Socio-economic status and head and neck cancer incidence in the Nordic countries.

BACKGROUND: The impact of societal factors on the occurrence of head and neck cancers (HNCs) remains understudied, especially in the Nordic countries. METHODS: To quantify the association between socio-economic status (SES) and the occurrence of HNCs, this cohort study uses data from the Nordic Occupational Cancer project that combine occupational and cancer registry data from 1961 to 2005 of 14.9 million individuals aged between 30 and 64 years. Occupational categories were combined into seven socio-economic categories. Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) analyses were conducted with the cancer incidence rates for the entire national study populations used as reference rates. RESULTS: Altogether, 83 997 HNCs-72% in men and 28% in women-were recorded. Among men, a gradient of risk associated with SES was observed for cancers of the tongue, other oral cavity subsites, pharynx, oropharynx and larynx in groups with lower SES. Managers showed decreased SIRs of 0.50 to -0.90 also for cancers of the lip, tongue, other oral cavity subsites, oropharynx, nasopharynx, nose and larynx. In contrast, excess risks of tongue, other oral cavity subsites, pharyngeal, oropharyngeal and laryngeal cancers were observed among clerical (SIRs 1.05-1.16), skilled workers (1.04-1.14), unskilled workers (1.16-1.26) and economically inactive men (1.38-1.87). Among women, no risk gradient similar to that in men was revealed. CONCLUSIONS: The current study underscores the influence of SES on the incidence of HNCs and highlights the need for targeted interventions, including tobacco and alcohol control policies, and improved access to healthcare services, particularly for socio-economically disadvantaged populations.

Introduction of one-view tomosynthesis in population-based mammography screening: Impact on detection rate, interval cancer rate and false-positive rate.

OBJECTIVE: To assess performance endpoints of a combination of digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) and full-field digital mammography (FFDM) compared with FFDM only in breast cancer screening. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective population-based screening study, including eligible (50-69 years) women attending the Capital Region Mammography Screening Program in Denmark. All attending women were offered FFDM. A subgroup was consecutively allocated to a screening room with DBT. All FFDM and DBT underwent independent double reading, and all women were followed up for 2 years after screening date or until next screening date, whichever came first. RESULTS: 6353 DBT + FFDM and 395 835 FFDM were included in the analysis and were undertaken in 196 267 women in the period from 1 November 2012 to 12 December 2018. Addition of DBT increased sensitivity: 89.9% (95% confidence interval (CI): 81.0-95.5) for DBT + FFDM and 70.1% (95% CI: 68.6-71.6) for FFDM only, p < 0.001. Specificity remained similar: 98.2% (95% CI: 97.9-98.5) for DBT + FFDM and 98.3% (95% CI: 98.2-98.3) for FFDM only, p = 0.9. Screen-detected cancer rate increased statistically significantly: 11.18/1000 for DBT + FFDM and 6.49/1000 for FFDM only, p < 0.001. False-positive rate was unchanged: 1.75% for DBT + FFDM and 1.73% for FFDM only, p = 0.9. Positive predictive value for recall was 39.0% (95% CI: 31.9-46.5) for DBT + FFDM and 27.3% (95% CI: 26.4-28.2), for FFDM only, p < 0.0005. The interval cancer rate decreased: 1.26/1000 for DBT + FFDM and 2.76/1000 for FFDM only, p = 0.02. CONCLUSION: DBT + FFDM yielded a statistically significant increase in cancer detection and program sensitivity.

Cervical cancer incidence in Denmark: Disentangling determinants of time trend.

Cervical cancer is a preventable disease. Nevertheless, stagnation has been seen in incidence rates also in countries with well-functioning healthcare. On this basis, we investigated associations between control interventions and changes in cervical cancer incidence in Denmark from 2009 to 2022. Data on human papillomavirus (HPV)-vaccination were retrieved from Staten's Serum Institute; on screening recommendations from Danish Health Authority, on screening performance from Danish Quality Database for Cervical Screening; and on cervical cancer incidence from Nordcan and Danish Cancer Register. We reported coverage with HPV vaccination (1+ dose); coverage with cervical cell samples; number of women with primary HPV tests; proportion of non-normal cell samples without timely follow-up; number of conizations; and cervical cancer incidence rates. In 2022, all women aged ≤29 had been offered childhood HPV vaccination with coverage of 80%-90%. By 2020-2022, the cervical cancer incidence rate in women aged 20-29 was 3 per 100,000; at level of disease elimination. In 2017, women aged 70+ were offered a one-time HPV screening, and by 2020-2022, the old-age peak in cervical cancer incidence had largely disappeared. From 2009 to 2022, proportion of non-normal cell samples without timely follow-up decreased from 20% to 10%, and conventional cytology was largely replaced by SurePath liquid-based cytology; these factors could explain the steady decrease in cervical cancer incidence rate. Implementation of primary HPV screening in women aged 30-59 in 2021 was reflected in a, probably temporary, increase in the 2022 cervical cancer incidence rate. In conclusion, combined interventions with childhood HPV vaccination; one-time HPV screening of elderly women; and better management of screening broke previous stagnation in cervical cancer incidence rate.

Non-participation in breast screening in Denmark: Sociodemographic determinants.

BACKGROUND: Internationally, non-participation in breast screening increased with decreasing level of education indicating importance of information campaigns to enhance awareness of screening. However, in Denmark in the 1990s the association between education and non-participation was U-shaped. We therefore analyzed recent Danish data. METHODS: Data derived from the Capital Region of Denmark, biennial, organized breast screening program 2008-2020, where women aged 50-69 were personally invited to screening. Non-participation was measured as number of women with no participation out of women eligible for at least three invitations. Sociodemographic determinants were identified by linkage to public registers. Results were reported as age adjusted odds ratios (OR) of non-participation including 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Among 196,085 women, 86% participated. Using women with low education as baseline, the OR for professional bachelors was 0.64; and for academics 0.75. The strongest determinants of non-participation were being non-married OR 2.03; born outside Denmark OR 2.04; being self-employed OR 1.67; retired OR 3.12; on public support OR 3.66; or having co-morbidity OR 1.56. CONCLUSION: The U-shaped association between education and non-participation in breast screening prevailed. The data further indicated that screening participation was low in women with pertinent health and social problems.

A call from 40 public health scientists for an end to the continuing humanitarian and environmental catastrophe in Gaza.

An under-recognised aspect of the current humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza is the impact of the war on the environment and the associated risks for human health. This commentary contextualises these impacts against the background of human suffering produced by the overwhelming violence associated with the use of military force against the general population of Gaza. In calling for an immediate cessation to the violence, the authors draw attention to the urgent need to rebuild the health care system and restore the physical and human infrastructure that makes a liveable environment possible and promotes human health and well-being, especially for the most vulnerable in the population. Environmental remediation should therefore form one of the most important parts of international efforts to assist reconstruction, through which we hope Palestinians and Israelis will achieve lasting peace, health, and sustainable development, all as part of accepted international human rights obligations.

Early Indicators of the Impact of Using AI in Mammography Screening for Breast Cancer.

Background Retrospective studies have suggested that using artificial intelligence (AI) may decrease the workload of radiologists while preserving mammography screening performance. Purpose To compare workload and screening performance for two cohorts of women who underwent screening before and after AI system implementation. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included 50-69-year-old women who underwent biennial mammography screening in the Capital Region of Denmark. Before AI system implementation (October 1, 2020, to November 17, 2021), all screenings involved double reading. For screenings conducted after AI system implementation (November 18, 2021, to October 17, 2022), likely normal screenings (AI examination score ≤5 before May 3, 2022, or ≤7 on or after May 3, 2022) were single read by one of 19 senior full-time breast radiologists. The remaining screenings were read by two radiologists with AI-assisted decision support. Biopsy and surgical outcomes were retrieved between October 1, 2020, and April 15, 2023, ensuring at least 180 days of follow-up. Screening metrics were compared using the χ2 test. Reading workload reduction was measured as saved screening reads. Results In total, 60 751 and 58 246 women were screened before and after AI system implementation, respectively (median age, 58 years [IQR, 54-64 years] for both cohorts), with a median screening interval before AI of 845 days (IQR, 820-878 days) and with AI of 993 days (IQR, 968-1013 days; P < .001). After AI system implementation, the recall rate decreased by 20.5% (3.09% before AI [1875 of 60 751] vs 2.46% with AI [1430 of 58 246]; P < .001), the cancer detection rate increased (0.70% [423 of 60 751] vs 0.82% [480 of 58 246]; P = .01), the false-positive rate decreased (2.39% [1452 of 60 751] vs 1.63% [950 of 58 246]; P < .001), the positive predictive value increased (22.6% [423 of 1875] vs 33.6% [480 of 1430]; P < .001), the rate of small cancers (≤1 cm) increased (36.6% [127 of 347] vs 44.9% [164 of 365]; P = .02), the rate of node-negative cancers was unchanged (76.7% [253 of 330] vs 77.8% [273 of 351]; P = .73), and the rate of invasive cancers decreased (84.9% [359 of 423] vs 79.6% [382 of 480]; P = .04). The reading workload was reduced by 33.5% (38 977 of 116 492 reads). Conclusion In a population-based mammography screening program, using AI reduced the overall workload of breast radiologists while improving screening performance. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Lee and Friedewald in this issue.

Screening outcome of HPV-vaccinated women: Data from the Danish Trial23 cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Danish women-who were HPV-vaccinated as girls-are now reaching an age where they are invited to cervical cancer screening. Because of their expected lower cervical cancer risk, we must reassess our screening strategies. We analyzed Danish HPV-vaccinated women's outcomes after the first screening test at age 23. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Our study was embedded in Danish routine cytology-based screening. We conducted an observational study and included women born in 1994, offered the 4-valent HPV vaccine at age 14, and subsequently invited to screening at age 23. Cervical cytology was used for diagnostics and clinical management. Residual material was HPV tested with Cobas® 4800/6800. The most severe histology diagnosis within 795 days of screening was found through linkage with the Danish National Pathology Register. We calculated the number of women undergoing follow-up (repeated testing and/or colposcopy) per detected cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+). A total of 6021 women were screened; 92% were HPV-vaccinated; 12% had abnormal cytology; 35% were high-risk HPV-positive, including 0.9% HPV16/18 positive, and 20% had follow-up. In women that were cytology-abnormal and HPV-positive (Cyt+/HPV+), 610 (98.5%) had been followed up, and 138 CIN2+ cases were diagnosed, resulting in 4.4 (95% CI 3.9-5.2) women undergoing follow-up per detected CIN2+. In contrast to recommendations, 182 (12.2%) cytology-normal and HPV-positive (Cyt-/HPV+) women were followed up within 795 days, and 8 CIN2+ cases were found, resulting in 22.8 (95% CI 13.3-59.3) women undergoing follow-up per detected CIN2+. CONCLUSION: Overall, HPV prevalence was high in HPV-vaccinated women, but HPV16/18 had largely disappeared. In the large group of cytology-normal and HPV-positive women, 23 had been followed up per detected CIN2+ case. Our data indicated that primary HPV screening of young HPV-vaccinated women would require very effective triage methods to avoid an excessive follow-up burden. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registration number: NCT0304955.

Occupation and tongue cancer in Nordic countries.

PURPOSE: Almost 200,000 tongue cancers were diagnosed worldwide in 2020. The aim of this study was to describe occupational risk variation in this malignancy. METHODS: The data are based on the Nordic Occupational Cancer (NOCCA) study containing 14.9 million people from the Nordic countries with 9020 tongue cancers diagnosed during 1961-2005. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of tongue cancer in each occupational category was calculated using national incidence rates as the reference. RESULTS: Among men, the incidence was statistically significantly elevated in waiters (SIR 4.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.13--5.92), beverage workers (SIR 3.42, 95% CI 2.02-5.40), cooks and stewards (SIR 2.55, 95% CI 1.82-3.48), seamen (SIR 1.66, 95% CI 1.36-2.00), journalists (SIR 1.85, 95% CI 1.18-2.75), artistic workers (SIR 2.05, 95% CI 1.54-2.66), hairdressers (SIR 2.17, 95% CI 1.39-3.22), and economically inactive persons (SIR 1.57, 95% CI 1.42-1.73). Among women, the SIR was statistically significantly elevated only in waitresses (SIR 1.39, 95% CI 1.05-1.81). Statistically significant SIRs ≤ 0.63 were observed in male farmers, gardeners, forestry workers and teachers, and in female launderers. CONCLUSIONS: These findings may be related to consumption of alcohol and tobacco, but the effect of carcinogenic exposure from work cannot be excluded.

Correlation between allostatic load index and cumulative mortality: a register-based study of Danish municipalities.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine population-based allostatic load (AL) indices as an indicator of community health across 14 municipalities in Denmark. DESIGN: Register-based study. SETTING: Data derived from: the Lolland-Falster Health Study, the Copenhagen General Population Study and the Danish General Suburban Population Study. Nine biomarkers (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, pulse rate, total serum cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, waist-to-hip ratio, triglycerides, C-reactive protein and serum albumin) were divided into high-risk and low-risk values based on clinically accepted criteria, and the AL index was defined as the average between the nine values. All-cause mortality data were obtained from Statistics Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: We examined a total of 106 808 individuals aged 40-79 years. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Linear regression models were performed to investigate the association between mean AL index and cumulative mortality risk. RESULTS: Mean AL index was higher in men (range 2.3-3.3) than in women (range 1.7-2.6). We found AL index to be strongly correlated with the cumulative mortality rate, correlation coefficient of 0.82. A unit increase in mean AL index corresponded to an increase in the cumulative mortality rate of 19% (95% CI 13% to 25%) for men, and 16% (95% CI 8% to 23%) for women but this difference was not statistically significant. The overall mean increase in cumulative mortality rate for both men and women was 17% (95% CI 14% to 20%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate the population-based AL index to be a strong indicator of community health, and suggest identification of targets for reducing AL.

Self-Reported Health as Predictor of Allostatic Load and All-Cause Mortality: Findings From the Lolland-Falster Health Study.

Objectives: The aim was to determine the association between self-reported health (SRH), allostatic load (AL) and mortality. Methods: Data derived from the Lolland-Falster Health Study undertaken in Denmark from 2016-2020 (n = 14,104). Median follow-up time for death was 4.6 years where 456 participants died. SRH was assessed with a single question and AL by an index of ten biomarkers. Multinomial regression analysis were used to examine the association between SRH and AL, and Cox regression to explore the association between SRH, AL and mortality. Results: The risk of high AL increased by decreasing level of SRH. The ratio of relative risk (RRR) of having medium vs. low AL was 1.58 (1.11-2.23) in women reporting poor/very poor SRH as compared with very good SRH. For men it was 1.84 (1.20-2.81). For high vs. low AL, the RRR was 2.43 (1.66-3.56) in women and 2.96 (1.87-4.70) in men. The hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality increased by decreasing SRH. For poor/very poor vs. very good SRH, the HR was 6.31 (2.84-13.99) in women and 3.92 (2.12-7.25) in men. Conclusion: Single-item SRH was able to predict risk of high AL and all-cause mortality.

Occupational variation in incidence of oropharyngeal cancer in the Nordic countries.

PURPOSE: Evaluate the occupational variation in incidence of oropharyngeal cancer (OPC). METHODS: We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of OPC in occupational categories in the Nordic countries relative to the entire national populations. The data covered 6155 OPC cases. RESULTS: Among men high risk of OPC was observed, among else, in waiters (SIR 6.28, 95% CI 4.68-8.26), beverage workers (SIR 3.00, 95% CI 1.72-4.88), and artistic workers (SIR 2.97, 95% CI 2.31-3.76). Among women high risk of OPC was observed in waiters (SIR 2.02, 95% CI 1.41-2.81) and packers (SIR 1.73, 95% CI 1.07-2.64). The lowest SIRs were observed in female gardeners (SIR 0.27, 95% CI 0.12-0.51) and male farmers (SIR 0.30, 95% CI 0.25-0.35). CONCLUSION: The 20-fold variation in incidence of OPC between occupations needs further investigation in studies with detailed information on occupational and non-occupational risk factors.

Non-participation in a health examination survey in a rural-provincial area of Denmark - results from the Lolland-Falster Health Study (LOFUS).

BACKGROUND: Lolland-Falster Health Study (LOFUS) was a health examination survey that included self-administered questionnaires, clinical examinations, and the collection of biological samples, undertaken in 2016-2020 in a rural, socioeconomically deprived area with the lowest life expectancy in Denmark. The aim of this study was to examine the determinants of non-participation in LOFUS to evaluate the extent to which LOFUS data reflected the general population of the area. METHODS: LOFUS invited randomly selected subjects together with their entire household. As determinants of non-participation, we analyzed age, sex, municipality of residency, citizenship, residency status, socioeconomic status, invitation type, and year of invitation. Relative risk regression was used to estimate the association between determinants and non-participation rate, mutually adjusted for other determinants. RESULTS: In total, 53,313 subjects were invited of whom 18,949 (36%) participated. In the multivariable analysis, men had a 3% higher non-participation rate than women; subjects with citizenship other than Danish had a 3% higher non-participation rate than Danes. In-migrants had 6% higher non-participation than long-term residents. Compared with self-supported subjects aged 30-64, both publicly supported subjects of this age and younger and older subjects had higher non-participation rates: 16%, 16%, and 13%, respectively. Compared with self-supported, long-term residents, publicly supported in-migrants had 23% higher non-participation. CONCLUSIONS: Only about one third of subjects invited to LOFUS participated. Yet, this is a relatively high participation rate compared with other recent health examination surveys in Denmark. Furthermore, there was a relatively flat social gradient in the non-participation rate across the studied determinants.

Robust cross-vendor mammographic texture models using augmentation-based domain adaptation for long-term breast cancer risk.

Purpose: Risk-stratified breast cancer screening might improve early detection and efficiency without comprising quality. However, modern mammography-based risk models do not ensure adaptation across vendor-domains and rely on cancer precursors, associated with short-term risk, which might limit long-term risk assessment. We report a cross-vendor mammographic texture model for long-term risk. Approach: The texture model was robustly trained using two systematically designed case-control datasets. Textural features, indicative of future breast cancer, were learned by excluding samples with diagnosed/potential malignancies from training. An augmentation-based domain adaption technique, based on flavorization of mammographic views, ensured generalization across vendor-domains. The model was validated in 66,607 consecutively screened Danish women with flavorized Siemens views and 25,706 Dutch women with Hologic-processed views. Performances were evaluated for interval cancers (IC) within 2 years from screening and long-term cancers (LTC) from 2 years after screening. The texture model was combined with established risk factors to flag 10% of women with the highest risk. Results: In Danish women, the texture model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.71 and 0.65 for ICs and LTCs, respectively. In Dutch women with Hologic-processed views, the AUCs were not different from AUCs in Danish women with flavorized views. The AUC for texture combined with established risk factors increased to 0.68 for LTCs. The 10% of women flagged as high-risk accounted for 25.5% of ICs and 24.8% of LTCs. Conclusions: The texture model robustly estimated long-term breast cancer risk while adapting to an unseen processed vendor-domain and identified a clinically relevant high-risk subgroup.

No Excess Cancer Risk among Veterinarians in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden after the 1980s.

The cancer profile of veterinarians has received little research attention, despite the profession potentially being exposed to a wide range of known and suspected carcinogens. In this large-scale cohort study, we assessed cancer incidence in veterinarians in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden, across more than 40 years (1961-2005). The cohort comprised 4708 veterinarians and 119,503 person-years at follow-up. The overall cancer incidence in veterinarians was close to the incidence in the total population in all countries and in all age groups. In male veterinarians, the standardized incidence ratios (SIR) in 1961-1990 were elevated for colon cancer (1.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.39-2.44), prostate cancer (1.35, 95% CI 1.07-1.67), and especially skin melanoma (3.62, 95% CI 2.78-2.84), while there was no longer any statistically significant excess in the more recent follow-up period. Decreased SIRs were observed for lip cancer (0.11, 95% CI 0.00-0.62), laryngeal cancer (0.38, 95% CI 0.12-0.89), lung cancer (0.59, 95% CI 0.47-0.74), and stomach cancer (0.58, 95% CI 0.38-0.86), without a marked change in SIR over time. Non-significant excesses among male veterinarians were also observed in Hodgkin lymphoma (1961-1990 only), and leukaemia. This multi-country study indicates that there was an elevated incidence of several cancer types among male veterinarians before the 1990s but not after that. Some of the findings might rather be attributed to lifestyle factors and not directly to work conditions, but the excess risk of cancers of kidney and bladder, for example, might be related to work exposures.

Assessing Breast Cancer Risk by Combining AI for Lesion Detection and Mammographic Texture.

Background Recent mammography-based risk models can estimate short-term or long-term breast cancer risk, but whether risk assessment may improve by combining these models has not been evaluated. Purpose To determine whether breast cancer risk assessment improves when combining a diagnostic artificial intelligence (AI) system for lesion detection and a mammographic texture model. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included Danish women consecutively screened for breast cancer at mammography from November 2012 to December 2015 who had at least 5 years of follow-up data. Examinations were evaluated for short-term risk using a commercially available diagnostic AI system for lesion detection, which produced a score to indicate the probability of cancer. A mammographic texture model, trained on a separate data set, assessed textures associated with long-term cancer risk. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis was used to evaluate both the individual and combined performance of the AI and texture models for the prediction of future cancers in women with a negative screening mammogram, including those with interval cancers diagnosed within 2 years of screening and long-term cancers diagnosed 2 years or more after screening. AUCs were compared using the DeLong test. Results The Danish screening cohort included 119 650 women (median age, 59 years [IQR, 53-64 years]), of whom 320 developed interval cancers and 1401 developed long-term cancers. The combination model achieved a higher AUC for interval and long-term cancers grouped together than either the diagnostic AI (AUC, 0.73 vs 0.70; P < .001) or the texture risk (AUC, 0.73 vs 0.66; P < .001) models. The 10% of women with the highest combined risk identified by the combination model accounted for 44.1% (141 of 320) of interval cancers and 33.7% (472 of 1401) of long-term cancers. Conclusion Combining a diagnostic AI system and mammographic texture model resulted in improved risk assessment for interval cancers and long-term cancers and enabled identification of women at high risk. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Poynton and Slanetz in this issue.

Socioeconomic, lifestyle and biological determinants of cervical screening coverage: Lolland-Falster Health Study, Denmark.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is preventable. Screening is important for early detection. However, even in high-income countries, coverage is sub-optimal. We identified socioeconomic, lifestyle and biological determinants of cervical screening coverage. METHODS: In Denmark, women aged 23-64 are free of charge personally invited to screening. All cervical cell samples are registered centrally in the Patobank. We linked data from the Lolland-Falster Health Study (LOFUS) with Patobank data. LOFUS was a population-based health survey undertaken in 2016-2020. With logistic regression, coverage defined as ≥1 cervical sample registered within a 6-year period from 2015 to 2020 was compared across levels of risk factors expressed as adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Among 13 406 women of screening aged 23-64 and invited to LOFUS, 72% had ≥1 cervical sample registered. Non-participation in LOFUS was a strong predictor of low coverage; aOR 0.32; 95% CI 0.31-0.36. Among LOFUS participants, education was a strong predictor of coverage in univariate analysis, OR 0.58; 95% CI 0.48-0.71, but this association disappeared in multi-variate analysis, aOR 0.86; 95% CI 0.66-1.10. In multi-variate analysis, predictors of low coverage were high age, living without a partner, retired, current smoker, poor self-rated health, elevated blood pressure and elevated glycated haemoglobin. CONCLUSIONS: Women with low cervical screening coverage had limited contact to healthcare, exemplified by non-participation in LOFUS, and pertinent health and social problems, exemplified by elevated blood pressure and glycated haemoglobin, poor self-rated health, and retirement already in screening age. Structural changes in screening are needed to reach non-screened women.

Occupational variation in the incidence of lip cancer in the Nordic countries.

INTRODUCTION: While certain occupations, such as agriculture and fishery, have been associated with an increased risk of lip cancer, the occupational risk profile of lip cancer and its change over time remain poorly known. This study aims to evaluate the incidence of lip cancer across different occupations in the Nordic countries. METHODS: The Nordic Occupational Cancer Study (NOCCA) covers 14.9 million people and includes 45 years of cancer incidence data, from 1961 to 2005, linked to occupational categories for all the five Nordic populations. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to quantify the risk of lip cancer across occupational categories relative to the entire national populations. RESULTS: There were a total of 14,477 male and 3008 female lip cancer patients identified during follow up. The highest SIRs were observed among male fishermen (SIR 2.26, 95% CI: 2.04-2.50), gardeners (SIR 1.60, 95% CI: 1.48-1.72), and farmers (SIR 1.60, 95% CI: 1.55-1.66). A significantly reduced risk of lip cancer (SIR < 0.50) was observed among male physicians, teachers, religious workers, artistic workers, journalists, administrators, printers, waiters, and hairdressers. Among women, no occupations were associated with an increased risk of lip cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of lip cancer varies widely between outdoor and indoor occupations. Occupations involving outdoor activity and exposure to sunlight show the most elevated SIRs.

Certain outdoor occupations, such as agriculture and fishery, have been associated with an increased risk of lip cancer. However, the occupational risk profile of lip cancer and its change over time remain poorly known. This study highlights the excess risk of lip cancer among men with outdoor occupations and further corroborates previous studies. Efforts to counsel outdoor workers on the risk and prevention of lip cancer are needed to reduce the societal burden of the disease.

Predicting diabetes-related conditions in need of intervention: Lolland-Falster Health Study, Denmark.

In the Danish population, about one-in-ten adults have prediabetes, undiagnosed, poorly or potentially sub-regulated diabetes, for short DMRC. It is important to offer these citizens relevant healthcare intervention. We therefore built a model for prediction of prevalent DMRC. Data were derived from the Lolland-Falster Health Study undertaken in a rural-provincial area of Denmark with disadvantaged health. We included variables from public registers (age, sex, age, citizenship, marital status, socioeconomic status, residency status); from self-administered questionnaires (smoking status, alcohol use, education, self-rated health, dietary habits, physical activity); and from clinical examinations (body mass index (BMI), pulse rate, blood pressure, waist-to-hip ratio). Data were divided into training/testing datasets for development and testing of the prediction model. The study included 15,801 adults; of whom 1,575 with DMRC. Statistically significant variables in the final model included age, self-rated health, smoking status, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and pulse rate. In the testing dataset this model had an area under the curve (AUC) = 0.77 and a sensitivity of 50% corresponding to a specificity of 84%. In a health disadvantaged Danish population, presence of prediabetes, undiagnosed, or poorly or potentially sub-regulated diabetes could be predicted from age, self-rated health, smoking status, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and pulse rate. Age is known from the Danish personal identification number, self-rated health and smoking status can be obtained from simple questions, and BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, and pulse rate can be measured by any person in health care and potentially by the person him/her-self. Our model might therefore be useful as a screening tool.

A cervical screening initiative for elderly women in Denmark.

INTRODUCTION: To assess outcome of a one-time human papillomavirus (HPV)-screening in 2017 of Danish women aged 70+. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Women born 1947 or before were personally invited to have a cell-sample collected by their general practitioner. Screening- and follow-up samples were analyzed in hospital laboratories in the five Danish regions and registered centrally. Follow-up procedures varied slightly across regions. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 (CIN2) was recommended treatment threshold. Data were retrieved from the Danish Quality Database for Cervical Cancer Screening. We calculated CIN2+ and CIN3+ detection rates per 1000 screened women, and number of biopsies and conizations per detected CIN2+ case. We tabulated annual number of incident cervical cancer cases in Denmark for the years 2009-2020. RESULTS: In total, 359 763 women were invited of whom 108 585 (30% of invited) were screened; 4479 (4.1% of screened, and 4.3% of screened 70-74 years) tested HPV-positive; of whom 2419 (54% of HPV-positive) were recommended follow-up with colposcopy, biopsy and cervical sampling, and 2060 with cell-sample follow-up. In total, 2888 women had histology; of whom 1237 cone specimen and 1651 biopsy only. Out of 1000 screened women 11 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11-12) had conization. In total, 579 women had CIN2+; 209 CIN2, 314 CIN3, and 56 cancer. Out of 1000 screened women five (95% CI: 5-6) had CIN2+. Detection rate of CIN2+ was highest in regions where conization was used as part of first-line follow-up. In 2009-2016, number of incident cervical cancers in women aged 70+ in Denmark fluctuated around 64; in 2017 it reached 83 cases; and by 2021 the number had decreased to 50. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of high-risk HPV of 4.3% in women aged 70-74 is in agreement with data from Australia, and the detection of five CIN+2 cases per 1000 screened women is in agreement with data for 65-69 year old women in Norway. Data are thus starting to accumulate on primary HPV-screening of elderly women. The screening resulted in a prevalence peak in incident cervical cancers, and it will therefore take some years before the cancer preventive effect of the screening can be evaluated.

Mammographic density and interval cancers in mammographic screening: Moving towards more personalized screening.

PURPOSE: The European Society on Breast Imaging has recommended supplemental magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) every two to four years for women with mammographically dense breasts. This may not be feasible in many screening programs. Also, the European Commission Initiative on Breast Cancer suggests not implementing screening with MRI. By analyzing interval cancers and time from screening to diagnosis by density, we present alternative screening strategies for women with dense breasts. METHODS: Our BreastScreen Norway cohort included 508 536 screening examinations, including 3125 screen-detected and 945 interval breast cancers. Time from screening to interval cancer was stratified by density measured by an automated software and classified into Volpara Density Grades (VDGs) 1-4. Examinations with volumetric density ≤3.4% were categorized as VDG1, 3.5%-7.4% as VDG2, 7.5%-15.4% as VDG3, and ≥15.5% as VDG4. Interval cancer rates were also determined by continuous density measures. RESULTS: Median time from screening to interval cancer was 496 (IQR: 391-587) days for VDG1, 500 (IQR: 350-616) for VDG2, 482 (IQR: 309-595) for VDG3 and 427 (IQR: 266-577) for VDG4. A total of 35.9% of the interval cancers among VDG4 were detected within the first year of the biennial screening interval. For VDG2, 26.3% were detected within the first year. The highest annual interval cancer rate (2.7 per 1000 examinations) was observed for VDG4 in the second year of the biennial interval. CONCLUSIONS: Annual screening of women with extremely dense breasts may reduce the interval cancer rate and increase program-wide sensitivity, especially in settings where supplemental MRI screening is not feasible.