of the survey and 38.8% (RDT) and 82.2% (laboratory-based) during the second phase of the survey. Although circulation of SARS-CoV-2 seems to have been extensive in both settings, the public health impact varied. The increases, particularly among the youngest age group, suggest indirect impacts of COVID and the pandemic on population health. The seroprevalence results confirmed substantial underdetection of cases through the national surveillance systems.

9.
Bull World Health Organ ; 101(3): 170-178, 2023 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36865607

RESUMEN

Objective: To describe the implementation of case-area targeted interventions to reduce cholera transmission using a rapid, localized response in Kribi district, Cameroon. Methods: We used a cross-sectional design to study the implementation of case-area targeted interventions. We initiated interventions after rapid diagnostic test confirmation of a case of cholera. We targeted households within a 100-250 metre perimeter around the index case (spatial targeting). The interventions package included: health promotion, oral cholera vaccination, antibiotic chemoprophylaxis for nonimmunized direct contacts, point-of-use water treatment and active case-finding. Findings: We implemented eight targeted intervention packages in four health areas of Kribi between 17 September 2020 and 16 October 2020. We visited 1533 households (range: 7-544 per case-area) hosting 5877 individuals (range: 7-1687 per case-area). The average time from detection of the index case to implementation of interventions was 3.4 days (range: 1-7). Oral cholera vaccination increased overall immunization coverage in Kribi from 49.2% (2771/5621 people) to 79.3% (4456/5621 people). Interventions also led to the detection and prompt management of eight suspected cases of cholera, five of whom had severe dehydration. Stool culture was positive for Vibrio cholerae O1 in four cases. The average time from onset of symptoms to admission of a person with cholera to a health facility was 1.2 days. Conclusion: Despite challenges, we successfully implemented targeted interventions at the tail-end of a cholera epidemic, after which no further cases were reported in Kribi up until week 49 of 2021. The effectiveness of case-area targeted interventions in stopping or reducing cholera transmission needs further investigation.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , Humanos , Cólera/epidemiología , Cólera/prevención & control , Camerún/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Antibacterianos , Quimioprevención
10.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 3(1): e0001316, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36962828

RESUMEN

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the virus associated with coronavirus disease (COVID-19). At the time of the study, little data on the level of exposure of the population in Koutiala district in Mali to SARS-CoV-2 was available. Although blood donors are not representative of the general population, a COVID-19 seroprevalence estimate in this population was intended to assess the extent of community transmission, serve as a health alert system, and help guide the public health response. We measured seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies using NG-Biotech SARS-Cov-2 RDT and ECLIA test between January and June 2020. This is a cross-sectional study of volunteer blood donors aged 18 to 60 years, independent of any previous COVID-19 disease. A stratified analysis of seroprevalence by month of sample collection and a comparison of the results of the NG-Biotech SARS-Cov-2 RDT with those of the ECLIA test was performed. The overall prevalence of antibodies to SARS-Cov-2 virus assessed by the NG-Biotech SARS-Cov-2 RDT was 24.6% (95% CI 21.8-27.4) and by the ECLIA test was 70.2 (95% CI 64.9-75.5). Both estimates remained relatively stable over the study period. We observed SARS-CoV-2 exposure much higher than indicated by case-based surveillance. The national surveillance system, as it was, was not able to detect variations in incidence, and as such, we do not recommend it as an alert system. However, the discrepancy between the results of the rapid test and the ECLIA test shows that further research is required to assess the validity of these test before a more solid conclusion can be drawn it their use in surveillance.

11.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(1): 149-153, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36573719

RESUMEN

Africa's Lake Tanganyika basin is a cholera hotspot. During 2001-2020, Vibrio cholerae O1 isolates obtained from the Democratic Republic of the Congo side of the lake belonged to 2 of the 5 clades of the AFR10 sublineage. One clade became predominant after acquiring a parC mutation that decreased susceptibility to ciprofloxacin.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , Vibrio cholerae O1 , Humanos , Vibrio cholerae O1/genética , Tanzanía , Lagos , Cólera/epidemiología , Genómica
12.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 23(1): 91-102, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36370717

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In its earliest phases, Ebola virus disease's rapid-onset, high fever, and gastrointestinal symptoms are largely indistinguishable from other infectious illnesses. We aimed to characterise the clinical indicators associated with Ebola virus disease to improve outbreak response. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, we assessed routinely collected data from individuals with possible Ebola virus disease attending 30 Ebola health facilities in two provinces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo between Aug 1, 2018, and Aug 28, 2019. We used logistic regression analysis to model the probability of Ebola infection across 34 clinical variables and four types of possible Ebola virus disease exposures: contact with an individual known to have Ebola virus disease, attendance at any funeral, health facility consultation, or consultation with an informal health practitioner. FINDINGS: Data for 24 666 individuals were included. If a patient presented to care in the early symptomatic phase (ie, days 0-2), Ebola virus disease positivity was most associated with previous exposure to an individual with Ebola virus disease (odds ratio [OR] 11·9, 95% CI 9·1-15·8), funeral attendance (2·1, 1·6-2·7), or health facility consultations (2·1, 1·6-2·8), rather than clinical parameters. If presentation occurred on day 3 or later (after symptom onset), bleeding at an injection site (OR 33·9, 95% CI 12·7-101·3), bleeding gums (7·5, 3·7-15·4), conjunctivitis (2·4, 1·7-3·4), asthenia (1·9, 1·5-2·3), sore throat (1·8, 1·3-2·4), dysphagia (1·8, 1·4-2·3), and diarrhoea (1·6, 1·3-1·9) were additional strong predictors of Ebola virus disease. Some Ebola virus disease-specific signs were less prevalent among vaccinated individuals who were positive for Ebola virus disease when compared with the unvaccinated, such as dysphagia (-47%, p=0·0024), haematemesis (-90%, p=0·0131), and bleeding gums (-100%, p=0·0035). INTERPRETATION: Establishing the exact time an individual first had symptoms is essential to assessing their infection risk. An individual's exposure history remains of paramount importance, especially in the early phase. Ebola virus disease vaccination reduces symptom severity and should also be considered when assessing the likelihood of infection. These findings about symptomatology should be translated into practice during triage and should inform testing and quarantine procedures. FUNDING: Médecins Sans Frontières and its research affiliate Epicentre.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos de Deglución , Ebolavirus , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola , Humanos , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/prevención & control , Estudios Retrospectivos , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Trastornos de Deglución/epidemiología , Ebolavirus/fisiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control
13.
BMJ Open ; 12(7): e061206, 2022 07 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35793924

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Cholera outbreaks in fragile settings are prone to rapid expansion. Case-area targeted interventions (CATIs) have been proposed as a rapid and efficient response strategy to halt or substantially reduce the size of small outbreaks. CATI aims to deliver synergistic interventions (eg, water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions, vaccination, and antibiotic chemoprophylaxis) to households in a 100-250 m 'ring' around primary outbreak cases. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We report on a protocol for a prospective observational study of the effectiveness of CATI. Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) plans to implement CATI in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Cameroon, Niger and Zimbabwe. This study will run in parallel to each implementation. The primary outcome is the cumulative incidence of cholera in each CATI ring. CATI will be triggered immediately on notification of a case in a new area. As with most real-world interventions, there will be delays to response as the strategy is rolled out. We will compare the cumulative incidence among rings as a function of response delay, as a proxy for performance. Cross-sectional household surveys will measure population-based coverage. Cohort studies will measure effects on reducing incidence among household contacts and changes in antimicrobial resistance. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The ethics review boards of MSF and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine have approved a generic protocol. The DRC and Niger-specific versions have been approved by the respective national ethics review boards. Approvals are in process for Cameroon and Zimbabwe. The study findings will be disseminated to the networks of national cholera control actors and the Global Task Force for Cholera Control using meetings and policy briefs, to the scientific community using journal articles, and to communities via community meetings.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , Cólera/epidemiología , Cólera/prevención & control , Estudios Transversales , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto , Saneamiento , Vacunación
14.
Vaccine ; 40(31): 4199-4210, 2022 07 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35690501

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Zimbabwe suffers from regular outbreaks of typhoid fever (TF), worse since 2017. Most cases were in Harare and a vaccination campaign with Typhoid Conjugate Vaccine (TCV) was conducted in March 2019. The vaccine effectiveness (VE) was assessed against culture-confirmed S. Typhi in children six months to 15 years and in individuals six months to 45 years in Harare. METHODS: A matched case-control study was conducted in three urban suburbs of Harare targeted by the TCV vaccination campaign. Suspected TF cases were enrolled prospectively in four health facilities and were matched to facility (1:1) and community (1:5) controls. FINDINGS: Of 504 suspected cases from July 2019 to March 2020, 148 laboratory-confirmed TF cases and 153 controls confirmed-negative were identified. One hundred and five (47 aged six months to 15 years) cases were age, sex, and residence matched with 105 facility-based controls while 96 cases were matched 1:5 by age, sex, and immediate-neighbour with 229 community controls. The adjusted VE against confirmed TF was 75% (95%CI: 1-94, p = 0.049) compared to facility controls, and 84% (95%CI: 57-94, p < 0.001) compared to community controls in individuals six months to 15 years. The adjusted VE against confirmed TF was 46% (95%CI: 26-77, p = 0.153) compared to facility controls, and 67% (95%CI: 35-83, p = 0.002) compared to community controls six months to 45 years old. INTERPRETATION: This study confirms that one vaccine dose of TCV is effective to control TF in children between six months and 15 years old in an African setting.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Tifoidea , Vacunas Tifoides-Paratifoides , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Lactante , Salmonella typhi , Fiebre Tifoidea/epidemiología , Fiebre Tifoidea/prevención & control , Vacunas Conjugadas/uso terapéutico , Adulto Joven , Zimbabwe/epidemiología
15.
Int J Infect Dis ; 122: 215-221, 2022 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35605949

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cholera remains a public health threat but is inequitably distributed across sub-Saharan Africa. Lack of standardized reporting and inconsistent outbreak definitions limit our understanding of cholera outbreak epidemiology. METHODS: From a database of cholera incidence and mortality, we extracted data from sub-Saharan Africa and reconstructed outbreaks of suspected cholera starting in January 2010 to December 2019 based on location-specific average weekly incidence rate thresholds. We then described the distribution of key outbreak metrics. RESULTS: We identified 999 suspected cholera outbreaks in 744 regions across 25 sub-Saharan African countries. The outbreak periods accounted for 1.8 billion person-months (2% of the total during this period) from January 2010 to January 2020. Among 692 outbreaks reported from second-level administrative units (e.g., districts), the median attack rate was 0.8 per 1000 people (interquartile range (IQR), 0.3-2.4 per 1000), the median epidemic duration was 13 weeks (IQR, 8-19), and the median early outbreak reproductive number was 1.8 (range, 1.1-3.5). Larger attack rates were associated with longer times to outbreak peak, longer epidemic durations, and lower case fatality risks. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a baseline from which the progress toward cholera control and essential statistics to inform outbreak management in sub-Saharan Africa can be monitored.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , África del Sur del Sahara/epidemiología , Cólera/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Incidencia , Salud Pública
16.
Lancet Glob Health ; 10(6): e831-e839, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35461521

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cholera remains a major threat in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where some of the highest case-fatality rates are reported. Knowing in what months and where cholera tends to occur across the continent could aid in improving efforts to eliminate cholera as a public health concern. However, largely due to the absence of unified large-scale datasets, no continent-wide estimates exist. In this study, we aimed to estimate cholera seasonality across SSA and explore the correlation between hydroclimatic variables and cholera seasonality. METHODS: Using the global cholera database of the Global Task Force on Cholera Control, we developed statistical models to synthesise data across spatial and temporal scales to infer the seasonality of excess (defined as incidence higher than the 2010-16 mean incidence rate) suspected cholera occurrence in SSA. We developed a Bayesian statistical model to infer the monthly risk of excess cholera at the first and second administrative levels. Seasonality patterns were then grouped into spatial clusters. Finally, we studied the association between seasonality estimates and hydroclimatic variables (mean monthly fraction of area flooded, mean monthly air temperature, and cumulative monthly precipitation). FINDINGS: 24 (71%) of the 34 countries studied had seasonal patterns of excess cholera risk, corresponding to approximately 86% of the SSA population. 12 (50%) of these 24 countries also had subnational differences in seasonality patterns, with strong differences in seasonality strength between regions. Seasonality patterns clustered into two macroregions (west Africa and the Sahel vs eastern and southern Africa), which were composed of subregional clusters with varying degrees of seasonality. Exploratory association analysis found most consistent and positive correlations between cholera seasonality and precipitation and, to a lesser extent, between cholera seasonality and temperature and flooding. INTERPRETATION: Widespread cholera seasonality in SSA offers opportunities for intervention planning. Further studies are needed to study the association between cholera and climate. FUNDING: US National Aeronautics and Space Administration Applied Sciences Program and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , África del Sur del Sahara/epidemiología , Teorema de Bayes , Cólera/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Estadísticos
17.
Lancet Glob Health ; 10(3): e398-e408, 2022 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35180421

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Each year, 2 million people worldwide are bitten by snakes, resulting in an estimated 81 000-138 000 deaths. WHO has added snakebite envenoming to the list of neglected tropical diseases, highlighting the need for stronger epidemiological evidence in endemic countries, such as Nepal. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey in villages randomly geospatially selected from aerial images from across the Nepal's Terai lowlands region (excluding towns and cities). We collected data between Nov 30, 2018 and May 7, 2019, and analysed snakebite incidence rates and outcomes in humans and domestic animals. FINDINGS: Among 63 454 human participants living in 13 879 households (249 villages), 166 were bitten by a snake over the previous 12 months; 48·8% were envenomed and 7·8% died. This corresponded to an annual crude incidence rate of 262 snakebites (adjusted incidence of 251·1 [95% CI 201·7-312·6]) and 20 deaths (22·4 [11·9-42·1]) per 100 000 people, extrapolating to 26 749-37 661 yearly bitten people and 2386-3225 deaths. Bitten people had a median age of 30 years (IQR 20-45) and with available data, 64% were female. Children younger than 15 years (n=6; 46%) and females (n=10; 77%) were disproportionately affected among the 13 people who died. The incidence was higher in the Eastern region, and mortality was higher in the Central region. Of 183 949 animals, owners reported 144 snakebites, with an annual incidence rate of 42-202 per 100 000 and mortality of 79-100%, varying by animal type. Spatial and seasonal incidence were similar in humans and in animals. INTERPRETATION: This study provides the first epidemiological estimates of snakebite envenoming in humans and domestic animals across Nepal's Terai lowlands. It was also the first to use a community-based, transdisciplinary, and One Health design. These findings call for a strengthening of preventive measures and better access to life-saving treatments. FUNDING: Swiss National Science Foundation project 315130_176271 (SNAKE-BYTE).


Asunto(s)
Encuestas Epidemiológicas/métodos , Mordeduras de Serpientes/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Animales , Animales Domésticos , Niño , Preescolar , Análisis por Conglomerados , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Encuestas Epidemiológicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nepal/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
18.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 2(11): e0000767, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36962647

RESUMEN

The true burden of COVID-19 in Yemen is underestimated. The healthcare system is dysfunctional and there is a high shortage of health care workers in the country. Testing for SARS-CoV-2 remains limited and official surveillance data is restricted to those who are severe or highly suspected. In this study, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) aimed to conduct serological screening using rapid tests for asymptomatic staff at the MSF Aden Trauma Center to determine the SARS-CoV-2 antibody seropositivity. Four months after the peak of the first wave, we offered all the staff at the MSF Aden Trauma Center PCR if symptomatic, and a baseline SARS-CoV-2 serology screening followed by follow-up screenings. A final round was scheduled four months after the baseline. A rapid serology lateral flow test, NG-Test IgM-IgG was used in all rounds and in the final round, an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA) (Elecsys Anti-SARS-CoV-2 assay). Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify risk factors for seropositivity. The level of agreement between the different serology assays used was investigated. Overall 69 out of 356 participants (19.4%, 95% CI 17.9-20.8) tested positive by NG-Test between September and November 2020. A sub-sample of 161 staff members were retested in January 2021. Of these, the NG-Test detected only 13 positive cases, whereas the ECLIA detected 109 positive cases. The adjusted seroprevalence by ECLIA was 59% (95%CI 52.2-65.9). The non-medical staff had significantly lower odds of seropositivity compared to the medical staff (AOR 0.43, 95% CI 0.15-0.7, p<0.001). The positive percent agreement between the two tests was very low (11%). Our results suggest a very high SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in healthcare workers in Yemen, highlighting the need for regular testing and rapid vaccination of all healthcare workers in the country.

20.
PLoS One ; 16(12): e0260989, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34919545

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Camps of forcibly displaced populations are considered to be at risk of large COVID-19 outbreaks. Low screening rates and limited surveillance led us to conduct a study in Dagahaley camp, located in the Dadaab refugee complex in Kenya to estimate SARS-COV-2 seroprevalence and, mortality and to identify changes in access to care during the pandemic. METHODS: To estimate seroprevalence, a cross-sectional survey was conducted among a sample of individuals (n = 587) seeking care at the two main health centres and among all household members (n = 619) of community health workers and traditional birth attendants working in the camp. A rapid immunologic assay was used (BIOSYNEX® COVID-19 BSS [IgG/IgM]) and adjusted for test performance and mismatch between the sampled population and that of the general camp population. To estimate mortality, all households (n = 12860) were exhaustively interviewed in the camp about deaths occurring from January 2019 through March 2021. RESULTS: In total 1206 participants were included in the seroprevalence study, 8% (95% CI: 6.6%-9.7%) had a positive serologic test. After adjusting for test performance and standardizing on age, a seroprevalence of 5.8% was estimated (95% CI: 1.6%-8.4%). The mortality rate for 10,000 persons per day was 0.05 (95% CI 0.05-0.06) prior to the pandemic and 0.07 (95% CI 0.06-0.08) during the pandemic, representing a significant 42% increase (p<0.001). Médecins Sans Frontières health centre consultations and hospital admissions decreased by 38% and 37% respectively. CONCLUSION: The number of infected people was estimated 67 times higher than the number of reported cases. Participants aged 50 years or more were among the most affected. The mortality survey shows an increase in the mortality rate during the pandemic compared to before the pandemic. A decline in attendance at health facilities was observed and sustained despite the easing of restrictions.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Campos de Refugiados/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Kenia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Adulto Joven
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